Saturday, 17 November 2018

Friday, 16 November 2018

Nifty, Sensex on an Uptrend – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 November 2018

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might come under pressure. The major indices of the Indian stock markets staged a small weekly rally in a volatile market and closed on Friday with gains over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below:


The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Monday and closed with losses over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 640 advances, 1,105 declines and 328 unchanged. Investors turned cautious ahead of the release of key macro-economic indicators. The government was supposed to release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for October and the industrial production data for September later in the day. The CPI data for September stood at 3.77%, up from 3.69 in August. Also, rebound in global crude oil prices and depreciation in the rupee weighed on the indices during the day. Price of Brent crude oil rose around $1.42 per barrel to $71.60 on Monday. 

Bank of India reported Q2FY19 results with net interest income (NII) at Rs2,926.79 crore (Rs2,908.24 crore), up 0.60% year-on-year. Losses were at Rs1,156.25 crore (profit of Rs179.07 crore). NPA (non-performing assets) provisions were at Rs2,827.62 crore (Rs1,866.82 crore). Gross Net Performing Assets (GNPA) were at 16.36% (12.62%). Net non-performing assets (NNPA) were at 7.64% (6.47%). 

Britannia Industries reported Q2 FY19 (Consolidated) results which included revenues at Rs2,869.59 crore (Rs2,545.29 crore), up 12.7% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs302.97 crore (Rs261.05 crore), up 16.1% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs25.22 (Rs21.74). 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Tuesday and closed with gains over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 875 advances, 848 declines and 339 unchanged.

The benchmark Brent Crude eased to $69.38 a barrel after it surpassed the $71 mark on Monday, after US President Donald Trump put pressure on OPEC not to cut supply to prop up the market, said market analysts. As a result, S&P BSE Oil and gas index gained 1.43, most among all the 19 sectors on BSE. However, the index pivotals - finance and banking stocks - traded in the red.  

Jet Airways reported a net loss of Rs1,297.46 crore for the second quarter ended September, against a net profit of Rs49.63 crore a year ago. On a consolidated basis, the airline's net loss stood at Rs1,261 crore for the second quarter of the current fiscal year ending March, against a net profit of Rs71 crore in the year-ago quarter. The private carrier said that it faced a tough industry environment in the backdrop of a sharp rise in Brent fuel price by more than 50% during the quarter, a depreciating rupee and a challenging pricing situation in an over-capacitated domestic market. "At the strategic level, the company remains committed and is on track to realise most of the outcomes that were outlined as part of its turnaround strategy last quarter...," the company said in a statement.

On Wednesday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets were flat after an initial rally. On the NSE, there were 737 advances, 979 declines and 341 unchanged as higher wholesale inflation and caution during the ongoing assembly polls in five states weighed on the domestic investor sentiments. Although, crude oil prices eased and rupee appreciated during the day but positive sentiments eroded as the day progressed, analysts said. India's annual rate of inflation based on wholesale prices rose to 5.28% in October from 5.13% in September, the Commerce Ministry data said. Selling pressure was witnessed in export-oriented stocks like IT (information technology) and healthcare as the domestic currency appreciated to Rs72.16 to a US dollar from its previous close of 72.67. In addition the benchmark Brent Crude registered a steep decline to $65.42 a barrel. However, the index pivotals -- finance and banking stocks -- traded in the green.

IDBI Bank reported Q2FY19 results with net interest income (NII) at Rs1,300.86 crore (Rs1,657.45 crore), down 21.5% year-on-year. Losses were at Rs3,602.49 crore (Rs197.84 crore). Provisions were at Rs5,481.64 crore (Rs2,842.15 crore). Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) were at 31.78% (24.98%) and net non-performing assets (NNPA) were at 17.30% (16.06%). 

Mahindra & Mahindra reported Q2 FY19 (standalone) results with revenues at Rs12,988.57 crore (Rs12,183.65 crore), up 6.6% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs1,649.46 crore (Rs1,331.57 crore), up 23.90% year-on-year. Earnings per share were Rs13.86 (Rs11.20).

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small gains over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 743 advances, 980 declines and 336 unchanged. Broadly positive global cues and a recovery in the domestic currency pushed the key equity indices in the green. Buying was witnessed in export-oriented stocks like IT (information technology), as the rupee recovered. Consumer durables, finance and banking stocks also gained. The domestic currency traded at Rs72.08 a US dollar from its previous close of Rs72.31. However, selling pressure was witnessed in oil and gas, telecom stocks. The benchmark Brent Crude traded at $66.40 a barrel.

Reliance Infrastructure (RInfra) reported a year-on-year rise of 16% in its consolidated total income for the second quarter of 2018-19. Vodafone Idea reported a consolidated net loss of Rs4,973.8 crore for the July-September quarter. The company, in its maiden quarterly result after the merger of Vodafone India and Idea Cellular, reported a total income of Rs7,878.6 crore during the second quarter of the current fiscal year ending March. The merger was completed on August 31. 

The Reserve Bank of India said it has imposed penalties on Deutsche Bank A.G. of Germany and The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd for violating various norms. The penalties imposed are Rs3.1 crore on Deutsche Bank A.G. and Rs3 crore on The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. The heavy fines came for the two banks' "non-compliance with the direction" of RBI on Income Recognition and Asset Classification (IRAC), Know Your Customer/Anti-Money Laundering (KYC/AML) norms, and on disclosure of monetary penalties imposed by the regulator.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets traded positive on Friday and closed with gains over Thursday’s close. On the NSE, there were 715 advances, 1,020 declines and 326 unchanged.

Broadly positive global markets, healthy macro-economic trade data along with a slight recovery in rupee guided the advances in the key Indian equity indices on Friday. Buying was witnessed in telecom stocks as it rose over 4%, most among all the sectors on the BSE. Energy, finance and healthcare stocks also gained whereas selling pressure occurred in oil and gas and metal scrips as the benchmark Brent Crude prices rose to $67.38 a barrel.  The rupee traded at Rs71.81 per dollar from its previous close of 71.98.

Automobile major Mahindra & Mahindra's arm rolled out two variant of electric 3-wheeler autorickshaws. "The 3-wheeler range Treo and Treo Yaari are powered with lithium ion battery, which gives 170 km ride for a single charge, said Mahindra Electric Mobility Ltd Chairman Pawan Goenka. The $21-billion Mahindra group has invested Rs 100-crore in setting up a technology plant in the city's southern outskirts, with an installed capacity of 25,000 units per annum to make the e-autos for Karnataka initially. "The e-auto is priced Rs 1.36 lakh, with subsidy from the Faster Adoption and Manufacture of Electric (FAME) vehicles scheme of the central government's 2015 National Electricity Mobility Mission plan, draw to encourage the increasing use of electric vehicles," said the company in a statement later. In addition to the clutch-less, noiseless and vibration free e-autos, the hi-tech plant makes battery packs, power electronics and motor assembly for the electric power train. The plant will initially employ 200 skilled people and hire more through allied services. Mahindra & Mahindra shares closed at Rs768.20, up 0.22% on the NSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Government to soon unveil new industrial policy: DIPP Secretary-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 November 2018


Industrial policy (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The government will soon unveil a new industrial policy which may include a dedicated chapter on the importance of design, a top official said Friday. Highlighting the significance of design and innovation in India's economic progress, Secretary of the Department of Industrial Policy and Promotion (DIPP) Ramesh Abhishek also extended his "full support" to the setting up of a National Design Centre as early as possible. "We are also bringing out a new industrial policy soon and we are proposing to include a substantial chapter and paragraphs on the importance of design, and how it should be taken forward," he said at a CII event here.

DIPP, in August last year, floated a draft industrial policy with the aim to create jobs for the next two decades, promote foreign technology transfer and attract USD 100 billion foreign direct investment (FDI) annually. The proposed policy will completely revamp the Industrial Policy of 1991. Among other things, the policy would endeavour to reduce regulations and bring new industries in focus

The DIPP Secretary also said that enforcement of intellectual property rights was being improved through better training of police officers and judiciary.

"In principle the department (DIPP) would like to fully support the setting up of a National Design Centre. We can see how it can be done, it can be done through the mechanism of the India Design Council," Abhishek said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Australia takes India to WTO over sugar subsidies -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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16 November 2018
 
Sugar (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Australia said on Friday that it was taking legal action against India, the world's second-largest sugar NSE -4.40 % producer, at the WTO over subsidies which it said caused a "significant downturn" in world sugar prices and hurt Australian producers. Australia alleges that the subsidies, which have seen Indian sugar production leap from an average 20 million tonnes to 35 million tonnes this year, far exceed the level of farmer assistance permitted under WTO rules. The action, known formally as a counter notification, comes after Australia has repeatedly raised the issue with India directly, ABC News reported.

It means the issue will initially be discussed at the WTO's Committee on Agriculture meeting scheduled for later this month. Trade Minister Simon Birmingham said it was time India, the world's second-largest sugar producer, was held accountable for its market distorting policies on sugar. "We have raised our industry's deeply held concerns on numerous occasions with senior levels of the Indian Government," Birmingham said.

"We are disappointed our concerns haven't been addressed and now see little choice other than to ramp up our efforts to stand up for the rights of our cane farmers and sugar millers. "We will now engage in formal discussions with India and other WTO members regarding this issue at the upcoming WTO Committee on Agriculture meeting later this month." He expressed hope that India would reconsider its position in relation to what are more than USD 1 billion in additional subsidies for sugar producers, "which has pushed global sugar prices to a decade low"

Australia is the third largest exporter of sugar. "So we are a significant player. We would expect and hope to have support in terms of our action from Brazil and other nations. And ultimately, this is about trying to ensure we get a fair go for our sugar farmers who play by the rules. And they just want to be able to compete," he said. Birmingham dismissed concerns the step could hamper Australia's efforts to ramp up trade with India. "Our relationship with India is much, much deeper than one issue."

"Our relationship with India is much, much deeper than one issue." The announcement came two days after Prime Minister Scott Morrison met his Indian counterpart Narendra Modi in Singapore on the sidelines of the East Asia Summit during which the two leaders discussed the issue. Canegrowers chairman Paul Schembri stating although the step doesn't resolve the subsidies, the government should be commended for flagging the issue at the highest global level

"It takes the very real difficulties of Australian farmers into an international forum and places further pressure on the Indian government to change its sugar policies," he said in a statement.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's exports up 18% in October -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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16 November 2018
 
India's merchandise exports (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


 India's merchandise exports grew by 17.86 per cent in October on a year-on-year basis, official data showed on Thursday.
Even on the sequential basis, India's merchandise exports showed robust growth in the month under review as it had declined by 2.15 per cent in September.

According to data released by the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, India's October 2018 exports increased to $26.98 billion from $22.89 billion reported for the corresponding month of last year.

"Cumulative value of exports for the period April-October 2018-19 was $191.01 billion as against $168.64 billion during the period April-October 2017-18, registering a positive growth of 13.27 per cent in dollar terms," the Ministry said in its review statement.

"Non-petroleum and non-gems and jewellery exports in October 2018 were $18.94 billion, as compared to $16.54 billion in October 2017, exhibiting a positive growth of 14.54 per cent."

As per the data, engineering goods, petroleum products, gems and jewellery and organic and inorganic chemicals and drugs and pharmaceuticals commodity groups showed a high export growth during the month under review.

On the other hand, imports in October grew by 17.62 per cent to $44.11 billion.

"Oil imports in October 2018 were $14.21 billion, which was 52.64 per cent higher in dollar terms compared to $9.31 billion in October 2017," the statement said.

Lately, global Brent price has increased by 39.66 per cent in October 2018 vis-à-vis October 2017.

"Non-oil imports in October 2018 were estimated at $29.90 billion which was 6.05 per cent higher in dollar terms, compared to $28.19 billion in October 2017," the statement said.

"Non-oil and non-gold imports were $28.21 billion in October 2018, recording a positive growth of 11.77 per cent, as compared to non-oil and non-gold imports in October 2017."The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Tech Companies, Retailers Weigh On US Stocks; Oil Prices Up-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 November 2018
financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


U.S. stock indexes were mostly lower in early trading Friday, erasing some of the market's gains from a day earlier. Losses in technology companies, big retailers and banks outweighed gains in health care and energy stocks. Crude oil prices headed higher for the third day in a row.
KEEPING SCORE: The S&P 500 index fell 1 point to 2,729 as of 10:15 a.m. Eastern Time. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 31 points, or 0.1 percent, to 25,320. The Nasdaq composite lost 23 points, or 0.3 percent, to 7,235. The Russell 2000 index of smaller companies gave up 2 points, or 0.2 percent, to 1,521.
CRYPTO FALLOUT: Shares in technology stocks skidded, led by Nvidia. The chipmaker plunged 17.7 percent to $166.71 after saying it had a large number of unsold chips because of a big drop in mining of cryptocurrencies.
SHIELDED? Troubled California power provider PG&E surged 38.2 percent to $24.52 after the president of the utility's state regulator said it was essential for a power company to have the financial strength to operate safely. The remark late Thursday by California Public Utilities Commission President Michael Picker appeared to reassure investors that regulators might limit the potential financial hit that PG&E faces from the devastating wildfire in Northern California, which started Nov. 8 and has killed at least 56 people.
RETAIL RATTLED: Nordstrom slid 11.9 percent to $51.98 after the department store issued weak guidance for the full year. That disappointing outlook overshadowed the company's third-quarter results, which topped Wall Street's estimates.
FEELING GOOD: Health care stocks were among the biggest gainers. Bristol-Myers Squibb gained 1.9 percent to $54.29.
ENERGY: Oil prices headed higher, adding to gains from a two-day winning streak. Benchmark U.S. crude oil rose 1.8 percent to $57.48 a barrel in New York. Brent crude, used to price international oils, gained 2.1 percent to $67.99 a barrel in London. Despite the latest uptick, U.S. crude oil is still down about 12 percent for the month.
The pickup in oil prices helped lift energy stocks. Helmerich & Payne rose 1.8 percent to $61.08.
BOND YIELDS: Bond prices rose. The 10-year Treasury fell to 3.09 percent from 3.11 percent late Thursday.
CURRENCIES: The dollar fell to 112.72 yen from 113.58 yen on Thursday. The euro strengthened to $1.1407 from $1.1348. The pound rose to $1.2867 from $1.2791.
OVERSEAS: Major European stock indexes were subdued as trade tensions and political risks surrounding Britain's exit from the European Union kept investors cautious. Germany's DAX fell 0.2 percent and France's CAC lost 0.3 percent. Britain's FTSE 100 gave up 0.4 percent. In Asia, Japan's Nikkei 225 index lost 0.6 percent while the Hang Seng in Hong Kong added 0.3 percent. South Korea's Kospi rose 0.2 percent.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 15 November 2018

Nifty, Sensex Waiting for Triggers – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 November 2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex have turned trendless. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small gains over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 743 advances, 980 declines and 336 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:


Broadly positive global cues and a recovery in the domestic currency pushed the key equity indices in the green on Thursday. Buying was witnessed in export-oriented stocks like IT (information technology), as the rupee recovered. Consumer durables, finance and banking stocks also gained. The domestic currency traded at Rs72.08 a US dollar from its previous close of Rs72.31. However, selling pressure was witnessed in oil and gas, telecom stocks. The benchmark Brent Crude traded at $66.40 a barrel.

Driven by demand for a skilled workforce in emerging technologies such as cyber security, Internet of things (IoT) and Big Data, India will generate over 14 lakh new IT jobs by 2027, a Cisco-led study said on Thursday. This is likely to lead to a long term bullish trend in TMT (Technology, Media, Telecom) shares in the Indian stock markets.

Budget passenger carrier SpiceJet reported a standalone net loss of Rs389.37 crore for the quarter ended September 30, 2018. The airline had reported a net profit of Rs105.27 crore during the corresponding month of the previous fiscal. "As an impact of strong cost pressures faced during this quarter, the company paid an amount of Rs272 crore on account of increase in cost of aviation turbine fuel, Rs78 crore on account of rupee depreciation and an amount of Rs46 crore on account of forex losses on its obligations as compared to Q2 2017," the airline said in a statement. "Revenue performance remained disciplined and fell by only 1% in spite of severe competition." SpiceJet shares closed at Rs82.95, down 0.90% on the BSE.

Yes Bank on Wednesday said that its non-executive independent part-time Chairman Ashok Chawla has resigned with immediate effect. Yes Bank shares closed at Rs206.00, down 7.42% on the BSE.

Reliance Infrastructure (RInfra) reported a year-on-year rise of 16% in its consolidated total income for the second quarter of 2018-19. Vodafone Idea reported a consolidated net loss of Rs4,973.8 crore for the July-September quarter. The company, in its maiden quarterly result after the merger of Vodafone India and Idea Cellular, reported a total income of Rs7,878.6 crore during the second quarter of the current fiscal year ending March. The merger was completed on August 31. 

The Reserve Bank of India said it has imposed penalties on Deutsche Bank A.G. of Germany and The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd for violating various norms. The penalties imposed are Rs3.1 crore on Deutsche Bank A.G. and Rs3 crore on The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd. The heavy fines came for the two banks' "non-compliance with the direction" of RBI on Income Recognition and Asset Classification (IRAC), Know Your Customer/Anti-Money Laundering (KYC/AML) norms, and on disclosure of monetary penalties imposed by the regulator. Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd shares closed at Rs39.20, down 1.13% on the BSE.

Steel Strips Wheels has bagged new exports orders for steel wheels for EU (European Union) caravan market. The order comprises of over 70,000 Wheels, mix of 13" and 14", to be shipped from its Chennai plant over next 3 months. The company’s shares closed at Rs1,062.00, down 2.18% on the BSE.

Lupin has received approval for its Decitabine for Injection from the US FDA (Food and Drug Administration) to market a generic version of Otsuka Pharma's Dacogen. It is indicated for the treatment of patients with myelodysplastic syndromes (MDS). Lupin shares closed at Rs852.60, up 1.34% on the BSE.

The government hopes that the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its board meeting on November 19 will address the liquidity crisis that initially triggered a tiff between the government and the central bank, sources said.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

October trade deficit widens to $ 17.13 billion despite decline in gold imports -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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15 November 2018
 
Gold (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The trade deficit for the month of October widened to $17.13 billion vs $13.98 billion in September. The deficit widened despite a decline of 42.9 per cent in gold imports to USD 1.68 billion. Imports during the month also rose by 17.62 per cent to USD 44.11 billion, leading to widening of trade deficit. Exports in October 2018 were US $ 26.98 Billion, as compared to US $ 22.89 Billion in October 2017, exhibiting a positive growth of 17.86 per cent.

Oil imports in October increased by 52.64 per cent to USD 14.21 billion. The non-oil imports rose by 6 per cent to USD 29.9 billion in the month. India’s trade deficit had declined to a five-month low in September even as exports contracted, providing some respite from the rising gap that has sparked concern about the current account deficit (CAD). The gap between exports and imports, or trade deficit, declined to $13.98 billion in September from $17.39 billion in August following slower growth in imports.

Exports were pegged at $27.95 billion in September, down 2.15% from a year ago, while imports rose 10.45% to $41.9 billion, lowest in five months The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government plans to make gold hallmarking mandatory soon: Ram Vilas Paswan -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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15 November 2018
 
Gold (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The government is planning to soon make hallmarking mandatory for gold jewellery sold in the country, Food and Consumers Affairs Minister Ram Vilas Paswan said Thursday. The hallmarking of gold, which is voluntary in nature at present, is a purity certification of the precious metal. The Bureau of Indian Standards (BIS), under the Consumer Affairs Ministry, is the administrative authority of hallmarking. "BIS has set standards for hallmarking of gold jewellery in three grades of 14 carat, 18 carat and 22 carat. We are going to make it mandatory soon," Paswan said at a BIS event organised to commemorate World Standards Day with a theme on 'Global Standards and the fourth Industrial Revolution'.

Paswan, however, did not specify the date of implementation of the mandatory gold hallmarking, but stressed on the need to adopt the standards in the interest of consumers. India has 653 (rpt) 653 BIS-recognised assaying and hallmarking centres; and maximum of them are located in Tamil Nadu, followed by Kerala. As fourth industrial revolution would be of smart technologies, the minister said the BIS has a challenge to speed up the work in setting standards to ensure the country is not lagging behind in this area.

Paswan launched the revamped website of BIS and the pre-standardisation report on smart manufacturing. Minister of State for Consumer Affairs C R Chaudhary too emphasised that the need of the hour is to discuss setting of standards for new smart technologies like artificial intelligence that are being embraced by the industry. BIS Director General Surina Rajan said committees have been set up already to study standardisation of smart technologies to be used in fourth industrial revolution, when machines will be working like human beings and vice versa

There are numerous standards development organisations which are working in the direction to develop standards that will be conducive for the fourth industrial revolution, which refers to emerging technologies that are blurring the traditional boundaries between the physical, digital and biological worlds, she said. "It is a big challenge for us. There is a need to improve efficiency, speed and quality of our efforts to align with international standards. We will keep in mind the requirement of industry and consumers while making standards of smart technologies," she added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI penalises Deutsche Bank, J&K Bank for flouting norms -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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15 November 2018
 
Reserve Bank of India (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The Reserve Bank of India on Wednesday said it has imposed penalties on Deutsche Bank A.G. of Germany and The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd for violating varous norms.

The penalties imposed are Rs 30.10 million on Deutsche Bank A.G. and Rs 30 million on The Jammu & Kashmir Bank Ltd., vide its orders of Nov. 5, said a RBI statement.

The heavy fines came for the two banks' "non-compliance with the direction" of RBI on Income Recognition and Asset Classification (IRAC), Know Your Customer/Anti-Money Laundering (KYC/AML) norms, and on disclosure of monetary penalties imposed by the regulator.

The RBI action has been taken under relevant sections of the Banking Regulation Act, 1949, taking into account the failure of both banks to adhere to the apex bank's directions.

It added that the action is based on deficiencies in regulatory compliance and is not intended to pronounce upon the validity of any transaction or agreement entered into by the two banks with their customers.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions