Friday, 4 May 2018

Nifty, Sensex Showing Signs of Fatigue – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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4 May 2018

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that the market has entered a round of rally. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound during the week and closed on Friday with small weekly losses over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The major indices of the Indian stock markets made a small rally on Monday and closed with gains over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 799 advances, 648 declines and 42 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The key Indian equity indices traded higher on Monday, tracking firm cues from Asian indices. Buying was witnessed in the IT (information technology), banking and capital goods stocks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Most Indian industry sectors have reported negative growth in deployment of gross bank credit, a fallout of banks' inability to lend being saddled with mammoth non-performing assets (NPA), or bad loans, coupled with lack of appetite for fresh investment by highly indebted corporate India, industry body Assocham said on Sunday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Macro-economic data points, coupled with fourth quarter (Q4) earning results, were expected to influence the Indian equity markets during the past truncated week. According to market observers, the US Fed's open market committee meet along with the trajectory of global crude oil prices and the rupee's movement against the US dollar could have triggered volatility during the past week's trade sessions. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tuesday was a market holiday on account of Maharashtra Day.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Wednesday and ended with minor losses over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 402 advances, 1,126 declines and 47 unchanged.

Healthy quarterly earnings and robust automobile sales pushed the key Indian equity indices to trade higher during Wednesday's mid-afternoon session. According to market observers, buying was witnessed in the banking, automobile and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods stocks). But the gains were not sustained till the end of trading at 3:30 pm and the markets ended on a flat-to-negative note. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Asian equities eased on Wednesday, while the dollar traded near a four-month high as investors awaited the Federal Reserve's policy statement for clues on the future pace of U.S. monetary tightening, according to Reuters.

Budget passenger carrier SpiceJet launched daily direct flight services between Delhi and Punjab's Adampur. According to the company, SpiceJet was awarded Adampur under the first round of the regional connectivity scheme UDAN and the city is the fifth destination for the airline under this scheme. In addition to Adampur, SpiceJet also launched daily services between Leh and Delhi from Tuesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Software major HCL Technologies on Wednesday reported Rs2,227 crore consolidated net profit for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2017-18, posting 4.3% annual decline from Rs2,325 crore in the same period year ago (2016-17) but up 1.5% sequentially from Rs2,194 crore quarter ago. Net profit, however, grew 3.8% year-on-year (YoY) to Rs8,780 crore for the fiscal under review (FY 2018) from Rs8,457 crore in FY 2017. In a regulatory filing to the BSE, the Noida-based IT firm said consolidated revenue grew 9.3% YoY to Rs13,179 crore for the quarter under review (Q4) from Rs12,053 crore in the like period year ago and 2.9% sequentially from Rs12,808 crore quarter ago. Revenue for FY 2018 grew 8.2% YoY to Rs50,570 crore from Rs46,723 crore in FY 2017. Under the International Financial Reporting Standard (IFRS), net profit for the quarter slipped 1.7% YoY to $344 million from $350 million year ago but grew 1.1% sequentially from $340 million quarter ago. Net profit, however, grew 7.7% YoY to $1,360 million for the fiscal from $1,262 million year ago while revenue grew 12.4% YoY to $7,838 million from $6,975 million year ago. Revenue for the fiscal (FY 2018) grew 12.2% YoY to $ 7,838 million from $6,975 million in FY 2017.

State-run Punjab National Bank (PNB) said that it will recover from the impact of the recent fraud in six months' time and is actively working to improve its internal systems by incorporating analytics and artificial intelligence (AI), as Niti Aayog CEO Amitabh Kant ruled out privatisation of banks.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small losses over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 460 advances, 1,264 declines and 320 unchanged.

The key equity indices traded in the negative territory on Thursday following a decline in the global markets. Selling pressure on the capital goods, consumer durables and auto stocks also weighed on the indices. Asian shares opened in the red ahead of the Sino-US trade talks. The US Federal Reserve has held interest rates unchanged at its latest monetary policy review, while indicating that inflation in America was rising towards the central bank's medium-term target as a signal to investors of possible rate hikes later in 2018.

Demand for gold in India for January-March quarter (first quarter) of 2018 was down by 12% at 115.6 tonne compared to overall Q1 demand for 2017 due to rising gold prices, exaggerated by a weakening rupee, a World Gold Council statement said here on Thursday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sugar production in the country crossed a record 31 million tonnes mark this year and the total production will be around 32 million tonnes when the season ends, the Indian Sugar Mills Association (ISMA) said on Thursday.

Budget passenger carrier IndiGo reported a decline of 73.3% in its net profit for the quarter ended March 31, 2018. According to the airline, the net profit during the quarter under review fell to Rs117.64 crore from Rs440.30 crore reported for the corresponding period of 2016-17. "Results include certain credits received from manufacturers to offset some of the impact of aircraft groundings and delivery delays," IndiGo said in a statement. However, the low-cost carrier's revenue from operations grew by 19.6% to Rs5,799.11 crore for the quarter ended March 2018 compared to the same period last year.

On Friday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a minor correction and closed with losses over Thursday’s close. On the NSE, there were 587 advances, 958 declines and 63 unchanged.

The key Indian equity indices closed lower on Friday following broadly negative global cues such as high crude oil prices and geo-political tensions in the Middle East. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Housing finance company PNB Housing Finance reported a rise of 44% in its net profit for the quarter ended March 31, 2018. According to the company, the net profit during the quarter under review increased to Rs219.2 crore from Rs152.4 crore reported for the corresponding period of previous year. Besides, the housing finance firm's 'Net Interest Income' registered a growth of 36% to Rs451.8 crore from Rs332.7 crore. On the fiscal basis, the company reported a rise of 58% in its net profit for the financial year ended March 31, 2018 which increased to Rs829.4 crore from Rs523.7 crore reported for the previous corresponding period. "The cumulative provision for non-performing assets and standard assets is Rs42.3 crore and Rs281 crore respectively as on 31st March, 2018," the company said in a statement. "During the year, the company made provision for contingencies of Rs62.5 crore. The cumulative provision for contingencies is Rs102.0 crore, over and above the provisions required to be maintained as per NHB Directions." The company's Board recommended a final dividend of Rs9 per equity share of Rs10 for FY17-18. The company’s shares closed at Rs1,395.10, down 0.39% on the NSE, on Friday.

Castrol India reported a marginal rise of 2% in its net profit for the quarter ended March 31, 2018. According to the company, the net profit during the quarter under review increased to Rs181.8 crore from Rs179 crore reported for the corresponding period of previous year. Commenting on the results, Omer Dormen, Managing Director, Castrol India Limited said: "We continue to build momentum on our strong performance and we have been delivering consistent growth over the last two years.”  The company’s shares closed at Rs184.65, down 5.62% on the NSE, on Friday.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India falls 3 places to 11th spot in A.T. Kearney FDI Index-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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4 May 2018
 
India (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Though India has slipped three places to the 11th position in the latest A.T. Kearney Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) Confidence Index, the country remains among the top investment destinations due to its market size and rapid economic growth, according to the annual survey for 2018.

A.T. Kearney FDI Confidence Index, which tracks the impact of likely political, economic and regulatory changes on the foreign investment preferences of CEOs and CFOs, placed the US in the top position for investment intentions with Canada rising to second place, while Germany fell to the third.

India fell out of the top 10 for the first time since 2015. It was ranked eighth last year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The report said a possible factor for the fall could be the coming elections in India, as investors are likely to be monitoring political risks.

It also said the International Monetary Fund projects India's economy to grow at 7.4 per cent in 2018-19, the fastest by any major economy, while inward FDI flows have increased to a record high of around $45 billion in 2017.

"We are in a very exciting space of growth, opportunity and transformation. For long, India has been a very exciting destination for investors. And now especially with the current political stability and positive reforms environment, India will only gain its attractiveness as an investment destination," A.T. Kearney India MD and Country Head Vikas Kaushal said in a statement here. 

"Notable reforms that have had a positive impact on India's attractiveness include the elimination of the Foreign Investment Promotion Board, a government agency responsible for reviewing all potential foreign investment, and the liberalisation of foreign investment thresholds for the retail, aviation, and biomedical industries," the statement said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to the report, Japan, the US, the UK, and Singapore consistently serve as large sources of FDI for India, while the service sector is a target of particular interest for investors.

The government's Economic Survey 2017-2018 noted that inward FDI into the service sector will grow 15 per cent in 2018.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India doing extremely well on electrification: World Bank-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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4 May 2018


Electrification (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India is doing "extremely well" on electrification with nearly 85 per cent of the country's population having access to electricity, the World Bank has said.
Between 2010 and 2016, India providing electricity to 30 million people each year, more than any other country, the World Bank said in its latest report released this week. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

While challenges still remain to provide electricity to the rest of the 15 per cent of the 1.25 billion population, India is all set to achieve the target of universal access to electricity before the 2030 target date, Vivien Foster, Lead Energy Economist at the World Bank here told PTI.

The report comes less than a week after Prime Minister Narendra Modi announced that all the villages in the country have been electrified.
The report said that nearly 85 per cent of the country's population has access to electricity. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"India is doing extremely well on electrification. We are reporting India about 85 per cent of the population has access to electricity," said Foster, lead World Bank author of the latest report on Energy Progress.

This figure, she pointed out, is higher than that of the Indian government.
"That might surprise you. The government is currently reporting in low 80s," she said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

While the World Bank's methodology is based on household survey, which includes even those who are off grid, while the figures of the government is based on official utility connection, she said.

"In absolute terms, India is doing more on electrification than any other countries. Thirty million a year, is really an astounding performance and it stands out from the crowd," Foster said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, India is not the fastest country in electrification. Bangladesh and Kenya, for example are faster in electrification than India, she noted.
India, she said, is now entering final stage of electrification.

"You are already well over 80 per cent, so you're getting into the more difficult aspects of electrification: the more remote population, the harder to reach people," she explained. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, reliability of service is an area of concern for India, she said.
"We know that in some parts of India or having the connection doesn't necessarily guarantee the energy's reliable supply. So, getting the connection obviously is very important, but India still has a long way to continue to work on actually making that access meaningful in terms of hours of service," Foster said.
Referring to India's tremendous electrification effort, the report said it expects 250 million people gaining electricity access between now and the early 2020s, when the country reaches full access.

The rapid growth of electricity access in India is propelled by the country's USD 2.5 billion electrification programmes to reach universal electrification, the report said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Trump Wants China To Reduce Trade Deficit By $200B By 2020-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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4 May 2018


China us trade (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


 The Trump administration has asked China to reduce its trade deficit with the U.S. by $200 billion by the end of 2020, striking an assertive stance in talks aimed at averting a trade war between the world's two-largest economies.
A U.S. official confirmed the authenticity of a document making that and other requests that were presented to China ahead of two days of trade talks that ended Friday. The official spoke on condition of anonymity due to the confidential nature of the talks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Earlier, President Donald Trump had said he wanted Beijing to cut by $100 billion the chronic U.S. trade deficit, which Washington says stood at a record $375.2 billion last year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
After the talks wrapped up, the Commerce Ministry said the two sides had agreed to set up a mechanism to try to work through their dispute, though differences remained, Chinese state media reported. The report did not give specifics, suggesting little progress had been made.
The U.S. document is described in an introductory disclaimer as being provided to the Chinese ahead of the visit to Beijing by U.S. Treasury Secretary Steven Mnuchin and other U.S. officials this week.
It also included demands that China immediately stop providing subsidies to industries listed in a key industrial plan. China must end some of its policies related to technology transfers, a key source of tension underlying the dispute, the list says. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The U.S. wants China not to retaliate against U.S. measures currently being pursued against it. For instance, the U.S. says China should agree not to target U.S. farmers or agricultural products, and "not oppose, challenge or otherwise retaliate" when the U.S. moves to restrict Chinese investment in the U.S. in sensitive sectors. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Analysts said the Chinese were likely to view the aggressive posture struck by the U.S. as unreasonable and akin to bullying, potentially making it difficult to tone down friction over such issues.
Yu Miaojie, professor at Peking University's National School of Development, described some of the demands as "like lions opening their mouths."
"When it comes to negotiations, both sides can provide a list of requests and we will seek common ground while reserving our differences," Yu said. "If one side provides a list with unreasonable requests, the Chinese government is unable to accept it." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The list was widely circulated on Chinese social media platforms Friday, drawing hundreds of comments from Chinese internet users criticizing the U.S.
"China won't be frightened by this kind of threat," wrote Hu Xijin, the chief editor of the Global Times, a nationalistic tabloid affiliated with the Communist Party mouthpiece, in a post on the Sina Weibo website. Hu said he believed China would engage in talks seriously but also be fully prepared for them to fail.
"China will never trade off its core interests," Hu wrote.
Still, the list was welcomed by a U.S. business group which has lobbied the Trump administration for greater clarity on what it wanted China to do. Some groups had complained the administration was sending mixed messages.
"We've been saying that the Trump administration needs to define success and what specific outcomes it is seeking," said Jake Parker, vice president for China of the U.S.-China Business Council. The list submitted to China helps "lead to a solution and avoid tariffs and other sanctions," he said.
China's Commerce Ministry did not respond to a request for comment on the U.S. demands and did not refer to them in the remarks released by state media Friday.
The two sides "reached consensus in some areas," the official Xinhua News Agency said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"Both sides realized that there are still relatively big differences over some issues and that they need to continue to work hard to make more improvements," the report said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
It said the discussions included expanding U.S. exports to China, trade in services, the protection of intellectual property rights and how to resolve the use of tariffs and non-tariff measures.
There was no immediate comment from the U.S. delegation. A motorcade was seen leaving the U.S. Embassy in Beijing on Friday afternoon and the group departed China later in the day.
The list of U.S. demands was first reported by The Wall Street Journal on Friday.
Earlier Friday, Mnuchin sounded a positive note about the two days of talks, saying at a Beijing hotel on his way to talks that they were having "very good conversations." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The group led by Mnuchin included Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross, U.S. Trade Representative Robert Lighthizer and White House trade advisor Peter Navarro, a fierce China critic. But the officials are seen as holding conflicting views on how to resolve the dispute. That could have undermined their ability to negotiate with the Chinese. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
His administration has threatened to impose new tariffs on roughly $150 billion in Chinese goods. China in turn announced plans for its own tariffs on U.S. goods.
It was unclear if the talks had cleared the air enough to stave off such potentially damaging moves and alleviate uncertainty for investors and businesses likely to be affected by such measures.
The dispute will be tough to resolve because the fundamental issue is that the U.S. wants to stop China from moving up the so-called value chain as it transforms into an advanced economy, said Louis Kuijs, head Asia economist at Oxford Economics. But "there's no way that China's going to change its strategy on that." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Kuijs said the ball is now in the U.S. court on deciding whether the talks were fruitful and merit more discussion or that they're stalled and Washington needs to take more serious measures targeting China.
This is "much more than just a trade dispute," Kuijs said. "This is very much about economic strategy and the U.S. coming to grips with a big country running its economy in a way that the U.S. is uncomfortable with, and becoming successful, and starting to threaten U.S. dominance."
Separately, the Commerce Ministry said the U.S. officials had agreed during the talks to raise China's objections to sanctions leveled against Chinese telecom gear maker ZTE with President Donald Trump.
China strenuously objected when the U.S. last month banned American companies from selling technology to ZTE for seven years, calling that unfair.
ZTE pleaded guilty in March 2017 and agreed to pay a $1.19 billion penalty for having shipped equipment to Iran and North Korea in violation of U.S. regulations. The U.S. Commerce Department said employees involved were paid bonuses instead of being punished.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Global Stocks Mixed Ahead Of US Jobs Data, Amid Trade Talks-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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4 May 2018


South korea financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Stock markets were mixed Friday and Wall Street was expected to dip on the open as investors look ahead to the U.S. jobs report and watch trade talks between the United States and China.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
KEEPING SCORE: Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.4 percent to 7,533 while France's CAC 40 slipped 0.1 percent to 5,499. Germany's DAX added 0.4 percent to 12,746. Futures augured a lackluster start on Wall Street with Dow and S&P futures both dipping 0.2 percent.
US JOBS: The jobs report the government will issue Friday is expected to show that the economy continues to power ahead. Employers are forecast to have added 190,000 jobs last month, according to a survey of economists by the market data firm FactSet. That gain would be nearly double the 103,000 jobs that were added in March. The unemployment rate is expected to have dipped to 4 percent after holding at 4.1 percent, a 17-year low, for six straight months.
TRADE TALKS: At the end of the two-day talk, Chinese and American officials reached consensus in some areas, according to China's Xinhua news agency. But China's state media said "big differences" remain on some matters. A U.S. official said the Trump administration wants China to reduce the trade deficit with the U.S. by $200 billion by the end of 2020. The dispute has deepened as China has stepped up efforts to overtake Western industry leaders in advanced technologies, especially for semiconductors. Analysts have predicted that chances for a breakthrough from the meeting appear slim given the two sides' intensifying rivalry in strategic technologies, where China lags behind the U.S.
ASIA'S DAY: Asian markets finished lower. South Korea's Kospi sank 1 percent to 2,461.38 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index lost 1.3 percent to 29,926.50. The Shanghai Composite Index retreated 0.3 percent to 3,091.03 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 dropped 0.6 percent to 6,062.90. Japan was closed for a public holiday. Stocks rose in Taiwan but fell in Singapore and Indonesia.
OIL: Benchmark U.S. crude rose 35 cents to $68.78 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, the international standard, gained 37 cents to $73.99 per barrel in London.
CURRENCIES: The dollar fell to 108.99 yen from 109.21 yen. The euro weakened to $1.1966 from $1.1989.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions