Saturday, 13 August 2016

Think Of SIP as your Child..The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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13Th Aug 2016
SIP(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Friday, 12 August 2016

Nifty, Sensex still on an uptrend but risks rising – Weekly closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12Th Aug 2016

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were to head higher. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were in a flat-to-bullish trend on most days of the week. However, on Tuesday the market turned a little bearish. Over the whole week, the major indices have made marginal gains of less than 0.5%. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, sector-wise, healthy buying was witnessed in automobile, oil and gas, and consumer durables stocks. The BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bulls -- with 1,542 advances and 1,212 declines and 154 unchanged. On the NSE, on Monday, there were 900 advances, 725 declines and 230 unchanged. Gains were capped due to caution ahead of the Reserve Bank of India's monetary policy review.
 
FMCG major Britannia Industries Ltd. on Monday reported a 13% rise in its consolidated net profit to Rs219.13 crore in the quarter ended June 30, 2016, as compared to Rs193.66 crore in the corresponding period in 2015. Its consolidated revenue in the quarter under review grew 8% to Rs2,162 crore against Rs1,998 crore in the year-ago period. The share price of the company closed at Rs3,143.00, up 9.07% on the BSE.
 
Profit booking, along with lower crude oil prices and a weak rupee, dented the Indian equity markets during the mid-afternoon trade on Tuesday. Selling pressure was seen in automobiles, fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) and metal stocks. The BSE market breadth was skewed in favour of the bears -- with 1,569 declines and 1,185 advances.  On the NSE, there were 542 advances, 912 declines and 58 unchanged. According to market analysts, consolidation and profit booking in the absence of any fresh positive development dragged the equity markets lower. Most IT (information technology) stocks traded down, while banking and pharma stocks traded with mixed sentiments. Auto and aviation sector stocks faced selling pressure. Most FMCG stocks traded down due to profit booking. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
 On Tuesday, Reserve Bank of India (RBI) Governor Raghuram Rajan kept key policy rates unchanged in his last monetary policy review as the governor, with little elbow room on account of the country's retail inflation inching closer to the upper tolerance level of 6%. Accordingly, the repurchase (repo) rate or the interest commercial banks pay the central bank for short-term loans remains unchanged at 6.5%. The cash reserve ratio (CRR) that scheduled banks have to keep in the form of liquid funds also remains unaltered at 4% of deposits. In the previous policy update, too, conducted on June 7, the policy rates were left unaltered.
 
Profit booking, along with negative global cues and caution over upcoming quarterly results, dragged the Indian equity markets lower during the late-afternoon trade session on Wednesday. Heavy selling pressure was witnessed in automobile, banking and healthcare stocks. The BSE market breadth was skewed in favour of the bears -- with 1,896 declines and 832 advances. On the NSE, on Wednesday, there were 335 advances, 1,116 declines and 48 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Most banking and pharma stocks traded down, while IT (information technology) and auto stocks also faced resistance at higher levels. Aviation stocks traded with sideways to firm sentiments on higher crude oil prices. Indian markets continued to trade with weakness and underperformed its global peers. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
JK Tyre & Industries (JKTIL) on Tuesday reported a consolidated net profit of Rs100.26 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2016. According to the company, its consolidated net profit for the corresponding period of last fiscal stood at Rs117.07 crore. "Consolidated financial results published, as opted by the company, include working of Cavendish Industries Ltd., acquired on April 13, 2016 which restarted its operations in mid-May, 2016," the company said in a regulatory filing to the BSE. "Therefore, results of the quarter are not comparable with previous period." The company's total income during the quarter under review stood at Rs1,786.77 crore from Rs1,771.06 crore earned during the corresponding period of 2015-16. The shares of the company closed at Rs102.20, down 2.76% on the BSE on Wednesday.
 
On Thursday, the Indian equity markets traded flat for most of day. Selling pressure was witnessed in automobile, metal and capital goods stocks. The markets were bearish with BSE having 1,165 advances, 1,500 declines and 67 unchanged. On the NSE, there were 585 advances, 871 declines and 62 unchanged.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Automobile manufacturer Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) on Wednesday reported a rise of 12.36% in its standalone net profit for the first quarter of the current fiscal. According to the company, Q1 standalone net profit stood at Rs955.21 crore from Rs850.09 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2015. The company informed the BSE in a regulatory filing that its total revenue from operations during the quarter under review increased by 14.05% to Rs11,942.90 crore from Rs10,470.86 crore for the quarter ended June 30, 2015. The company said in a statement that while public investment expenditures remain strong, urban demand has been picking up pace since the third quarter of the previous fiscal and is expected to receive further impetus from the Seventh Pay Commission awards, which will be given effect in the current month. The company elaborated that rural demand can be expected to gather further strength in the coming months given the robust rainfall received thus far and IMD's (India Meteorological Department) prediction of normal rains for the rest of the monsoon season. The company cited that weak external demand, underutilised capacities and balance sheet stress have hindered domestic private investment. The company’s shares closed at Rs1,420.70, down 1.88% on the BSE, on Thursday.
 

Positive global cues on the back of higher crude oil prices lifted the Indian equity markets on Friday. Healthy buying was witnessed in banking, automobile and metal stocks. However, negative European markets and caution over the upcoming macro-economic data capped gains in the afternoon session. Stocks of SBI (State Bank of India) traded firm on positive Q1 (first quarter) earnings. However, IT (information technology) and pharma stocks traded with mixed sentiments on profit booking, pointed out market analysts. Friday’s rally was sufficient for the major indices to go up by around 1% over Thursday’s close. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI draft circular seeks to protect customers from unauthorised transactions -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12Th Aug 2016
RBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has proposed that the customer will have no or zero liability in case of fraud being committed because of a bank's negligence or by a third party. In addition, where the customer’s own involvement is not clearly established, customer liability will be limited to a maximum of Rs5,000 if it is reported within four to seven working days, the draft circular says.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
However, where customer's own involvement is established, customer will be liable, the draft circular on 'Customer Protection - Limiting Liability of Customers in Unauthorised Electronic Banking Transactions' issued by the central bank says.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The recent surge in customer grievances relating to unauthorised electronic banking transactions resulting in debits to their accounts and cards, has necessitated a review of the criteria for determining the customer liability in these circumstances, RBI said in a release.
"If customer reports beyond seven working days, customer liability will be determined based on bank's Board approved policy," said the draft, on which the RBI has sought feedback till 31 August 2016.
On being notified by the customer, the draft said the "bank should credit (shadow reversal)" the amount involved in the unauthorised electronic transaction to the customer's account within 10 working days.
"The burden of proving customer liability in case of unauthorised electronic banking transactions shall lie on the bank," the RBI proposed.
It is also proposed that banks should ensure that a complaint is resolved within 90 days and in case of debit card or bank account the customer does not lose out on interest.
Banks should also ensure that in case of credit card the customer does not bear any additional burden of interest.
The RBI said the recent surge in customer grievances relating to unauthorised electronic banking transactions resulting in debits to their accounts/cards, has necessitated a review of the criteria for determining the customer liability in these circumstances.
"Banks must ask their customers to mandatorily register for alerts for electronic banking transactions. The alerts shall be sent to the customers through different channels (email or SMS) offered by the banks," it proposed.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Suggestions or comments, on the Draft Circular can be sent by post to... 
Chief General Manager, 
Department of Banking Regulation, 
Reserve Bank of India, 
Central Office, 12th Floor, 
Shahid Bhagat Singh Marg, 
Mumbai-400 001, or 

Please contact through email to liabilityebt@rbi.org.in on or before 31 August 2016.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

BSE gets nod to set up international exchange in GIFT -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12Th Aug 2016

The BSE on Thursday said it has got an approval from Ministry of Corporate Affairs to establish BSE International Exchange and BSE International Clearing Corporation at Gujarat International Finance Tec-City (GIFT).
 
In 2015, the stock exchange had signed an MoU with the GIFT SEZ Ltd to set up two entities at the country's first International Financial Services Centre (IFSC).The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
"BSE intends to develop an international exchange providing an electronic platform for facilitating trading, clearing and settlement of securities, commodities, interest rates, currencies, other classes of assets and derivatives by international investors in the GIFT SEZ-IFSC, subject to necessary approvals and operating guidelines for IFSCs," a statement said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
"...International stock exchange will provide a platform to trade on equity derivatives, commodity derivatives currency derivatives, interest rate derivatives for Indian and foreign investors," said stock exchange's Managing Director and CEO Ashish Kumar Chauhan.
 

It will also provide platform for global securities listed on the international exchanges such as NYSE, LSE, NASDAQ etc., he said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Bharti Airtel acquires spectrum in 7 circles in trading deal with Aircel -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12Th Aug 2016

Bharti Airtel has acquired the rights to use Aircel's Odisha circle, with which it completed rights to use 4G airwaves of Aircel in seven out of eight circles in the spectrum trading deal between the companies.
 
"The acquisition of rights to use 20 MHz 2300 Band BWA spectrum from Aircel, Bharti Airtel has now informed BSE that the proposed transaction has been successfully concluded for Odisha circle following the receipt of all necessary approvals and satisfying all the conditions (including conditions stated in the spectrum trading guidelines)," a regulatory filing by the company said on Thursday.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
"With this, the company has completed the transaction in 7 out of 8 circles namely Tamil Nadu (including Chennai); Bihar, Jammu & Kashmir, West Bengal, Assam, North East and Odisha," the filing with the BSE said.
 
Bharti Airtel announced on April 8 it has entered into a definitive agreement with Aircel to acquire its 4G airwaves in eight circles for Rs 3,500 crore through a spectrum trading deal.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
"Bharti Airtel and its subsidiary, Bharti Hexacom have entered into a definitive agreements with Aircel and its subsidiaries Dishnet Wireless and Aircel Cellular to acquire rights to use 20 MHz of 2300 band 4G spectrum for eight circles for an aggregate consideration of Rs 3,500 crore," the company earlier said in a statement.
 
The eight circles are Tamil Nadu (including Chennai), Bihar, Jammu and Kashmir, West Bengal, Assam, North East, Andhra Pradesh and Odissa.
 
The spectrum is valid till September 20, 2030.
 

With this acquisition, the company will become a pan India 4G operator, the statement added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Markets & News-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12Th Aug 2016

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.01%) are up +0.05% and European stocks are down -0.12% ahead of U.S. data on retail sales and consumer sentiment. Concerns over China's economic growth is limiting the upside in stock prices after Chinese data on industrial production and retail sales grew less than expected last month while credit growth grew at the slowest pace in 2-years. The weak economic data fueled a rally in Chinese government bonds as the China 10-year government bond yield fell to 2.665%, a 10-year low. Despite the weak economic data, Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1.10%, Hong Kong +0.83%, China +1.60%, Taiwan +0.20%, Australia +0.42%, Singapore -0.08%, South Korea unch, India +1.05%. Asian equity markets found support on the rally in U.S. stocks Thursday to all-time highs as China's Shanghai Composite climbed to a 2-week high and Japan's Nikkei Stock Index rose to a 2-1/4 month high.
The dollar index (DXY00 unch) is down -0.02%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.14%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.13%.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 +0.14%) are up +7 ticks.

China Jul aggregate financing, the broadest measure of credit growth, rose +487.9 billion yuan, weaker than expectations +1.0 trillion yuan and the slowest pace of growth in 2 years.
China Jul industrial production rose +6.0% y/y, weaker than expectations of +6.2% y/y.
China Jul retail sales rose +10.2% y/y, weaker than expectations of +10.5% y/y.

Eurozone Q2 GDP rose +0.3% q/q and +1.6% y/y, right on expectations.

Eurozone Jun industrial production rose +0.6% m/m, stronger than expectations of +0.5% m/m.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jul retail sales (expected +0.4% and +0.1% ex-autos, Jun +0.6% and +0.7% ex autos), (2) Jul final demand PPI (expected +0.1% m/m and +0.2% y/y, Jun +0.5% m/m and +0.3% y/y) and Jul PPI ex food & energy (expected +0.2% m/m and +1.2% y/y, Jun +0.4% m/m and +1.3% y/y), (3) Jun business inventories (expected +0.1%, May +0.2%), (4) preliminary-Aug University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment index (expected +1.5 to 91.5, Jul -3.5 to 90.0), (5) USDA Aug WASDE crop production.

Russell 1000 companies that report earnings today: JC Penny's (consensus -$0.14)
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences today: none.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Alibaba Group Holding Ltd (BABA +5.08%) was upgraded to 'Strong Buy' from 'Outperform' at Raymond James with a 12-month target price of $124.
Nvidia (NVDA +2.03%) gained 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 53 cents, higher than consensus of 48 cents.

Dillards (DDS +7.76%) dropped over 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 same-store sales fell 5%, a bigger decline than consensus of a 4% drop.
Nordstrom (JWN +7.53%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 67 cents, higher than consensus of 57 cents, and raised its full-year adjusted EPS view to $2.60-$2.75 from a May 12 view of $2.50-$2.70.
Planet Fitness (PLNT +0.79%) gained 2% in after-hours trading after it boosted its full-year adjusted EPS estimate to 63 cents-66 cents from a prior view of 62 cents-65 cents.
Itron (ITRI +0.97%) rose nearly 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 adjusted EPS of 44 cents, higher than consensus of 32 cents,
Viavi Solutions (VIAV +0.69%) lost 3% in after-hours trading after it said it expects Q1 adjusted EPS of 6 cents-8 cents, below consensus of 8 cents.

Sunrun (RUN +3.64%) jumped over 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 revenue of $122.5 million, above consensus of $111.3 million.
Ruby Tuesday (RT -2.61%) dropped 10% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 same-restaurant sales fell -3.7% accelerating from a -3.1% decline in Q3, and said it will close 95 underperforming restaurants.
Delek U.S. Holdings (DK +4.34%) rallied 14% in after-hours trading after the New York Post reported that CVR Energy is preparing to make an offer for the company.
Acacia Communications (ACIA -2.17%) jumped over 20% in after-hours trading after it reported Q2 revenue of $116.2 million, well above consensus of $85.8 million, and said it expects Q3 adjusted EPS of 64 cents-76 cents, higher than consensus of 43 cents.

Silicon Graphics International (SGI +8.73%) surged over 28% in after-hours trading after Hewlett Packard Enterprise acquired the company for $275 million.
Voxeljet AG (VJET +7.59%) tumbled 19% in after-hours trading after it cut its 2015 revenue estimate to 24 million euros-25 million euros from a May 12 estimate of 28 million euros-30 million euros.
Ocean Rig UDW (ORIG +10.20%) plunged over 50% in after-hours trading after it said it will reschedule installments and engaged advisers to assess viability of its capital structure and alternatives that may be available to pursue.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

MARKET COMMENTS

Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.01%) this morning are up +1.00 point (+0.05%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +0.47%, Dow Jones +0.64%, Nasdaq +0.42%. The S&P 500 on Thursday posted a fresh record high and closed higher on a rally in energy producers as crude oil prices climbed +4.27% and on Wells Fargo's hike in its S&P 500 12-month target to 2,200.

Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 +0.14%) this morning are up +7 ticks. Thursday's closes: TYU6 -22.00, FVU6 -13.25. T-notes on Thursday closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand with the rally in stocks and on lackluster demand for the Treasury's $15 billion auction of 30-year T-bonds that had a bid-to-cover ratio of 2.24, below the 12-auction average of 2.36.

The dollar index (DXY00 unch) this morning is down -0.023 (-0.02%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0016 (+0.14%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up (+0.13%). Thursday's closes: Dollar index +0.207 (+0.22%), EUR/USD +0.0059 (+0.53%), USD/JPY -0.59 (-0.58%). The dollar index on Thursday closed higher on the rally in the S&P 500 to a record high and on weakness in GBP/USD which sold off to a 1-month low on expectations for more BOE stimulus measures.


Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 -0.30%) this morning is down -6 cents (-0.14%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16 -1.07%) is down 0.0128 (-0.94%). Thursday's closes: CLU6 +1.78 (+4.27%), RBU6 +0.0603 (+4.63%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Thursday closed higher with Sep crude at a 2-week high. Crude oil rallied on comments from Saudi Arabia's energy minister who said talks with OPEC producers next month could include possible action to stabilize the oil market. Crude oil was also boosted by the IEA's forecast that global refiners will increase Q3 crude processing by +600,000 bpd to a record 80.6 million bpd.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 11 August 2016

Achieving solar targets while complying with WTO norms -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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11Th Aug 2016
WTO norms(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The World Trade Organisation (WTO) recently ruled against India's Domestic Content Requirement (DCR) for setting up solar power plants. Yet, there are ways to meet DCR in a way that it does not violate the multilateral trading norms.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
To backtrack a bit, the national solar target was revised to an ambitious 100 GW in 2015, with a focus on indigenous manufacturing of solar cells, modules and other associated components of solar power plants.
 
Currently, India has 5.62 GW and 1.21 GW of PV (photovoltiacs) module- and cell-manufacturing capacities. However, the industry is operating at only 30 per cent capacity because of lack of demand as imported modules are cheaper.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Although 3.33 GW was installed in India over the past two years, more than 75 per cent of the capacity employs modules imported from China and other competitive countries.
 
Indian modules and cells become expensive because of complicated mechanisms to avail of subsidies like the MSIPS (Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme) and a lack of vertical integration, economies of scale, low-cost finance and, finally, adequate dedicated infrastructure such as silicon-processing plants and stable power supply.
 
Without a strong manufacturing base, India will end up spending $3 billion on imported PV modules to reach the ambitious 100 GW target. Energy security, which is another objective in JNNSM (Jawaharlal Nehru National Solar Mission), will not be achieved. There are various policy instruments that the government can engage to boost domestic manufacturing like tax exemptions, soft loans and the DCR.
 
The DCR clause mandates a part of solar installations to use indigenously sourced or manufactured components. It incentivises nascent domestic manufacturers by providing them a secure market for a stipulated period. In principle, it should be phased out when indigenous manufacture becomes competitive with its international counterparts. The Indian government had stipulated DCR in some projects of JNNSM Phase 1 and Phase 2.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
In February 2013, the US filed a dispute against India at the WTO claiming bias against imported cells and modules through this DCR. The US claimed that this clause was inconsistent with the General Agreement on Trade and Treaty (GATT) Article III:4, which demands equal treatment for domestic and foreign products.
 
India defended its case by seeking an exemption under GATT Article III:8(a), which says that GATT Article III:4 shall not apply to laws and regulations governing the procurement of products by governmental agencies for governmental purposes and not for commercial resale.
 
The WTO rightly ruled against India on grounds of discrimination against solar panels while procuring electricity. This essentially means that the government was purchasing the electricity that was generated from the panels under the DCR clause.
 
According to WTO norms, the goods being discriminated against and the goods being procured should be either similar or have a competitive relationship, which was not the case in this dispute. India is now planning to appeal against the decision at WTO's highest court, the Appellate Body.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
This decision of the WTO leaves no elbow room for India to implement DCR in its current form. However, DCR can be employed in another way. A majority of the government entities planning to install rooftop photovoltaic (RTPV) systems can use domestically manufactured modules. In this case, India will be able to support the DCR clause for government usage as India is not a signatory to the Government Procurement Agreement (GPA), which enforces otherwise.
 
The argument because of which India lost the case will not hold good since the government is no longer procuring electricity, but only consuming whatever is generated with no associated monetary value or transaction. The only condition should be that these RTPV systems do not generate more than the consumption in each building.
Indian Railways alone consumes 17.5 billion units of electricity (1.8 per cent of the country's total electricity demand) with an annual expenditure of over Rs 11,000 crore ($1.6 billion). If 10 per cent of this demand is met by DCR, this would add 1 GW capacity. Similarly, there are a large number of government entities such as hospitals, schools and institutions that consume a large amount of electricity. These buildings typically have large rooftop areas suitable for RTPV installations.
 
Further research using tools such as Geographical Information System (GIS) can be used to estimate the suitable rooftop area available to such government entities.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Once the potential assessment exercise is completed, India can decide the magnitude of DCR it wants to implement within the WTO norms. This will allow domestic manufacturers to operate within a niche space till they achieve cost competitiveness and strengthen the indigenous manufacturing base.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Tata Chemicals sells its urea business for Rs 2,670 crore -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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11Th Aug 2016

Tata Chemicals on Wednesday said it has sold its urea business to Yara Fertilisers India Private Limited for a consideration of Rs2,670 crore.
 
"The Board of Directors has accepted the transfer of the business of sale and distribution of urea and customised fertilisers, manufactured by the company at its plants located in Babrala, Uttar Pradesh, by way of a slump sale by the company to Yara Fertilisers India Private Limited," the company said in a filing to BSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
The lump sum consideration for the transfer of the urea business of the company by way of a slump sale pursuant to the scheme is Rs2,670 crore, the filing said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
The company said divestment of the urea business would unlock value for the company, strengthen its balance sheet and would help to pursue growth potentials and opportunities in line with its strategic directions.
 
"This marks a decisive move on the part of the company to move forward on its strategy to build consumer business while maintaining leadership in inorganic chemicals business and focusing the farm business through its subsidiary Rallis and Metahelix," said the company's MD R. Mukundan.
 
Yara India is the Indian arm of Norway's Yara International ASA and it imports, sells and distributes plant nutrition products in the country.
 

"The urea business will now have the benefit of international network of Yara and its global expertise... The company will continue to own the brands Paras, TKS and Daksha. This transaction does not include specialty products and complex fertilisers," the filing said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions