Friday, 22 December 2017

Nifty, Sensex Regain Bullish Mode – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 December  2017

I had mentioned in Friday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might move up. The major indices of the Indian stock markets saw volatile trading through the week and finally closed on Friday with small weekly gains of around 1.50% over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets soared on the BJP (Bharatiya Janata Party) win in the Gujarat elections, after crashing by more than 200 points in the initial few minutes. On the NSE, there were 906 advances, 773 declines and 325 unchanged. Sectorally, pharma, public sector banks, auto, telecom and metals indices gained the most, while Realty slipped marginally into the red. Market volumes were high as is expected on such days. A break of 10,384-10,430 band could take the Nifty sharply in the upward direction, observed market analysts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Embattled Indian miner Adani Group parted ways with mining services giant Downer and said it would build and run the Carmichael coal mine, Australia's biggest coal venture in central Queensland's Galilee Basin, on its own, a media report said. Adani in a statement on Monday revealed that both parties had cancelled a conditional $2.6 billion contract as part of Adani's cost-cutting drive following last week's decision by the Queensland state government to veto an A$900 million federal government loan to Adani. 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Tuesday and closed with gains over Monday’s close. The BJP win in Gujarat elections continued to keep the major indices on a long term upward trajectory. According to market observers, a surge in auto, consumer durables and metals stocks, coupled with favourable global cues, kept investors' sentiments buoyed. On the NSE, there were 1,284 advances, 417 declines and 288 unchanged. 

Bharti Airtel through its subsidiaries has entered into a definitive agreement with Millicom International Cellular under which Airtel Rwanda will acquire 100% equity interest in Tigo Rwanda, a company statement said here on Tuesday. 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were volatile on Wednesday and scaled some intra-day highs. But the gains were not sustained and the major indices closed Wednesday on a flat-to-negative note. On the NSE, there were 1,017 advances, 671 declines and 303 unchanged. According to market observers, a surge in auto, consumer durables and capital goods stocks, coupled with favourable global cues, kept investors' sentiments buoyed in the early part of the day’s trading. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

HDFC Bank Ltd said on Wednesday it would raise up to 240 billion rupees ($3.75 billion) to fund growth by selling shares to investors, including a preferential issue to its parent HDFC Ltd. HDFC Bank, the most valuable in the sector with a market capitalisation of more than $76 billion, would issue up to 85 billion rupees worth of shares to mortgage lender HDFC Ltd on a preferential basis, while the remainder would be raised via modes including American Depositary Receipts and a share sale in India to institutional investors. 

Key Indian equity indices on Thursday closed on a flat-to-negative note on the back of broadly negative global cues, along with selling in auto stocks. Automobile major Mahindra and Mahindra -- which plunged over 3% -- was the top loser on the BSE followed by Axis Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Hindustan Unilever and Bajaj Auto. Telecom stocks like Reliance Communications (RCom) and Idea Cellular closed higher after a Delhi court acquitted all the accused in the alleged multi-thousand crore rupee 2G spectrum scandal. The BSE market breadth remained bullish as 1,701 stocks advanced as compared to 1,014 declines. On the NSE, there were 991 advances, 540 declines and 44 unchanged. 

Software major Tech Mahindra on Thursday announced a partnership with global management consulting firm Gao Feng Advisory Company to set up a joint Artificial Intelligence (AI) lab in Shanghai. The lab would work in the areas of futuristic digital technologies including AI chatbot Services, smart process automation, Neuro-linguistic programming (NLP), image recognition and processing, Machine Learning (ML) and Predictive Analytics, according to Tech Mahindra management. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Friday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound and closed with gains over Thursday’s close. Buying was seen in auto, IT (information technology) and banking stocks. The BSE market breadth was bullish as 1,613 stocks advanced as compared to 944 declines. On the NSE, there were 966 advances, 730 declines and 299 unchanged.


The US Congress finally passed the Republican bill to overhaul the US tax code over three decades, sending it to President Donald Trump's desk for signature, amid concerns that the change would widen income inequality and swell public debt. "By cutting taxes and reforming the broken system, we are now pouring rocket fuel into the engine of our economy," Trump said. Some companies said that they would spend the savings from lower corporate taxes on higher wages and new construction.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

IMF says demonetisation, GST brought short-term pain but long-term benefits: Report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 December  2017
Growth (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Rejecting claims that goods and services tax (GST) and demonetisation of old Rs 1000 and Rs 500 notes have permanently slowed down the Indian economy, the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has said that these are just “short-term pain”.
In an interview to  CNBC-TV18, an IMF official said that demonetisation and GST has brought “short-term pain but long-term benefits”. He said that IMF expects India's growth to be 6.7 percent this year and 7.4% next year.
The Goods and Services Tax (GST) was implemented in India from July 1 this year. It brings the economy under a uniform tax regime
The Indian government scrapped Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 currency notes on November 8 last year, claiming that the move would eradicate black money, fake currency and corruption. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Speaking about India's growth rate vis-a-vis the rest of the world, he said, “India not growing as fast as the rest of world is an aberration.”
India's economic growth pace picked up to 6.3 percent in the three months ending in September, halting a five-quarter slide as businesses started to overcome teething troubles after the bumpy launch of a Goods and Services Tax (GST). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The IMF is slated to come out with an update of its projections of India's growth rate along with the rest of the world in January.
Meanwhile, in its Financial System Stability Assessment (FSSA) of India report, released yesterday, IMF said that India's financial sector is facing considerable challenges with high non-performing assets and slow deleveraging and repair of corporate balance sheets testing the resilience of the banking system and holding back growth. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Recently, the US-based Moody's upgraded India's sovereign rating after a gap of 13 years to Baa2, with 'stable' outlook, from Baa3 earlier, citing improved growth prospects driven by economic and institutional reforms.

This was followed by S&P Global Rating, which kept India's sovereign rating unchanged at BBB- with stable outlook saying vulnerabilities stemming from low per capita income and high government debt balances strong GDP growth.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI voices concern over NPAs, poor credit growth-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 December  2017
 
RBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
In its report on the trends and progress of the banking sector in India in FY16-17, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has listed stressed assets of public sector banks (PSBs) and low credit growth as two of the many major challenges facing the sector in the coming years. This Report presents the performance and salient policy measures relating to the banking sector during the past year. 

The report points out that while subdued profits were posted by the public sector banks, the PSBs continued for the second year in a row to languish under the heavy burden of non-performing assets (NPAs), for which the RBI has initiated damage-control measures such as large-scale bank recapitalisation plan in October 2017 and the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC) in 2016.

The enactment of the IBC in May 2016 effectively empowered the RBI to issue directions to any banking company or banking companies to initiate insolvency resolution in respect of a default under the provisions of the IBC.

Against the gloomy scenario of the PSBs, the report records the upbeat performance of the  co-operative institutions, which include urban co-operative banks (UCBs), the apex-level long-term rural credit co-operatives, the short-term rural credit co-operatives comprising state co-operative banks (StCBs) and district central co-operative banks (DCCBs). Primary agricultural credit societies (PACS), the grass-root level tier of the short-term co-operative credit structure, however, continued to incur losses.

The report notes the policy measures initiated in the payment and settlement systems to ensure robust and customer friendly payment systems, under which the Master Directions on Pre-paid Payment Instruments (PPIs) were issued. 

Reinforcing its commitment to financial inclusion, RBI operationalised small finance banks and payments banks during the fiscal.

Healthy growth of loans and advances triggered an improvement of the balance sheets of the non-banking financial companies (NBFCs), whose profitability, however, plunged due to the deterioration in asset quality. 

To address the issues highlighted by the report, the RBI has set for itself several goals in the coming year, which include developing robust accounting standards for banks with the aim of closing gaps in accounting practices and promoting differentiated banking and exploring scope for its expansion to wholesale and long-term financing. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


While intensifying the focus on promoting digitisation and managing technology-enabled financial services, RBI also plans to roll out effective measures to manage cyber-security risks with the aim of strengthening resilience of the financial system.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government to procure 10,000 electric vehicles-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 December  2017
 
Electric Vehicles (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Energy Efficiency Services Ltd (EESL) plans to procure 10,000 electric vehicles (EVs) for government use, the first round of bids for which has already been conducted by the state-run company, Parliament was told on Thursday.

In a written reply to the Lok Sabha, Power Minister R.K. Singh said that bids for EVs were invited through open tender, while contracts have been awarded to Tata Motors and Mahindra & Mahindra for respectively supplying 250 and 150 of these environment-friendly vehicles. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The supply agreements include a five-year annual maintenance contract.

"EESL will provide these vehicles on lease to replace the existing petrol and diesel vehicles taken on lease by various government organisations and charge lease rent from these firms," R.K. Singh said. 

EESL announced last month that it will invite bids for supply of a second lot of 10,000 EVs around March-April next year.

Meanwhile, the Society of Manufacturers of Electric Vehicles (SMEV) on Thursday urged the government to reduce the Goods and Services Tax on batteries used in electric vehicles from the current highest tax rate of 28 per cent.

"Under the new GST regime, lithium-ion batteries used in EVs have become significantly costlier because of the 28 per cent GST when sold separately as against the GST rate charged when sold with the vehicles," an SMEV statement said here. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Higher tax on batteries is impacting retail sales of electric two-wheelers as dealers generally do not maintain an equal inventory of vehicles and batteries," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The association also urged the government to launch the next phase of the Faster Adoption and Manufacturing of Electric Vehicles scheme for a longer period of six years and its time-bound implementation. 


"Due to high ownership cost of EVs in the present scenario, the approach to Demand Incentives and Viability Gap Funding needs to be changed and the existing subsidy module needs to be enhanced for the next 6 years as compared to the previous short term periods of 6 months to 1 year," the statement said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Shares Mixed In Subdued Pre-Holiday Trading-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 December  2017

Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Shares are mixed, with benchmarks slipping in Europe after a day of gains in most Asian markets. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 index added 0.2 percent to 22,893.06 following Cabinet approval of a budget plan that includes record defense outlays and an extra 2.9 trillion yen ($25.6 billion) in stimulus spending.
KEEPING SCORE: Germany's DAX slipped less than 0.1 percent to 13,107.59 while the CAC 40 in France fell 0.1 percent to 5,382.36. The FTSE 100 in Britain gained 0.1 percent to 7,608.42. The Dow future contract gained 0.1 percent and S&P 500 futures also were up 0.1 percent, auguring gains on Wall Street.
THE DAY IN ASIA: Hong Kong's Hang Seng index added 0.7 percent to 29,578.01 and the Kospi in South Korea climbed 0.4 percent to 2,440.54. The Shanghai Composite index slipped 0.1 percent to 3,297.06 and the S&P ASX 200 in Australia gained 0.2 percent to 6,069.70. India's Sensex climbed 0.5 percent to 33,907.43. Shares in Southeast Asia were mixed.
ANALYST'S PERSPECTIVE: With markets closed for Christmas at the outset, "A week that contains little from the Western world may find seasonal factors taking the rein, particularly the likelihood of profit-taking as the quarter and the year come to an end," Jingyi Pan of IG said in a commentary.
JAPAN DEFENSE SPENDING: Prime Minister Shinzo Abe's Cabinet on Friday approved a 5.2 trillion yen ($46 billion) defense budget to bolster ballistic missile defense capability amid escalating threats from North Korea. The proposed spending would be the sixth annual increase under Abe, who ended a decade of military budget cuts after taking office in 2012. It is part of a 97.7 trillion ($860 billion) national budget for 2018, also the biggest ever.
ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude gave up 24 cents to $58.12 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract added 27 cents to settle at $58.36 a barrel on Thursday. Brent crude, which is used to price international oils, lost 17 cents to $64.25 per barrel. It gained 34 cents to close at $64.90 a barrel in London. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 113.40 Japanese yen from 113.33 yen. The euro weakened to $1.1851 from $1.1875.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 21 December 2017

Nifty, Sensex Likely to Give up Some Gains – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 December  2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex uptrend was intact. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and ended flat over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 991 advances, 540 declines and 44 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Key Indian equity indices on Thursday closed on a flat-to-negative note on the back of broadly negative global cues, along with selling in auto stocks. Automobile major Mahindra and Mahindra -- which plunged over 3% -- was the top loser on the BSE followed by Axis Bank, Maruti Suzuki, Hindustan Unilever and Bajaj Auto. Telecom stocks like Reliance Communications (RCom) (up 4.05%) and Idea Cellular (up 3.37%) closed higher after a Delhi court acquitted all the accused in the alleged multi-thousand crore rupee 2G spectrum scandal. The BSE market breadth remained bullish as 1,701 stocks advanced as compared to 1,014 declines. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Software major Tech Mahindra on Thursday announced a partnership with global management consulting firm Gao Feng Advisory Company to set up a joint Artificial Intelligence (AI) lab in Shanghai. The lab will work in the areas of futuristic digital technologies including AI chatbot Services, smart process automation, Neuro-linguistic programming (NLP), image recognition and processing, Machine Learning (ML) and Predictive Analytics. Tech Mahindra shares closed at Rs488.05, down 0.99% on the BSE.

Banks will need to take a "haircut" of up to 60% on their bad loans to resolve the issue of massive non-performing assets (NPAS) accumulated in the Indian banking system, which is holding up higher economic growth, rating agency Crisil said on Wednesday. According to the American agency S&P-owned Crisil, tepid investment growth and the high level of NPAs are the two uncertain factors clouding the outlook on India achieving a Gross Domestic Product growth rate of over 7 per cent in the next fiscal. "Banks will need to take a haircut of up to 60% to resolve the issue of NPA," Crisil Chief Analytical Officer Pavan Aggarwal said at an editors’ meet organised here by the company. "The top 50 NPA accounts constitute 50% of all bad loans of banks in the country and account for Rs4,25,000 crore of NPAs," he said. The S & P BSE Bankex closed at 28,881.19, down 0.26% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) announced a price increase of up to 2% effective from the "beginning of next year". Commenting on the Price increase, HMIL Director (Sales and Marketing) Rakesh Srivastava said: "We have been absorbing the increase in input and material costs but now are constrained to increase the prices up to 2%." On Tuesday, Nissan Group of India had announced an upward price revision across its Nissan and Datsun range of models by up to Rs15,000 effective January 1. Last week, Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M), Volkswagen India and Maruti Suzuki India had said they will increase prices. The S& P BSE Auto Index closed at 26,458.18, down 0.76% on the BSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Fiscal deficit of FY17 only marginally higher than government estimates-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 December  2017
 
Heritagegold (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The fiscal deficit for FY17 was merely Rs3,525 crore more than what the government has given in its revised estimates in the union budget for FY17-18. Hence, fiscal deficit as % of GDP in FY17 is 3.54% compared to 3.52% estimated by the government in the budget, says  the financial audit report of the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) of Union Government, authored by Dr. Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Adviser, State Bank of India (SBI).

“We did analyse the fiscal deficit numbers provided by CAG and the government for the past 15 years. Before FY05-06 the audited figures always remained within the budgeted figure. This trend reversed after FY05-06 and the differences between both numbers bulged significantly. The trend was correcting since FY11-12 but for FY15-16. For FY16-17, the CAG numbers and budget (revised) numbers are not much different. This indicates that there has been a significant improvement in fiscal architecture in addition to the fiscal consolidation that the government has been doing,” notes the report.


In the earlier years (particularly in FY07-09), the divergence between CAG figures and the budget is due to the lack of transparency in the disclosure of receipts and expenditures. For example, during any year, expenditures that needed to fall under major heads were classified under minor heads. Another aspect of opaqueness is the high degree of aggregation. This aspect has been brought forth by the 12th Finance Commission which has specified eight sets of separate statements along with the budget.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

HDFC Capital creates USD1 billion platform for affordable housing-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 December  2017
 
Housing (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
HDFC  Capital  Advisors  Ltd,  a  wholly  owned subsidiary of HDFC Ltd, has successfully  achieved  the  initial close of its second affordable housing fund,  the HDFC  Capital  Affordable  Real Estate Fund – 2 (H-CARE-2).  This will be  combined  with  the  HDFC Capital Affordable Real Estate Fund – 1 (H-CARE-1)  raised  in  2016  to  create  a $1 billion platform targeting
Affordable and mid-income residential projects in India’s leading 15 cities, the company says in a release. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Deepak  Parekh,  Chairman  of  HDFC  Ltd said, “These funds will play a significant  role  in  progressing  towards  the  ‘Housing for All by 2022’ objective  of  the  government.  Affordable housing will not only act as a growth driver for the real estate industry in India but will also be a catalyst for GDP growth. The current lack of flexible, long-term capital is one of the key challenges facing developers of affordable and mid income housing   in India.  The H-CARE funds will focus on providing leading developers access to financing at attractive rates and on flexible terms.” The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The platform, headed by Mr Vipul Roongta - CEO, HDFC   Capital Advisors Ltd, will provide long term, equity and mezzanine capital to marquee developers at the land and pre-approval stage for the development of affordable and mid-income housing in India. This aligns with the  Government  of  India’s  goal  to  increase  overall  housing  supply, including  ‘Housing  for  All  by 2022’ initiative. The primary investor in both H-CARE-1 and H-CARE-2 is a wholly-owned subsidiary of the Abu Dhabi Investment Authority (ADIA).

“Affordable housing is a critical component of quality urban infrastructure as also a growth driver for the real estate industry in India. H-CARE 1 and H-CARE 2 will look to partner  with developers to form long term platforms focusing on affordable and mid income housing, ” says Keki Mistry, Vice Chairman & CEO – HDFC Ltd said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


According to Renu Sud Karnad, Managing Director of HDFC Ltd these funds will help address the demand-supply gap in affordable housing in India. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions