Saturday, 21 April 2018

Friday, 20 April 2018

Nifty, Sensex close flat on tepid global cues– Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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20 April  2018
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Key equity indices provisionally closed on a flat-to-negative note on Friday tracking weak global cues.
Heavy selling pressure was seen in the banking, metal and capital goods stocks. However, healthy buying in IT and Teck (technology, media and entertainment) stocks restricted further decline during the day.
At 3.30 p.m, the wider Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) provisionally closed at 10,564.05 points -- down 1.25 points or 0.01 per cent -- from the previous close.
The barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE, which opened at 34,434.14 points, closed at 34,415.58 points -- down 11.71 points or 0.03 per cent -- from its previous close.
Sensex touched a high of 34,487.33 points and a low of 34,311.29 points during the day.
The BSE market breadth was bearish with 1,447 declines and 1,169 advances.
On Friday, the top gainers on the BSE were Tata Consultancy Services (TCS), Infosys, Coal India, Wipro and Bharti Airtel, while Yes Bank, ICICI Bank, Tata Steel, Adani Ports and NTPC were among the major losers.
On NSE, the top gainers were TCS, HCL and Infosys and the major losers included Yes Bank, Bajaj Finance and GAIL. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's growth rate highest among BRICS nations-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 April  2018


Growth rate (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India has been recording the highest growth rate amongst the Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa (BRICS) economies, a KPMG report said here on Thursday.

According to the report titled "India Soars Higher", in spite of some reformative steps that slowed the growth momentum in the first quarter of FY18, the 
economy is likely to grow at 7.4 per cent in 2018 -- higher than the advanced economies and the world -- which are at 2 per cent and 3 per cent respectively.

The report highlighted that India's economic stability is further reinforced with its approximately $420 billion (as on February 9, 2018) foreign exchange reserves which provides sufficient cover for almost 11 months of imports for India.

The report -- launched by Law and Justice and Electronics and IT Minister 
Ravi Shankar Prasad at the 12th edition of Mindmine Summit 2018 -- provided insights into the rapidly changing business outlook for India and analysed the progress achieved under several national priority programmes.

"India today is moving towards a period of sustained growth. Reforms such as the bankruptcy code and the Goods and Services Tax and a keen focus on investments in infrastructure are important elements of the foundation for such growth," said Arun M. Kumar, Chairman and CEO, KPMG in India.

"Rising aspirations, the country's young demographics and a vibrant consumer market will make India an increasingly important business and investment destination," he said.

The KPMG report said the next phase of growth in the domestic market, consumer confidence, stability in the macroeconomic fundamentals, structural reforms and flagship initiatives introduced by the Indian government, have now started to gain momentum.

"While some reforms may still be classified as an 'unfinished agenda', a significant volume of work has already been undertaken towards the completion of these tasks, in terms of a conducive policy environment as well as on-the-ground effort," it said.

The report focused on the major flagship initiatives that hold the potential to have a transformational impact on the Indian economy and accelerate India's growth rate.

"India today is setting an example, not just for developing economies, but also developed ones. The CEOs I speak with are interested in India and are of the belief that the country is well on its way towards becoming one of the world's leading investment and business destinations," said Akhil Bansal, Deputy CEO, KPMG in India.

While the Indian economy is at a strong place, the report also pointed out certain imperatives for India to sustain its growth from finding ways to increasing exports, bringing in policy changes with regard to slow labour reforms and making India a global manufacturing hub.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

PE investments soar 76% to USD 4 bn in Mar qtr-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 April  2018


PE portfolio(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


PE investments witnessed a robust 46 per cent jump in deal values at USD 1.3 billion in March, taking the total tally for the first quarter of 2018 to USD 4 billion, up 76 per cent over the same period a year ago, says a report.

According to assurance, tax and advisory firm 
Grant Thornton, there were 59 PE transactions worth USD 1.3 billion in March this year, while in the corresponding period last year it stood at USD 888 million by way of 70 deals.

In the January-March quarter, there were 205 PE transactions worth USD 4.0 billion; while in the same period a year ago, 196 deals involved USD 2.27 billion.

The uptick in deal tally was largely owing to big ticket investments, the report said, adding that eight transactions garnered USD 100 million and above and 11 investments attracted funds in the range of USD 50-99 million each in this quarter, together contributing 70 per cent of PE investment values.

In line with the trends in the last 17 quarters, this quarter was also dominated by investments in startups which contributed to 56 per cent of total investment volumes garnering USD 679 million, the report said.

Fintech attracted significant attention from investors with 20 deals followed by enterprise application and infrastructure and health tech segments.

In the January-March quarter, 
Bigbasket raised its largest fund till date in its Series E funding worth USD 300 million, Swiggy raised its biggest-ever funding round with USD 100 million as part of its Series F funding, Udaan raised USD 50 million, Pepperfry garnered USD 39 million.

Going ahead the deal outlook looks bullish.

"Real estate, start-ups with focus on fintech and foodtech and e-commerce companies are expected to be the sectors of interest for the PE / VC fraternity," Grant Thornton India LLP Director 
Pankaj Chopda said.

