Thursday 20 July 2017

Nifty, Sensex Could Be Headed Lower – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance SolutionsMajor Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

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20 July 2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were trading in a narrow range. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small losses over Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Despite positive global cues, the Indian equity markets erased their morning gains to trade in the red during the mid-afternoon session on Thursday, as selling pressure was witnessed in metal, auto and IT (information technology) stocks.  On the NSE, there were 648 advances, 779 declines and 45 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Equity benchmarks erased early gains in the morning trade. Ahead of June quarter earnings, Kotak Mahindra Bank, Reliance Industries and Wipro gained up to 1.7%, while Bajaj Auto fell 0.4%, pointed out market analysts. Reliance Industries is slated to announce its earnings for the April-June quarter (Q1) on Thursday and hold its AGM (annual general meeting) the day after. Analysts expect the focus, both in terms of the June quarter numbers and the AGM, would be on the company's telecom business. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Reliance General Insurance on Thursday said it closed the first quarter with its gross written premium going up by 41% year-on-year and 22% growth in its profit after tax. The company board also approved listing of the shares in the stock exchanges to unlock value for the shareholders. In a statement issued here, the company said it has booked a gross written premium of Rs1,278 crore and an after tax profit of Rs44 crore for the quarter ended June 30. Reliance General Insurance is a wholly owned subsidiary of Reliance Capital Ltd. According to the insurer, its combined ratio for the period under stood at 104% down from 114% during the corresponding period of the previous year. Investment book increased to Rs6,888 crore - a year-on-year increase of 22%. Reliance General Insurance received mandates for Pradhan Mantri Fasal Bima Yojna in five states -- Maharashtra, West Bengal, Chhattisgarh, Uttar Pradesh and Jammu and Kashmir, the statement said. The company is also authorized under the Restructured Weather Based Crop Insurance Scheme in Uttar Pradesh and Maharashtra. According to the company, listing of the shares was expected to be completed by FY18, subject to regulatory approvals. Reliance Capital shares closed at Rs660.00, down 0.08% on the NSE.

State-run Canara Bank reported Rs252 crore net profit for first quarter of 2017-18, registering 10% annual growth over Rs229 crore in the same period last year. "Net interest income for the quarter under review, grew 18% year-on-year to Rs2,713 crore and non-interest income 33% to Rs2,109 crore," said the city-based bank in a statement here. The bank's global business, however, grew 5.4% to Rs8.3 lakh crore, with Rs.4.9 lakh in deposits, up 4.4% from last year and Rs3.4 lakh crore in net advances, up 6.7%. "Net Interest Margin for the domestic business was 2.6% and 2.3% for overseas operations," said the statement. With Rs1,331 crore cash recovery during the quarter, gross non-performing assets (NPA) ratio stood at 10.6% and net NPA at 7.1%. "We have resolved that the current fiscal would be a 'year of recovery and growth'. Efforts are being made to improve the bank's financial health, as reflected in the first quarter results," said Managing Director Rakesh Sharma in the statement. The NPA ratios have, however, shown an increase due to time lags in resolution. The bank’s shares closed at Rs352.40, down 5.08% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Bajaj Finance reported a surge of 41.98% in its standalone net profit after tax (PAT) to Rs602 crore for the first quarter (Q1) of the 2017-18. On a standalone basis, the company's net PAT for Q1 stood at Rs602 crore as compared to Rs424 crore reported during the corresponding quarter of last fiscal. During the quarter under review, the company's total income stood at Rs3,165 crore -- up 39% -- up from Rs2,282 crore reported during the same period of 2016-17. The company’s shares closed at Rs1,587.25, up 2.94% on the NSE.

The Union Cabinet gave its in-principle approval to the merger of oil marketer Hindustan Petroleum Corp Ltd (HPCL) with state-run explorer Oil and Natural Gas Corp. (ONGC), official sources here said. The cabinet approved the sale of the government's stake in HPCL to ONGC. Under the arrangement, the exploration giant will not have to make an open offer after buying the 51.11% government stake in HPCL, the sources added.  The HPCL board will continue to be in place, while it will be listed as a subsidiary of ONGC after the merger. Earlier on Wednesday, Petroleum Minister Dharmendra Pradhan had informed Parliament that ONGC had sent a proposal to acquire HPCL and that the "process for in-principle approval for this proposal has been initiated".  Presenting the Union Budget 2017-18 in February, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley had proposed the setting up of an integrated oil company by merger of upstream and downstream entities.  "We propose to create an integrated public sector oil major which will be able to match the performance of international and domestic private sector oil and gas companies," Jaitley said. ONGC shares closed at Rs165.50, up 1.53% on the NSE and HPCL shares closed at Rs368.10, down 4.07% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India not taken adequate steps to ensure firms obey anti-money laundering laws: US-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 July 2017
 
Indian Money (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The US has commented on Prime Minister Narendra Modi's demonetisation move, saying that while one of the purposes cited by him was to counter terrorist activity funded by counterfeit currency, India has yet to implement laws effectively on criminal convictions or take steps to ensure companies are adhering to anti-money laundering rules.

The US State Department, in its Country Reports on Terrorism, under the section Countering the Financing of Terrorism, says: "In November, Prime Minister Modi announced the demonetisation of 500 and 1,000 rupee currency notes and asserted that one purpose of this initiative was to curb terrorist activity funded by counterfeit notes, black money, and stockpiled cash reserves. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Although the Government of India aligned its domestic anti-money laundering/countering the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT) laws with international standards by enacting amendments to the Prevention of Money Laundering Act in 2012, and in 2016 initiated a National Risk Assessment for anti-money laundering/countering the financing of terrorism to assess the countrya�s terrorist financing risk, it has yet to implement the legislation effectively, especially with regard to criminal convictions."

It said law enforcement agencies in India acetypically open criminal investigations reactively and seldom initiate proactive analysis and longa'term investigations.

"While the Indian government has taken action against certain hawala financing activities, prosecutions have generally focused on non-financial businesses that conduct hawala transactions as a secondary activity. Additionally, the government has not taken adequate steps to ensure all relevant industries are complying with AML/CFT regulations.

"The reporting of terrorism-related Suspicious Transaction Reports (STRs) has shown an increasing trend in recent years, with India's Financial Intelligence Unit receiving 112,527 STRs between July 2015 and May 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In another criticism, it said that the degree of training and expertise in financial investigations involving transnational crime or terrorism-affiliated groups varied widely among the federal, state, and local levels and depended on the financial resources and individual policies of various jurisdictions. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

It said that US investigators "have had limited success in coordinating the seizure of illicit proceeds with Indian counterparts". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"While, in the past, intelligence and investigative information supplied by US law enforcement authorities led to numerous seizures of terrorism-related funds, a lack of follow-through on investigative leads has prevented a more comprehensive approach."

The report also said that India is a member of the Financial Action Task Force (FATF) and two FATF-style regional bodies -- the Eurasian Group on Combating Money Laundering and Financing of Terrorism and the Asia/Pacific Group on Money Laundering.

India's Financial Intelligence Unit-India is a member of the Egmont Group of Financial Intelligence Units. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The government regulates the money services business (MSB) sector, requiring the collection of data for wire transfers and the filing of suspicious transaction reports (STRs) by non-profit organizations. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"While the Indian government supervised, regulated, and monitored these entities to prevent misuse and terrorist financing, a large unregulated and unlicensed MSB sector remained vulnerable to exploitation by illicit actors," it noted.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Cabinet nod for BharatNet Phase 2 for broadband connectivity-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 July 2017

The Union Cabinet on Wednesday accorded approval for the second phase of BharatNet broadband programme to connect all 250,000 gram panchayats in the country, extending the target deadline to March 2019, official sources said.

The approval entails a total estimated expenditure of Rs 42,068 crore for the implementation of BharatNet, which will be funded from the government's Universal Service Obligation Fund (USOF). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Out of this amount, Rs 11,148 crore is for providing connectivity to one lakh gram panchayats in Phase 1, and Rs 18,792 crore is for providing connectivity to the remaining 1.5 lakh gram panchayats in Phase 2, the sources added.

The balance amount will cover costs of last mile connectivity architecture, operation and maintenance, and replacement of BSNL's poor quality fibre being used in the project between block to gram panchayat, with new fibre.

Under the modified strategy, implementation of the project is open for states, public sector as well as private companies. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The government aims to provide minimum 100 Mbps broadband connectivity to all gram panchayats by using an optimal mix of underground fibre, aerial fibre, radio and satellite media.

"The modified implementation strategy of BharatNet project will enable effective and faster implementation of various mission mode e-governance projects of central government and state governments," the source said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Economic benefits from the project are expected through additional employment, e-education, e-health, e-agriculture, and reduction in migration of rural population to urban areas.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India talks tough, asks China to withdraw troops-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 July 2017

In a toughening of its stand, India on Thursday asked China to withdraw its troops from Doklam on the Bhutan-China border if it wanted New Delhi to pull out its Army from the area.

In the first exhaustive Indian comment on the border row between India and China that began over a month ago, External Affairs Minister Sushma Swaraj accused China of unilaterally trying to change the status quo on the frontier with Bhutan.

This is what had sparked off the stand-off between the Indian and Chinese armies, she told the Rajya Sabha. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

She said while China was saying that India should withdraw its troops from Doklam for negotiations to begin, "we are saying that if a dialogue is to be held, then both should withdraw (their troops)". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Chinese action "is a challenge to our security", the Minister said, adding India was not doing anything unreasonable. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The stand-off started more than a month ago when Indian troops stopped Chinese soldiers from building a road on the tri-junction of India, Bhutan and China.

This has severely affected Sino-Indian ties, with Chinese experts threatening a war if New Delhi did not buckle. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Foreign countries are with us. They feel that China is being aggressive with a small country like Bhutan. Bhutan has protested, including in writing. All the countries feel India's stand is right and the law is with us," Sushma Swaraj said.

"Over the years, China has been trying to get closer and closer to where the tri-junction point ends. It has done things like repair roads, re-tar them and things like that."

She described what was different about the June 16 incident that led to the stand-off.

"This time though, they came with bulldozers and construction equipment with the aim of breaching the point where the tri-junction ends. That is a threat to our security," she said.

On China's One Belt One Road (OBOR) project, Sushma Swaraj said India had opposed it right from the beginning. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"As soon as we learned that they are making CPEC a part of OBOR, we registered our protest," the Minister said, referring to the China-Pakistan Economic Corridor which passes through Pakistan-administered Kashmir that India calls its territory.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Shares Track US Higher Ahead Of Draghi Comments-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 July 2017
South Korea financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global stock markets tracked Wall Street higher ahead of comments from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi which will be dissected by traders in terms of what they mean for the future of the bank's monetary stimulus. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, Britain's FTSE 100 advanced 0.7 percent in early trading to 7,481 while France's CAC 40 rose 0.5 percent to 5,240. Germany's DAX gained 0.7 percent to 12,534. Futures indicated that Wall Street would have a slow start a day after benchmarks touched record highs. Both S&P futures and Dow futures were up less than 0.1 percent.

CENTRAL BANKS: Japan's central bank opted to keep its monetary stimulus intact while downgrading its outlook for inflation. The Bank of Japan's policy meeting ended Thursday with no change to its injections of trillions of yen (hundreds of billions of dollars) into the economy each year through government bond purchases. The European Central Bank also kept its policy unchanged after its latest meeting.

DRAGHI IN FOCUS: Markets are now waiting for Draghi's post-decision news conference held for clues about the bank's plans. ECB officials have been cautious about signaling any exit from its bond purchase program. That is even though most analysts think the bank will have to taper off the purchases next year because it will start running out of eligible bonds to buy. Markets reacted sharply to remarks by Draghi in a speech on June 27 where he spoke about gradual reductions in stimulus as the economy grows stronger. The euro went higher and so did interest yields on longer-term bonds, developments that could prematurely blunt the stimulus effect. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ANALYST TAKE: "Investors will be carefully listening to ECB head Mario Draghi at his policy update press conference this afternoon for any indication (explicit or implicit) as to the timing he expects tapering to begin," said Mike van Dulken at Accendo Markets.

EURO IN FRONTLINE: Europe's single currency is likely to be in the front-line of any changes in Draghi's tone. Ahead of the meeting, it was 0.2 percent lower at $1.1486.
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's Nikkei 225 advanced 0.6 percent to 20,144.59 and South Korea's Kospi gained 0.5 percent to 2,441.84. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 0.3 percent to 26,740.21 while the Shanghai Composite Index was up 0.4 percent to 3,244.86. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 gained 0.5 percent to 5,761.50. Stocks in Southeast Asia were mixed.


OIL: Benchmark U.S. crude was up 24 cents at $47.36 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange while Brent crude, the standard for international oil prices, rose 33 cents to $50.03 per barrel in London.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday 19 July 2017

Nifty, Sensex trading in a narrow range – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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19 July 2017

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Wednesday and closed with gains over Tuesday’s close.  The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
A day after a steep fall, Indian equity markets recovered and traded with appreciable gains in the mid-afternoon session on Wednesday on the back of positive Asian markets and buying in healthcare, metal and banking stocks. On the NSE, there were 1,114 advances, 516 declines and 330 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Equity benchmarks continued to trade higher in the morning, with the Sensex rising over 100 points, backed by ITC, Reliance Industries and HDFC Bank. Top gainers in the NSE were Aurobindo Pharma, Hindalco and Zee, while top losers were UltraTech Cement, ACC and Infosys. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Reliance Home Finance Ltd on Wednesday said it closed the first quarter of the current fiscal with a 58% increase in its total income. In a statement issued here, the company said it closed the first quarter with a total income of Rs374 crore logging a year-on-year (YoY) growth of 58%. Reliance Home Finance is a subsidiary of Reliance Capital Ltd. According to Reliance Home Finance, the before tax profit for the period under review were Rs45 crore, a 50% YoY growth. The disbursements were Rs2,655 crore during the period under review and the assets under management as on June 30, 2017 stood at Rs13,022 crore. The gross non-performing assets ratio was at 0.8% as on June 30, 2017. Reliance Home Finance said it is on track to be independently listed on stock exchanges within the next few months. As part of the listing proposal, nearly one million shareholders of Reliance Capital will be allotted one Share free of cost in Reliance Home Finance for every one share held in Reliance Capital. Reliance Capital will hold a 51% stake in Reliance Home Finance, and the company will be adequately capitalised to grow the lending book multi-fold in the next 18 months. Reliance Capital shares closed at Rs658.50, down 1.57% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


India witnessed 22.5% growth in foreign tourist arrival (FTA) in June 2017 over June 2016, an official statement said. "The number of FTAs in June 2017 was 6.70 lakh as compared to FTAs of 5.47 lakh in June 2016 and 5.12 lakh in June 2015.”The growth rate in FTAs in June, 2017 over June, 2016 is 22.5% compared to 6.8% in June, 2016 over June, 2015," said the Tourism Ministry statement. The Tourism Ministry compiles monthly estimates of FTAs and FTAs on e-tourist visa on the basis of nationality-wise and port-wise data received from Bureau of Immigration. This is a sign of political stability and overall prosperity in the Indian economy. The S & P BSE Infrastructure Index closed at 222.94, up 0.76% on the BSE.

Aditya Birla group company UltraTech Cement reported a rise of 15% in its consolidated net profit for the April-June quarter of 2017-18. According to the company, its net profit rose to Rs897 crore from Rs780 crore reported for the corresponding quarter of last fiscal. Besides, the company's consolidated net sales rose to Rs6,938 crore for the quarter under review as compared to Rs6,535 crore earned during the corresponding period of the previous year. "This quarter also witnessed increasing cost trends, primarily attributable to energy and logistics cost on account of increase in fuel prices," UltraTech Cement said in a statement. "The company completed the acquisition of the cement plants of Jaiprakash Associates and Jaypee Cement Corporation...with a capacity of 21.2 million tons. With this acquisition the cement capacity of the company stands at 93 mtpa." The company’s shares closed at Rs4,206.95, down 2.51% on the BSE.

Passenger car manufacturer Honda Cars India (HCIL) on Tuesday introduced the 2017 'Privilege Edition' of its sedan Honda Amaze. "The Privilege Edition will be available at Rs648,888 for petrol and Rs773,631 for diesel (ex-showroom New Delhi)," the company said in a statement. "The Privilege Edition comes enriched with advanced infotainment system, enhanced exterior and safety features." The S & P BSE Auto Index closed at 24,493.34, up 0.59% on the BSE.

BSE said it will increase surveillance on the stocks of 28 companies with effect from Thursday. According to the BSE, securities of companies such as ABC Bearings, Lotus Eye Care Hospital, Orient Beverages, Sahara One Media and Entertainment and Shriram Asset Management Co among others will be shifted to group "T/XT". As per the nomenclature, the "T" Group represents securities which are settled on a trade-to-trade basis as a surveillance measure. At the time of review, any securities falling in trade-for-trade segment ('DT' or 'T' groups) are classified under "XT" sub-segment. Further, the BSE said the securities which will continue to remain in "T/XT/ST/P/Z/ZP" group would attract a circuit filter of 5%, or lower, as applicable. The filter mechanism is used to curb excessive volatility in markets by fixing maximum fluctuation in stock price. The BSE said the criteria for shifting securities to and from settlement on trade to trade basis was decided in consultation with Sebi and applied uniformly across the stock exchanges and reviewed periodically. Increased regulation is likely to favour long term bullish investors the most in the stock markets.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

GST rollout not glitch-free: CBEC Chairperson -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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19 July 2017
GST (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The rollout of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) has not been glitch-free and has thrown up issues on various fronts, including entertainment tax, textile and MSME sectors, CBEC Chairperson Vanaja Sarna said on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sarna added that the issues will, however, get ironed out over time.

"The last 18 days of GST have thrown up problems, it has not been glitch-free. We have had issues from textile, entertainment tax and micro small and medium enterprises (MSMEs)," the Central Board of Excise and Customs (CBEC) Chairperson said here.

She was speaking at an interactive session on 'Transition to GST Implementation' organised by the Confederation of Indian Industry (CII). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, she said that no "earth-shaking" hurdles have arisen and the issues that have cropped up "will get ironed out over time". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"But in 15-18 days, nothing has led us to believe that it is not a good tax or has not been implemented in the right way," she said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The entertainment tax issue cropped up when Tamil Nadu imposed an additional 30 per cent levy over and above GST, which led the theatres in the state go on a strike. 

The strife ended after the state assured that apart from GST there will be no other entertainment tax and kept its 30 per cent levy in abeyance. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

MSMEs groups are complaining that earlier the threshold exemption for them from central excise duty was Rs 1.5 crore. The MSMEs are also lamenting that their systems are still not ready for GST. 

The textile traders opposing 5 per cent GST had also gone on strike demanding a rollback.

The CBEC chief said the industry was bound to have some issues with rates but that can be discussed and this was an ongoing process. "July 1 doesn't close anything."

The entire exercise of fitment of commodities and services was carried out in a transparent manner by the GST Council and revisions and discussions was an ongoing process, she said.

"There will be issues. Over 50 years, it will be naive to say that the GST law will be accepted as it is," she added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, the CBEC chief assured that for the next 3-6 months, the tax administration will go slow and overlook the genuine errors. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"I don't want cases to be made. I am not looking at an hardline attitude. This time is for hand-holding and trade facilitation." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

She added that the comfort zone for traders will come after three months after the first returns were filed and input tax credits were availed. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sarna said the government was closely monitoring GST rollout since July 1. 

"There is close monitoring on price changes, price rise, shortage of goods, change in maximum retail price, everything is being monitored by Cabinet Secretary every week."

The government has formed 18 sectoral groups which will come out with the GST report on their respective sectors by the end of the month. The sectoral groups have been formed to assist and address the concerns of the various sectors.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions