Saturday, 12 August 2017

Striking The Right Balance-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12Th August  2017

SBI Magnum Balanced Fund(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Friday, 11 August 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Bounce a bit mid-week – Weekly closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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11 August  2017

I had mentioned in last Friday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were likely to go sideways. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered repeated daily trading corrections during the week to close the week on Friday with significant losses over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Despite positive global cues, the Indian equity markets gave up their morning gains to trade on a flat note during the mid-afternoon session on Monday as investors booked profits. Selling pressure was observed in IT (information technology), teck (technology, media and entertainment) and consumer durables stocks. On the NSE, there were 870 advances, 517 declines and 45 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The benchmark BSE Sensex edged higher on opening trade but gave up some of the early gains. Barring IT and technology, all the sectoral indices, led by metal, realty, bank and auto, were trading in the positive terrain with gains. Brokers said sentiments remained positive on the back of persistent capital inflows by foreign funds and widening of positions by retail investors. Also, a firm trend in other Asian markets after strong US job numbers provided relief to investors, pointed out market analysts. However, the major indices could not sustain the uptrend, as the market lacked momentum from the previous week’s market movements and investors turned cautious. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Shedding all their morning gains, the key Indian equity indices -- the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 -- traded in the red during the mid-afternoon session on Tuesday. According to market observers, broadly negative global cues and selling pressure in banking, oil and gas, and capital goods stocks dragged the key indices lower. On the NSE, there were 257 advances 1,240 declines and 29 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Equity benchmarks erased opening gains, with the Nifty testing 10,000 level due to selling pressure in banking and financials and oil stocks. Tata Steel gained as much as 3.44% after it reported a net profit of Rs921 crore during the April-June period, pointed out market observers. The top gainers on the NSE were Hindalco, Tata Steel and Vedanta, while top losers were Infratel, NTPC and Indian Oil Corporation. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

State-run Syndicate Bank reported a Rs263 crore net loss for the first quarter of 2017-18 as against Rs79 crore net profit in the like period year ago and Rs104 crore net profit in the last quarter of 2016-17. "Our net profit has turned negative due to higher provisioning for the quarter under review, which shot up 79% annually to Rs1,386 crore from Rs774 crore in the same period year ago," Bank Managing Director Melwyn Rego told reporters here. Provisioning for the gross non-performing assets (NPAs) also increased 16% sequentially from Rs1,193 crore last quarter. Operating profit, however, increased 27% annually to Rs980 crore from Rs774 crore but declined 35% sequentially from Rs1,514 crore. Total income for Q1 also declined 3.8% annually to Rs6,172 crore from Rs6,419 crore and 11% sequentially from Rs6,913 crore. Gross NPA grew 31% annually to Rs20,184 crore from Rs15,434 crore and 15% sequentially from Rs17,609 crore. Similarly, net NPA grew 21.3% to Rs12,188 crore from Rs10,051 crore over last year and 17% from Rs10,411 crore last quarter. Gross NPA ratio stood at 9.96% and net NPA ratio at 6.27%. Syndicate Bank shares closed at Rs69.70, down 2.58% on the NSE.

Negative global cues on the back of geo-political tensions, coupled with heavy selling pressure in healthcare, automobile and banking stocks, pulled the key Indian equity indices lower during the mid-afternoon session on Wednesday. Around 1 p.m., the NSE Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) traded below the psychologically important 10,000-point mark at 9,942.25 points -- down 36.30 points or 0.36% from its previous session's close. On the NSE, there were 251 advances, 1,236 declines and 36 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The BSE Sensex opened lower today against the previous session's closing. The broader NSE's Nifty, too, fell in the morning hours. The Indian rupee opened lower against the US dollar, pointed out market analysts. The shares of Tata Consultancy Services, Infosys, Mahindra and Mahindra rose, whereas the shares of ICICI Bank and Sun Pharma fell. Stocks in Asia declined with US equity-index futures and the South Korean currency tumbled as investors took a risk-off approach after the US and North Korea exchanged threats amid escalating tensions between the two nations, reported market observers. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Chennai-based Polaris Consulting and Services Ltd on Wednesday said it closed the first quarter of the current fiscal with a 24.2% decline in its net profit despite a growth in total income. The company in a statement issued here said its first quarter revenues stood at Rs554.9 crore against Rs501.90 crore earned for the period ended June 30, 2016. Polaris said its profit after tax for the period under review was Rs30.21 crore, down from Rs39.85 crore posted during the previous year's corresponding period. The company said the net profit for the quarter was impacted due to proactive hiring and account level investments made for supporting future growth. The company’s shares closed at Rs231.60, up 0.72% on the BSE.

The key Indian equity indices -- the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 -- tumbled for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday on the back of negative global cues and heavy selling pressure in automobile, capital goods and banking stocks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to market observers, investors booked profits ahead of quarterly results announcements of major companies like Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL), GAIL and Adani Power, among others. During the mid-afternoon session, the NSE Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) traded below the psychologically important 9,900-level, which was breached on July 14. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian equities extended losses for the fourth straight session taking lead from Asian markets, which traded in negative, following lower closing on the Wall Street. In India, investors will keep an eye on any development on the Sebi's decision to restrict trading in 331 shell firms, observed market analysts. Result calendar for companies like BHEL, GAIL, Petronet LNG, Bharat Forge, IOB, Adani Power, Union Bank Coffee Day Enterprises, GSPL and Gujarat Gas are among 340 companies scheduled to report their June quarter earnings later today. Top gainers on the NSE were Auropharma, Tech Mahindra and Lupin, while the losers for morning trade were Tata Motors DVR, Tata Motors and Eicher Motors, pointed out market analysts.

Commercial vehicle manufacturer Eicher Motors reported a rise of 31.9% in its consolidated net profit for the first quarter (Q1) of 2017-18. The consolidated net profit of the commercial vehicle and motorcycle brand Royal Enfield's manufacturer increased to Rs435 crore from Rs330 crore for the corresponding quarter of 2016-17. According to the company, its consolidated total income from operations (net of excise) increased by 28.6% to Rs2,001 crore as against Rs1,556 crore for the corresponding quarter last year. The company’s shares closed at Rs30,111.70, up 3.62% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The market fall continued on Friday. The key Indian equity indices -- the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 -- traded deep in the red during the post-afternoon session on Friday as negative global cues subdued investors' risk-taking appetite. According to market observers, investors booked profits ahead of quarterly results announcements of major companies like State Bank of India, Bank of Baroda, BPCL, Cipla and Hindalco, among others. The correction was sharp on Friday too and the major indices closed with losses of around 1% over Thursday’s close. Benchmark indices traded lower by 1%, extending falls for the fifth straight session, following a crack in the US stocks during the overnight trade on escalating geopolitical tensions over Korea. On the NSE there were 551 advances, 938 declines and 22 unchanged.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Inflation to be below RBI's 4% target by March 2018: Economic Survey-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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1 1August  2017

India faces the risk of deflationary impulses owing to stressed agricultural revenues, bad loans, farm loan waivers and the fiscal tightening they would entail, that could push inflation below the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) targeted 4 per cent by March 2018, according to the Economic Survey 2016-17 Volume-2. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tabled in the Lok Sabha on Friday, the Survey, however, notices a rekindled optimism on structural reforms in Indian economy. Various factors such as launch of the Goods and Services Tax (GST), positive impacts of demonetisation, decision in principle to privatise Air India, further rationalisation of energy subsidies and actions to address the twin-balance sheet (TBS) challenge contribute to this optimism, it noted. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The document says that the fact that current inflation is running well below the 4 per cent target suggests that inflation by March, 2018 is likely to be below the RBI's medium term target of 4 per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, the Survey cautions that anxiety reigns because a series of deflationary impulses are weighing on the economy, which is yet to gather its full momentum and is still away from its potential. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"These include: stressed farm revenues, as non-cereal food prices have declined, farm loan waivers and the fiscal tightening they will entail and declining profitability in the power and telecommunication sectors, further exacerbating the twin-balance sheet (TBS) problem," the document said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

It also stated that farm loan waivers could reduce aggregate demand by as much as 0.7 per cent of GDP, imparting a significant deflationary shock to the Indian economy.

The document also adds that a growing confidence that macro-economic stability has become entrenched is evident because of a series of government and RBI actions and because of structural changes in the oil market have reduced the risk of sustained price increases.

Examining if India is undergoing a structural shift in the inflationary process toward low inflation, the Survey notes that the oil market is very different today than a few years ago in a way that imparts a downward bias to oil prices, or at least has capped the upside risks to oil prices. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Lauding the Centre's demonetisation move, the document said that there was a spurt in new taxpayers and reported income after the note ban and a total of 5.4 lakh new taxpayers got added post it. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Demonetisation's impact on the informal economy increased demand for social insurance, particularly in less developed states," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

It also adds that sustaining current growth trajectory will require action on more normal drivers of growth such as investment and exports and cleaning up of balance sheets to facilitate credit growth. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The ratio of stressed companies in the power sector has been steadily rising this year, reaching 70 per cent, with an associated vulnerable debt of over Rs. 3.6 lakh crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The telecommunications sector has experienced its own version of the "renewables shock" in the form of a new entrant that has dramatically reduced prices for, and increased access to, data, thereby benefiting - at least in the short run - consumers, after launching of services by the new entrant in September 2016, the average revenue per user (ARPU) for the industry on aggregate has come down by 22 per cent vis-a-vis the long term (December 2009-June 2016) ARPU, and by about 32 percent since September 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As regards outlook for growth 2017-18, the Survey (Volume I) had forecast a range for real GDP growth of 6.75 per cent to 7.5 per cent for FY 2018. For outlook for prices and inflation 2017-18, the Survey notes the outlook for inflation in the near-term will be determined by a number of proximate factors, including the outlook for capital flows and exchange rate.

The Survey said that the capital flows and exchange rate in turn will be influenced by the outlook and policy in advanced economies, especially the US, the recent nominal exchange rate appreciation, the monsoon, the introduction of the GST, the 7th Pay Commission awards, likely farm loan waivers and the output gap. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As regards review of economic developments 2016-17, the Survey notes that real economy grew by 7.1 per cent in 2016-17 compared with 8 per cent the previous year. This performance was higher than the range predicted in the Economic Survey (Volume I) in February.

"This growth suggested that the economy was relatively resilient to the large liquidity shock of demonetisation which reduced cash in circulation by 22.6 per cent in the second half of 2016-17," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The current account deficit narrowed in 2016-17 to 0.7 per cent of GDP, down from 1.1 per cent of GDP the previous year, led by the sharp contraction in trade deficit.

Export growth turned positive after a gap of two years and imports contracted marginally, so that India's trade deficit narrowed to 5.0 per cent of GDP in FY 2017 as compared to 6.2 per cent in the previous year.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Passenger car sales up 9% in July-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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11 August  2017

Sales of domestic passenger cars increased by 8.52 per cent in July, as compared to the same period last year, data showed on Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As per data furnished by the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), 192,773 passenger cars were sold in July, 2017 as compared to 177,639 units sold in July, 2016.

The off-take of other sub-segments such as utility vehicles zoomed up by 35.52 per cent during the month to 86,874 units, while sales of vans rose by 7.64 per cent to 19,350 units.

Industry data revealed that the overall domestic passenger vehicle sales edged higher by 15.12 per cent in July to 298,997 units from 259,720 sold during the corresponding period in 2016.


Further, the data showed that overall commercial vehicles' sales increased by 13.78 per cent to 59,000 units in July. The segment is a key indicator of economic activity.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

REC and PFC flouted norms leading to bad loans: CAG-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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11 August  2017

The CAG on Thursday criticised state-run Rural Electrification Corporation (REC) and Power Finance Corporation (PFC) for sanctioning loans to independent power producers without following internal guidelines and RBI rules, leading to rise in bad loans.

"The REC and PFC did not conduct appropriate due diligence during credit appraisal and in the process assumed higher risks on the loan accounts," the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) said in its report tabled in the Lok Sabha. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The REC and the PFC disbursed loans of Rs 47,706.88 crore to independent power producers (IPPs) during 2013-14 and 2015-16, which were audited by the CAG.

"Non-Performing Assets (NPAs) related to IPP loans, in both companies, increased sharply to Rs 11,762.61 crore over a three-year period ending March 31, 2016," a CAG release said here.

As per the audit findings, the REC and the PFC estimated a higher tariff at the time of appraisal of loan proposals, which resulted in sanction of loans of Rs 8,662 crore in six cases "where the levelised generation cost was higher than the actual levelised tariff, rendering the viability of the project doubtful". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The CAG said the assessment of experience of project promoters was based on individual judgement, and that promoters who did not have relevant sector experience were often found eligible for loans. Many of these projects could not be completed within schedule.

"Nine projects had to be restructured multiple times, leading to increase in interest during construction by Rs 13,312.78 crore in six, and NPAs of Rs 3,038.44 crore in three loan cases," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The financial capacity of the promoters was not appropriately assessed in these cases and the promoters failed to bring in equity for the project in the face of competing demands," it added.

The REC and the PFC could not ensure end-utilisation of funds by the borrowers. The CAG found diversion of Rs 2,457.60 crore by the borrowers and promoters in five cases.


"Both the companies were solely dependent on Auditors Certificate regarding end-use of the funds, despite specific guidelines of the Reserve Bank of India in July 2013, which advised financing agencies to strengthen internal controls and credit risk management systems to enhance quality of loan portfolios," the official auditor said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

North Korea Tensions Continue To Weigh On Global Stocks-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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11 August  2017

Ongoing tensions between North Korea and the United States weighted on stock markets once again Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 was down 1.1 percent to 7,306, while France's CAC 40 fell 1.1 percent to 5,058. Germany's DAX fared better, trading only 0.2 percent lower at 11,989. Wall Street was poised for a soft opening with S&P futures and Dow futures both down 0.2 percent.

FIRE AND FURY: Keeping up his tough talk, U.S. President Donald Trump told reporters that North Korean leader Kim Jong Un's government should "get their act together" or face the consequences, and suggested that his earlier threat to unleash "fire and fury" on North Korea was too mild. The remarks, following North Korea's earlier revelation of a plan to launch a salvo of ballistic missiles toward the U.S. Pacific territory of Guam, gave investors further incentive to take to the sidelines at least in stock markets.

ANALYST TAKE: "Equities look set to end this week on a downer, as geopolitical uncertainty regarding North Korea shakes volatility from its 2017 slumber," said Mike van Dulken, head of Research at Accendo Markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
US DATA: The other potential driver in markets will be upcoming U.S. economic data, including monthly inflation figures, which could go a long way to determining expectations for the pace at which the Federal Reserve raises interest rates. Both the core and headline rates are expected to have risen by 0.2 percent during July. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

THE QUOTE: "Inflation — or lack of —- has been an ongoing problem for the central bank and some policy makers have voiced concerns about this in recent months as they consider whether to raise interest rates again this year," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA. "Should we see another dip in inflation in July, it could make the job of building a consensus for another rate hike this year more difficult." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ASIA'S DAY: Earlier, Asia bore the brunt of the mounting geopolitical uncertainty, with South Korea's Kospi index closing down 1.7 percent at 2,319.71 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng ending 2 percent lower at 26,883.51. Shanghai's main index also tumbled 1.6 percent to 3,208.54 while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 dropped 1.2 percent to 5,693.10. Japan was closed on a public holiday.

OIL: Benchmark U.S. crude lost 24 cents to $48.37 per barrel on the on the New York Mercantile Exchange while Brent crude, used to price international oils, declined 20 cents to $51.70 per barrel in London. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

CURRENCIES: The euro slipped 0.1 percent to $1.1176 while the dollar was steady at 109.20 yen.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 10 August 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Bounce Back a Bit – Thursday closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance SolutionsMajor Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

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10 August  2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were headed lower. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a further correction on Thursday and closed with losses of around 1% over Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The key Indian equity indices -- the BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 -- tumbled for the fourth consecutive session on Thursday on the back of negative global cues and heavy selling pressure in automobile, capital goods and banking stocks. According to market observers, investors booked profits ahead of quarterly results announcements of major companies like Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL), GAIL and Adani Power, among others. During the mid-afternoon session, the NSE Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) traded below the psychologically important 9,900-level, which was breached on July 14. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian equities extended losses for the fourth straight session taking lead from Asian markets, which traded in negative, following lower closing on the Wall Street. In India, investors will keep an eye on any development on the Sebi's decision to restrict trading in 331 shell firms, observed market analysts. Result calendar for companies like BHEL, GAIL, Petronet LNG, Bharat Forge, IOB, Adani Power, Union Bank Coffee Day Enterprises, GSPL and Gujarat Gas are among 340 companies scheduled to report their June quarter earnings later today. Top gainers on the NSE were Auropharma, Tech Mahindra and Lupin, while the losers for morning trade were Tata Motors DVR, Tata Motors and Eicher Motors, pointed out market analysts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Stock exchange major National Stock Exchange of India (NSE) on Wednesday said that it has commenced the process to verify the credentials of firms on its platform, on whom trade restrictions were imposed by regulator Sebi. "Sebi has directed exchanges to shift 331 companies to the Graded Surveillance Measure (GSM), Stage VI, with immediate effect. Of these 331 companies, only 48 are listed on NSE. Of these 48 companies, 10 companies were suspended prior to this directive of Sebi," the NSE said in a statement. "Sebi has asked NSE to seek documents from these 48 companies and verify the credentials and fundamentals of these companies. The exchange has already commenced the process of collecting information, as advised by Sebi and will be reporting to Sebi after completing the exercise." Stock market regulator Sebi had imposed trade restrictions on 331 firms which are suspected of being "shell companies" on Monday. The major indices consequently suffered a correction on Thursday.

Commercial vehicle manufacturer Eicher Motors reported a rise of 31.9% in its consolidated net profit for the first quarter (Q1) of 2017-18. The consolidated net profit of the commercial vehicle and motorcycle brand Royal Enfield's manufacturer increased to Rs435 crore from Rs330 crore for the corresponding quarter of 2016-17. According to the company, its consolidated total income from operations (net of excise) increased by 28.6% to Rs2,001 crore as against Rs1,556 crore for the corresponding quarter last year. The company’s shares closed at Rs30,111.70, up 3.62% on the NSE.

Full-service passenger carrier Jet Airways on Wednesday announced the appointment of Vinay Dube as its CEO after the receipt of all requisite government and regulatory approvals. The company's Board of Directors at their last meet held on 30 May 2017 had approved Dube's appointment. Dube's last assignment was with Delta Airlines as its Senior Vice President-Asia Pacific. The airlines’ shares closed at Rs560.75, down 8.63% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The National Aluminium Co Ltd (NALCO) has registered a net profit of Rs129 crore in the first quarter (Q1) of the current fiscal 2017-18, compared to Rs135 crore in the corresponding previous fiscal. According to the reviewed financial results for the first three months of the this financial year, taken on record by the Board of Directors in a meeting held here on Wednesday, operating income is up by 45% compared to the same period the previous year. NALCO has achieved remarkable growth in production on all fronts, said a statement. During the quarter, bauxite production was 18.81 lakh tonnes, registering a 10.4% growth over 17.04 lakh tonnes produced in the corresponding period of previous year. Alumina hydrate production was 5.26 lakh tonnes, which is 0.4% higher as compared to 5.24 lakh tonnes produced during the corresponding period of last fiscal, the statement said. During the quarter, the company produced 1,00,695 tonnes of aluminium, which is 6.6% more than 94,496 tonnes produced in the 1st quarter of previous financial year. The net power generated during the quarter was 1,599 million units. This has gone up by 7.4%, against 1,489 million units generated in the corresponding period of last year. Besides, in the field of renewable energy, the company has generated 88 million units of wind power during these three months. The total alumina sale during the quarter was 2.59 lakh tonnes and of aluminium 88,752 tonnes. Nalco shares closed at Rs64.80, down 7.89% on the BSE.

Direct tax collection was up by 19.1% to Rs 1.90 lakh crore in the April-July period, the government said on Wednesday. "Direct tax collection during the said period, net of refunds, stands at Rs1.90 lakh crore which is 19.1% higher than the net collections for the corresponding period of last year," the Finance Ministry said in a statement. The collection up to July 2017 indicates that 19.5% of the annual budget target of direct taxes (Rs9.8 lakh crore) had been achieved, it said. Refunds amounting to Rs61,920 crore had been issued during April-July 2017, which is 5.1% lower than the refunds issued during the corresponding period of 2016-17. Government spending on projects is likely to be healthy this fiscal and consequently, the long term trend of the Indian stock markets is bullish.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)