Chopda further noted that consolidation of PE portfolio companies followed by follow on funding to improve market penetration and position are the expected trends in PE/VC transactions.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Trump joins Modi in slamming OPEC for ‘artificially’ high oil prices; says ships fully loaded at sea-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 April  2018

US India (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
A lot is happening in the oil world. As oil prices surged to a four-year high, US President Donald Trump joined Prime Minister Narendra Modi in criticising the Organization of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) for ‘artificially’ high oil prices. In an early morning tweet (Washington time), Donald Trump slammed the OPEC, saying that record amounts of oil are “all over the place” and ships are “fully-loaded” at sea. He said that oil prices, which are artificially very high, is not good and will not be accepted.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Last week, Narendra Modi also slammed OPEC, although subtly, and said that efforts to artificially distort prices are self-defeating, and a global consensus must be built for responsible pricing to provide affordable energy to all. The Prime Minister Narendra Modi made the statement at International Energy Forum (IEF) Ministerial meeting in New Delhi, where representatives of OPEC members Saudi Arabia, Iran and Qatar were present in the audience. In fact, India and China were reported to have not only discuss the issue but to deal with the issue together. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Looks like OPEC is at it again. With record amounts of Oil all over the place, including the fully loaded ships at sea, Oil prices are artificially Very High! No good and will not be accepted! The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

OPEC and non-members countries led by Russia are cutting their oil production to increase prices in the international market. They decided to extend cuts in oil output until the end of 2018 from March 2018 earlier, as they battle a global glut of crude after seeing prices halve and revenues drop sharply in the past three years. A report by Reuters said that Saudi wants crude oil price to hit $100 a barrel. The producers are cutting supply by about 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) in an effort to boost the price. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Shares Fall Back On Trade Worries, Tech Outlook-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 April  2018
South korea financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Global shares fell back Friday on worries over trade tensions and tech outlook after a major supplier to Apple forecast continued weak demand for mobile devices. A warning by the head of the IMF over the potential for trade tensions to harm global growth also weighed on sentiment.
KEEPING SCORE: European shares opened mixed with Britain's FTSE 100 up 0.4 percent to 7,355.30 and Germany's DAX down 0.1 percent to 12,555.26. France's CAC 40 edged up 0.1 percent to 5,394.76. Futures indicated a weak start on Wall Street. S&P futures lost 0.2 percent and Dow futures fell 0.3 percent.
ASIA'S DAY: Asian stocks finished lower. Japan's Nikkei 225 finished 0.1 percent lower at 22,162.24, shedding early gains. South Korea's Kospi lost 0.4 percent to 2,476.33 while Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 0.9 percent to 30,418.33. The Shanghai Composite Index slumped 1.5 percent to 3,071.54. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 retreated 0.2 percent to 5,868.80. Stocks in Taiwan, Singapore and Indonesia also declined.
APPLE SUPPLIERS: Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. plunged 6.3 percent in Taiwan after the key Asian Apple supplier gave a lower-than-expected revenue forecast for the second quarter of $7.8 billion-$7.9 billion. The company predicted demand in the mobile sector would remain weak. Other Apple suppliers also traded lower. South Korea's LG Display Co. lost 1.2 percent and Samsung Electronics Co., tumbled 2.2 percent.
ANALYST'S TAKE: Weak guidance from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co., a major supplier to Apple, brewed concerns of weak iPhone demand, dragging technology shares lower, Jingyi Pan, a market strategist at IG in Singapore, said in a commentary. "The corresponding impact would certainly be watched into the Asian session today with the supply chain sprawled across the region."
TRADE: The head of the International Monetary Fund, Christine Lagarde, is urging countries to work out their differences over trade and take advantage of the healthy world economy to reduce debt before the next downturn comes. Speaking as the IMF and World Bank began their spring meeting, Lagarde warned against complacency: "More needs to be done to sustain this upswing and foster long-term growth," she said.
OIL: Benchmark U.S. crude added 1 cent to $68.34 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract lost 14 cents to finish at $68.33 per barrel on Thursday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, rose 6 cents to $73.84 per barrel in London. On Thursday, it rose 30 cents to close at $73.78 per barrel in London.
CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 107.68 yen from 107.38 yen. The euro fell to $1.2296 from $1.2345.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 19 April 2018

Nifty, Sensex in no man’s land – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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19 April  2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were showing signs of topping out for the short-term. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small gains over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 809 advances, 629 declines and 61 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The key Indian equity markets traded in the positive territory on Thursday tracking strong cues from the Asian markets. Buying in the metal, IT (information technology) and capital goods stocks also helped the market sentiment to remain positive. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



Sunil Kant Munjal of Hero Enterprise as wells Anand Burman and Mohit Burman of Burman family have approached the Board of Fortis Healthcare with a binding offer to invest Rs 1,500 crore directly in the company, a company statement said here on Thursday. This offer would replace the original offer made to the Board on April 12, 2018. On April 12, 2018 Hero Enterprise promoted by Sunil Munjal and the Burman family offered to invest Rs1,250 crore directly in Fortis Healthcare, to bail out the cash-strapped company. The improved binding offer, according to Munjal, is "even simpler, more attractive and faster to implement and without any due diligence." This is a joint bid by Hero Enterprise and the Burman family, both of whom have a long-standing presence and interest in the healthcare sector. "We will invest Rs500 crore through preferential issue of equity shares and Rs1,000 crore through preferential issue of warrants," said Munjal in the letter.  "Our upfront investment into the company will be Rs750 crore. This includes Rs500 crore through preferential issue of equity shares and Rs250 crore, being the amount equivalent to 25 per cent of the consideration for the warrants at the time of allotment," he added. The additional Rs1,000 crore after the initial infusion of Rs500 crore will come at a valuation of Rs161.60 per share. Fortis Healthcare shares closed at Rs148.45, up 2.28% on the NSE.

Reliance Industries (RIL) and British oil major BP on Thursday jointly announced the sanction of development work on the "Satellite cluster" deep-water gas fields in their Krishna Godavari (KG) D6 block on the eastern offshore. According to a statement here, the "Satellite cluster" is the second of three projects in block KG D6, being operated by the RIL-led consortium that includes BP and the Canada-headquartered Niko Resources.  "The companies are moving forward to develop the block's discovered deep-water gas fields in an integrated series of projects, bringing new gas production for India," it said.  "The 'Satellite cluster' is the second of three projects in the Block KG D6 integrated development. The first of the projects, development of the 'R-Series' deep-water gas fields, was sanctioned in June 2017.  "Together the three projects will develop a total of about three trillion cubic feet of discovered gas resources with a total investment of Rs40,000 crore ($6 billion).  "They are expected to bring a total of 30-35 million cubic metres (one billion cubic feet) of gas a day new domestic gas production onstream, phased over 2020-2022," it added. RIL shares closed at Rs942.30, up 0.43% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



Reliance Infrastructure Limited EPC has received the Letter of Award (LOA) from Rail Vikas Nigam Limited (RVNL) for its maiden railway project worth Rs 774 crore for the construction of third rail line between Jimidipeta and Gotlam on East Coast Railway on Engineering, Procurement and Construction (EPC) basis, the company said on Thursday. The 105 km-long line will run in Andhra Pradesh and Odisha. The scope of work includes civil, track, electrification, signalling and telecom works of the rail line. The work also includes construction of 13 railway stations and staff quarters. Reliance Infrastructure shares closed at Rs465.05, up 0.86% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



China and the US have still not held any bilateral talks over trade frictions, China's Ministry of Commerce said on Thursday. The US submitted a file to the World Trade Organisation (WTO) on April 17 claiming that they are willing to negotiate over the trade dispute with China, Xinhua news agency reported. The move follows WTO procedures, which order members to respond to a request for settlement from another member within ten days, said MOC spokesperson Gao Feng. Gao reiterated that the US Section 232 and Section 301 measures to slap tariffs on Chinese products seriously violate WTO rules. He said the two sides have not yet held any bilateral talks over the US Section 301 investigation and the proposed US tariff list on Chinese goods. In the light of the trade war situation between US and China, the long term bullish trends of the Indian stock markets have been adversely affected. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:
 
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Housing prices down by avg 7% in Jan-Mar 2018-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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19 April  2018
Housing Prices Down(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Housing prices fell by an average 7 per cent during January-March in nine major cities over the previous quarter as developers cut property rates to boost their sluggish sales, according to real estate research and analytics firm PropEquity.

Unsold housing stock fell by 2 per cent to 5,95,074 units during March quarter 2018 from 6,08,949 units in the previous quarter due to increase in sales volume.
Housing sales rose by 8 per cent during the quarter at 40,694 units from 37,555 units in the previous quarter (October -December 2017)

The nine cities covered in the report are Gurgaon, Noida, Mumbai, Kolkata, Pune, Hyderabad, Bengaluru, Thane and Chennai.

"...weighted average prices in the quarter fell 7 per cent from Rs 6,762 per sq ft to Rs 6,260 per sq ft suggesting aggressive pricing by the developers to ignite home buyers demand," PropEquity said in a report.

On supply, it said the new home launches jumped 48 per cent across 9 cities in the first quarter to 25,970 units from 17,550 units in the previous quarter as most of the developers were able to acclimatize themselves with RERA regulations and migration to GST compliances. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



"We expected realty market to start stabilising first quarter onwards and this is what we are witnessing now. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



"With this spurt of new launches in the first quarter, we expect the trend to continue with developers focusing on mid segment and affordable housing segment to take advantage of PMAY interest subsidy benefits," PropEquity founder and CEO Samir Jasuja said.

He expected that ready or about to be completed units would be sold more quickly than the newly launched units.

City-wise, housing sales in Bengaluru rose by 45 per cent to 8,349 units, while Chennai saw 71 per cent rise to 3,101 units during January-March 2018.
Sales were up in Mumbai by 12 per cent to 4,197 units, 31 per cent in Noida at 1,108 units, 7 per cent in Pune at 8,509 units, 16 per cent in Kolkata at 2,543 units.
However, Gurgaon witnessed 60 per cent fall in sales at 1,007 units, while housing sales declined 11 per cent in Hyderabad at 2,631 units and 6 per cent in Thane at 9,249 units.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions