Saturday, 1 April 2017

Friday, 31 March 2017

Nifty, Sensex may go sideways – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31 March 2017

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might give up some gains. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound and made small gains during the week. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Negative global cues and selling pressure witnessed in metal, automobile, and healthcare stocks subdued the Indian equity markets during the mid-afternoon trade session on Monday. The global markets were spooked as US President Donald Trump's failure to overturn his predecessor Barack Obama's healthcare reforms and increased concerns over his ability to implement economic policies. Following this, the US futures markets and the dollar, as well as the Asian markets, fell to lower levels. The European markets, too, opened broadly negative. There were 676 advances, 997 declines and 74 unchanged. There were 1,135 advances, 1,666 declines and 233 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

While the global cues and stock market technicals have been unfavourable leading to losses in Monday’s trading, the news developments through the day on the macroeconomic front have been favourable indicating long term bullish trends.

Public sector banks moved higher in the hope that the government would either announce a new package to deal with its toxic assets or give the bankers more power to force recovery from the borrowers. Global oil prices which were expecting a US growth lead rally also fell even as production cartel talks resumed. The Indian rupee, however, hit an 18-month high as FIIs (foreign institutional investors) inflows continue to rise both in the equity and debt segment. In terms of investments, provisional data with exchanges showed that (FIIs) purchased stocks worth Rs577.88 crore, whereas the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) divested scrip worth Rs594.48 crore. On Tuesday, most IT (information technology) sector stocks traded down due to profit booking at higher levels, while banking sector stocks witnessed good recovery from lower levels in the second half of the session. Pharma, auto, oil-gas, power and telecom sector stocks traded with bearish sentiments throughout the session, whereas textile, media-entertainment and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) sector stocks traded with mixed sentiments. Sector-wise, the S&P BSE metal index plunged by 307.81 points, followed by the oil and gas index, which dipped by 146.25 points, and the healthcare index, which fell by 124.22 points. On the other hand, the S&P BSE consumer durables index surged by 178.13 points, the FMCG index inched up 6.46 points, and the power index was a tad up by 3.03 points.

Indian equity markets traded in the positive territory during the mid-afternoon trade session on Wednesday as positive global cues, along with a strong rupee, buoyed investors' sentiments. Besides, the market sentiments were lifted as Finance Minister Arun Jaitley moved the Central Goods and Services Tax (CGST) Bill, 2017, along with three other GST Bills for consideration of and passage by the Lok Sabha. However, with the near month March 2017 derivatives contract expiry on Thursday, some caution prevailed. Buying was witnessed in banking, capital goods and consumer durables stocks. There were 702 advances, 964 declines and 94 unchanged. 

Positive global cues and declining USD/INR supported the bullish sentiment. FMCG (fast moving consumer goods), power, cement and telecom sector stocks witnessed good strength, while IT (information technology), pharma, auto, oil-gas, textile and media-entertainment stocks traded with mixed sentiments. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian equity markets on Thursday closed the day's trade in the green for the third consecutive session, although volatility was witnessed on the day of the March 2017 derivatives contract expiry. The key indices closed in the green on the back of a strong rupee and buying witnessed in consumer durables, banking and capital goods stocks. On expiry of March 2017 series contracts in the futures and options (F&O) segment, healthy roll-overs were witnessed to April 2017 series, which uplifted investors' sentiments. Besides, the passage of the Goods and Services Tax Bill 2017 -- a major tax reform in the country, continuous inflow of funds and healthy buying in consumer durables, banking and capital goods sectors aided the key indices to hold on to their gains. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

March derivative series rollover pulled up the market which already had favourable fundamental push behind it. Fund flows continued to be strong despite expectation that there could be withdrawal on account of the taxation treaty signed by the Indian government with Singapore and Mauritius. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Despite a strong rupee attracting funds into the domestic markets, the upward movement of key Indian equity indices was hampered by negative global cues and they closed on a flat note on Friday. Selling pressure was witnessed in banking and IT (information technology) stocks. The BSE market breadth was bullish -- with 1,613 advances and 1,131 declines.  There were 938 advances, 698 declines and 86 unchanged. The market is expected to remain on a flat-to-small upward trajectory in the next one week.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Interest on small savings schemes cut by 0.1%-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31 March 2017

The government on Friday lowered the interest rate on small savings schemes, including Public Provident Fund (PPF), by 0.1 per cent for April 1-June 30 period.

