Saturday 25 February 2017

Friday 24 February 2017

Nifty, Sensex trending higher - Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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24 February 2017

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were still range bound. The major indices of the Indian stock markets showed momentum during the week and closed with decent gains on Friday. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly  Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Indian equity markets started off the week on a positive note on Monday, with Nifty closing above the five-month high pushed largely by TCS, Infosys and HDFC Bank. After the consolidation in the morning, the markets gained strength in the afternoon trade.

TCS announced a buyback of up to 5.6 crore equity shares, about 2.85% of total paid up capital, at Rs2,850 per share, totalling to Rs16,000 crore. The share rallied 4% after the announcement.  N Chandrasekaran takes over as the Chairman of Tata Sons, with the hope of putting behind the hyped boardroom battle that saw the ouster of Cyrus Mistry as Tata Sons Chairman. Maruti Suzuki announced that its smart hybrid vehicles, Ciaz SHVS and Ertiga SHVS, have crossed cumulative sales of 1 lakh units in February 2017. Telecom Stocks rallied after a news report said that Tata Teleservices is in early talks to join Reliance Communications-Aircel-MTS combine. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian equities markets traded on a flat-to-negative note during the mid-afternoon trade session on Tuesday as selling pressure was witnessed in Teck (technology, media and entertainment), telecom and IT (information technology) stocks. Besides, broadly negative Asian indices and caution ahead of derivatives expiry subdued investors' sentiments. The key indices, which opened on a flat note, traded marginally in the red on the back of profit booking.

The CNX Nifty traded sideways due to profit booking. IT sector stocks faced resistance at higher levels, while banking, pharma, auto, oil-gas and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) stocks traded with mixed sentiments. However, textile, aviation, media-entertainment and cement stocks traded with firm sentiments due to buying support, although power sector stocks traded with bearish sentiments. Reliance Industries (RIL) Chairman and Managing Director Mukesh Ambani on Tuesday said Reliance Jio has crossed the 100 million customer mark since its launch on September 5. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Positive global cues, coupled with a strengthened rupee, pushed the Indian equities markets higher on Wednesday. Besides, a sharp rise in Reliance Industries Ltd (RIL) stocks, a day after Reliance Jio announced its tariff plans, buoyed investors sentiments. However, caution prevailed ahead of the release of minutes of the US Fed's Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Reserve Bank of India's Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) as well as derivatives expiry. In contrast, the BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bears -- 1,748 declines and 1,092 advances. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Automotive and industrial lubricant manufacturer Castrol India on Tuesday reported a rise of 10.7% in its net profit for the quarter ended December 31, 2016. The company informed the BSE that its net profit during the quarter under review increased to Rs155.8 crore from Rs140.8 crore. It reported a decline of 1.1% in its net sales for the fourth quarter to Rs782.2 crore from Rs790.9 crore. For the financial year ended December 31, 2016, the company reported that its profit from operations was up by 12.2% at Rs959.9 crore, whilst net profit was higher by 9.7% to Rs674.9 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Thursday Indian equities markets closed on a flat-to-positive note, with the telecom sector stocks rising following a major acquisition announcement by telecom major Bharti Airtel of Telenor’s India operations. Despite a volatile trade session on the back of derivatives expiry, the benchmark index Nifty touched its 52-week high during the intra-day trade. The key indices pared most of their initial gains to close marginally in the green, as healthy buying was witnessed in IT, Teck (technology, media and entertainment) and consumer durables stocks. The BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bulls -- 1,315 advances and 1,283 declines. On the NSE, there were 660 advances, 978 declines and 70 unchanged.

Global credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service on Thursday said continuing to increase non-watch list Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) would put pressure on Axis and ICICI banks' credit profiles. On the other hand, asset quality trends for public sector banks were more benign, and the pace of deterioration was slowed in the past two quarters from the levels seen in FY2016, Moody's said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

International Monetary Fund (IMF) said that India's overall outlook remains positive, although growth will slow temporarily as a result of disruptions to consumption and business activity from the recent withdrawal of high-denomination banknotes from circulation. But the nation's expansion will pick up again as economic reforms kick in, said the IMF in its latest assessment. IMF reduced is growth forecasts to 6.6% for fiscal year 2016-17 and to 7.2% in 2017-18.

Tata Motors rose 0.31% after the company said its board will meet on 2 March 2017 to consider raising Rs 500 crore through private placement of non-convertible debentures. The company said that it is desirous of offering the sixth series of its rated, listed, unsecured, redeemable, non-convertible debentures (NCDs) aggregating to Rs500 crore.


The BSE market breadth was marginally in favour of the bears -- with 1,200 advances and 1,574 declines. On the NSE, on Friday, there were 660 advances, 978 declines and 70 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SBI should look at VRS post merger of associate banks: AIBEA-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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24 February 2017

The State Bank of India should come with a voluntary retirement scheme after considering the overall staffing picture after merger of five associate banks instead of the five announcing such a scheme before the merger, said the leader of a major bank union.

"The five associate banks of State Bank of India (SBI) will soon come out with a voluntary retirement scheme (VRS) as their boards have approved the a scheme. The scheme will be introduced and closed before April 1, 2017, the day on which the merger takes into effect," All India Bank Employees' Association (AIBEA) General Secretary C.H.Venkatachalam told IANS here on Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to him, launching a VRS for the employees of the five associate banks alone is not fair as those who do not opt for retirement and land in the SBI may feel disadvantaged psychologically from day one of the merger. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Venkatachalam said branch and staff rationalisation could be look at by the SBI post merger after taking into account an overall view of the operations.

On Thursday, the SBI in a regulatory filing in BSE said: "We advise that the Government of India has issued the orders ...under subsection of Section 35 of the State Bank of India Act, 1955... In terms of the said orders, the entire undertaking of SBBJ (State Bank of Bikaner &Jaipur), SBM (State Bank of Mysore), SBT (State Bank of Travancore), SBP (State Bank of Patiala) and SBH (State Bank of Hyderabad) shall stand transferred to and vested in the State Bank of India from April 1, 2017."

The cabinet approved acquisition of associate banks by SBI on February 15.

According to Venkatachalam, those employees (clerks and officers) who have put in 20 years of service or have completed 55 years of age may be made eligible to opt for VRS.

He said the VRS will be open for 15 days from the date of announcement and employees have to exercise their option within that time limit. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The VRS quantum may be 50 per cent of the salary for the remaining period of service subject to a maximum of 30 months salary. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Venkatachalam said the bank may restrict the number of employees opting for VRS depending on the staffing needs.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government reduces registers under labour laws to five -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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24 February 2017
 
Loan (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The government on Thursday reduced the number of registers to be maintained under the labour laws from 56 to five for about 5.85 crore establishments in a major step aimed at enhancing the ease of doing business, an official statement said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to a release, the move will facilitate these establishments in agriculture and non- agriculture sectors to "save cost and efforts and ensure better compliance of labour laws".

"These registers are related to details of employees, their salaries, loans/recoveries, attendance," said the release. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Under various Central labour acts, there is a requirement of maintenance of registers depending upon the threshold of the number of employees by these establishments.

As per the Sixth Economic Census of Central Statistical Office conducted during 2013-2014, India has about 5.85 crore establishments in agricultural and non-agricultural sectors combined.

"Out of this, 4.54 crore establishments are in non-agricultural sector. While reviewing the requirement of filing various returns/registers/forms provided under nine Central Acts, there were several overlapping/redundant fields that could be rationalised," according to the release.

An intention notification was issued on November 4, 2016 for reducing the number of registers/data fields and the same was widely circulated to concerned ministries and departments, state governments, other stakeholders besides placing the same in public domain.

"In effect, all previous registers envisaged under various Acts/Rules have been omitted and replaced with only five common registers. Such an exercise has reduced number of data fields in five registers to only 144 from the existing 933 fields in 56 registers," the release said.

The Ministry of Labour & Employment has also simultaneously undertaken development of a software for these 5 common registers. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

After development of the software, the same will be put on the Shram Suvidha Portal of the ministry for free download with an aim to facilitate maintenance of those registers in a digitised form.

The laws under which these registers are maintained include the Building and Other Construction Workers (Regulation of Employment and Conditions of Service) Act, 1996, the Contract Labour (Regulation and Abolition) Act, 1970, the Equal Remuneration Act, 1976, the Inter-State Migrant Workmen (Regulation of Employment and Conditions of Service) Act, 1979, and the Mines Act, 1952.


These laws also include the Minimum Wages Act, 1948, the Payment of Wages Act, 1936, the Sales Promotion Employees (Conditions of Service) Act, 1976, the Working Journalists and Other Newspaper Employees (Conditions of Service) Act, 1955.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Markets & News -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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24 February 2017

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS

Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 -0.41%) are down -0.47% and European stocks are down -1.19%. Uncertainty ahead of France's presidential election in April and Tuesday's speech to Congress from President Trump has fueled long liquidation in stocks. European political risks have increased as far-right French presidential candidate Marine Le Penn, who wants to take France out of the EU, is seen gaining in polls, while President Trump promised something "phenomenal" with respect to tax reform three weeks ago, and his every word will be parsed when he addresses House and Senate lawmakers on Tuesday. The slide in equity markets has boosted the price of gold with Apr COMEX gold (GCJ17 +0.53%) up +0.59% to a 3-1/4 month high. Government bonds are also higher on increased safe-haven demand as German bunds climbed to a 1-1/2 month high and T-notes are at a 2-week high. Asian stocks settled mostly lower: Japan -0.45%, Hong Kong -0.62%, China +0.06%, Taiwan -0.19%, Australia -0.79%, Singapore -0.65%, South Korea -0.92%, India closed for holiday. A stronger yen undercut Japanese stocks as USD/JPY tumbled to a 2-week low. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) is down -0.24%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.23%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.26% at a 2-week low. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 +0.16%) are up +6 ticks at a 2-week high.

U.S. STOCK PREVIEW

Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Jan new home sales (expected +6.3% to 570,000, Dec -10.4% to 536,000), (2) revised-Feb University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment index (expected +0.3 to 96.0, prelim-Feb -2.8 to 95.7), (3) USDA weekly Export Sales, (4) USDA Jan Cattle on Feed.
Notable S&P 500 earnings reports today include: Foot Locker (consensus $1.32), Public Service Enterprise Group (0.53), Pinnacle West Capital (0.48), Cabot Oil & Gas (0.01).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Equity conferences: CAGNY Investor Conference on Tue-Fri.

OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS

Goldman Sachs (GS -0.21%) was downgraded to 'Sell' from 'Hold' at Berenberg with a price target of $190.
Incyte (INCY +0.49%) climbed over 4% in after-hours trading after it was announced that it will replace Spectra Energy in the S&P 500 at the open of trading on Tuesday, February 28.
Nordstrom (JWN -3.11%) rallied 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of $1.37, higher than consensus of $1.15.
Stamps.com (STMP -0.52%) fell almost 3% in after-hours trading after it said it sees full-year adjusted EPS of $6.00-$7.00, weaker than consensus of $7.91
Hewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE -0.48%) dropped 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q1 net revenue of $11.4 billion, weaker than consensus of $12.1 billion, and said it sees Q2 adjusted EPS of 41 cents-45 cents, below consensus of 47 cents.
B&G Foods (BGS -1.37%) slid 6% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 29 cents, weaker than consensus of 40 cents. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
RH US (RH -3.15%) surged 15% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 68 cents, above consensus of 66 cents.
MercadoLibre (MELI -0.29%) gained 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 net revenue of $256.3 million, better than consensus of $250 million.
Universal Display (OLED -5.33%) jumped nearly 12% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 EPS of 55 cents, above consensus of 43 cents.
Baidu (BIDU -0.74%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted profit for ADS of $1.91, well above consensus of $1.09.
Acacia Communications (ACIA +1.94%) tumbled 11% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 adjusted EPS of 63 cents-70 cents, weaker than consensus of 78 cents.
Sarepta Therapeutics (SRPT -0.76%) gained over 1% in after-hours trading after Point72 Asset Management said it raised its passive stake in the company to 5.2% from 2.5%.
Zoe's Kitchen (ZOES -1.49%) sank 11% in after-hours trading after it said it sees full-year revenue of $325 million-$327 million, below consensus of $329.1 million.
Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX +1.23%) rose 3% in after-hours trading after it received clearance from the FDA to market its PhenoTest BC Kit as the first test to identify organisms that cause bloodstream infections and provide information on antibiotic sensitivity.
Emergent BioSolutions (EBS -0.47%) gained over 2% in after-hours trading after it reported Q4 adjusted EPS of 74 cents, better than consensus of 61 cents.
Acadia Healthcare (ACHC +1.41%) fell over 8% in after-hours trading after it said it sees Q1 adjusted EPS of 45 cents-47 cents, below consensus of 56 cents, and then lowered guidance on full-year EPS to $2.40-$2.50, weaker than consensus of $2.53. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Hi-Crush Partners LP (HCLP -6.38%) slid over 7% in after-hours trading after it announced a primary offering of 20.5 million common units.

MARKET COMMENTS

Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 -0.41%) this morning are down -11.00 points (-0.47%). Thursday's closes: S&P 500 +0.04%, Dow Jones +0.17%, Nasdaq -0.37%. The S&P 500 on Thursday posted a new record high and closed higher on strength in energy producing stocks after the price of crude oil rose +1.44% to a 1-1/2 month high and on a rally in mining stocks after the price of gold and silver climbed to 3-1/4 month highs. Stocks were undercut by weakness in technology stocks and by hawkish comments from Atlanta Fed President Lockhart who said that "two or three 25 bp rate hikes are likely this year as long as the economy remains on the track it is on."
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 +0.16%) this morning are up +6 ticks at a 2-week high. Thursday's closes: TYH7 +9.00, FVH7 +6.50. Mar 10-year T-notes on Thursday climbed to a 2-week high and closed higher on carry-over support from a rally in German bunds to a 1-1/2 month high on increased safe-haven demand due to political risks in France and on short-covering at the conclusion of this week's T-note auctions.

The dollar index (DXY00 -0.26%) this morning is down -0.24 (-0.24%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0024 (+0.23%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.29 (-0.26%) at a 2-week low. Thursday's closes: Dollar index -0.17 (-0.17%), EUR/USD +0.0024 (+0.23%), USD/JPY -0.70 (-0.62%). The dollar index on Thursday closed lower on the slide in 10-year T-note yields to 2-week lows, which reduces the dollar's interest rate differentials. The dollar was also undercut by Treasury Secretary Mnuchin's comment that fiscal stimulus effects on the U.S. economy this year may be limited. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Apr WTI crude oil prices (CLJ17 -0.77%) this morning are down -25 cents (-0.46%) and Apr gasoline (RBJ17 -0.51%) is -0.0037 (-0.21%). Thursday's closes: Apr crude +0.77 (+1.44%), Apr gasoline +0.0128 (+0.74%). Apr crude and gasoline on Thursday closed higher with Apr crude at a 1-1/2 month high and Apr gasoline at a 1-week high. Crude oil prices were boosted by a weaker dollar, the +564,000 increase in EIA crude inventories (less than expectations of +3.25 million bbl) and the -1.528 million bbl decline in crude supplies at Cushing to a 2-1/2 month low. Crude prices fell back from their best levels after U.S. crude production in the week of Feb 17 rose +0.3% to 9.001 million bpd, a 10-1/2 month high.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 23 February 2017

Nifty, Sensex still trending higher – Thursday closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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23 February 2017

I  had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were still trending higher but short-term risks were rising. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small gains over Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Indian equities markets on Thursday closed on a flat-to-positive note, with the telecom sector stocks witnessing healthy buying following a major acquisition announcement by telecom major Bharti Airtel. Despite a volatile trade session on the back of derivatives expiry, the benchmark index Nifty touched its 52-week high during the intra-day trade. The key indices pared most of their initial gains to close marginally in the green, as healthy buying was witnessed in IT, Teck (technology, media and entertainment) and consumer durables stocks. The BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bulls -- 1,315 advances and 1,283 declines. On the NSE, there were 660 advances, 978 declines and 70 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global credit rating agency Moody's Investors Service on Thursday said continuing to increase non-watch list Non-Performing Loans (NPLs) would put pressure on Axis and ICICI banks' credit profiles. On the other hand, asset quality trends for public sector banks were more benign, and the pace of deterioration was slowed in the past two quarters from the levels seen in FY2016, Moody's said.  In its report 'Banks - India: Q3 Earnings Highlight Pressures from Demonetisation; NPL trends mixed', Moody's said: "Both of Axis Bank Ltd (Baa3 positive, baa3) and ICICI Bank Limited's (ICICI, Baa3 positive, baa3) have seen significant additions to their NPLs from outside of their already announced watchlist accounts. "While we have been expecting asset quality to deteriorate for both, we had expected the deterioration to come predominantly from their watchlist accounts. A continuation of increasing the non-watchlist NPL trend would put negative pressure on the banks' credit profiles," Moody's said. According to Moody's, asset quality for private sector banks was likely to deteriorate. Increased NPLs from outside the watchlists of Axis Bank and ICICI Bank are pressuring their credit profiles. The earnings of Indian banks during the third quarter of the current fiscal show that the demonetisation of old Rs 500 and Rs 1,000 notes have slowed down economic activity and demand for credit, the agency said. "Overall, demonetisation has significantly impacted credit demand and deposit growth, but the effect on asset quality has been mixed, while retail payment systems -- such as card transactions and mobile wallets -have benefitted," Srikanth Vadlamani, Moody's Vice President and Senior Credit Officer said. According to Moody's, economic growth seems to be recovering from demonetisation, although gradually, which should cushion the impact on the banks' overall asset quality. The rating agency also said deposit growth for the banks would be around one-two per cent due to demonetisation as the increase would moderate going forward. Retail payment systems such as a cards and mobile wallets have seen a significant increase in transactions, and should continue to see healthy growth. At the same time, given the low base, cash will remain the dominant source of retail transactions for the foreseeable future, Moody's said. Net interest margins would also come under pressure as banks gradually adopt the marginal cost of funds lending rate (MCLR) to price their loans. So far, less than 20% of the banks' variable-rate loans have been repriced to MCLR as opposed to their base rate. As the MCLR is around 85 basis points (bps) lower than base rate, Moody's expect the downward trend in net interest margins to persist. Axis Bank shares closed at Rs527.65, up 0.61% on the BSE. ICICI Bank shares closed at Rs284.45, down 0.52% on the BSE.

Automobile major Tata Motors on Thursday said it is considering to raise Rs 500 crore through issuance of unsecured redeemable non-convertible debentures (NCDs). According to the automobile major, the move to issue the NCDs is in accordance with the approval of the shareholders which was obtained by a special resolution at the 71th Annual General Meeting (AGM) held on August 9, 2016, and the resolution of the Board of Directors passed at its meeting held on February 14, 2017. Tata Motors shares closed at Rs462.00, up 0.40% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Board of software major Infosys Ltd on Thursday approved pay revision of its Chief Operating Officer (COO) and whole-time Director UB Pravin Rao. In a regulatory filing to the BSE, the IT major also said that the Board had recommended the appointment of Additional Director DN Prahlad for the approval of the shareholders through a resolution as an Independent Director. "Prahlad was appointed Additional Director at the Board meeting on October 14, 2016," said the filing. The Board also recommended adoption of new Articles of Association of the company in conformity with the Companies Act 2013, to the shareholders for approval. Infosys shares closed at Rs1009.05, up 1.73% on the BSE.

While the RBI's six-member monetary policy committee (MPC) was unanimous in its concern about inflation when holding rates in February, four of them backed the need to shift the central bank's policy stance to "neutral" from "accommodative", the minutes of the MPC meeting released on Wednesday showed. The Reserve Bank of India at its sixth and final monetary policy review of the fiscal earlier this month kept its short term lending rate for commercial banks unchanged at 6.25 per cent, while changing its policy stance from "accommodative" to "neutral". "While pursuing 4 per cent CPI (consumer price index) headline inflation, it is necessary to adopt a calibrated approach so as to minimise the collateral costs of achieving the target as well as ensure its durability," said RBI governor Urjit Patel as per the minutes released. "By shifting the stance of monetary policy from accommodative to neutral, there will now be sufficient flexibility to move the policy rate in either direction, depending on future data outcomes and projections, to help ensure that inflation is brought closer to 4%," he said. Inflation and interest rates have an important bearing on the trends of the major indices in the Indian stock markets.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)