Tuesday 3 April 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Head Higher – Tuesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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3 April  2018


I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might be headed for more gains. The major indices closed with small gains over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,197 advances, 359 declines and 56 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Tuesday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Asian markets fell after US stocks closed sharply lower hit by uncertainty surrounding trade policy and weakness in shares of technology and internet companies, pointed out market analysts. The White House has slammed China after it imposed retaliatory tariffs as high as 25% on 128 American products, including pork and wine. Beijing's tit-for-tat move came on Monday following US President Donald Trump's decision to slap trade charges of up to $60 billion on Chinese imports on March 22. Trump did not revoke them despite Beijing's stern warning. Reacting angrily to Beijing's action, the White House said: "Instead of targeting fairly traded US exports, China needs to stop its unfair trading practices which are harming US national security and distorting global markets." "China's subsidisation and continued overcapacity is the root cause of the steel crises," spokeswoman Lindsay Walters said. The back-and-forth measures reflected the escalating tensions between the US and China, which President Trump has described as an "economic enemy", the BBC reported on Tuesday. These factors could continue to cause uncertainty in the Indian stock markets.

At its first bi-monthly monetary policy review of the new fiscal, the RBI is expected to continue with its stance of the previous year when the central bank kept its key interest rate unchanged at 6 per cent over three successive reviews. Although hopeful of a cut in the Reserve Bank of India's repo, or short-term lending rate for commercial banks, India Inc expects the regulator to also maintain its 'neutral' stance on monetary policy that allows the RBI room for moving either way on rates. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Lower production of refinery products slowed the pace of India's eight major industries' output in February, official data showed. The Index of Eight Core Industries (ECI), which represent the output of major sectors like coal, steel, cement and electricity rose by 5.3% last month compared to an increase of 6.1% in January. However, on a year-on-year basis, the ECI showed an uptrend. It had inched up by 0.6% in the corresponding month of 2017. "The combined Index of ECI stood at 123.1 in February 2018, which was 5.3% higher as compared to the index of February 2017," said the Commerce & Industry Ministry. "Its cumulative growth during April to February 2017-18 was 4.3%." The ECI index carries 40.27% weightage of the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) which is the macro-gauge for India's factory output. On a sector-specific basis, refinery products, which have the highest weightage of 28.03%, grew by 7.8% in February 2018 as compared with the corresponding month of the last fiscal. Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs899.55, up 0.90% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) reported a 10% year-on-year rise in its automobile sales during March 2018. According to the company, total auto sales including exports in March 2018 increased to 62,077 units, against 56,202 units sold during the same month last year. Besides, M&M's domestic sales rose by 10% to 58,653 vehicles from 53,493 vehicles sold in March 2017. Segment-wise, sales of domestic passenger vehicle category which includes utility vehicles, cars and vans stood at 26,555 vehicles as against 25,523 vehicles sold during March 2017, registering a growth of 4%. The commercial vehicle segment of the domestic market, the automobile major sold 25,496 vehicles in the month under review, up 11% on a year-on-year basis. In addition, exports in March 2018 stood at 3,424 units, up 26% from 2,709 units which were shipped out in March 2017.  The company’s shares closed at Rs770.10, up 2.93% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's manufacturing sector growth falls to 5-month low in March-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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3 April  2018


India's manufacturing sector(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's manufacturing sector activity fell to a five-month low in March, as new business orders rose at a slower pace, and firms showed little appetite for recruitment, says a monthly survey. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers Index (PMI), fell from 52.1 in February to a five-month low of 51.0 in March, indicating the slowest improvement in operating conditions recorded by the survey since last October.
This is the eighth consecutive month that the index remained above the 50-point-mark. In PMI parlance, a print above 50 means expansion, while a score below that denotes contraction. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"India's manufacturing sector continued to grow, albeit at the weakest pace since October, reflecting weaker gains in new business and a decline in employment for the first time in eight months," said Aashna Dodhia, Economist at IHS Markit and author of the report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Dodhia noted that the impact of US tariffs on steel and aluminium on India is expected to be limited, as India's exports in both metals to the US accounted for less than 0.4 percent of total merchandise exports.
Though new export orders rose during March, Dodhia said, "On a negative note, further advances in trade disputes could potentially weigh on sales to international clients". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the employment front, firms reduced their payroll numbers for the first time in eight months, albeit at a fractional pace.
"PMI employment data gave warning signs in the labour market," Dodhia said, adding that "manufacturers operating in consumption and intermediate market groups signalled no appetite for recruitment".
Meanwhile, business sentiment remained weak, reflecting some concerns regarding business prospects over the next 12 months.
"Indeed, amid a slower expected pace of recovery in consumer spending, IHS Markit marginally downgraded its real GDP forecast to 7.3 percent for fiscal year 2017-2018," Dodhia said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the prices front, the survey noted that the recent "build-up of inflationary pressures eased in March, with softer increases in both input costs and output prices recorded".The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


India can do a Silicon Valley in 5 years, innovation ecosystem needs a boost: World Bank-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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3 April  2018
Silicon Valley(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India has the potential to innovate on the lines of Silicon Valley but it needs to do more for expanding the innovation ecosystem as it aspires to become a middle income country, World Bank India head Junaid Kamal Ahmad said today. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

He said what drives productivity is pertinent when it comes to innovation and is a very relevant question for India as it seeks to move up the ladder from low middle income to high income country. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Releasing a World Bank report on innovation in developing countries, he said: "I think we can do a Silicon Valley in India in the next five years..as the world is changing, we can leapfrog. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"I believe firm size, firm capability and innovation have a strong relationship. More needs to be done in the innovation ecosystem in India where firms continue to remain stagnant." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In developing countries, the concept of national innovation system must be expanded, said the World Bank Chief Economist for Equitable Growth, Finance and Institutions, William F Maloney.

According to the report, investments for innovation often consist of marginal improvements in process or products, rather than significant technology adoption or new product imitation. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"They very rarely involve frontier research...if a firm (or country) invests in innovation but cannot also import the necessary technology, contract or hire trained workers and engineers, or draw on new organisational techniques, the returns to that investment will be low."

Returns from investments in research and development (R&D) rise initially, but lack of complementary factors over time result in their decline, the report said.

"The policy makers conception of the national innovation system (NIS) must go beyond the usual institutions and policies designed to offset standard innovation-related market failures. The scope of the NIS must include broader complementary factors and supporting institutions," it added.

Further, innovation cannot be supply driven, there must be demand from firms that have the capabilities to innovative.
"On this demand side, the firm and its decisions to innovate, policy makers must be concerned with the incentives for firms to accumulate the necessary physical, human and knowledge capital," Maloney said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Automobile manufacturers post healthy March sales figures-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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3 April  2018
 
Automobile Manufacturer(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
An impending price hike, along with robust domestic demand and positive macro-economic growth indicators, led major automobile manufacturers to post healthy sales figures for March 2018.

On Monday, Hyundai Motor India (HMIL) reported a rise of 8.8 per cent in its overall sales including exports for March 2018 to 60,507 units from 55,614 in the corresponding period last year.

The company sold 48,009 vehicles in the domestic market last month, while it exported 12,498 units. Further, HMIL reported the highest financial year domestic sales of 536,241 units compared to 509,707 units sold in 2016-17, registering a growth of 5.2 per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Similarly, Mahindra and Mahindra (M&M) reported healthy off-take for March 2018. Its overall monthly sales grew by 10 per cent to 62,077 units, against 56,202 units sold during the same month of last year.

M&M's domestic sales rose to 58,653 vehicles and exports edged-up to 3,424 units. For the financial year ended March 31, 2018, M&M's auto sales stood at 549,154 vehicles compared to 507,598 vehicles during FY2017, registering a growth of eight per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Sunday, Maruti Suzuki India had reported a 14.9 per cent rise in its March sales at 160,598 units, as compared 139,763 units sold in the same month last year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to the company, domestic sales in March stood at 148,582 units, up 16.1 per cent from 127,999 units sold in the same month last year.

The automobile major closed the financial year ended March 31 with its highest ever total sales of 1,779,574 units, at a growth rate of 13.4 per cent.

Another automobile major, Tata Motors, on April 1 had posted a 35 per cent increase in its March sales to 69,440 units, as compared to 51,309 units in the same month last year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"In March 2018, Tata Motors registered a growth of 35 per cent at 69,440 units as against 51,309 units over last year due to the continued strong sales performance of its commercial and passenger vehicles business in the domestic market," the company had said in a statement.

Two-and-three-wheeler maker TVS Motor Company closed last month with 27 per cent growth in sales volume. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The company said it sold 326,659 units (315,765 units of two wheelers and 10,894 units of three wheelers) in March, up from 256,341 units (two wheelers -- 250,979 units and three wheelers -- 5,362 units) sold in March 2017.

Besides, two-wheeler major Hero MotoCorp reported a 20 per cent year-on-year rise in its monthly sales for March 2018 to 730,473 units from 609,951 units in the corresponding month of the previous year.

In the last financial year, the two-wheeler major's sales grew by 14 per cent to 7587,130 units from an off-take of 6,664,240 units in 2016-17.

In addition, Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India's (HMSI) total sales. including exports, increased to 440,499 units from 366,090 units sold in the corresponding period of 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the overall automobile sales trend, Sridhar V, Partner, Grant Thornton India told IANS: "Sales picked up on various positive economic indicators and the year end push post budget indications of a possible upward pricing from April 1 on some vehicle segments on account of increased import duties." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Trade War Fears And Tech Jitters Stalk Global Stock Markets-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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3 April  2018

Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Global stock markets fell for a second day Tuesday as investors continued to fret over a looming trade war between the U.S. and China and mounting public scrutiny of technology companies.
Stocks have been trending lower for weeks largely because of a series of tariffs announced by U.S. President Donald Trump and the Facebook data privacy scandal, which has raised the prospect of tighter regulation for social media and other tech stocks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
In the last week, Trump has also tweeted repeatedly about his new favorite foe, Amazon, whose owner also owns The Washington Post, which has been critical of the Trump administration. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Trump has approved possible higher U.S. duties on $50 billion of Chinese goods in response to complaints that Beijing steals or pressures foreign companies to hand over technology. Those tariffs come on top of previous proposals to raise tariffs on imported steel and aluminum.
In response, China announced it is raising tariffs on $3 billion of U.S. goods including pork, apples and steel pipe, increasing the risk of a broader conflict that might depress global trade. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"The mood remains decidedly bearish, and there is certainly no shortage of reasons to be fearful," said Chris Beauchamp, chief market analyst at IG. "It's times like this when investors face a choice — whether to sit and await developments or plunge back in."
That was evident in the performance of stocks on Tuesday.
Returning from the long Easter holiday weekend, Europe's stock markets tracked others lower, though the scale of the losses were diminished by expectations of a rebound on Wall Street later. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
In Europe, Germany's DAX fell 0.8 percent to 11,999 while London's FTSE 100 declined 0.2 percent to 7,037. France's CAC 40 was 0.5 percent lower at 5,140.
Wall Street was poised for some solid gains at the open Tuesday with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures up 0.5 percent. On Monday, the S&P posted its worst start to a quarter since October 2011 and saw the index fall below its 200-day moving average for the first time in almost 2 years.
U.S. technology companies are in the spotlight, notably Amazon, which posted hefty losses of around 5 percent Monday after Trump again voiced his concerns about the company on Twitter. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The sector was already in the gaze of investors after Facebook's data scandal last month that has raised the prospect of heightened regulation. Netflix, Microsoft and Google parent Alphabet have all seen their share prices decline.
"Pressure on the sector doesn't appear to be going away in the near-term which will continue to act as a drag on indices," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Earlier in Asia, the Shanghai Composite Index lost 0.8 percent to 3,163.63 and Tokyo's Nikkei 225 shed 0.4 percent to 21,292.29. Sydney's S&P-ASX 200 declined 0.1 percent to 5,751.90. Elsewhere, Seoul's Kospi ended down 27 points at 2,442.43. Hong Kong's Hang Seng bucked the trend, ending up 0.2 percent at 30,137.49. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Elsewhere, the euro was flat at $1.23 while the dollar rose 0.3 percent to 106.23 yen. In the oil markets, a barrel of U.S. crude gained 22 cents to $63.23 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange while Bren crude, used to price international oils, rose 29 cents to $67.93 in London.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Monday 2 April 2018

Nifty, Sensex may be headed for more gains – Monday closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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2 April  2018

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Monday and closed with significant gains over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,475 advances, 287 declines and 290 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Monday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Reliance Infrastructure has won an engineering, procurement and construction (EPC) contract for Rs441 crore from the Ministry of Road Transport and Highways for the upgrading of National Highway 66 in the Kashedi Ghat section which includes execution of three by three lane twin tunnels of total length 3.44 km, a company statement said here on Monday. Commissioned under the National Highway Development Programme (NHDP) - IV of the Ministry, the project is to be completed in 30 months. Thereafter, Reliance JV will operate and maintain the project for 48 months.  Reliance Infrastructure had bid for the project in joint venture with CAI, Ukraine. The company’s shares closed at Rs443.65, up 3.96% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Electrosteel Steels' resolution professional (RP) on Monday submitted Vedanta's resolution plan before the Kolkata bench of National Company Law Tribunal for final disposal after lenders declared it as "successful resolution applicant". However, Renaissance Steel, one of the resolution applicants, was opposing the Committee of Creditors' (COC) decision in respect to eligibility of its rival bidders, Vedanta Ltd and Tata Steel. A counsel, appearing for Renaissance, said: "We are opposing the CoC's decision on eligibility of Vedanta and Tata. We also opposed the resolution plan (of Vedanta)." Following a direction from the Tribunal, the CoC to the insolvent steel producer had decided to go ahead with Vedanta, rejecting objections raised by Renaissance Steel. On March 31, Vedanta informed stock exchanges that it was declared "successful resolution applicant" under the insolvency process and had received the Letter of Intent (LoI). The company also said it had accepted the terms of the LoI. Next hearing before the Tribunal was scheduled on April 4. Vedanta shares closed at Rs282.50, up 1.51% on the BSE.
Petroleum products should be brought under GST so that consumers can get the benefit of price rationalisation, Union Minister Dharmendra Pradhan said on Monday, a day after transport fuel prices in Delhi hit record highs, even as cleaner Euro-VI grade petrol and diesel supply began here. Speaking at an event here to mark Sunday's launch in Delhi of the "cleanest available" Euro VI emission norm-compliant BS VI fuels, in place of the earlier Euro IV grade, Pradhan recalled how the Central government had cut excise duties on fuels last year in the face of rising global crude prices and some states had followed suit by cutting local taxes. "On prices we have nothing to hide... petrol, diesel are international commodities and whenever there is a hike or fall in global rates we pass it on to the consumers," Pradhan said, noting that prices change on a daily basis under dynamic pricing. "India is a consumer sensitive country and the government has cut excise duties last year... some states also reduced VAT on fuels. States should now respond accordingly and responsibly." Indian Oil Corporation shares closed at Rs170.55, down 3.26%. Rising fuel prices could bring back inflation threats on the economy and to that extent adversely affect the Indian stock markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Two and three wheeler maker TVS Motor Company Ltd on Monday said it closed last month with 27% growth in sales volume. In a statement, the company said it sold 326,659 units (315,765 units of two wheelers and 10,894 units of three wheelers) in March, up from 256,341 units (two wheelers -- 250,979 units and three wheelers -- 5,362 units) sold in March 2017. The company’s shares closed at Rs662.30, up 7.35% on the BSE.

Pharma major Dr. Reddy's Laboratories Ltd and its American subsidiary, Promius Pharma, LLC on Monday announced the filing of a New Drug Application (NDA) for its migraine candidate DFN-02 with the US Food and Drug Administration (USFDA). The company’s shares closed at Rs2,132.35, up 2.40% on the BSE.
Commercial vehicle major Ashok Leyland on Monday said it closed last month with 20% sales growth. In a statement issued here, the company said it sold 22,453 units last month, up from 18,701 units sold in March 2017. Last fiscal the company sold a total of 174,873 units, up from 145,085 units sold during 2016-17, the statement added. The company’s shares closed at Rs148.10, up 1.93% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Maruti Suzuki India on Sunday posted a 14.9% rise in its March sales at 1,60,598 units, as compared 1,39,763 units sold in the same month last year, according to a company statement. In a release here, the country's biggest car manufacturer said that it, thus, closed out the financial year ended March 31 with its highest ever total sales of 1,779,574 units, at a growth rate of 13.4% in 2017-18. "This comprises highest ever domestic sales of 1,653,500 units. The export sales were 126,074 units," it said. Domestic sales in March stood at 1,48,582 units, up 16.1% from 1,27,999 units sold in the same month last year. The company’s shares closed at Rs9,009.05, up 1.65% on the BSE.

The CBI has registered a preliminary enquiry against Deepak Kochhar, husband of ICICI bank MD and CEO Chanda Kochhar, officials of the Videocon group and others to determine whether any wrongdoing was involved in the sanctioning of a Rs3,250 crore loan to the Videocon Group by the ICICI Bank Ltd as part of a consortium of banks in 2012. Bad publicity along with a fine levied by Reserve Bank on ICICI Bank led to a sharp correction of around 6% on the share price of ICICI Bank. Its shares closed at Rs261.90, down 5.93% on the BSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)