Accordingly, interest rates for small savings schemes are to be notified on quarterly basis.

"The government has announced revised rates of interest on various small savings schemes for the first quarter of the financial year 2017-18. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"To bring such rates somewhat closer to market rates, the government has decided to effect a reduction of 0.1 percentage point (10 basis points) in interest rates across the board in all the schemes except the Post Office Savings Account, which has been left untouched," the Finance Ministry said here in a statement.

For the April-June quarter, the interest rate on PPF has been reduced to 7.9 per cent from the earlier 8 per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The current revision of rates is reflective of the government's commitment to calibrated reform in the financial sector to ensure better interest rate transmission," the statement said.

Interest rate on Kisan Vikas Patra has been reduced to 7.6 per cent (which will mature in 113 months) from the earlier 7.7 per cent (with maturity in 112 months). 

The Sukanya Samriddhi Account Yojana interest rate has been reduced to 8.4 per cent from the earlier 8.5 per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The interest rates on five-year Recurring Deposit, Senior Citizens Savings Scheme, Monthly Income Scheme and National Savings Certificate have also been reduced by 0.1 per cent each. 

"Certainly, senior citizens and pensioners, who depend heavily on interest income, will be the affected lot," chartered accountant Pritam Mahure told IANS.

Only the interest on savings deposits has been retained at 4 per cent. 


Interest on one-year, two-year, three-year and five-year time deposit has also been lowered by 0.1 per cent each.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's April-February fiscal deficit at 113.4% of full year target-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31 March 2017

India's fiscal deficit in the April-February period of the current fiscal touched Rs 6.06 lakh crore or 113.4 per cent of Budget estimates for 2016-17 - as against 107.1 per cent of Budget in the same period of last year, government data showed on Friday.

As per the Controller General of Accounts, the deficit, or the gap between expenditure and revenue for the entire current fiscal, has been pegged at Rs 5.34 lakh crore, as compared to the deficit of Rs 5.35 lakh crore in the last fiscal as per revised estimates of 2015-16.

Tax revenue during the period in question yielded Rs 8.85 lakh crore, or 81.3 per cent of the estimates, while total receipts, from revenue and non-debt capital, during the fiscal's first eleven months, were 11.47 lakh crore, or 77.5 per cent of the estimates for the current year.

Total expenditure during the April-February period was Rs 17.53 lakh crore, or 87 per cent of the entire fiscal's estimate. Of the total expenditure, money spent on plan was over Rs 4.81 lakh crore, while non-plan expenditure came to more than Rs 12.71 lakh crore.

The revenue deficit during April-February was over Rs 4.44 lakh crore, or 142.8 per cent, of the estimates. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The government had set the target of restricting the current fiscal's deficit at 3.5 per cent of the GDP or to Rs 5.34 lakh crore.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Concerns over lower tariff inconsistent with policy: Telecom regulator-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31 March 2017

The telecom regulator said on Thursday that the Telecom Commission's contention that reduced tariffs by telecom service providers (TSP) is leading to reduced revenues for the government and poor health of the sector may be inconsistent with the principles of public policy.

In response to a letter by the panel, the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) said the economic purpose of telecom regulation is aimed to maximize the overall economic growth of the sector and increase productivity. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


While addressing the Telecom Commission's concern that there is a declining trend in the collection of revenue solely due to the tariff war triggered by promotional offers by service providers, TRAI said: "The Authority would like to inform you that he tariff regulatory regime established by TRAI since 1999 has promoted competition in the sector and has facilitated all TSPs including new entrants in the sector to offer competitive tariff to their consumers."The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

BSE StAR MF processes about a million orders in March 2017-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31 March 2017

The BSE StAR MF distribution platform, the largest distribution framework for Indian mutual fund (MF), has received nearly million orders in a single month of March 2017, says the bourse. 

"Total value of these orders is over Rs15,000 crore and the platform received orders of over Rs1 lakh in a single day on 10th, 15 & 27 March 2017," BSE said in a release.

Commenting on the development, Ashishkumar Chauhan, MD & CEO, BSE said, "The platform has seen tremendous growth since inception and has been progressing Year on Year. Due to its unique features, we see more and more members joining the platform. We are certain that BSE StAR MF will revolutionize the framework the of Indian mutual fund industry."

BSE StAR MF witnessed a growth in orders to Rs65.5 lakh in FY16-17 from Rs33 lakh in FY15-16. In terms of value, it has grown to Rs75,000 crore in FY16-17 from Rs44,000 crore in FY15-16. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


BSE StAR MF has become the largest distribution platform for Mutual Funds in India in 2016-17. At present, there are 3,400 registered members and around 1,350 members have actively participated.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 30 March 2017

Nifty, Sensex on a continued uptrend – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 March 2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex uptrend might continue. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and made small gains over Wednesday. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Indian equity markets on Thursday closed the day's trade in the green for the third consecutive session, although volatility was witnessed on the day of the March 2017 derivatives contract expiry. The key indices closed in the green on the back of a strong rupee and buying witnessed in consumer durables, banking and capital goods stocks. 

Amid volatility on the day of the March 2017 derivatives contract expiry, Indian equity markets closed on a bullish note for the third consecutive trade session on Thursday. On expiry of March 2017 series contracts in the futures and options (F&O) segment, healthy roll-overs were witnessed to April 2017 series, which uplifted investors' sentiments. Besides, the passage of the Goods and Services Tax Bill 2017 -- a major tax reform in the country, continuous inflow of funds and healthy buying in consumer durables, banking and capital goods sectors aided the key indices to hold on to their gains. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

March derivative series rollover pulled up the market which already had favourable fundamental push behind it. Fund flows continued to be strong despite expectation that there could be withdrawal on account of the taxation treaty signed by the Indian government with Singapore and Mauritius. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Continuous inflow of foreign money has caused the rupee to strengthen. Rupee traded at 64.94, below the psychologically important 65-mark. On the currency front, the Indian rupee closed on a flat note at 64.92 against a US dollar from its previous close of 64.90-91 to a greenback. The day witnessed substantial buying activities by the domestic institutional investors (DIIs). Provisional data with exchanges showed that DIIs bought scrip worth Rs 1,701.79 crore, while foreign institutional investors (FIIs) purchased stocks worth Rs 67.97 crore. Banking stocks continued to outperform, with realty (stocks) also following suit on consideration of rationalisation of waiver of stamp duty for affordable housing projects. The equity markets witnessed a firm trend throughout the session and bulls took good control of the benchmark CNX Nifty index mainly due to continuation of strong buying. IT (information technology) sector stocks faced resistance at higher levels due to profit booking. Banking stocks remained volatile on higher levels profit booking. Pharma, auto, textile, media-entertainment, aviation sector stocks and most FMCG sector stocks traded with firm sentiments. Sector-wise, the S&P BSE consumer durables index surged by 206.17 points, followed by the banking index, which rose by 199.08 points, and the capital goods index, which edged up by 89.02 points.

External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj on Thursday said if the US puts restrictions on H1B visas, immigration or business outsourcing, it will not just hurt Indians but will be bad for the US too. "We are not just talking with the US authorities (on H-1B visas and related issues), we are talking with logic and concrete statistics," Swaraj told the Rajya Sabha during the Question Hour. "This is a mutually beneficial partnership, and we have told them (the US) that if you snap these ties, it will not hurt us alone, it will also hurt you," she said. She said that the Indian information technology (IT) companies operating in the US are generating jobs there and contributing to the US exchequer. "We have told them that it is not true that Indians are stealing their jobs. On the contrary, Indian companies in US are generating employment for the Americans. So far, Indian companies have given direct employment to 1.56 lakh Americans and supportive jobs to 4.11 lakh," she said. She added that between 2011 and 2015, the Indian companies have made an investment of $2 billion, paid taxes worth $20 billion and Indian workers have contributed $7 billion to the social security scheme. Besides, she added, the American companies in India are earning $27.5 billion annually. The Minister informed the House that the Foreign Secretary and the Commerce Secretary visited the US between February 28 and March 3 this year and held meetings with cabinet ministers and senior functionaries of the new US administration as well as with the Congressional leadership. "We have emphasized that Indian skilled professionals have contributed to the growth and development of the US economy and have helped the US retain its competitive edge and innovation advantage," she said. Swaraj said that the Trump administration has so far not announced any comprehensive policy changes impacting non-immigrant work visa programmes. "There are 13 bills for consideration before the US Congress. Four of them are about H1B visas, six bills pertain to outsourcing business to India and three bills are about immigration. But none of them has been passed so far. "The government of India is closely monitoring the developments that may have a bearing upon the movement of Indian workers and professionals to the US. We remain in active dialogue with the US administration and the US Congress at senior levels to safeguard the interests of Indian workers and professionals," she said. The Indian stock markets are likely to react negatively to this development. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Parliament passes Finance Bill, Rajya Sabha amendments rejected-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 March 2017

The Finance Bill 2017 was passed by Parliament on Thursday with the Lok Sabha rejecting the amendments proposed by the Rajya Sabha. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Bill, being a Money Bill, will now go to the President for approval before becoming law.

Since the Lok Sabha did not accept any of the recommendations of the Rajya Sabha, the Money Bill is deemed passed by both houses in the form in which it was passed by the lower house.

Replying to a short debate on the amendments in the Lok Sabha, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said: "I can't accept five amendments suggested by Rajya Sabha to the Finance bill."

As per the provisions of Article 109 of the Constitution, the Rajya Sabha has limited powers with respect to draft legislations that are tagged by the government as Money Bills. The Lok Sabha is free to either accept or reject all or any of its recommendations.

Embarrassing the government, the Rajya Sabha on Wednesday suggested five amendments to the Finance Bill 2017 and returned it to the Lok Sabha. 

The Bharatiya Janata Party-led central government does not have a majority in the Rajya Sabha.

The upper house discussed the bill for over five hours spread across two days with the Congress and other opposition parties taking exception to several provisions of the Finance Bill, stating that the government had sought to amend 40 laws in one go.

During discussion on the Bill, the opposition accused the government of "smuggling in" provisions to bypass the Rajya Sabha as the upper house has limited powers on Money Bills.

Congress leader Deepender Singh Hooda raised the issue of the amendment that gives Income Tax officers right to search a premise without citing a reason.

On the electoral funding reforms brought by the government, Hooda said electoral bonds will only increase opacity in funding. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

He also said reducing limit for anonymous donation to Rs 2,000 will not make much difference, and only increase the work for chartered accountants. 

Congress member Kabil Sibal said that some provisions in the Finance Bill 2017 tend to weaken the federal structure of the country, allowing the government to snoop on citizens and instilling fear among the business community. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

CPI-M leader Sitaram Yechury strongly objected to the provision in the bill about use of Aadhaar for filing Income Tax returns (ITR).

"Why are you saying today that Aadhaar is required for me to file my ITR? Why do I have my PAN card at all then?" he asked, adding that if the government wants to make Aadhaar compulsory, it should bring a straightforward bill saying as much.

Congress leader and former Finance Minister P. Chidmabaram said that if "Pentagon can be hacked, how will you (government) protect hacking of Income Tax and bank accounts through Aadhaar?" The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The opposition members also expressed concern over the "removal of cap" on corporate funding of political parties in the name of electoral reforms.


Members also raised concerns over the winding up or merging of several tribunals and the government "single-handedly appointing chairpersons of tribunals deciding business disputes".The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Toyota to recall 2.9mn vehicles over defective airbags-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 March 2017

Japanese carmaker Toyota on Thursday issued a global recall of 2.9 million vehicles over a possible defect in their airbags, company officials said.

The move will affect around 750,000 vehicles sold in Japan, 650,000 in China, 350,000 in Europe, and 1,160,000 in other parts of the world. The vehicles include the RAV4, Yaris, Alphard/Vellfire and Auris models. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The fresh recall comes after consultations between Toyota and various national regulatory authorities, and the investigation carried out by the National Highway Traffic Safety Administration of the US, company officials told Efe news.

The recall order, however, will not affect the US, where over 42 million vehicles have already been recalled over the defective airbags. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The fault, detected in 2014, involves defective inflators in the airbags, which might prevent them from working properly in the event of a crash.


Faulty airbag inflators have been linked to at least 15 deaths throughout the world, 11 of them in the US.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

US Stock Indexes Edge Higher In Early Trading; Oil Rises-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 March 2017

U.S. stock indexes edged higher in early trading Thursday as investors weighed the latest batch of company earnings, deal news and economic data. Financial stocks led the gainers. Energy companies also rose, getting a boost from rising crude oil prices. Real estate companies and other high-dividend paying stocks fell as bond yields headed higher. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
KEEPING SCORE: The Dow Jones industrial average rose 61 points, or 0.3 percent, to 20,720 as of 10:15 a.m. Eastern Time. The Standard & Poor's 500 index added 4 points, or 0.2 percent, to 2,366. The Nasdaq composite index gained 15 points, or 0.3 percent, to 5,912.
FOR SALE: ConocoPhillips jumped 6 percent after the energy company agreed to sell most of its Canadian assets to Canada's Cenovus Energy in a deal valued at $13.2 billion. Its shares gained $2.76 to $48.71. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
DATA DEAL: Extreme Networks surged 20.7 percent after the network infrastructure equipment maker agreed to buy a data center, switching, routing and analytics business from Brocade Communications once Brocade is acquired by Broadcom. Shares in Extreme Networks rose $1.34 to $7.80.
REFRESHING RESULTS: Lindsay vaulted 8.8 percent after the irrigation equipment maker reported better-than-expected quarterly results and a big jump in international sales. The stock gained $7.19 to $88.58. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
BAD STRETCH: Lululemon sank 21.7 percent a day after the yoga clothing company's forecast for the quarter fell well short of Wall Street's expectations. The stock slid $14.40 to $51.90.
FALLING SHORT: Science Applications International tumbled 10 percent after the information technology company's latest quarterly results missed estimates. The company cited a variety of problems, including delays and declines in contract work. The stock lost $8.61 to $77.64.
ECONOMIC SNAPSHOT: The Commerce Department raised its estimate for economic growth in the fourth quarter to 2.1 percent from 1.9 percent, noting that consumer spending increased more than expected. The Labor Department said applications for unemployment benefits dipped slightly last week.
MARKETS OVERSEAS: World stocks were mixed. Germany's DAX edged up 0.2 percent and France's CAC 40 was 0.2 percent higher. Britain's FTSE 100 shed 0.5 percent. Some Asian indexes fell after Chinese authorities tightened liquidity in the financial system of the world's second-largest economy. Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed 0.4 percent, while Tokyo's benchmark Nikkei 225 index lost 0.8 percent. South Korea's Kospi slipped 0.1 percent. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 rose 0.4 percent. Southeast Asian indexes were mixed. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude oil futures were up 27 cents to $49.78 a barrel in New York. The contract rose $1.14 on Wednesday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, was up 15 cents to $52.69 a barrel in London. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
TREASURY YIELDS: Bond prices edged lower. The 10-year Treasury yield rose to 2.40 percent from 2.38 percent late Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 111.27 yen from 111.03 yen on Wednesday. The euro fell to $1.0737 from $1.0760.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions