Friday 8 July 2016

Nifty, Sensex to move sideways to down – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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08 July 2016 

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Sensex, Nifty were vulnerable to a short-term decline. The major indices in the Indian stock markets were trading listlessly through the week. On a weekly basis, the markets ended flat with the Sensex and Nifty marginally lower and the Bank Nifty marginally higher than last week’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Indian Indices(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, positive global cues, along with higher crude oil prices and firm rupee buoyed the Indian equity markets for the sixth consecutive session on Monday. The key indices traded with appreciable gains to reach their new 2016 intra-day high levels, as healthy buying was witnessed in capital goods, oil and gas, and metal stocks. The BSE market breadth was skewed in favour of the bulls -- with 1,724 advances and 1,016 declines. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Even though Indian commercial banks' shares have moved higher, ignoring Brexit (Britain exiting European Union), the currency volatility risks have to be understood, said US investment banking firm Jefferies in a report. Banks need to make provisions for their exposures to corporate with unhedged foreign currency exposure (UFC) and additional capital buffer for high risk UFCEs, the report said. Jefferies estimate the risk exposure at 1.7% of gross credit exposure for banking system. Banks have built Rs13 billion in provisions and Rs29 billion in additional capital as of FY16. According to the report, Bank of Baroda (BOB) is the only to report Liquidity Coverage Ratio (LCR) in British pound implying five per cent plus of liability in that currency. “This may result in higher hedge costs going forward -- marginal NIM (net interest margin) negative. This of course depends on the currency composition on the asset side -- unfortunately we don't have sufficient public data to delve deeper," the report said. Bank Nifty closed at 18,097.65, up 0.62%. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


On Tuesday, bearish global cues, subdued the Indian equity markets. Consequently, the key indices traded in the red during the late-afternoon session. Heavy selling pressure was witnessed in automobile, banking and information technology (IT) stocks. The BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bears -- with 1,277 advances and 1,476 declines. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


China is highly concerned with Indian trade remedy measures against Chinese steel products, the Ministry of Commerce said. The Indian government has launched an anti-dumping investigation into colour-coated steel sheets imported from China. It is the fifth such probe against China from India this year, the highest record among WTO members, according to a statement on the ministry's website. The global steel industry was experiencing difficulties due to sluggish economic growth and weak demand, but abuse of trade remedy measures would not help resolve industrial overcapacity but hamper normal trade, the statement said. SAIL shares closed at Rs47.50, up 1.50% on the BSE on Tuesday.

Wednesday was a market holiday on account of the Muslim festival Eid-ul-Fitr. On Thursday, the major indices of the Indian markets ended flat compared to Tuesday’s close and there were just marginal gains. Technology stocks, including those in media and entertainment space, came under selling pressure with their sectoral indices losing over 1.5%, even as the indices for fast-moving consumer goods, healthcare and banking sectors closed with gains.


Negative global cues and profit booking dragged the key Indian equity markets lower on Friday. The equity markets traded flat and ended marginally in the red, as heavy selling pressure was witnessed in capital goods, banking and oil and gas stocks. Midcap and smallcap indices traded lower. Pharma, auto and IT indices traded with gains. PSU bank, FMCG (fast moving consumer goods), realty and metal indices traded in the red. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian kitchens demand oil; production declines, imports soar-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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08  July 2016 
Kitchen Oil(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Pushed by the rising use of oil as a medium for cooking in rural areas and the falling production of oilseeds, India’s edible oil imports more than doubled in the decade to 2015, according to ministry of consumer affairs data. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Consumption in rural households rose 40% and urban 29% between 2004 and 2012, and oilseed production declined seven per cent between 2005 and 2012, according to a August 2015 report from the ministry’s department of food and public distribution. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Indian use of edible oil has varied based on prices and availability, but demand appears uninterrupted, a likely consequence or rising population and growing prosperity.

“Growth has also been driven by government policies relating to oilseeds production, domestic processing and imports, all of which have affected the edible oil price and demand in the country,” said a May 2016 report by management consultancy ICRA. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


“With India’s population increasing from 541 million in 1971 to 1.02 billion in 2001, and to 1.28 billion at present; and per capita income growth rising throughout the last three decades, consumption growth in India has been almost uninterrupted till recently. Consumption growth has been variable in recent years, primarily because of sharply higher product prices,” the report added.

Indian oilseed production cannot cope. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Edible oil is produced from oilseeds, and the department of food and public distribution report suggests that their production fell by a million tonnes over a decade ending 2015.

Some reasons proffered for stagnant production of oilseeds:

* Erratic rainfall is the main reason, according to the government

* Farmers are losing interest in oilseeds; yield not worth the cost

* Farms producing oilseeds have moved to rice and wheat, according to November 2014 report from the Indian Institute of Management-Ahmedabad.

As demand rises, imports are taxed to protect domestic manufacturers

The government hiked import duties on edible oils to protect the domestic industry, the Times of India reported in September 2015, from 7.5% to 12.5% on crude edible oil and from 15% to 20% in 2014-2015 on refined oil. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



Imports now account for two-thirds of the India’s edible oil demand, which is unlikely to reduce as the population grows and incomes continue to increase. The consumer is likely to pay for taxes imposed on imports.

US taxmen sue Facebook on transferred assets to Ireland-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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08  July 2016 

The US Internal Revenue Service has sued social networking giant Facebook for the delay in sharing documents related to transferring its assets to Ireland in 2010 to cut corporate taxes. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Ireland’s top corporate tax rate is 12.5%, much lower than the US 35%, the Wall Street Journal reported on Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The lawsuit is part of an investigation into whether some of those assets were undervalued “by billions of dollars,” the report added.

In 2010, Facebook entered into agreements with Facebook Ireland Holdings Unlimited to transfer the rights to its “online platform” and its “marketing intangibles” outside the US and Canada, said the lawsuit filed in US District Court in San Francisco this week. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The company also entered into a cost-sharing agreement with the Irish subsidiary to cover future development. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Facebook, however, rejected the lawsuit, saying that “Facebook complies with all applicable rules and regulations in the countries where we operate.”

According to the tax authorities, they went to court because Facebook has not responded to its requests and the statute of limitations on its probe which expires on July 31. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Facebook was ordered to produce the records on June 17 but “failed to appear.”



The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RJIL's NCDs issue oversubscribed-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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08  July 2016 

Reliance Jio Infocomm Limited (RJIL) on Thursday said its Rs2,000 crore Non-Convertible Debentures (NCDs) issue was oversubscribed with a total book size in excess of Rs3,500 crore.

The subsidiary of Reliance Industries Limited (RIL) on Thursday issued NCDs of five year tenure amounting Rs2,000 crore with a coupon of 8.32% per annum. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"The transaction was fully subscribed within minutes of opening and was eventually over-subscribed with a total book size in excess of Rs3500 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"The proceeds of the issuance will be utilised for rolling out digital services business in India," it said.


"We are overwhelmed by the response that we have received for our maiden issuance on the BSE-Bond platform. It reinforces the faith investors have in our next generation digital services business. The launch of the EBP platform is a significant step towards the development of market infrastructure for Indian corporate bond market," said RIL's Treasurer Soumyo Dutta. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Markets & News-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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08  July 2016 

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.26%) are up +0.23% and European stocks are up +1.10% on light short-covering ahead of U.S. Jun non-farm payrolls. A rally in Italian bank stocks is leading the overall European market higher with Banco Popolare SC up over 9% after it said its own stress tests showed "resilience" to adverse shocks and Banca Monte dei Paschi di Siena SpA was up almost 5% after its CEO said it's working "intensely" with authorities to quickly resolve its bad-loan burden. Italian authorities are trying to shore up its banks that have 360 billion of soured loans. European automakers are higher as well on signs of strong auto sales in China as Mercedes-Benz reported China Jan-Jun auto sales surged +32% y/y to 229,137 units. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan -1.11%, Hong Kong -0.69%, China -0.95%, Taiwan closed for holiday, Australia +0.05%, Singapore -0.53%, South Korea -0.48%, India -0.27%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index fell to a 1-week low as a stronger yen undercut exporter stocks.

The dollar index (DXY00 -0.20%) is down -0.22%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.03%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.31%.

Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.05%) are down -3 ticks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The German May trade balance fell to a surplus of +21.0 billion euros, smaller than expectations of +23.5 billion euros. May exports unexpectedly fell-1.8% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.4% m/m and the biggest decline in 9 months. May imports rose +0.1% m/m, weaker than expectations of +0.7% m/m.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jun non-farm payrolls (expected +180,000, May +38,000) and Jun unemployment rate (expected +0.1 to 4.8%, May-0.3 to 4.7%), (2) May consumer credit (expected +$16.000 billion, Apr +$13.416 billion), (3) G-20 trade ministers meeting in Shanghai, and (4) USDA weekly Export Sales.

Russell 1000 companies reporting earnings today: none.
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.

Equity conferences this week include: none. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Molson Coors Brewing (TAP -1.40%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at Bryan Garnier & Cie with a 6-month price target of $110.

GrubHub (GRUB +0.78%) was rated a new 'Outperform' at Wedbush with a 12-month price target of $40. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Transocean Ltd (RIG +0.50%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Hold' at Cananccord Genuity. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

McDonald's (MCD +0.24%) said it sees a Q2 pretax charge of $235 million, or 20 cents a share, on refranchising and G&A programs along with the move of its corporate headquarters.

United Technologies' (UTX +0.58%) Pratt Unit was awarded a contract by the U.S. Navy valued at $1.5 billion for 99 total engines for the Martin F-35Lightning II aircraft.
The Gap (GPS -0.73%) climbed 4% in after-hours trading after Retail Metrics reported that Jun comparable same-store-sales were up +2% y/y, better than expectations of down -3.6% y/y.

PriceSmart (PSMT -2.90%) fell over 4% in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 EPS od 55 cents, well below consensus of 70 cents.

Capital One Financial (COF +1.00%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from 'Neutral' at D.A. Davidson with a price target of $76.

WD-40 (WDFC +0.28%) slid over 3% in after-hours trading after it cut its view on 2016 revenue to $378 million-$383 million from an April 7 estimate of $385 million-$394 million.
The $360 million punitive award in the trial alleging defects in Johnson & Johnson's (JNJ -0.11%) hip implants was cut to $10 million after a Texas judge applied a cap on punitive damages.

Barracuda Networks (CUDA +3.40%) jumped 15% in after-hours trading after it raised guidance on fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS to 54 cents-59 cents from an April 26 estimate of 45 cents-50 cents.

Roche Holding AG (RHHBY -0.15%) said it received FDA approval for its test for human papillomavirus that can be used with cervical cells obtained for a Pap test for use with SurePath Preservative Fluid.

Eleven Biotherapeutics (EBIO -3.45%) surged over 20% in after-hours trading after it said its IND application for EDI-031 for the treatment of ocular diseases has become effective. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Thursday 7 July 2016

US Senate Bill Would Force Red Cross to Open Books to Outside Oversight-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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07  July 2016 

Legislation introduced in the Senate today would open the American Red Cross to outside oversight that it has long resisted. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The bill was introduced by Sen. Charles Grassley, R-Iowa, following a lengthy investigation by his staff that raised questions about the charity's spending after the 2010 Haiti earthquake and documented how Red Cross leaders resisted an earlier congressional inquiry. Grassley launched his probe in response to reporting by ProPublica and NPR.

Grassley's American Red Cross Transparency Act, would amend the group's congressional charter to allow unfettered access to its records and personnel by the Government Accountability Office, the investigative arm of Congress. The Red Cross operates as a private nonprofit but was created by Congress over 100 years ago and has a mandated role to work alongside the federal government after disasters.

As we've documented, Red Cross CEO Gail McGovern tried unsuccessfully to kill a GAO investigation into the group's disaster response efforts. The charity's pushback, which included questioning the GAO's authority, helped to curtail the scope of the investigation.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

McGovern later told Grassley's investigators that the Red Cross "gave [the GAO] everything that they asked for" 2013 a statement the investigators later concluded was not true.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

If Grassley's bill becomes law, the GAO would have the power to obtain documents from the Red Cross related to its internal governance and disaster response programs. If the Red Cross were to resist such a request, the GAO would have the power to subpoena the charity and take it to court, if necessary. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The bill would also take steps to empower the Red Cross' internal investigative unit, which Grassley's staff found to be severely undermanned and underused. The unit has just three staffers and requests for more have gone unfulfilled.

The bill would remove the unit from under the authority of the general counsel and put it under the control of the charity's board of governors.

A Red Cross spokesperson said in a statement the charity "will review the proposed legislation and make our views known to Congress at the appropriate time."


A similar bill was introduced last year in the House by Rep. Bennie Thompson, D-Miss. That bill also would expand GAO's access to the Red Cross and also would require a series of audits of the charity's finances and disaster response work. At the time, the Red Cross released a statementsaying that there were already "existing mechanisms in place to evaluate our disaster response." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

New income disclosure norms to be applicable from April 1, 2016-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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07  July 2016 
New Delhi: The Income Computation and Disclosure Standards (ICDS) shall be now applicable from April 1, 2016 instead of April 1, 2015, since tax payers might have already filed income tax return without incorporating compliance with the ICDS, the Finance Ministry said here on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“It has been decided that the ICDS shall be applicable from April 1, 2016. The notification to this effect will be issued shortly,” a statement from the Finance Ministry said here on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“Some of the tax payers might have filed their return of income and obtained Tax Audit Report without incorporating the compliance with the ICDS and related disclosures in the absence of the revised Tax Audit Report,” the statement said.

Subsequent to notification of the ICDS, a number of representations were received which were examined by an Expert Committee. The Committee has recommended amendments to the notified ICDS and also issuance of clarification in respect of certain points raised by the stakeholders, it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“The revision of ICDS as recommended by the Committee, is under consideration. The revision of the Tax Audit Report is also being made for ensuring the compliance with the provisions of ICDS and for capturing the disclosures mandated by the ICDS,” it added. 


Pound hovers around 31-year low-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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07  July 2016 

London: The pound sterling on Thursday continued to hover around 31-year lows in Asian trading as more UK property funds suspended withdrawals in the wake of Britain voting to exit the European Union (EU). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, the Japanese yen was rising for a third day against the dollar as investors bought into the currency, seen as a safe haven for their money, BBC reported.

It has strengthened by nearly 5 per cent since the UK voted to exit the EU on June 24.

The renewed jitters over the fallout from the Brexit vote have also extended a rally in gold prices. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The precious metal is trading near its highest price in more than two years.

On Wednesday, UK and European stock markets fell sharply and the pound hit a fresh 31-year low as Brexit fears rattled markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Another three UK property funds said they were suspending trade after a surge in withdrawals following the UK's vote to leave the EU. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In Thursday's Asian trade the pound remained lower against the dollar, trading at around $1.2918. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Asian stock markets are trading mixed after the latest Federal Reserve minutes showing that prospects of an interest rate hike have diminished.