Friday, 15 December 2017

World Stocks Mixed Amid Raft Of Corporate Earnings-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 December  2017 

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might be headed higher over the next few days. The major indices of the Indian stock markets showed volatility in trading through the week and closed on Friday with small weekly gains over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets closed with gains over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 877 advances, 824 declines and 301 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tata Motors on Monday said it will increase prices of its entire passenger vehicle range by up to Rs25,000, starting from January, due to rising input costs. "The changing market conditions, rising input costs and various external economic factors have compelled us to consider the price increase," said Mayank Pareek, President, Passenger Vehicle Business, Tata Motors.

After average 20% wage hikes for Coal India Ltd's 2.98 lakh permanent workers, its trade unions are set for negotiating a wage revision for contractual workers and a committee for this is likely to be set up in a month, a trade union leader said on Sunday. After a long negotiation, Coal India management and workers' unions had signed the Memorandum of Agreement for National Coal Wage Agreement and this would be effective for five years till June 30, 2021. The state-run miner had said the wage hike for permanent workers' would have an estimated average annual impact of Rs5,667 crore and it had made provisions for the wage revision. The proposed committee will have representations from all the trade unions and also from the management, Ramanandan said. However, the miner's bottomline has been under pressure in the last few quarters and it had reported close to 40% fall in its consolidated net profit to Rs368.88 crore in the quarter ended September 30, 2017 as compared to Rs612.44 crore in the corresponding quarter last fiscal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Telecom major Airtel said it will provide mobile connectivity in 2,100 uncovered villages and national highways in the north-eastern states over the coming 18 months. This work is to be undertaken under an agreement with the Department of Telecom (DoT), a company release said. Caution ahead of macroeconomic data points release pulled the key indices of the domestic equity markets lower during Tuesday's trade session. According to industry observers, heavy selling pressure was witnessed in interest sensitive stocks -- banking, auto and capital goods -- and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) companies. On the NSE, there were 476 advances, 1,066 declines and 45 unchanged.

Bharti Airtel on Tuesday launched 4G services in the Ladakh region of Jammu and Kashmir, a company statement said. The statement said customers in 130 towns and villages, including Kargil, Leh, and Dras will now get connected with 4G. Under the Project Leap initiative, Airtel's nationwide 4G footprint now spans from Ladakh in the north to Kanyakumari in the south and from Tawang in the east to Kutch in the west. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

After a volatile trade session, the key Indian equity indices on Wednesday closed on a lower note as investors booked profits in metals, capital goods and banking stocks. According to market observers, the benchmark indices gave up all their morning gains to close in the red for the second day in a row as traders were cautious ahead of the US Federal Reserve's policy outcome later in the evening.  Selling pressure in index heavyweights like Cipla, Adani Ports, State Bank of India, ICICI Bank and Larsen and Toubro pulled the indices lower. On the NSE, there were 416 advances, 1,111 declines and 38 unchanged.

A spurt in food and fuel prices pushed India's annual retail inflation in November over the RBI's (Reserve Bank of India) median level of 4%, even as factory output growth in October contracted to 2.2%, official data showed on Tuesday, even as industry called for "remedial" measures to help revive demand. According to the data from the Ministry of Statistics & Programme Implementation, consumer price index (CPI) inflation in November rose to 4.88% from 3.58% reported for October. 

As per the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) data released by the Central Statistics Office, on a year-on-year basis, the manufacturing sector expanded by 2.5%, whereas mining output was a mere 0.2% and electricity generation expanded by 3.2%. Overall, the macro-economic data released by the government had dampened investors’ sentiments, on Wednesday.

Key Indian equity indices on Thursday traded in the red with selling pressure in consumer durables, capital goods and metal stocks. IT (information technology) major Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) was the top loser. However, later in the trading session, the major indices recovered and rallied to close with gains. On the NSE, there were 549 advances, 960 declines and 49 unchanged. US Federal Reserve overnight raised interest rates by 25 basis points in Janet Yellen's last policy meeting. Asian indices closed with small losses. 

A rise in food and fuel prices pushed India's annual rate of inflation based on wholesale prices to 3.93% for November, official data showed on Thursday. 
According to data from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the wholesale price index (WPI) accelerated to 3.93% in November from 3.59% during October and 1.82% during November 2016. On a sequential basis, the expenses on primary articles, which constitute 22.62% of the WPI's total weightage, edged higher by 5.28%, from an increase of 3.33% in October. The prices of food articles rose by 6.06% from an acceleration of 4.30% in October. Inflation data also contributed to the early losses in trading on Thursday. 


On Friday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied and closed with significant gains over Thursday’s close. Cheering the Gujarat exit polls, the key Indian equity indices extended gains for the second consecutive session and traded on a higher note on Friday. On the BSE market breadth, buying was observed in all the sub-indices, with the upward rally given a boost by index heavyweights like Mahindra and Mahindra, Bajaj Auto, HDFC Bank, Adani Ports, and Larsen and Toubro among others. On the NSE, there were 1,005 advances, 495 declines and 55 unchanged.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Exports up 31% in November; gold imports fall 26%-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 December  2017
Indias trade (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's exports recorded a robust growth of 30.55 percent to USD 26.19 billion in November, mainly on account of rise in shipments of  engineering, chemicals, and petroleum products, government data showed on Friday.
Imports too rose by 19.61 percent to USD 40.02 billion in November from USD 33.46 billion in the year-ago month, according to the data released by the Commerce Ministry. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Trade deficit widened to USD 13.82 billion in the month under review from USD 13.39 billion in November 2016. It was USD 14 billion in October.
Oil and non-oil imports grew by 39.14 percent and 14.57 percent to USD 9.55 billion and USD 30.47 billion, respectively in November.
Gold imports dropped by 25.96 percent to USD 3.26 billion last month.
Cumulative exports during April-September 2017-18 increased by 12.01 percent to USD 196.48 billion, while imports grew by 25.08 percent to USD 296.45 billion, leaving a trade deficit of USD 99.97 billion.

"Exports during November 2017 have exhibited high positive growth of 30.55 percent in dollar terms. This is on the pattern of positive growth in exports in last thirteen months with a dip of 1.12 percent in October 2017, " the ministry said in a statement.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Automobile manufacturers to hike prices from January 2018-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 December  2017
 
Cars (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Automobile companies on Thursday said they will hike the prices of their vehicles effective January 2018. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SUV manufacturer Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) announced that it plans to increase prices of its passenger and commercial vehicles by up to 3 per cent. 

According to the company, the upward price revision will be effective from January 2018. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

M&M Automotive Sector's President Rajan Wadhera said: "We have been holding back on price hikes and absorbing the higher input costs for a while, but with the increase in commodity prices we will have to take a price increase."

Another automobile manufacturer Volkswagen India also announced an upward price revision of up to Rs 20,000 across its product range effective from January 2018. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Volkswagen Passenger Cars' Director Steffen Knapp said: "The price increase is essential on account of several external economic factors as well as fluctuations in the global commodity price and local input cost and is in line with industry."

On Wednesday, automobile major Maruti Suzuki India had said that it will increase the prices of its entire passenger vehicle range by up to two per cent from January, due to rising input costs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The company will go in for an upward price revision by up to 2 per cent due to rising input costs," a Maruti Suzuki India official told IANS.

Earlier, Tata Motors had said that it will increase the prices of its entire passenger vehicle range by up to Rs 25,000, starting from January to offset the impact of rising input costs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Ford India had also said that it will increase the prices of all its vehicles by up to 4 per cent from January 1, 2018.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Government to bear MDR on transactions up to Rs.2,000-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 December  2017
 
Shopping (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

In a bid to encourage electronic payments, the central government will reimburse the Merchant Discount Rate (MDR) applicable on transactions up to Rs 2,000 for the next two years. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to the Minister of Electronics, IT and Law and Justice Ravi Shankar Prasad, the government will reimburse the MDR levied on transactions conducted via debit cards, BHIM UPI and Aadhaar enabled Payment System (AePS) on a transaction value of up to Rs 2,000 from January 1, 2018.

The decision to reimburse MDR to banks was taken by the Union Cabinet in its meeting held on Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The government today has taken a very major decision to accelerate digital payments in the country -- MDR charges -- of up to transactions worth Rs 2,000 shall now be reimbursed by the government," Prasad said at a press conference after the Cabinet meeting. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Consequent to the decision, transactions less than Rs 2,000 in value will not bear any additional form of MDR. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The reimbursements are estimated to cost the state exchequer Rs 1,050 crore in FY2018-19 and Rs 1,462 crore in FY2019-20. 

The decision also entails formation of a committee comprising of "Secretary Department of Financial Services, Secretary Ministry of Electronics and IT and the CEO, National Payment Corporation of India (NPCI)" to look into the industry cost structure of such transactions which will form the basis to determine the levels of reimbursement. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Union cabinet's decision follows the December 6, 2017 norms issued by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) which put a cap on MDR applicable on transactions conducted via debit cards from January 1, 2018.

The RBI capped MDR for debit card transactions based on two newly created categories -- small merchants with turnover up to Rs 20 lakh and other merchants with turnover above Rs 20 lakh. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Accordingly, cap on PoS (Point of Sales) was kept at Rs 1,000 per transaction or 0.90 per cent of the transaction value for "other merchants", while that of Rs 200 or 0.40 per cent has been set for "small merchants". 


The MDR for QR code-based transaction has been capped at Rs 200 or 0.30 per cent for "small merchants" and Rs 1,000 or 0.80 per cent for "other merchants". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Stocks Mixed As Investors Await US Tax Deal-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 December  2017
Hong kong financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

 World stock markets were mixed on Friday as investors waited to see if U.S. politicians could pass tax reform legislation before Christmas.
KEEPING SCORE: France's CAC 40 shed 0.4 percent to 5,337 and Germany's DAX lost 0.2 percent to 13,044. Britain's FTSE 100 edged up 0.1 percent to 7,458 after EU leaders said they would allow the Brexit talks to move on to the next stage, including trade. Wall Street was poised to open slightly higher. Both the Dow and S&P 500 futures were up 0.3 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
TAXING TIME: President Donald Trump's $1.5 trillion U.S. tax overhaul was teetering on a knife-edge in the Senate, complicating Republican leaders' goal of pushing it through Congress next week and shaking investor confidence. Senator Marco Rubio vowed to vote against the bill, which gives generous tax cuts to corporations and the wealthy, unless child tax credits are expanded. The bill's original version was approved by only 51-49, with Rubio's support.
MARKET INSIGHT: For the week ahead, "the main focus will be on whether the tax reform package will be wrapped up by the year's end and a longer spending package will be agreed to head off a partial government shutdown on December 23," said Shane Oliver, head of investment strategy at AMP Capital in Sydney. The uncertainty adds to investor risk but "a correction is likely to wait till next year," he added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
JAPAN SURVEY: Corporate sentiment in Asia's second biggest economy is at an 11-year high, according to a quarterly survey. The Bank of Japan's "tankan" large manufacturers' business outlook based on a poll of more than 10,000 companies posted its strongest reading since late 2006, in the latest sign that the economy is gaining momentum. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index dipped 0.6 percent to close at 22,553.22 but South Korea's Kospi climbed 0.5 percent to 2,482.07. Hong Kong's Hang Seng shed 1.1 percent to 28,848.11 and the Shanghai Composite index lost 0.8 percent to 3,266.14. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 sank 0.2 percent to 5,997.00. Indexes in Taiwan and Southeast Asia declined.
CURRENCIES: The dollar weakened to 112.20 yen from 112.37 yen on Thursday. The euro rose to $1.1809 from $1.1776.

ENERGY: Oil futures advanced. Benchmark U.S. crude rose 20 cents to $57.24 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose 44 cents on Thursday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, added 5 cents to $63.36 per barrel in London.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 14 December 2017

Nifty, Sensex Reverse Yesterday’s Decline – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 December  2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty might slip to 10,100. Nifty fell to 10,141 during the day and then rallied to close with gains over Wednesday’s close. The indices may continue to rally if they trade above today’s highs. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Key Indian equity indices on Thursday traded in the red during the mid-afternoon trade session with heavy selling pressure in consumer durables, capital goods and metal stocks. IT (information technology) major Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) was the top loser. However, later in the trading session, the major indices recovered and rallied to close with gains. On the NSE, there were 549 advances, 960 declines and 49 unchanged. US Federal Reserve overnight raised interest rates by 25 basis points in Janet Yellen's last policy meeting. Asian indices closed with small losses. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


A rise in food and fuel prices pushed India's annual rate of inflation based on wholesale prices to 3.93% for November, official data showed on Thursday. According to data from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the wholesale price index (WPI) accelerated to 3.93% in November from 3.59% during October and 1.82% during November 2016. On a sequential basis, the expenses on primary articles, which constitute 22.62% of the WPI's total weightage, edged higher by 5.28%, from an increase of 3.33% in October. The prices of food articles rose by 6.06% from an acceleration of 4.30% in October. Inflation data also contributed to the early losses in trading on Thursday.

Automobile major Maruti Suzuki India will increase the prices of its entire passenger vehicle range by up to two per cent from January, due to rising input costs. "The company will go in for an upward price revision by up to 2% due to rising input costs," a company official told IANS here. Earlier, Tata Motors had said that it will increase the prices of its entire passenger vehicle range by up to Rs25,000, starting from January to offset the impact of rising input costs. Another automobile manufacturer Ford India said that it will increase the prices of all its vehicles by up to 4% from January 1, 2018. Maruti Suzuki shares closed at Rs9,117.95, up 0.08% on the BSE. The S & P BSE Auto Index closed at 25,214.03, up 0.37% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has imposed a penalty of Rs3 crore on IndusInd Bank for non-compliance with its directions on "Income Recognition and Asset Classification" (IRAC) norms and contravention of regulatory restrictions pertaining to non-fund based (NFB) facilities. "This action is based on deficiencies in regulatory compliance and is not intended to pronounce upon the validity of any transaction or agreement entered into by the bank with its customers," the RBI said in a statement. The bank’s shares closed at Rs1,654.00, up 0.70% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


After almost 18 years, Hindustan Copper Ltd has formally reopened its Kendadih mine in Jharkhand's Ghatsila, the company said in a statement here. The mine was closed in February 2000, due to economic reasons, the company said. On completion of the mine development activities, Kendadih would produce 2.25 lakhs MT of copper ore annually. The company’s shares closed at Rs91.10, down 1.67% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


US Federal Reserve has raised the benchmark interest rates for the third time this year and maintained the forecast of three more rate hikes in 2018, as the economy and job market continued solid growth. "In view of realised and expected labour market conditions and inflation, the (Federal Open Market) Committee decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate to 1.25% to 1.5%," said the Fed in a statement on Wednesday after concluding two-day monetary policy meeting. In December 2015, the central bank first raised the interest rates from nearly zero and hiked three more respectively in December 2016, March, and June this year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


It has also started to reduce its $4.5 trillion balance sheet from October this year. The decision to raise interest rates is based on the assessment that the job market will remain strong growth. The central bank adjusted the statement language about the job market, painting a rosy outlook. "This change highlights that the committee expects the labour market to remain strong, with sustained job creation, ample opportunities for workers and rising wages," Fed Chair Janet Yellen said on Wednesday at her last press conference before her four-year term ends early next year. US stocks closed mixed, with the Dow closing at a record high. The Dow Jones Industrial Average on Wednesday gained 80.63 points, or 0.33%, to 24,585.43. The S&P 500 fell 1.26 points, or 0.05%, to 2,662.85. The Nasdaq Composite Index increased 13.48 points, or 0.20%, to 6,875.80.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's WPI inflation at 3.93% in November -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 December  2017
 
wholesale price index(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
India's annual rate of inflation based on wholesale prices stood at 3.93 per cent for the month of November, official data showed here on Thursday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


According to data from the Ministry of Commerce and Industry, the wholesale price index (WPI), with the revised base year of 2011-12, stood at 3.93 per cent (provisional) for the month of November, 2017 as compared to 3.59 per cent (provisional) for the previous month and 1.82 per cent during the corresponding month of the previous year.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Shrimp exports from India to nearly double to USD7 billion by 2022, says CRISIL-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 December  2017
 
Shrimp (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Shrimp exports from India is expected to nearly double to USD7 billion by 2022, driven by strong demand, high quality, improved product mix, and an increase in aquaculture area in Andhra Pradesh, Gujarat, Odisha and West Bengal – even as its Asian rivals battle structural issues and rising domestic consumption, according to a CRISIL report. India has so far racked up USD3.8 billion shrimp exports in fiscal 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Since 2010, shrimp production in Asia has been severely affected by diseases, floods, labour issues, and tightening environmental norms, pointed out the CRISIL report. This has helped India move ahead of other shrimp exporters. Indian exporters have in the past few years emphasised on lower-density shrimp farms to control diseases, while maintaining quality across the value chain. What also helped was the use of resilient specific pathogen free (SPF) brood-stock imported from the United States. Consequently, between fiscal 2012 and 2017, India’s shrimp production doubled, and helped it grab the opportunity created by lower supplies from Asia, according to the CRSIL report.

CRISIL rates 75 shrimp exporters, whose revenues grew at a compound annual growth rate of 9% between fiscals 2015 and 2017 to over USD2.2 billion, and contributed to ~60% of India’s shrimp exports. Their gearing, or debt to equity ratio, has improved to under 1 time from over 1.3 times, and strengthened their credit profiles. Says Rahul Guha, Director, CRISIL Ratings: “Strong volume growth and higher proportion of value-added products will bolster the operating profitability of CRISIL-rated shrimp exporters. Additionally, healthy accretions and the absence of major debt-funded capital expenditure will reduce leverage and further strengthen their credit profiles.”

As CRISIL has forecast increased shrimp exports, it adds, “Going forward, how the rupee moves and protectionist tendencies and increasing stringency towards quality, among importer nations would be the key monitorables.” 


With the macroeconomic data released by the government that the current account deficit has widened this year, the CRISIL forecast in shrimp exports is more a target to be achieved by the country, as a whole, rather than an extrapolation of recent good performance.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions