Friday 29 June 2018

Nifty, Sensex Fighting the Fall – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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29 June 2018

I had mentioned in last Friday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were trendless. The major indices of the Indian stock markets closed with weekly losses over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Monday and closed with losses over Friday’s close. Decline in international markets and rising global trade tensions subdued the key Indian equity indices on Monday. According to analysts, selling pressure was witnessed in the auto, oil and gas and banking stocks. On the NSE, there were 485 advances, 1,252 declines and 339 unchanged.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Senior officials of 11 public sector banks (PSBs) will appear before the Parliamentary Standing Committee on Finance on Tuesday on the issue of the banks' massive non-performing assets (NPAs), or bad loans, and increasing number of fraud cases. The committee, headed by Congress leader M Veerappa Moily, is preparing a report on the "Banking Sector in India - Issues, Challenges and the Way Forward, including Non-Performing Assets/Stressed Assets in Banks/Financial Institutions".The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions 

IndiGo said its Chief Commercial Officer Sanjay Kumar is leaving the airline and would be replaced by William Boulter. IndiGo's Interim CEO Rahul Bhatia said Kumar's contribution has been very significant "in getting us to the level we are today". Kumar, who has been associated with the no-frills carrier for the last 12 years, has put in his papers to pursue other career interests, IndiGo said in a release. His resignation would be effective from July 15. Boulter, currently the airline's Chief Strategy Officer, would be taking over from him. 

The key Indian equity indices traded in the green on Tuesday as they pared the losses made in the early morning trade. The indices had opened on a flat-to-negative note due to decline in the global markets and the ongoing trade war concerns. FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) and IT (information technology) stocks witnessed buying activity. At the close of trading, the major indices failed to sustain their gains and closed on a flat-to-positive note. The indices were tracking mixed global markets. On the NSE, there were 517 advances, 1,196 and 349 unchanged.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Even as most global rating agencies have kept India's growth forecast between 7.3% and 7.4%, NITI Aayog Vice Chairman Rajiv Kumar has said the economy would grow at least 7.5% in the current fiscal and may even go as high as 7.8%. This is good news for the long term bullish trend in the Indian stock markets.
Fitch Ratings on Tuesday affirmed India-based Bharti Airtel's Long-Term Foreign-Currency Issuer Default Rating (IDR) and senior unsecured rating at 'BBB-' with the outlook on the IDR as stable. "The stable outlook reflects our belief that revenue from Bharti's Indian mobile segment may recover on higher data volume and its African and enterprise business segments will continue to expand. We believe India's tariff levels are unsustainable in the medium- to long-term in light of the low return on investment for telcos. In addition, Bharti is committed to an investment-grade rating and may explore stake sales in non-core assets to support its balance sheet," Fitch said. 

Fugitive tycoon Vijay Mallya has sought the Karnataka High Court's permission to let him and his holding firm UBHL sell their assets under judicial supervision and repay creditors, including state-run banks. "UBHL (United Breweries Holding Ltd) and myself have filed an application before the Karnataka High Court on June 22, setting out available assets of about Rs13,900 crore," said Mallya in a letter released here on Tuesday.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Wednesday and closed with losses over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 273 advances, 1,490 declines and 300 unchanged. Negative global cues, including rise in crude oil prices and escalating trade war concerns, pulled the key Indian equity indices deep into the red on Wednesday. Major global indices traded in the negative territory during the day. In the domestic market, analysts said, oil and gas, capital goods, auto and banking stocks witnessed selling pressure.

State-run lender Allahabad Bank is looking at a recovery of around Rs5,500 crore in the current fiscal, an official said on Wednesday. The bank has submitted a roadmap to the Centre and if everything goes "well and smooth" as per its projections, it was likely to come out of prompt corrective action (PCA), imposed by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI), by March 2020, the official said. "We are expecting Rs3,000 crore recovery through resolution in NCLT (National Company Law Tribunal) in the entire financial year, another Rs2,000 crore through normal recovery process and Rs400-500 crore through asset sales," Allahabad Bank Executive Director N.K. Sahoo said. "We have recently recovered around Rs1,300 crore from the resolution of Bhushan Steel and Electrosteel Steels," he added. The bank has an outstanding exposure of Rs4,000 crore in several accounts referred to NCLT including Uttam Galva, Alok Industries, Essar Steel, he said, adding that it was hopeful of recovering from these accounts in the current fiscal. The bank may have to take a hair-cut upto 50%-60% in these accounts, he added. 

Cigarette-to-FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) major ITC Ltd said it would seek shareholders' approval to re-appoint its non-executive chairman YC Deveshwar for another two years from 2020 to 2022, given the increasing size and complexity of the diversified conglomerate. "...given the increasing size and complexity of the organisation, the Committee and the Board are of the view that it would be in the best interest of the Company for Y.C. Deveshwar to continue in his capacity as Chairman for some more time," said notice for its 107th Annual General Meeting to be held here next month. 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Thursday. Globally, investor sentiments were weighed down in the ongoing trade war concerns among major economies. In the domestic indices, selling pressure was witnessed on consumer durables, banking and capital goods stocks. On the NSE, there were 463 advances, 1,270 declines and 329 unchanged.

The Indian rupee touched an all-time low and breached the 69 per dollar mark on Thursday due to high crude oil prices and weak macro-economic fundamentals.
Public sector Indian Bank on Thursday said the Board of Directors have decided to annul their earlier decision to declare dividend at Rs6 per equity share as it has not provided fully for the mark-to-market (MTM) loss. Indian Bank shares closed at Rs346.60, down 0.19% on the NSE.

State-run lender UCO Bank, which is aspiring to be back in profit, is aiming at recovery of bad loans of around Rs4,000 crore during the current fiscal, its MD and CEO R.K. Takkar said. The Kolkata-headquartered lender is hopeful of making net profit and coming out of the Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in the next two years, he said. "We are looking at various avenues -- main is recovery. Our PCR (Provisioning Coverage Ratio) is quite healthy at more than 60%. So, once NCLT resolutions happen, either through OTS (one-time settlement) or normal recovery channels, it will help us not only reducing our NPAs but also writing back the provisions and booking some profit, depending on how much haircut we will have to take," he said. The lender has exposures to nine of the 12 large stressed accounts, identified by the Reserve Bank of India to get resolved under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). The bank's overall exposure to these nine accounts was around Rs4,300 crore. The RBI had initiated a PCA against the bank in May last year in view of high non-performing assets and negative return on assets. Its gross non-performing assets, in absolute term, went up to Rs30,549.92 crore as on March 31, 2018, over 35% year-on-year jump from Rs22,540.95 crore in the year-ago. As provisioning for stressed assets increased, during the last fiscal, it incurred a net loss of Rs4,436 crore compared to Rs1,851 crore for the previous fiscal.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Breaking the two-day losing streak, the key Indian equity indices closed with substantial gains on Friday. Both the BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty50 ended one per cent higher from their previous closing levels. The indices rose due to value buying along with broadly positive global cues, according to market observers. In the domestic market, they said, healthy buying activity was witnessed in consumer durables, capital goods and oil and gas stocks.

The Board of Directors of ICICI Bank has approved the appointment of Girish Chandra Chaturvedi as non-executive part-time Chairman effective from July 1, 2018 subject to regulatory approvals, in the vacancy caused by cessation of term of M.K. Sharma (Independent Director & Chairman). ICICI Bank shares closed at Rs274.70, up 1.22% on the NSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Fortis Healthcare (FHL) has extended the deadline for submission of binding bids to July 3. According to a BSE filing made late on Thursday night: "the date for submission of the Binding Bids... of the Transaction Process Letter dated May 29, 2018, stands revised to Tuesday, the July 3, 2018." On June 1, FHL had said that it will consider the bids of four suitors -- Hero Enterprise Investment Office and Burman Family Office, IHH Healthcare Berhand, Radiant Life Care and TPG Asia and Manipal Health Enterprises -- in the new transaction process. The earlier date of bid submission was June 28. Fortis Healthcare shares closed at Rs134.85, down 0.07% on the NSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



India’s fiscal deficit reaches 55.3% of FY19 target in April-May-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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4 June 2018
INR (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India reported on Friday a fiscal deficit of  3.45 trillion ($50.37 billion) during the April-May period, or 55.3% of the budgeted target for fiscal year 2018-19 compared with 68.3% a year ago. Net tax receipts in the first two months of FY19 were 1.02 trillion, government data showed. India expects to trim the deficit to 3.3% of GDP in this fiscal year, after meeting an upwardly revised fiscal deficit target of 3.5% of GDP in 2017-18. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Government should not load LIC with loss-making bank: AIBEA-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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29 June 2018


 
LIC (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The Central government should not shirk its responsibility of providing additional capital to IDBI Bank while burdening LIC with the task of bailing out the loss-making bank, said a top leader of a banking employees' union on Friday.

Referring to the news of the Life Insurance Corporation of India (LIC) being allowed to increase its stake in IDBI Bank, All India Bank Employees' Association (AIBEA) General Secretary C.H. Venkatachalam, in a letter to the Union Finance Minister Piyush Goyal, said that due to the huge pile of bad loans in IDBI Bank, the need has arisen to provide it additional capital.

While investment is a part of LIC's business, it cannot be that all loss-making institutions are to be bailed out by LIC at the cost of the interest of the common people who are investors in the life insurance company, he added.

According to Venkatachalam, like the banks, even LIC has a huge portfolio of non-performing assets/investments.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

If LIC invests in IDBI Bank, then the government's stake in the bank will come down below 51 per cent which is contrary to the assurance given to the Parliament when IDBI was converted into a bank, he added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

22,000 rural agriculture markets to be linked by 2020:Agri Minister -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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29 June 2018
 
Gajender Singh Sekhawat (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Union Minister of State for Agriculture Gajendra Singh Shekhawat on Friday said 22,000 rural agriculture markets will be linked to make a national agricultural market by 2020.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"We will upgrade existing 22,000 rural 'haats' into Gramin Agricultural Markets. These will be connected with e-National Agriculture Market (e-NAM) to provide farmers facility to make direct sale to potential buyers," said Shekhawat at AgriVikas 2018 here.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
He said all 585 e-mandis have been connected under the agricultural market reforms. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The minister also said entrepreurship has to be developed in the agriculture sector and added India has the potential to meet the demand of food industry in the world. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Union Petroleum Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said technology and innovation can be a real game-changer for the agriculture sector in Odisha.
"Farmers and farming in Odisha are constrained by outdated labour intensive techniques due to lack of skill development as a result of which the state's agrarian economy has lagged far behind it's true potential and is always grappling with challenges," said the Minister.
It is with this belief that AgriVikas2018 aims to contribute a small step in the long journey of scripting a new story for Odisha's agriculture, he added.
Union MSME Minister Giriraj Singh said women workforce has to be increased for the growth of the country.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"There has been a rise in production of many agricultural products in Odisha but farmers here still depend on other states for other essential goods. It has come as a challenge for Odisha to attract market for the surplus produced goods," said Singh.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Saying that turmeric has medicinal value and "can help cure cancer", he said Odisha's Kandhamal district's turmeric can be exported to the international market which would largely benefit the farmers and boost the economy.
"But the careless government in Odisha ruined farmers' income and prosperity," he added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The Minister said if Odisha's agriculture produce is supplied to regional, national and international markets, it would create opportunities for farmers and would boost Odisha's economy.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Shares Mostly Higher Despite Trade Uncertainty-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 June 2018
Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Global shares were mostly higher Friday as investors weighed how trade tensions between the U.S. and other nations might escalate. European shares were boosted by an EU deal on migration that is perceived to stabilize the German government.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: France's CAC 40 gained 1.2 percent to 5,334 and Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.7 percent to 7,667. Germany's DAX was up 1.1 percent at 12,306 as the migration deal means less pressure on Chancellor Angela Merkel from coalition partners who threatened to cause the government to collapse. U.S. shares were set to drift higher, with Dow futures gaining 0.4 percent and S&P 500 futures up 0.3 percent.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 edged nearly 0.2 percent higher to finish at 22,304.51, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.3 percent to 6,194.60. South Korea's Kospi advanced 0.5 percent to 2,326.13. Hong Kong's Hang Seng added 1.6 percent to 28,942.56, while the Shanghai Composite index rose 2.2 percent to 2,847.42.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

TRADE WORRIES: U.S. President Donald Trump's threat of tariff hikes on up to $450 billion of Chinese products reflects fears Beijing's plans are a threat to American technological leadership and prosperity. That has triggered global worries about how the curtailing of free trade might hurt economies and industrial sectors, but markets are still unsure of what the impact might be. On Friday, China started giving foreign companies more access to auto manufacturing, insurance and other fields. The move had been sought by Washington, Germany and others.

THE QUOTE: "Risk sentiment has firmed noticeably on the dearth of new headlines surrounding trade tensions," said Chang Wei Liang at Mizuho Bank in Singapore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude fell 13 cents to $73.32 a barrel after surging earlier this week. Brent crude, used to price international oils, rose 88 cents to $78.73 a barrel.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 110.61 yen from 110.50 yen late Thursday. The euro climbed to $1.1656 from $1.1567.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 28 June 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Suffer Some More Losses – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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28 June 2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were headed lower. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Thursday and closed with losses over Wednesday’s close. Globally, investor sentiments were weighed down in the ongoing trade war concerns among major economies. In the domestic indices, selling pressure was witnessed on consumer durables, banking and capital goods stocks. On the NSE, there were 463 advances, 1,270 declines and 329 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:Bottom of Form

The Indian rupee touched an all-time low and breached the 69 per dollar mark on Thursday due to high crude oil prices and weak macro-economic fundamentals.

Public sector Indian Bank on Thursday said the Board of Directors have decided to annul their earlier decision to declare dividend at Rs6 per equity share as it has not provided fully for the mark-to-market (MTM) loss. Indian Bank shares closed at Rs346.60, down 0.19% on the NSE.

State-run lender UCO Bank, which is aspiring to be back in profit, is aiming at recovery of bad loans of around Rs4,000 crore during the current fiscal, its MD and CEO R.K. Takkar said. The Kolkata-headquartered lender is hopeful of making net profit and coming out of the Prompt Corrective Action (PCA) framework of the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) in the next two years, he said. "We are looking at various avenues -- main is recovery. Our PCR (Provisioning Coverage Ratio) is quite healthy at more than 60%. So, once NCLT resolutions happen, either through OTS (one-time settlement) or normal recovery channels, it will help us not only reducing our NPAs but also writing back the provisions and booking some profit, depending on how much haircut we will have to take," he said. The lender has exposures to nine of the 12 large stressed accounts, identified by the Reserve Bank of India to get resolved under the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC). The bank's overall exposure to these nine accounts was around Rs4,300 crore. The RBI had initiated a PCA against the bank in May last year in view of high non-performing assets and negative return on assets. Its gross non-performing assets, in absolute term, went up to Rs30,549.92 crore as on March 31, 2018, over 35% year-on-year jump from Rs22,540.95 crore in the year-ago. As provisioning for stressed assets increased, during the last fiscal, it incurred a net loss of Rs4,436 crore compared to Rs1,851 crore for the previous fiscal. UCO Bank shares closed at Rs18.05, down 1.10% on the NSE.

In a move aimed at bridging revenue and fiscal deficits and raising funds for the cash-crunched state exchequer, the Punjab cabinet approved the disinvestment of three ailing public sector units (PSUs). The process of divestment of the loss-making Punjab Communications Ltd, Punjab Financial Corporation and Punjab State Industrial Development Corporation will be carried out by a core group of officers to be set up under the chairmanship of the Chief Secretary. The decision has been taken based on the recommendations of Punjab Governance Reforms and Ethics Commission, a spokesman said here after a cabinet meeting. The decision was taken as the cabinet felt the disinvestment of the three PSUs would help in raising funds for capital expenditure and infrastructure development, funding social welfare schemes and improving the performance of PSUs by instilling professional and corporate business ethics, the spokesman said. Punjab earned only Rs4.90 crore as dividend in 2017-18 from its 50-odd PSUs, while the state resources locked up in these PSUs amount to Rs7,614 crore. The total amount of outstanding government loans of these PSUs is around Rs25,393 crore and the unpaid loan against the government guarantee stands at Rs18,312 crore approximately (as on March 31, 2018). The cabinet noted that the central government had collected around Rs1 lakh crore from the strategic and non-strategic disinvestment of Central Public Sector Enterprises in 2017-18, taking advantage of the market conditions. 

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Government to launch scheme to prevent distress sales by farmers -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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28 June 2018
 
Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The government is likely to soon launch a Rs 500-crore programme that aims to end distress sales by farmers of tomato, onion and potato (TOP) crops. 

The ministry of food processing Industries expects approval from the Standing FinanceNSE -1.41 % Committee for the Rs 500-crore Operations Greens scheme. Announced by the Finance minister in this year's budget, this programme intends to enhance farmers’ income, create integrated supply chains, and reduce price volatility.
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“We are in the process of finalizing the scheme and will be placing it before the Standing Finance Committee. Once approved, it will be launched by July,” said Jagdish Prasad Meena, secretary, food processing ministry. 

He said that the focus will be to intervene in top 10 major producing clusters for each crop. “This will lead to enhancement in the incomes of tomato, onion and potato farmers, capacity building of Farmers Producers Organisations, reduction in post-harvest losses, creation of processing infrastructureNSE -2.24 %, provision of agri-logistics for supply chain and reduction in price volatility of TOP for consumers," Meena said.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions 

The ministry has circulated a note to agriculture ministry, finance ministry, Niti Aayog and commerce ministry. There are suggestions on factoring in seasonal and regional variation in production, bringing non-traditional area under TOP farming, and linking cultivation to primary processing. 

The pattern of assistance has been proposed that 50% of the eligible project cost will be given, subject to a maximum of Rs 50 crore per project. Preference would be given to states that have implemented APMC reforms. 
FPOs, cooperatives, companies, food processors, logistic operators, service providers, supply chain operators, retail and wholesale chains and central and state government entities could link up with farmers for quality production of crops, post-harvest processing facilities, storage and preservation facility, primary processing, agri-logistics and marketing support, he said. Financial assistance for production in TOP clusters would be provided under the Mission , said officials. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Under pressure from US, India may cut oil imports from Iran-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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28 June 2018
oil(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India’s oil ministry has asked refiners to prepare for a 'drastic reduction or zero' imports of Iranian oil from November, two industry sources said, the first sign that New Delhi is responding to a push by the United States to cut trade ties with Iran. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
India has said it does not recognize unilateral restrictions imposed by the US, and instead follows UN sanctions. But the industry sources said India, the biggest buyer of Iranian oil after China, will be forced to take action to protect its exposure to the US financial system.
India’s oil ministry held a meeting with refiners on Thursday, urging them to scout for alternatives to Iranian oil, the sources said.
“(India) has asked refiners to be prepared for any eventuality, since the situation is still evolving. There could be drastic reduction or there could be no import at all,” said one of the sources, who has knowledge of the matter.
During the previous round of sanctions, India was one of the few countries that continued to buy Iranian oil, although it had to reduce imports as shipping, insurance and banking channels were choked due to the European and US sanctions. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The source said this time the situation is different.
“You have India, China and Europe on one side, and US on the other... At this moment we really don’t know what to do, but at the same time we have to prepare ourselves to face any eventuality,” said the source.
While a State Department official has said that Washington wants Iranian oil buyers to halt imports from November, U.S. Ambassador to the United Nations Nikki Haley has told Prime Minister Narendra Modi to lessen dependence on Iranian oil. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Haley, currently in Delhi, spoke with US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo early on Wednesday, before meeting PM Modi.
The US push to curb countries’ imports of Iranian oil comes after President Donald Trump withdrew from a 2015 deal between Iran and six world powers and ordered a reimposition of sanctions on Tehran.
Some sanctions take effect after a 90-day “wind-down” period ending on Aug. 6, and the rest, notably in the petroleum sector, following a 180-day “wind-down period” ending on Nov. 4. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
OUTPUT BOOST FROM OPEC
Under pressure from the US sanctions, Reliance Industries Ltd, the operator of the world’s biggest refining complex, has decided to halt imports.
Nayara Energy, an Indian company promoted by Russian oil major Rosneft, is also preparing to halt Iranian oil imports from November after a communication from the government, a second source said. The company has already started cutting its oil imports from this month.
Indian Oil Corp, Mangalore Refineries and Petrochemicals Ltd and Nayara Energy, the top three Indian buyers of Iranian oil, and the oil ministry did not respond to Reuters’s request for comments.
Removing Iranian oil from the global market by November as called for by the United States is impossible, an Iranian oil official told the semi-official Tasnim news agency on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The options to find replacements to Iranian oil have widened after OPEC agreed with Russia and other oil-producing allies last week to raise output from July by about 1 million bpd, with Saudi Arabia pledging a “measurable” supply boost but giving no specific numbers.
Saudi Arabia’s plans to pump up to 11 million barrels of oil per day (bpd) in July would mark a new record, an industry source familiar with Saudi oil production plans told Reuters on Tuesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The second source said there were plenty of options available in the market to replace Iranian oil. “There are companies and traders that are willing to give you a 60 day credit, crude is available in the market,” the source said.
To boost its sales to India, Iran recently offered virtually free shipping and an extended credit period of 60 days. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
“We can buy Basra Heavy, Saudi or Kuwait oil to replace Iran. Finding replacement barrels is not a problem, but it has to give the best economic value,” a third source said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions