Friday 17 March 2017

Nifty, Sensex may pause for breath – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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17 March 2017

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex continued to be range-bound. The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied during the week and closed with a gain of over 2% during the week. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Indian equity markets surged on Tuesday (the market was closed on Monday on account of Holi), tracking positive state election results for ruling party at the Centre. Bearish USD/INR futures prices also supported the firm sentiments of the markets. Almost all sector stocks traded with firm sentiments tracking over all buying activities in Indian equity markets. On the NSE, there were 944 advances, 523 declines and 75 unchanged. On the BSE, there were 1,703 advances, 1,124 declines and 218 unchanged.

India's annual rate of inflation based on wholesale prices rose to 6.55% in February 2017 from 5.25% in the previous month, official data showed on Tuesday. According to the Wholesale Price Index (WPI) data released by the Commerce and Industry Ministry, the annual inflation rate was (-)0.85%  in February 2016. A rise in inflation could divert some fixed income investments into the stock markets and show higher trading volumes over a period of time.

US stocks wavered and ended mixed, as Wall Street mainly awaited a possible interest rate hike from the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday. Traders generally anticipated the Federal Open Market Committee to raise interest rates at the conclusion of its two-day monetary policy meeting later this week. Market expectations for a March rate hike were around 95.2%, according to the CME Group's FedWatch tool. A rise in interest rates could divert some funds of foreign institutional investors from India to developed countries.

Selling pressure in IT (information technology) and Teck (technology, media and entertainment) stocks, coupled with disappointing macro-economic data pulled the Indian equity markets lower on Wednesday. Besides, investors were cautious ahead of the US Federal Open Market Committee's meet later in the evening on whether or not to raise interest rates. However, the rupee was strong. On the NSE, there were 790 advances, 661 declines and 63 unchanged. On the BSE, there were 1,426 advances, 1,384 declines and 187 unchanged.

Asia's oldest bourse BSE on Tuesday launched futures on S&P BSE Sensex 50 index which will help investors to achieve portfolio diversification. "The market participants would be able to take a long-term view on the underlying. Introduction of additional indices will also lead to increased participation in the index futures market," it said in a statement. The index is designed to measure the performance of the top 50 largest and liquid stocks in the exchange's Large and Mid Cap by float-adjusted market capitalisation. Further, index futures contracts will lead to better price discovery and will be useful in hedging and risk management tools. According to the exchange, it will also take market towards a multi-product environment. "The index is diversified index as it represents each key economic sector identified by bourse's sector model covering approximately 53.9% of total market capitalisation of the exchange listed companies as of October 30, 2016," it added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Positive global cues, a strong rupee and healthy buying in metals, capital goods and consumer durables stocks, brought a cheer to the Indian equity markets on Thursday. The key indices closed with gains of more half a per cent each, well absorbing the 25 basis points (bps) rate hike by the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday for the second time in three months.  The Indian economy is strong enough to absorb the impact of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the government said on Thursday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



On Friday, the major indices were range-bound and closed with marginal losses over Thursday’s close. As many as 29 lakh debit cards, which were connected to Hitachi's switch, came under malware attack last year, Parliament was informed on Friday. "As reported by commercial banks, 29 lakh cards used at ATMs that were connected to switch of Hitachi were subjected to malware attack," Minister of State for Finance Santosh Kumar Gangwar said in a written reply in the Lok Sabha. However, the successful attempts of misuse of compromised cards reported to the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) by banks was only 3,291, he said. The S & P BSE Bankex closed at 24,151.13, down 0.46%. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Notice of breach of privilege against SBI chief-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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17 March 2017

The opposition on Friday moved a notice of breach of privilege of the Maharashtra assembly against Arundhati Bhattacharya, Chairperson of State Bank Of India, for her comments on farm loans waiver. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Leader of Opposition in the assembly, Congress's Radhakrishna Vikhe Patil, moved the notice under the Maharashtra Legislature's Section 273, addressed to Speaker Haribhau Bagade.

In the notice, Vikhe Patil said that in recent times there has been a spate of farmland suicides across the country and 8,000 farmers have ended their lives in the past two years in Maharashtra alone. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The people of Maharashtra have been demanding a complete farm loans waiver package and the issue has been repeatedly raised in the legislature in the past few days. In Uttar Pradesh, the BJP has assured it will take a decision on loans waiver in the very first cabinet meeting," Vikhe Patil said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Under these circumstances, he pointed out that Bhattacharya's public comments that such a measure "would disturb the credit discipline among the borrowers, they would keep expecting more such waivers in future and even those (future) loans would remain unpaid" was tantamount to rubbing salt in the farmers' wounds.

Vikhe Patil said the SBI chief was "a public servant" and not "a policy-maker" for the country or the state. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Besides, he said her comments were beyond her jurisdiction since any decision on waiving off farm loans can be taken only by the legislature and by her comments she had insulted the Maharashtra legislature. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Keeping these aspects in view, he urged the Speaker to take further steps.

Vikhe Patil's move came a day after the opposition parties trolled Bhattacharya for her comments and demonstrated outside the SBI headquarters. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The opposition on Thursday demanded an apology to the farmers failing which they threatened to move a notice of breach of privilege against the SBI chief.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

UBI to get Rs 418-crore capital from government-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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17 March 2017

State-run United Bank of India on Friday said the central government will infuse Rs 418 crore capital in the bank as a part of turnaround-linked capital infusion plan.

"The exchange (Bombay Stock Exchange) is hereby informed that the bank has received a communication from the central government...informing inter alia capital allocation of Rs 418 crore as a part of turnaround-linked capital infusion plan," the lender said in a filing to the BSE.


Last September, the bank had received Rs 608 crore from the central government through preferential allotment of equity shares following the announcement of capital infusion of Rs 22,915 crore towards the recapitalisation of 13 public sector banks during 2016-17.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Shares Mixed Ahead Of G-20 Finance Meeting In Germany-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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17 March 2017

 
Global markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global markets were mixed Friday as investors awaited a meeting of finance and economic ministers of the Group of 20 industrial countries. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: France's CAC 40 lost 0.1 percent in early trading to 5,007.66, while Germany's DAX fell 0.5 percent to 12,028.09. Britain's FTSE 100 inched up nearly 0.1 percent to 7,418.84. U.S. shares were set to drift lower with Dow futures down 0.1 percent and S&P 500 futures 0.2 percent lower.
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 edged down 0.4 percent to finish at 19,521.59. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 0.2 percent to 5,799.60 and India's Sensex was up 0.3 percent at 29,683.29. South Korea's Kospi gained 0.7 percent to 2,164.58. Hong Kong's Hang Seng edged 0.1 percent higher to 24,309.93, while the Shanghai Composite shed nearly 1.0 percent to 3,237.45.
G-20 POWWOW: Finance leaders from the G-20 industrial and emerging economies are meeting Friday-Saturday in the southern German resort town of Baden-Baden. The first G-20 finance meeting since tough-talking Donald Trump was elected president, it's likely to focus on concerns over protectionism and currencies. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

THE QUOTE: "Normally the G-20 serves up a vacuous statement on free trade, etc. that most of its members completely ignore themselves, before they all head of for a nice lunch and photos at a nice resort somewhere," Jeffrey Halley, a senior market analyst at OANDA, said in a commentary. "This meeting has the potential to be more heated so to speak, with some very militant senior members of the new Trump administration in attendance and looking to shake the global trade tree. Lunch may have to wait." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. rose 6 cents to $48.81 a barrel. It had slipped 11 cents to settle at $48.75 per barrel Thursday, the eighth drop in the last nine days. Brent crude, which is used to price international oils, slipped 7 cents to $51.67 a barrel. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


CURRENCIES: The euro rose to $1.0768 from $1.0726 in Asia, while the dollar slipped to 113.32 yen from 113.40 yen. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

China, Saudi Arabia Sign $65 Billion In Cooperation Deals-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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17 March 2017


Cooperation Deals (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Saudi Arabia's King Salman met with China's premier on Friday, a day after the two nations signed a memorandum of understanding on investment cooperation valued at $65 billion.
The landmark agreement aims to boost joint efforts in fields including energy, investment, finance, culture and aerospace, part of Saudi Arabia's drive to develop a growth strategy less dependent on oil.
Beijing meanwhile is rolling out a massive trade and investment initiative across Central Asia and the Middle East called "One Belt, One Road" that sees the desert kingdom as a regional linchpin.
Despite the eye-catching sum noted in the memo, the actual value of such commitments is usually much smaller once projects begin. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Saudi Arabia had been China's biggest supplier of imported crude oil before being overtaken by Russia last year, and the kingdom's state-owned oil producer, Aramco, is a partner with state-owned China Petroleum & Chemical Corp. The two operate a refinery in Fujian province along with other Chinese projects. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The signing of the agreement, which involves 35 separate projects, followed talks Thursday between Salman and President Xi Jinping, during which the Chinese leader said results of their burgeoning cooperation had already "surpassed our expectations."
Security ties between the two have also grown significantly, with the Saudi air force deploying Chinese unmanned attack drones and the two militaries holding joint counter-terrorism exercises in western China. Chinese navy vessels have also visited the Saudi port of Jeddah as part of increasingly active maneuvers in the Gulf of Aden. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, China is also a close partner of Saudi Arabia's arch rival Iran, and has backed the government of President Bashar al-Assad in the Syrian conflict, while Saudi Arabia has insisted on Assad's ouster and has supported the Syrian opposition, including Islamic militant groups.
The 81-year-old Salman's visit is part of a monthlong swing through Asia. Accompanied by a 1,500-strong retinue of businessmen, princes and support staff in close to a dozen aircraft, he has already visited Japan, Indonesia, Malaysia and Brunei. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


He was to travel next to the Maldives, but postponed that visit because of the spread of swine flu in the Indian Ocean island nation, according to the president's office. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 16 March 2017

Nifty, Sensex to head higher – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 March 2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex remained firm. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small gains over Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Positive global cues, a strong rupee and healthy buying in metals, capital goods and consumer durables stocks, brought a cheer to the Indian equity markets on Thursday. The key indices closed with gains of more half a per cent each, well absorbing the 25 basis points (bps) rate hike by the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday for the second time in three months.  

The Indian economy is strong enough to absorb the impact of the US Federal Reserve's interest rate hike, the government said on Thursday. "Indian markets well placed to absorb US Fed rate hike. Gradual approach in future increases augurs well for emerging markets," India's Economic Affairs Secretary Shaktikanta Das said in a tweet, a day after the US Fed hiked lending rates for the third time since the 2008 global financial crisis, with the American job market strengthening and the control of inflation rising toward its target. The US Fed on Wednesday raised its key interest rate by 25 basis points (bps), making its third rate hike since the financial crisis and the second time in three months. In December 2016, the US Fed increased its benchmark rate by 25 bps in the first rate hike in 2016 and just the second in a decade. The first was in December 2015. "In view of realised and expected labour market conditions and inflation, the central bank decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 25 basis points to 0.75%-1.0%," the US Fed's policy-making committee said in a statement released after its two-day meeting in Washington. The committee did not indicate any plans to accelerate the pace of monetary tightening. Further rate increases would only be "gradual", it said. Indian equity markets reacted positively and the key indices opened higher on Thursday.  

Commenting on the development, State Bank of India's Chief Economic Adviser Soumya Kanti Ghosh said its impact on India "will be muted partly because the results of UP elections have altered the view of country risk for India beyond 2019."  "Though the currency can appreciate in the short term, rupee is expected to settle at Rs 66.5-67.5 per dollar at the end of 2017. However, this view is subjected to position taken by other central banks in response to the US Fed rate hike."  "The fallout of present rate hike is already divergent with Bank of Japan maintaining a status quo and Peoples Bank of China indicating a tightening stance," Ghosh said in a report.  Based on the analysis, currency markets are expected to be stable and foreign institutional investors are not likely to either flood the Indian market with investments or withdraw in a hurry.

India's exports revived for the sixth straight month, as the country's merchandise shipments overseas reported a double-digit growth during February, official data showed on Wednesday. According to data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the exports grew by 17.48% to $24.49 billion from $20.84 billion worth of merchandise shipped out during February 2016. However, the country's imports during the month under review increased by 21.76% to $33.38 billion from $27.41 billion worth of merchandise which were shipped out in during the corresponding month of last year. Consequently, the trade deficit during February reduced to $8.89 billion from $9.84 billion reported for the month before. On a year-on-year (YoY) basis, the trade deficit stood at $6.57 billion during same month of 2016. "The growth in exports is positive for USA (5.61%), EU (1.68%) and Japan (10.87%) but China has exhibited negative growth of (-6.20%) for December 2016 over the corresponding period of previous year as per latest WTO statistics," said a Commerce Ministry release. Cumulatively for the April-February period, exports rose marginally by 2.52% in dollar terms at $245.4 billion, as against exports of $239.3 billion over the same period last year. "Non-petroleum and non-Gems and Jewellery exports in February 2017 were valued at $18.01 billion against $14.99 billion in February 2016, an increase of 20.15%," a statement here said. With the Indian economy doing well, the stock markets are expected to be bullish. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Macro-economic factors are gaining importance in our stock markets and hence fund managers of mutual funds and foreign institutional investors are likely to be the decision makers on large scale investments. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

US Claims For Unemployment Benefits Slip By 2,000-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 March 2017
Unemployment (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Fewer Americans applied for unemployment benefits last week, a further indication of the health of the labor market. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
THE NUMBERS: Applications for jobless benefits slipped by 2,000 to 241,000 after claims had risen by 20,000 in the previous week, the Labor Department reported Thursday. Two weeks ago claims had fallen to a 44-year low of 223,000. The four-week average, which is less volatile, rose by 750 last week to 237,250. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Overall, 2.03 million Americans are receiving unemployment benefits, 8.2 percent lower than a year ago.
THE TAKEAWAY: Unemployment claims are a proxy for layoffs. They have now come in below 300,000 for 106 weeks, the longest such streak since 1970. The low level of claims suggests employers have enough confidence in the economy that they see no need to shed staff.
KEY DRIVERS: Employers added a solid 235,000 jobs in February, pushing the unemployment rate down to 4.7 percent. That level is slightly better than the 4.8 percent jobless rate that the Federal Reserve considers full employment. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
At their meeting this week, Fed officials boosted their benchmark lending rate by a quarter-point to a new range of 0.75 percent to 1 percent. It marked the second rate hike in three months, representing an acceleration of the pace of the past two years which saw the Fed nudge rates up by a quarter-point once in 2015 and once in 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Fed is projecting it will raise rates a total of three times this year but says it still expects the pace of those hikes to be gradual.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tribunal asks TRAI to re-examine Jio free offers, declines stay -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 March 2017

The telecom tribunal on Thursday asked the sector regulator to re-examine issues pertaining to Reliance Jio's free promotional offers. However, no stay was given on the offers.

The Telecom Disputes Settlement and Appellate Tribunal (TDSAT) directed the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) to re-examine the issues and inform it within two weeks, according to sources.

The newcomer, Reliance Jio, had launched free voice and data plan in September 2016 and had extended it till March 31, 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Incumbent players Bharti Airtel and Idea Cellular had lodged a complaint with the telecom tribunal against TRAI for letting Reliance Jio continue with promotional offers beyond 90 days.


However, the tribunal did not order a stay, as was sought by the incumbent telecom operators. Last week, the tribunal had reserved its order on an appeal by the two operators.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Parrikar wins trust vote in Goa 22-16-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 March 2017

Chief Minister Manohar Parrikar on Thursday won the trust vote in the Goa assembly, with 22 MLAs supporting his government. The Congress got the support of 16 legislators.

Parrikar, whose BJP heads a coalition government with a slim majority, was sworn in as Chief Minister of the coastal state for the fourth time on Tuesday.

Parrikar, who is not a legislator and is a Rajya Sabha member, moved a one-line motion of confidence, after which pro-tem Speaker Sidharth Kunkolienkar asked those in favour of the motion to stand up. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The pro-tem Speaker overruled Opposition member Pratapsingh Rane's efforts to raise a point of order related to the appointment of a junior member of the assembly as pro-tem Speaker.

The 22 MLAs who supported the motion those of the Bharatiya Janata Party (minus the pro-tem Speaker), three each of Goa Forward and MGP, three Independents and Nationalist Congress Party MLA Churchill Alemao. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Congress MLA Vishajit Rane, who over the last few days had been accusing the Congress leadership of squandering away chances of forming a government in the state, was not present during the voting. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Rane later told reporters outside the assembly complex that he was not happy with the functioning of the Congress and would be quitting it soon.

"I have been complaining about the functioning of the Congress. No one is paying attention. I will be quitting the party soon," Rane said.

When Parrikar was asked to react to Rane going missing during the trust vote, he said: "Why are you asking me, ask him." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Congress has alleged that the BJP-led coalition government was legitimate. 

"They have bought over MLAs. They have not allowed us to speak in the assembly or discuss the motion, they have even foisted a Speaker who formerly was reporting to Manohar Parrikar as Chief Minister in 2012. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"There is no legitimacy for this government," Congress spokesperson and MLA Aleixo Reginaldo. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The former Defence Minsiter later told reporters that portfolios to the 10-member cabinet would be announced on Saturday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Expansion of the cabinet will be done after the budget session is over. The budget session will begin on March 22," Parrikar said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Thursday's trust vote was ordered by the Supreme Court following a petition by the Congress which alleged that Goa Governor Mridula Sinha had played a partisan role in inviting the BJP to form a government although the Congress was the single largest party with 17 MLAs in the 40-member assembly.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions