Saturday 7 July 2018

Friday 6 July 2018

Nifty, Sensex Struggling to Rally – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 July 2018

I had mentioned in our weekly closing report that Nifty, Sensex were fighting the fall. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were volatile during the week and closed on Friday with minor gains. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week are given in the table below:


The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Monday and closed with losses over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 614 advances, 1,134 declines and 333 unchanged. The key Indian equity indices closed in the red on Monday following weak global cues. The indices, however, recovered major losses in the last hour of trade. 

ITC opened its luxury hotel ITC Kohenur in IT hub Cyberabad. Built with an investment of around Rs775 crore, ITC Kohenur will offer 271 high technology enabled rooms, suites and service apartments, six signature restaurants, state-of-the-art meeting and convention spaces and Kaya Kalp Spa. 

Automobile major Maruti Suzuki reported a rise of 36.3% in its overall sales including exports for June 2018 from a low base in June 2017. According to the company, overall sales during the month under review grew to 144,981 units from 106,394 units sold during June 2017. The overall sales include 135,662 units in the domestic market and 9,319 units which were exported. On a quarterly basis, the company sold a total of 490,479 units in the April-June quarter, "growing 24.3% over the same period previous fiscal". 

After opening on a negative note, the key Indian equity indices ended higher on Tuesday, supported by healthy buying in auto, healthcare and oil and gas stocks. On the NSE, there were 895 advances, 819 declines while no change in 353 scrips.

The top gainers on the Sensex were Maruti Suzuki, Infosys, Sun Pharma, ONGC and Kotak Mahindra Bank whereas Vedanta, ICICI Bank, State Bank Of India, Yes Bank and Tata Motors (DVR) were the major losers. Pharma stocks continued to head higher after their sharp upturn last month.

On the NSE, Cipla, Bajaj Finserv and Maruti Suzuki were the highest gainers while Vedanta, Bharti Infratel and ICICI Bank lost the most.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Wednesday and closed with gains over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 826 advances, 903 declines and 336 unchanged.

Healthy rise in new businesses accelerated the growth of India's service sector in June, a key economic data point showed on Wednesday. Accordingly, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Services Business Activity Index rose at the fastest pace since last June, despite the input cost inflation at overall high level.  The index rose from 49.6 in May to 52.6 in June. An index reading of above 50 indicates an overall increase in economic activity and below 50 an overall decrease. "The service economy returned to expansion territory in June. Encouragingly, the latest performance was the strongest seen in a year, against a backdrop of improving demand conditions, as evidenced by the fastest gain in new business since last June," Aashna Dodhia, Economist at IHS Markit, and author of the report, was quoted as saying in a statement. Consequently, the seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Composite PMI Output Index rose from 50.4 in May to 53.3 in June, supported by output growth in both the manufacturing and service sectors. As per the report, the latest reading was the strongest seen since October 2016 and indicative of a solid rate of expansion. "The PMI data signalled the best improvement in the overall health of the economy since October 2016, propelled by solid growth in both the manufacturing and service economies, with the sharper rise in the former," Dodhia said.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small losses over Wednesday’s close.  On the NSE, there were 664 advances, 1,064 declines and 338 unchanged. Selling pressure was witnessed in the consumer durables, IT (information technology) and metal stocks. Riding high on Jio tide, Reliance Industries (RIL) Chairman and Managing Director Mukesh D Ambani on Thursday said the company has doubled its subscriber base to 215 million in 22 months. Announcing that the company's fixed line broadband service, JioGigaFiber, Ambani said: "We will now extend fiber connectivity to homes, merchants, small and medium enterprises and large enterprises simultaneously across 1,100 cities to offer the most advanced fiber-based broadband connectivity solutions." 

The key Indian equity indices closed in the green on Friday tracking broadly positive global markets. According to market analysts, healthy buying activity was witnessed in auto, capital goods and oil and gas stocks. The indices, however, ceded the day's major gains in the last hour of trade.

In corporate news, Welspun Enterprises has received LoA from NHAI for a HAM project of 4-laning of Sattanathapuram to Nagapattinam section of NH-45A in Tamil Nadu. The consortium led by the company will develop the project at a Bid Project Cost of Rs2,004.51 Cr and first year O&M cost of Rs5 crore. Sterlite Technologies S.p.A. has entered into a share purchase agreement to acquire a 100% stake in Metallurgica Bresciana S.p.A., a European specialized optical cable manufacturer based in Italy, for a cash consideration of EUR 46.67 million.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's engineering exports up 20 per cent despite US-China trade war:EEPC -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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6 July 2018
 
Engineering exports (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Indian engineering exports have grown by close to 20 per cent during the April-May 2018 period despite the US-China trade war, the Engineering Export Promotion Council of India (EEPC) said on Friday. 

The US-China trade war intensified on Friday as the two sides started slapping additional tariffs on each other's goods, worth nearly $70 billion. 

As planned, Washington began taxing 818 Chinese goods worth $34 billion to punish Beijing for allegedly playing underhand in trade practices and pressuring US companies to hand over their technologies for doing business in China. 

"Indian engineering exports have managed to grow by close to 20 per cent for April-May, 2018, reflecting a 'so far so good' scenario even as the US-China tariff war has spread to some key trading markets in Europe, Canada and Mexico and shows no signs of abating early," an EEPC statement said. 

"In fact, the US ranked number one exporting destination for Indian engineering products in May and registered a cumulative expansion of 19.75 per cent for the April-May period." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


According to EEPC, India's cumulative engineering exports to the US increased to $1.86 billion in the said period, from $1.56 billion in the same period the previous fiscal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Though there has been a drop of about one per cent in exports of steel products to the US to $250.86 million, from $253.44 million, it has got more to do with the global trend of pressure on the metal prices seen only in the last few months," the exporters' body said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 

"It is so far so good, making it imperative for us to keep engaged with the major world trading powers and staying on course to remain champions of free trade as mandated in the World Trade Organisation," EEPC Chairman Ravi Sehgal said in a statement. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 

Engineering exports to the US include non-ferrous metals, automobiles and automobile components. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India’s Foreign reserve falls by $1.76 billion to $406 billion -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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6 July 2018
 
Forex (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India's foreign exchange reserves shrank by another $1.757 billion as Reserve Bank of India continued to sell dollars from its coffer to prevent the local currency slide sharply. 

The reserves was at $406.06 billion after the week to June 22, about $20 billion less than the all time high of $426,08 billion seen on April 13, RBI data showed. 

"Since then, the forex reserves dipped almost every week amid dollar outflows on concerns over India's widening current account deficit on higher crude prices," a forex dealer said. 

Persistent outflows of dollar amid slow inflows put the local currency under stress which lost about 8% this year turning out to be the worst performing Asian currency and putting pressure on the economy. 

"We also consider higher oil prices to be a risk to growth, but risks to sovereign credit dynamics from oil has diminished in recent years following subsidy reforms to petroleum and diesel fuel," Moody's Investors Service said in a note. 
"We do not expect oil prices to remain elevated for an extended period, but this possibility remains a downside risk," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Germany Meets Euro Debt Limit For First Time In 17 Years-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 July 2018


Germany government (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The German government says its 2019 budget will comply with eurozone debt limits for the first time in 17 years. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The draft budget also raises defense spending — a contentious issue between Germany and U.S. President Donald Trump.
Finance Minister Olaf Scholz told a news conference that debt would fall to 58.25 percent of yearly economic output. That would put it below the 60 percent limit established by rules to ensure fiscal responsibility and price stability in the 19 countries that use the euro. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The debt burden has fallen as the economy has grown and the government has run balanced budgets. And eurozone governments have been able to save on borrowing costs in recent years thanks to stimulus efforts by the European Central Bank that have included very low interest rates and purchases of government bonds. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
But the tight budgets have drawn criticism that the government of Chancellor Angela Merkel has neglected investment needs and skimped on defense spending. At 1.3 percent of gross domestic product, defense outlays remain below NATO members' target of 2 percent by 2024. Germany has committed to raising its defense spending toward the NATO guideline after a period of shrinking expenditure. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The defense spending by NATO allies promises to be a contentious issue at an upcoming NATO summit on July 11-12 after Trump again pressed allies to raise their spending commitments. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Germany's defense budget is getting an 11 percent yearly increase, Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen was quoted as saying by the newspapers of the Funke media group. She said that "Germany has strong arguments in that regard" ahead of the summit. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The eurozone debt rules have a checkered history since the currency was introduced in 1999. They have been widely breached but enforcement turned out to be weak. The average government debt level in the eurozone was 86.7 percent of GDP last year, with France's at 97 percent and Italy's at 132 percent. After the 2010-2012 debt crisis, the rules on debt were backed up with a treaty limiting deficits. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The draft budget will be taken up by the parliament in the fall.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

World Markets Subdued As US, China Exchange Tariff Blows-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 July 2018


China financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Global markets were mixed Friday as the U.S. and China slapped each other with tariffs, with investors monitoring the rhetoric for signs of a further escalation in the trade dispute. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
European stock markets edged down after modest gains in Asia. Britain's FTSE 100 fell 0.2 percent to 7,586 while France's CAC 40 was flat at 5,364. Germany's DAX gained less than 0.1 percent to 12,472. Futures augured small losses on Wall Street. S&P futures were down 0.2 percent while Dow futures fell 0.3 percent.
Asian markets erased earlier losses to finish mostly higher as the uncertainty ended over whether Washington would escalate tensions with Beijing. Upbeat economic data and overnight gains on U.S. stock markets helped temper concerns, though trading volume was light.
After falling as much as nearly 1 percent, China's Shanghai Composite Index finished 0.5 percent higher at 2,747.23. The Shanghai benchmark had languished recently, losing more than 12 percent over the past two weeks.
Hong Kong's Hang Seng index gained 0.5 percent to 28,315.62, while South Korea's Kospi added 0.7 percent to 2,272.87. But markets in Taiwan, Singapore and other Southeast Asian countries were lower.
Tokyo's Nikkei 225 jumped 1.1 percent to 21,788.13 in what appeared to be a technical rebound after a four-day losing streak. Australia's S&P-ASX 200 rose 0.9 percent to 6,272.30. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"The market actually is acting very calmly," said Francis Lun, chief executive of GEO Securities Ltd. in Hong Kong. "But of course, the talk of a trade war already depressed the market for about 1,000 points in the past month already."
As of Friday, the U.S. imposed a 25 percent tariff on $34 billion worth of Chinese imports. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
China said it would have to make a "necessary counterattack" but gave no details. It has been expected to strike back with tariffs on a similar amount of U.S. exports including soybeans. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"The Trump administrations trade war is finally upon us," said Stephen Innes, Asia-Pacific head of trading at OANDA. "If this moves off the tit-for-tat battleground into a full out trade war, it will not only threaten market stability but could compromise relations between Washington and Beijing."
Benchmark U.S. crude was down 57 cents at $72.37 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract fell $1.20 on Thursday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, lost 71 cents to $76.68 per barrel in London. It slid 85 cents on Thursday.
The dollar was roughly flat at 110.61 yen while the euro rose to $1.1717 from $1.1691.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 5 July 2018

Nifty, Sensex in no man's land – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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5 July 2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex continue to be on an uptrend. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small losses over Wednesday’s close.  On the NSE, there were 664 advances, 1,064 declines and 338 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:


According to analysts, selling pressure was witnessed in the consumer durables, IT (information technology) and metal stocks. Riding high on Jio tide, Reliance Industries (RIL) Chairman and Managing Director Mukesh D Ambani on Thursday said the company has doubled its subscriber base to 215 million in 22 months. Announcing that the company's fixed line broadband service, JioGigaFiber, Ambani said: "We will now extend fiber connectivity to homes, merchants, small and medium enterprises and large enterprises simultaneously across 1,100 cities to offer the most advanced fiber-based broadband connectivity solutions." Starting this Independence Day, August 15 people can start registering for JioGigaFiber through both MyJio and Jio.com. Reliance Industries purchased 12.5% equity stake in Future101 Design Private Limited (Future101) for Rs9.50 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Future101 was engaged in manufacturing, distribution and sale of luxury apparels in India. Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs964.45, down 2.57% on the NSE.

In corporate news today, Infosys has partnered with Siemens to develop Advanced IoT Engineering Solutions on MindSphere, the open cloud-based IoT OS from Siemens. MindSphere connects real things to the digital world and provides powerful industry applications & digital services to help drive business success. Infosys shares closed at Rs1,286.50, down 4.36% on the NSE.

Cadila Healthcare - CSIR-Imtech, a premier microbial institute under Ministry of Science and Technology, Government of India, has partnered with Zydus Cadila for development of newer drugs for drug-resistant infectious diseases. Cadila Healthcare shares closed at Rs388.00, down 1.70% on the NSE.

Suven Life Sciences has secured product patents in India, Singapore, South Korea and Israel corresponding to the new chemical entities for the treatment of disorders associated with neurodegenerative diseases and these patents are valid through 2031, 2034, 2034 and 2036 respectively. Suven Life Sciences shares closed at Rs218.10, down 0.07% on the NSE.

Dr Reddy’s Laboratories has launched Repatha™ (evolocumab) 140 mg/ml, the first and only PCSK9 Inhibitor* available in India, approved by the DCGI. Repatha™ (evolocumab) was a patented product of Amgen global. In India, Repatha™ was distributed by Dr Reddy's and manufactured by Amgen. Dr Reddy’s Laboratories shares closed at Rs2,297.95, down 0.55% on the NSE.

Bharti Infratel has received approval of Competition Commission of India (CCI) for the proposed merger of Bharti Infratel Limited and Indus Towers Limited. Bharti Infratel shares closed at Rs303.00, up 1.17% on the NSE. 

IIFL Holdings - India Infoline Finance Limited, a subsidiary of the company, has raised Rs325 crore from CDC Group Plc, the United Kingdom's government-owned development finance institution through issue of INR Denominated Tier II Bonds. IIFL Holdings shares closed at Rs663.00, down 1.01% on the NSE.

Apollo Hospitals has acquired a 50% stake in Medics International Lifesciences Ltd., a 330 bedded super-speciality hospital in Lucknow for a consideration of Rs91 crores.

G M Breweries was the first to report the Q1FY18-19 results. It reported a 10.4% year-on-year (y-o-y) growth in total revenue at Rs404.45cr. The PAT jumped to Rs22.19 (117.5% y-o-y growth), resulting in a 6.98% y-o-y growth in EPS (Rs12.14). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The closing values of the top gainers and top losers are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)