Saturday, 30 December 2017

The equity can give the best return in the long term-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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30th December  2017

ELSS vs PPF(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Friday, 29 December 2017

Nifty, Sensex Headed Higher – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 December  2017

I had mentioned in last Friday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were regaining bullish mode. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound through the week and closed on Friday with small weekly gains over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, the Indian stock markets were closed for trading on account of Christmas. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Tuesday, the major indices were range-bound and closed with small gains over last Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 882 advances, 632 declines and 49 unchanged. It was notable that the S & P BSE Sensex had an intra-day high in Tuesday’s trading, which was above 34,000.

Shares of Reliance Communications (RCOM) zoomed after Reliance Group's Chairman Anil Ambani on Tuesday announced his plan to reduce the company's debt by Rs25,000 crore to Rs6,000 crore -- closing almost 30% higher at Rs21.33. Around 3.15 p.m., RCOM's stocks augmented by 36.05% to trade at Rs22.19 per share on the BSE. At one point it had risen by over 41%. Addressing a press conference, Anil Ambani said the company has achieved full resolution of RCOM's debt restructuring. RCom had close to Rs45,000 crore debt on its books in October 2017, Ambani said. Ambani said that the company would close all the transactions by January-March 2018. In a press conference, Ambani said the debt would be recast by remonetisation with zero write-off to lenders and bankers.

Software major Infosys Ltd announced that it had competed the buyback of 11.3 crore equity shares of Rs5 face value at Rs1,150 per share for Rs13,000 crore. "The post buyback public announcement is being made in compliance with Regulation 19 (7) of the Securities and Exchange Board of India (Sebi) Regulations, 1998," said the IT major in a regulatory filing on the BSE. The company's maiden buyback of 11,30,43,478 equity shares was made under the tender offer route from November 30 and closed on December 14. Among the retail investors, who sold shares more than 1% of the total, were Rohan Murthy, the son of co-founder N.R Narayana Murthy, with 13,92,682 and Sudha Gopalakrishnan , wife of another co-founder Kris Gopalakrishnan, at 15,00,000. She held the largest share among the promoters, with 2.14% shareholding. 

On Wednesday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets made new intra-day highs and closed with small losses over Tuesday’s close. Positive Asian indices, along with buying in healthcare stocks, lifted the key Indian equity indices to trade at new high levels during the mid-morning session on Wednesday. According to market observers, a surge in the stocks of healthcare majors like Sun Pharma and Dr Reddy's Lab added to the upward rally of the key equity indices. But the gains were not sustained and the major indices closed with small losses by the end of trading. On the NSE, there were 573 advances, 951 declines and 24 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Wednesday, RCOM continued to gain post the debt recast plan announced on Tuesday. Pharma sector gained in line with some positive news for Sun Pharma and Glenmark getting approvals from US Food and Drug Administration, pointed out market analysts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Thursday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound and closed with small losses over Wednesday’s close. Key Indian equity indices on Thursday traded on a flat note during the mid-afternoon session as investors remained cautious on the day of futures and options (F&O) expiry. Metals and capital goods stocks traded with gains, while investors booked profits in banking and auto sectors on the BSE market breadth. On the NSE, there were 894 advances, 795 declines and 309 unchanged.

State Bank of India said it has received board approval for raising Rs8,000 crore to meet Basel III capital adequacy norms through various instruments, including masala bonds. The state-run lender said it has time till March 2018 to raise the funds required to meet the Basel III capital adequacy norms put in place to guard against a repeat of the situation following the 2008 US financial crisis. "The Central Board at its meeting accorded approval to raise additional tier 1 (AT 1) capital by way of issuance of Basel III compliant debt instruments in USD and/or INR to the tune of Rs8,000 crore from domestic/international market including masala bonds," the SBI said in a stock exchange filing. 

In a move expected to coax banks to lower their deposit rates, the government reduced the interest rates on small saving schemes, including National Savings Certificates (NSCs), Public Provident Fund (PPF) and Kisan Vikas Patra (KVP), by 0.2% for the fourth quarter of the fiscal (January-March). The PPF and NSCs will earn 7.6% interest from January 1, 2018, while KVPs will earn even less (7.3%), a Finance Ministry notification said on Thursday.

After market hours on Thursday, Reliance Jio Infocomm (RJIL), a subsidiary of Reliance Industries Limited, announced signing of a "definitive agreement" for the acquisition of specified assets of Reliance Communications (RCOM) and its affiliates. Consequent to the agreement, Jio or its nominees will acquire assets under four categories -- towers, optic fibre cable network, spectrum and media convergence nodes -- from RCOM and its affiliates, Jio said in a statement. RCOM's assets which were put up for monetisation include 122.4 MHz of 4G Spectrum in the 800/900/1800/2100 MHz bands, over 43,000 towers, around 1.78 lakh km of fibre with pan-India footprint and 248 media convergence nodes, covering five million sq ft used for hosting telecom infrastructure. Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs921.05, down 0.44% on the NSE, on Friday.

Key Indian equity indices on Friday closed on a higher note with buying in auto, consumer durables and IT (information technology) stocks. On the NSE, there were 873 advances, 670 declines and 30 unchanged.


The Lok Sabha on Friday passed a Bill that seeks to amend the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) to plug potential loopholes and prohibit "certain persons", such as wilful defaulters, from submitting resolution plans to let them take charge of the company. The Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (Amendment) Bill, 2017 was passed after a reply by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley. It will replace an ordinance promulgated earlier. The IBC, being implemented by the Corporate Affairs Ministry, became operational in December 2016 and provides for a time-bound insolvency resolution process. The changes proposed are expected to help streamline the process of selecting buyers for stressed assets. These legislative reforms are expected to improve the banking system and consequently help in a long term bullish trend in the stock markets.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Fiscal deficit breaches FY18 target at November-end-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 December  2017
India's fiscal deficit (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's fiscal deficit at the end of November breached the target and touched 112 percent of the budget estimate for 2017-18 mainly due to lower GST collections and higher expenditure. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
In absolute terms, the fiscal deficit -- the difference between expenditure and revenue -- was Rs 6.12 lakh crore during April-November 2017-18, according to the data by the Controller General of Accounts (CGA).
During the same period of 2016-17, the deficit stood at 85.8 percent of that year's target. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
For 2017-18, the government aims to bring down the fiscal deficit to 3.2 percent of GDP. Last fiscal, it had met the target of 3.5 percent of GDP.
The CGA data showed that the government's revenue receipts were at Rs 8.04 lakh crore in the eight months to November, which work out to 53.1 percent of the budget estimate (BE) of Rs 15.15 lakh crore for 2017-18.
The receipts, comprising taxes and other items, were at 57.8 percent of the target in the year-ago period. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The Goods and Services Tax (GST) collections slipped to their lowest in November as rates were cut on dozens of goods to make the new national sales tax regime more acceptable.
Total collections under the GST in November slipped for the second straight month to Rs 80,808 crore, down from over Rs 83,000 crore in the previous month.
The GST was implemented from July 1, 2017 to amalgamate the excise duty, service tax, VAT and several other indirect taxes.
As per the data, the government's total expenditure was Rs 14.78 lakh crore at November-end, or 68.9 percent of the budget estimate. It was 65 percent of the budget estimate a year ago. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Capital expenditure during April-November of 2017-18 was higher at 59.5 percent of the BE compared to 57.7 percent in the same period of the previous fiscal.

Revenue expenditure, including interest payment, was 70.5 percent of the BE during April-November 2017-18. This compares with 66.1 percent a year earlier.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government to soon bring stringent consumer protection law-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 December  2017
 
consumer protection law The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The Union government is preparing to bring a more stringent consumer protection law that has provisions to safeguard consumers' interests against misleading advertisements among other things, Union Consumer Affairs Minister Ram Vilas Paswan said on Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The current Consumer Protection Act was enforced in 1986, and over the years with changing technology, market landscape and consumer aspirations the law has lost its effectiveness. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Narendra Modi government had introduced a new consumer protection Bill in the Lok Sabha in August 2015 but it was referred to a Standing Committee after discussion. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Responding to the issue of misleading advertisements and adulteration in edibles raised by the members in the Rajya Sabha, Paswan told the House that the government has reworked the Bill keeping in mind "all the suggestions and reports of the Standing Committee" and the Cabinet has also cleared the new draft last week. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Now the new Bill has been cleared by the Cabinet and we will introduce it very soon in the Lok Sabha, and subsequently in the Rajya Sabha. We have put in great effort in preparing this Bill, it will address issues of misleading advertisements such as those claiming to regrow hair or lose weight etc in these many days et al, among other things," Paswan said.

Earlier, Chairman M. Venkaiah Naidu related a personal experience of how he was once duped by an unscrupulous advertiser that sold medicine to lose weight. On complaint to the Ministry, it was found that the advertiser was based in the US.

The Consumer Protection Bill, 2015 was found to have many lacunae such as it empowered the central government to supervise the functioning of, and issue binding directions to the district, state and national consumer redressal commissions. This may affect the independence of these quasi-judicial bodies, many felt. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Also, in order to claim product liability, a claimant was required to establish four kinds of defects in the product, the injury caused from it, and that it belonged to the manufacturer. The claimant must also establish that the manufacturer had knowledge of such a defect.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

China Offers Tax Break To Keep Investors After US Changes-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 December  2017
China tax (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

China is responding to Washington's tax overhaul by offering foreign companies a break on Chinese taxes in a bid to retain investment.
The measure announced late Thursday is Beijing's first major reaction to the U.S. decision to cut corporate tax rates. It follows a flurry of promises by communist leaders to spur growth in the slowing, state-dominated economy by opening more industries wider to foreign companies.
Foreign companies will be exempt from withholding taxes on profits they re-invest in industries specified by Beijing, the Finance Ministry and tax agency announced. It is retroactive to Jan. 1, 2017, meaning companies would receive a refund on taxes paid this year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Beijing wants to "attract foreign investors after a host of countries unveiled similar measures to lure foreign and domestic investment," the official Xinhua News Agency said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The exemption will apply to companies that re-invest profits in industries cited in government investment catalogues, the announcement said. Those include solar and wind power, "green farming" and other fledgling fields in which Beijing is trying to develop technology. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Supporters of the U.S. changes enacted this month say it will encourage investment in the United States. Governments including Canada and private sector analysts have warned that could draw money away from their economies.
It was unclear whether China's tax break was significant enough to influence investment decisions in emerging industries in which foreign companies complain they are shut out of promising areas or face pressure to hand over technology to potential Chinese competitors.
China has long been among the top global destinations for investment but foreign enthusiasm is cooling. Surveys by business groups show companies are shifting emphasis to other Asian economies seen as more profitable or less restrictive. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development ranks China 59th out of 62 countries in openness to foreign direct investment.
Chinese official data show foreign investment into this country grew just 1.9 percent in the January-October period over a year earlier but jumped up in November. However, Chinese economists say that is a poor measure of foreign interest because the bulk of it is money brought home by Chinese companies and disguised as foreign investment to gain tax breaks.

China is a key market for autos, aircraft, smartphones, cosmetics and other goods. But Beijing bars foreign companies from fields including finance, telecoms and utilities. In others, companies are required to work through local partners that might become competitors.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Stocks Mostly Rise On Final Trading Day Of 2017-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 December  2017
South korea financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Global stock indexes were mostly higher on Friday, putting them on track to close out the year with strong gains. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.9 percent to a record high of 7,687.77, meaning it gained 7.6 percent during 2017 despite heightened Brexit uncertainties. The fall in Britain's pound has largely helped push up the FTSE 100, which is dominated by multinationals that make most of their money outside the country. Germany's DAX, however, fell 0.5 percent to 12,917.64, leaving it with a gain of 12.8 percent this year. France's CAC 40 was still trading, down 0.1 percent to 5,333. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Futures augured an upbeat start on Wall Street. Dow futures added 0.3 percent while S&P futures rose 0.4 percent.
ASIA'S DAY: Most Asian markets finished with modest gains. Japan's Nikkei 225 finished 0.1 percent lower at 22,764.94. The Tokyo benchmark index rose 19 percent in 2017. China's Shanghai Composite Index added 0.3 percent to 3,307.17. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index gained 0.2 percent to 29,919.15. But Australia's S&P/ASX 200 went south. It fell 0.4 percent to 6,065.10. South Korean stock markets closed on Thursday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ANALYST'S TAKE: Looking back at the year of 2017, "markets have been disturbingly sanguine about risks," such as North Korean nuclear threats and the U.S. government's new foreign policy to put American interest first, said Mizuho Bank Ltd. in a daily commentary. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
OIL: Benchmark U.S. crude rose 24 cents to $60.08 per barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It rose 20 cents on Thursday. Brent crude, which is used to price international oils, gained 13 cents to $66.57 per barrel in London.
CURRENCIES: The dollar declined to 112.58 yen from 112.88 yen while the euro strengthened to $1.1994 from $1.1945.

BITCOIN: The price of bitcoin dipped 1.4 percent to $14,184 by early afternoon in Europe, according to the tracking site CoinDesk. The virtual currency has been highly volatile in recent weeks, hitting a record high before sliding sharply last week.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday, 27 December 2017

Nifty, on course to head higher if today’s lows hold – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December  2017

I had mentioned in Tuesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were headed higher. The major indices of the Indian stock markets made new intra-day highs and closed with small losses over Tuesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Positive Asian indices, along with buying in healthcare stocks, lifted the key Indian equity indices to trade at new high levels during the mid-morning session on Wednesday. According to market observers, a surge in the stocks of healthcare majors like Sun Pharma and Dr Reddy's Lab added to the upward rally of the key equity indices. But the gains were not sustained and the major indices closed with small losses by the end of trading. On the NSE, there were 573 advances, 951 declines and 24 unchanged.

RCOM continued to gain post the debt recast plan announced on Tuesday. Pharma sector gained in line with some positive news for Sun Pharma and Glenmark getting approvals from US Food and Drug Administration, pointed out market analysts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian manufacturing activity in December improved marginally over the previous month taken over a yearly period, while the index fell more sharply on a month-wise comparison, a key macro data showed on Tuesday. State-run State Bank of India's (SBI) Composite Index is an indicator of manufacturing activity that helps estimate periods of contraction and expansion. "The yearly SBI Composite Index for Dec'17 is at 53.1 (Moderate Growth), compared to 53.0 (Moderate Growth) in Nov'17. The M-o-M (month-on-month) index declined to 50.6 (Low Growth) in Dec'17, compared to 51.2 (Low Growth) in Nov'17," according to the bank's latest Ecowrap report. "This indicates a possible slowdown in IIP (Index of Industrial Production - government data) growth in the next couple of months," said the research report authored by bank Chief Economic Adviser Soumya Kanti Ghosh. These factors are likely to be an impediment for the bulls taking control of the Indian stock markets in the medium term.

Jindal Steel and Power Ltd (JSPL) has successfully completed a 250 tonne Basic Oxygen Furnace (BOF) marking the completion of its six million tonne per annum (MTPA) integrated steel project at Angul in Odisha. With the completion of the new steel making facility, JSPL will utilise the full capacity of its four MTPA Mega Blast Furnaces, the largest in India. The BOF will also enable the company to achieve significantly higher cost effectiveness and efficiencies for steel making. 
The 250 tonne Basic Oxygen Furnace will produce three million tonne of high-grade steel per annum. For the first time in India, JSPL has deployed the innovative Dry Gas Cleaning System, which is superior in terms of environment-friendliness as compared to the Wet Gas Cleaning Plant. "Adoption of Dry Gas Cleaning System reiterates JSPL's commitment to green technology," D.K. Saraogi, JSPL's Executive Director and Angul Plant head, said. The company’s shares closed at Rs194.65, up 1.27% on the NSE.

Renewable energy solutions provider Suzlon Group said it has commissioned its first operational offshore meteorological station in the Arabian Sea to collect wind data for two years. In a statement issued here, the group said it was working on offshore wind energy technology and has initiated techno-commercial feasibility study. Suzlon, along with its associates, under the guidance from the National Institute of Ocean Technology (NIOT), Chennai, and approvals through the National Institute of Wind Energy (NIWE), Chennai, had installed its first Operational Offshore LiDAR (Light Detection and Ranging)-based wind measurement station in the Arabian Sea, southwest of Jakhau Port in Kutch, Gujarat, the statement said. The offshore wind data collection platform has been installed at about 16 km from the shore in the territorial waters of Gujarat. The unmanned met station will be powered by solar energy and will be remotely monitored for maintenance needs. Engineers will visit the site for general inspection periodically and cater to the servicing needs in case of a breakdown. Additionally, an onshore mast of 150m has also been installed for validation/ correlation purposes. Suzlon Energy shares closed at Rs15.15, up 1% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

US home prices kept rising across the country in October, indicating that the housing sector continued steady growth. According to a fresh report released by S&P Dow Jones Indices Tuesday, the S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price NSA Index reported a 6.2-per cent-annual-gain in October, up from 6.1% in the previous month. The 10-City Composite annual increase came in at 6.0%, up from 5.7% in the previous month, while the 20-City Composite increased 6.4% year-over-year, up from 6.2% in the previous month. Positive macro-economic data has given an impetus to a bullish trend in the US stock markets and consequently the Asian stock markets.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India at 5th position in high NPA ratio across the globe-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December  2017
 
NPA (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
India’s non-performing assets (NPAs) are growing rapidly and the country is at fifth spot in terms of high NPAs across the world, says a research note. 

In the report, CARE Ratings says, “India features very high up the order and is lower than only Portugal, Italy, Ireland and Greece. Quite clearly, the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) and National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT) have its task cut out to lower these numbers and make the system more robust.”
 
NPA (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
CARE Ratings had looked at the levels of NPAs in various countries to view how India stands in comparison. The study takes information from IMF to maintain comparability in concepts used in calculating the same. The time period for various countries is different depending on the availability of data and hence has been mentioned. The NPA ratios for countries has been categorized under four headings: very low NPAs which are less than 1%, low level 1-2%, medium 2-5% and high levels above 5%. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Here are highlights from the Report…

·         The four major economic drivers in the developed world, UK, US, Japan and Germany had NPA ratios less than 2%. 
·         Within the emerging market economies (EMEs), China, Argentina and Chile had low ratios of between 1-2%. 
·         Within the developed countries, France had a higher NPA ratio of 3.41%. 
·         Brazil and South Africa, which are part of the BRICS Group of nations, had moderately high ratios of 3.69% and 2.83%, respectively. 
·         India’s NPA ratio (which excludes the restructured assets which are around 2% higher than NPA) is one of the highest in the group. 
·         The countries with higher NPA ratios than India are part of the PIIGS group- Portugal, Greece, Italy, Ireland.
·         Spain had a lower number at 5.28%.


The seriousness of the NPA problem can be gauged by the absolute level of impaired assets in the system. “Ever since the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had spoken of asset quality recognition (AQR) in 2015, there was an increase in the pace of recognizing these assets. It is not clear whether all have been recognised as yet, though judging from the trends witnessed so far, it does appear that the cleaning up operation on this score would be completed by March 2018. From there on, it would be more a case of incremental NPAs being generated on account of other factors rather than one of recognition by banks,” the report concluded. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions