Saturday, 10 February 2018

Friday, 9 February 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Rally Next Week – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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9 February  2018

I had mentioned in last Friday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were under pressure. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a sharp correction over the week, in line with the global stock market indices. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The major Indian stock market indices continued their slide on Monday, losing 0.87% over Friday’s close. The fact was that a combination of factors including, weak global cues, the LTCG (long term capital gains) tax effect, increase in fiscal deficit and selling pressure in capital goods, banking and finance stocks led to the continued decline in stock market indices. On the NSE, there were 530 advances, 869 declines and 21 unchanged.

Eicher Trucks and Buses on Monday launched its first electric bus "Skyline Pro E". According to the company, the new electric bus model is powered by an indigenously developed "Revolvo" electrification technology. "The Smart Electric Skyline Pro E buses are certified to ply on Indian roads and we are confident they will bring great value to commuters, city transportation corporations and other organizations in this ecosystem," Vinod Aggarwal, MD and CEO, VE Commercial Vehicles said. The company said that the bus has been manufactured at the Indore manufacturing facility of VE Commercial Vehicles. 

On Monday, Union Bank of India reported a net loss of Rs1,250 crore for the third quarter of 2017-18, against a net profit of Rs104 crore in the corresponding period of 2016-17. "Net loss for October-December 2017 stood at Rs1,250 crore. This includes investment depreciation of Rs700 crore and Rs991 crore of additional provision for 18 accounts referred to National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT), as per RBI list-II," the company said in a BSE filing. "The bank has provided entire amount of additional provision for NCLT accounts up front which was to be spread till March 2018." Further, the company's net interest income for October-December 2017 quarter increased to Rs2,548 crore from Rs2,136 crore earned during the year ago period. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a sharp correction on Tuesday and closed over 1.5% lower than Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 238 advances, 1,316 declines and 33 unchanged. A massive downturn in the global stock markets unleashed a selling frenzy on the domestic bourses during the day's trade. According to market observers, all the major Asian as well as European stock markets, edged lower following an overnight downward correction in Dow Jones by over 1,100 points. The two main indices of the Indian equity market -- S&P BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty50 -- plunged by around 3.30% each, with the Sensex plunging by over 1,000 points. 

Tata Steel is looking at Rs1,000 crore revenues over the next three years from its home solutions business, an official said. "Our revenue from retail interior steel home solutions in the current fiscal will be about Rs200 crore. We expect this to be Rs1,000 crore in the next three years," Tata Steel VP (Marketing and Sales) Peeyush Gupta said. According to him, steel doors launched by the company under 'Pravesh' brand has been doing well and emerging as the main revenue contributor in the interior home solution products segment. 

Government-owned Punjab National Bank (PNB) reported a rise of 11.06% in its net profit to Rs230.11 crore in the third quarter (Q3) ended December 31, 2017. The bank had reported a net profit of Rs207.18 crore during the corresponding period of 2016-17. Total income of the bank in the period under review stood at Rs15,257.50 crore -- up 8% -- from Rs14,123.98 crore in Q3 FY17. 
On Wednesday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets opened higher but gave up all the gains closed with small losses over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,209 advances, 323 declines and 55 unchanged.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept its key interest rate unchanged at 6% for the fourth time in succession at its final bi-monthly monetary policy review of the fiscal, citing concerns about the inflationary push by rising global crude oil prices. Announcing the policy review, the RBI said its decision is consistent with the neutral stance of the central bank aimed at achieving its median inflation target of 4%. The continuing rise in food and fuel prices pushed India's annual retail inflation rate over the 5% mark in December 2017 to 5.21%, from 4.88% in November 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Two-wheeler manufacturer Hero MotoCorp reported a 4.32% year-on-year rise in its standalone net profit for the quarter ended December 31, 2017. According to the company, its net profit during the period under review increased to Rs805.43 crore from Rs772.05 crore reported in Q3 2016-17. The company's total income during Q3 2017-18 rose by 5.47% to Rs7,415.51 crore from Rs7,030.57 crore earned during the corresponding period of 2016-17. 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Thursday and closed with gains over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,302 advances, 227 declines and 59 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Power utility firm CESC Ltd on Thursday reported a 1.3% increase in its standalone profit after tax (PAT) to Rs154 crore in the quarter ended December 31 as compared to Rs152 crore in the year-ago period. RP Sanjiv Goenka Group's flagship company also registered a sales growth of over 3% in the quarter. Its revenue from operations for the December quarter was Rs1,706 crore, up by 5.3%, as against Rs1,620 crore in the corresponding period of 2016-17. Asked about the flat profit in the quarter, company Chairman Sanjiv Goenka said: "There is no increase in tariff." The company's total expenses for the quarter under review was at Rs1,622 crore as against Rs1,511 crore in the same period of 2016-17. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

IT (information technology) services and technology solutions firm Sonata Software reported Rs49 crore consolidated net profit for the third quarter of 2017-18 from Rs40 crore in the same period year ago, registering 22% annual growth. "Consolidated revenue for the quarter under review grew 33% annually to Rs767 crore from Rs575 crore in the like period a year ago," said the city-based software firm in a statement here. Sequentially, net profit, however, grew 9% from Rs45 crore quarter ago and revenue a whopping 80 per cent from Rs427 crore. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) grew 10% annually to Rs72 crore from Rs65 crore year ago and 8% sequentially from Rs66 crore quarter ago. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian equities on Friday plunged into the negative territory following the negative trend in Asian markets, along with selling pressure in banking, auto, oil and gas, capital goods and IT stocks. Asian markets slumped on Friday tracking the decline in US stocks overnight (Thursday). The benchmark Dow Jones declined over 1,000-points for the second time this week, on Thursday, as rising bonds yields dented investors' sentiments.

The promoters of Fortis Healthcare resigned from the company's board. According to a late night BSE filing on Thursday, promoters Malvinder Mohan Singh and Shivinder Mohan Singh have resigned. The development happens days after the Delhi High Court upheld an international arbitral award of Rs3,500 crore to Daiichi Sankyo against the former promoters of Ranbaxy Laboratories. On Friday, the shares of the company closed at Rs148.60, up 17.89% on the NSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government working on draft policy for addressing issues raised by automakers-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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9 February  2018
 
Auto (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Minister of Heavy Industries and Public Enterprises, Anant Geete, assured automakers that the Government was working on a draft policy aimed at ironing out issues faced by the sector. He mentioned that opinions of all industry participants will be considered before drafting the policy.

The comment by Geete was in response to Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) President Abhay Firodia’s concern that there was a lack of uniformity in taxation with respect to the automobile sector. Firodia also raised the concern that Indian automakers are being given only 4 years to shift to BS-VI. Firodia also asked the Government not to write off diesel engines post BS VI implementation.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Geete stated that the draft of the new policy may be ready in the next two months. 
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Geete was speaking at the sidelines of the ongoing Auto Expo 2018 in Greater Noida. He assured industry participants that the Government would fully co-operate with the industry in making the transition to BS-VI and adoption of EVs as smooth as possible. The Government has roped in a consultant for drafting the policy
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SBI posts net loss of Rs 2,416 crore in Q3, bad loans jump-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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9 February  2018
SBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

State Bank of India (SBI) on Friday reported a net loss of Rs 2,416 crore in the quarter ended December 2017. The country's biggest lender in Q2 posted a standalone net profit of Rs 1,581 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On consolidated basis, the bank posted a net loss Rs 1,886 crore in the third quarter against a net profit of Rs 1,840 crore in Q2.

The bank's bad loans or non-performing assets (NPAs) in Q3 stood at Rs 1.99 lakh crore from Rs 1.86 lakh crore in the previous quarter. The ratio of bad loans jumped to 5.61 per cent of advances from 4.24 per cent.

Bad loans have nearly doubled in the banking sector in the past four years as a prolonged economic slowdown took its toll on the ability of companies to repay debt. The country's 21 state-run banks accounted for the bulk of the Rs 9.46 lakh crore worth of stressed loans as of end-September.


SBI's bad loans have risen also because of its merger with its five subsidiary banks earlier in 2017. The year-ago numbers have been restated after the merger.



The board decided to create, offer and issue equity shares with a face value of Re 1 each by way of preferential allotment in tune to raise Rs 8,800 crore from the government.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

UK Growth Downgrade Possible After Run Of Weak Figures-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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9 February  2018
Britain economy (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

A day after the Bank of England hinted that it could raise interest rates faster than many expected, a run of economic figures on Friday suggest the British economy did not end 2017 as strongly as previously thought.

Official figures showed a 1.3 percent monthly decline in industrial production in December and a 4.9 billion-pound ($6.9 billion) trade deficit for goods and services, its worst since September 2016. Though construction output was stronger than anticipated, expanding by 1.6 percent during the month, some economists say that the figures could lead to economic growth being revised down. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Today's data reinforces the message that the U.K. continues to underperform other developed market economies, growing at around half the rate of the U.S. and the eurozone," said James Knightley, chief international economist at ING.
"As such, while the Bank of England is clearly hinting at the potential for a May rate hike, we remain cautious on the longer term path for rates, particularly given the Brexit-related uncertainty." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Last month, the Office for National Statistics estimated that the economy grew 0.5 percent in the fourth quarter from the previous three-month period, a better-than-expected outturn that partly allowed the Bank of England on Thursday to talk up the chance of more rate increases.

Investors moved swiftly to price in a growing likelihood of a quarter-point interest rate hike in May to 0.75 percent, which would be the bank's second increase in six months. With unemployment at multi-decade lows and the global economy growing strongly, policymakers at the central bank are concerned that inflation is building. The Bank of England is tasked with setting rates to keep inflation near 2 percent. In December, it stood at 3 percent.

Even if fourth-quarter growth is not downgraded when the next estimate is published later this month, the trade figures are likely to provide rate-setters on the Bank's Monetary Policy Committee with pause for thought. Governor Mark Carney had said exporters were in a "sweet spot" at the moment — still in the European Union ahead of Brexit but also benefiting from the fall in the pound after Britain voted to leave the EU. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"The latest trade figures should temper the MPC's optimism that the economy is rebalancing and enjoying a trade boost," said Samuel Tombs, chief U.K. economist at Pantheon Macroeconomics.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Stocks Sink After Major US Index Enters Correction-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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9 February  2018
Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global stock markets sank Friday after the Dow Jones industrials on Wall Street plummeted more than 1,000 points, deepening a week-long sell-off.

Markets followed U.S. stocks lower after the Dow, coming off a record high, entered a "correction" — that is, a 10 percent decline from its latest peak — for the first time in two years.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In Europe, France's CAC 40 lost 1.2 percent to 5,087, Britain's FTSE 100 shed 0.7 percent to 7,122 and Germany's DAX fell 1.2 percent to 12,110. All three had dropped around 2 percent the day before.

Asian markets fell more sharply. The Shanghai Composite Index tumbled 5.5 percent before ending the day down 4 percent at 3,129.85. Tokyo's Nikkei 225 lost 2.3 percent to 21,382.62 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng retreated 3.1 percent to 29,507.42. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Wall Street, futures for the Dow and the Standard & Poor's 500 were down 0.1 percent and up 0.2 percent, respectively, though the actual market open does not always follow the futures closely in times of volatility.

Financial analysts regard corrections as a normal event but say the latest unusually abrupt plunge might have been triggered by a combination of events that rattled investors. Those include worries about a potential rise in U.S. inflation or interest rates and whether budget disputes in Washington might lead to another government shutdown. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Markets are down again today, maybe unnerved by fears that the U.S. Senate will not pass a budget bill in time to avoid a U.S. government shutdown," said Rob Carnell of ING in a report. "With financial markets vulnerable at the moment, this was not great timing for such political brinksmanship."

Chinese markets fell despite unexpected strongly trade data Thursday. Elsewhere in Asia, Seoul's Kospi 1.8 percent to 2,363.77 and Sydney's S&P-ASX 200 lost 0.9 percent to 5,838.00. India's Sensex retreated 1.1 percent to 34,017.83 and benchmarks in New Zealand, Taiwan and Southeast Asia also fell.

In Europe, markets were unnerved also by the Bank of England's indication on Thursday that it could raise its key interest rate in coming months due to stronger global economic growth. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
U.S. stocks started to tumble last week after the Labor Department said workers' wages grew at a fast rate in January.

Investors worried rising wages will hurt corporate profits and could signal an increase in inflation that could prompt the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates at a faster pace, putting a brake on the economy.

On Wall Street, many companies that rose the most over the last year have borne the brunt of the selling. Facebook and Boeing have both fallen sharply.

The S&P 500, the benchmark for many index funds, shed 100.66 points, or 3.8 percent, on Thursday to 2,581. Even after this week's losses, the S&P is up 12.5 percent over the past year. The Nasdaq composite fell 274.82 points, or 3.9 percent, to 6,777.16. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The market, currently in its second-longest bull run of all time, had not seen a correction for two years, an unusually long time. Many market watchers have been predicting a pullback, saying stock prices have become too expensive relative to company earnings.

"We may have seen the worst, but it's too early to say for sure. However, our view remains that it's just another correction," said Shane Oliver of AMP Capital in a report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Corrections of up to 15 percent "are normal," said Oliver.
"In the absence of recession, a deep bear market is unlikely," he said.
American employers are hiring at a healthy pace, with unemployment at a 17-year low of 4.1 percent. The housing industry is solid and manufacturing is rebounding. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major economies around the world are growing in tandem for the first time since the Great Recession and corporate profits are on the rise. That combination usually carries stocks higher. But stock prices have climbed faster than profits in recent years. Many investors justified that by pointing out that interest rates were low and few alternatives looked like better investments. Fast rising interest rates would make that argument much less persuasive.

In currency markets, the dollar edged up to 108.95 yen from Thursday's 108.73 yen. The euro dipped to $1.2244 from $1.2248.

Benchmark U.S. crude lost 64 cents to $60.51 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It fell 64 cents the previous session to $61.15.

Brent crude, used to price international oils, lost 44 cents to $64.37 in London. It retreated 70 cents on Thursday to $68.81.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 8 February 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Head Higher If Global Markets Don’t Tank Again – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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8 February  2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might stage a rally if Wednesday’s lows hold. The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Thursday and closed with gains over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,302 advances, 227 declines and 59 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
After seven consecutive days of losses, key Indian equity indices on Thursday surged to trade on a higher note, with the barometer Sensex of the BSE rising over 400 points. According to market observers, broadly positive Asian indices, coupled with buying in banking, capital goods, healthcare and auto stocks, lifted the equity indices during the mid-afternoon session.

Top gainers on the BSE were index heavyweights like Sun Pharma, Dr Reddy's Lab, Infosys, Axis Bank and HDFC. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Power utility firm CESC Ltd on Thursday reported a 1.3% increase in its standalone profit after tax (PAT) to Rs154 crore in the quarter ended December 31 as compared to Rs152 crore in the year-ago period. RP Sanjiv Goenka Group's flagship company also registered a sales growth of over 3% in the quarter. Its revenue from operations for the December quarter was Rs1,706 crore, up by 5.3%, as against Rs1,620 crore in the corresponding period of 2016-17. Asked about the flat profit in the quarter, company Chairman Sanjiv Goenka said: "There is no increase in tariff." The company's total expenses for the quarter under review was at Rs1,622 crore as against Rs1,511 crore in the same period of 2016-17. The company’s shares closed at Rs992.15, up 1.29% on the BSE.

IT (information technology) services and technology solutions firm Sonata Software reported Rs49 crore consolidated net profit for the third quarter of 2017-18 from Rs40 crore in the same period year ago, registering 22% annual growth. "Consolidated revenue for the quarter under review grew 33% annually to Rs767 crore from Rs575 crore in the like period a year ago," said the city-based software firm in a statement here. Sequentially, net profit, however, grew 9% from Rs45 crore quarter ago and revenue a whopping 80 per cent from Rs427 crore. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) grew 10% annually to Rs72 crore from Rs65 crore year ago and 8% sequentially from Rs66 crore quarter ago. The company’s shares closed at Rs290.75, up 1.92% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a move to strengthen the customer grievance redressal mechanism for Non-banking finance companies (NBFCs), Reserve Bank of India (RBI) announced it would be setting up an ombudsman for NBFCs. Sundaram Finance shares closed at Rs1,650.75, down 0.90% on the NSE.

Drug major Cipla reported a consolidated net profit of Rs403 crore for the third quarter of fiscal 2017-18, registering a 4.7% annual net profit growth from Rs385 crore in the same period a year ago. In a regulatory filing on the BSE, the city-based drug maker said consolidated net sales for the quarter under review (Q3) increased 7.6% annually to Rs3,835 crore from Rs3,564 crore in the like period a year ago. Sequentially, net profit declined 7.4% from Rs435 crore a quarter ago and net sales dipped 3.8% from Rs3,988 crore a quarter ago. On a standalone basis, the parent company's net income grew 23% annually to Rs419 crore in Q3 from Rs341 crore in the same period a year ago, but declined 26% sequentially from Rs566 crore a quarter ago. Similarly, standalone income from sales grew annually to 11.7% to Rs2,892 crore in Q3 but declined 28% sequentially from Rs2,976 crore. The company’s shares closed at Rs612.65, up 8.21% on the NSE.

In yet another measure to speed up retail transmission by banks of the central bank's cuts in the lending rate, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Wednesday said that it will link the Base Rate with the Marginal Cost of Funds-based Lending Rate (MCLR) from the next fiscal. This is likely to give a filip to investments in banks’ scrips.Automobile major Mahindra & Mahindra unveiled a wide range of electric vehicle concepts including, an electric bus "e-Cosmo", a two-seater electric pod "UDO", a lithium-ion battery powered electric three-wheeler "Treo" and eKUV100, India's first electric mini SUV. Mahindra & Mahindra shares closed at Rs752.20, up 1.18% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Cabinet approves Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code Bill-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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8February  2018
 
Parliament (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Union Cabinet chaired by the Prime Minister Narendra Modi has given Ex-post facto approval to the modifications carried out in the replacement Bill, which replaced the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (Amendment) Bill 2017, and which has been passed by the Parliament as the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (Amendment) Act, 2018.

The amendment will bring clarity and ensure that the prohibition of certain persons in the resolution process of an insolvent corporate person does not include unintended persons and the opportunity given to a person whose account is classified as the non-performing asset is more equitable.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Home loan set to get cheaper for borrowers with older base rate regime-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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8 February  2018
Home loan(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in its monetary policy announcement on Wednesday kept key interest rates at hold, but its observations on Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending Rates (MCLR) may bring cheers to Pre-April 2016 home loan borrowers. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The home loan rates of the Pre-April 2016 have not been revised by banks in line with market rates. These home loan borrowers, who were stuck in the older base rate regime, will now be linked to the current market-linked benchmark.
In its policy statement, RBI has asked banks to link the base rate to MCLR from April 1, 2018 to ensure expeditious transmission of its policy rate to borrowers.
RBI introduced the Marginal Cost of Funds based Lending Rates (MCLR) system with effect from April 1, 2016 on account of the limitations of the Base Rate regime. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
It is observed, however, that a large proportion of bank loans continue to be linked to the Base Rate despite the Reserve Bank of India highlighting this concern in earlier monetary policy statements.
"Since MCLR is more sensitive to policy rate signals, it has been decided to harmonise the methodology of determining benchmark rates by linking the Base Rate to the MCLR with effect from April 1, 2018," RBI said
Former RBI governor Raghuram Rajan introduced the MCLR to calculate the benchmark lending rate in another attempt to make banks pass on policy rate cut benefits to borrowers quickly and in a more transparent manner.
Under the base rate and BPLR, banks were following individual methodologies for computing the minimum rate at which they could lend. Under the MCLR, RBI asked all banks to follow the marginal cost of funds method to arrive at their benchmark lending rate.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
MCLR is calculated after factoring in banks' marginal cost of funds (largely, the interest at which they borrow money), return on equity (a measure of banks' profitability), and negative carry on account of cash reserve ratio.

RBI will issue necessary instructions in this regard by the end of next week.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions