Friday, 21 April 2017

Nifty, Sensex may rally - Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 April 2017
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex are still under pressure. The markets ended on with losses on  the first two days of the week, ended with gains on Wednesday and Thursday, and  closed the week with losses on Friday. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


On Monday The BSE Sensex ended 47 points lower at 29,413.66 and the broader index Nifty closed below 9150 at 9139. Asian Paints, NTPC, Lupin and ONGC were down 1-3% whereas Reliance Industries was the leading contributor to Sensex' gains, up 2% followed by GAIL (up 3.6%). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The shares of Indiabulls Real EstateBSE rose about 49% to hit the highest level since November 2010 after the company said it would either consider placing Indiabulls Commercial Assets as a separate holding company for commercial and leasing business segment, or reorganise existing businesses via demerger. The stock eventually closed the day 40% higher at Rs148. 

Government data on Monday showed wholesale prices rose a lower-than-expected 5.70% year-on-year in March, compared with a 0.45 fall a year ago, dragged down mainly by easing fuel prices. Meanwhile, India's merchandise exports increased at 65-month high pace of 27.6% to US$ 29.23 billion in March 2017 over a year ago. Merchandise imports jumped 45.3% to US$ 39.67 billion. The trade deficit more than doubled to US$ 10.44 billion in March 2017 from US$ 4.40 billion in March 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Tuesday, Indian Equity markets settled with modest losses in a volatile session of trade as a strong intraday rally was derailed by sell-off in late trade. Weakness in European stocks caused reversal in intraday gains. Sensex fell by 94.56 points or 0.32% to settle at 29,319.10. The Nifty 50 index dropped 34.15 points or 0.37% to settle at 9,105.15. Both the benchmarks hit the lowest closing level in three weeks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tata Steel lost 2.55% after the company said its board meeting will be held on 20 April 2017, to consider a proposal for fund raising. The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 17 April 2017. Axis Bank lost 0.89%. The bank announced that it has retained the marginal cost of funds based lending rates (MCLR) at the same levels across tenors. The bank's MCLR for overnight loans will be 7.9%, for one month will be 7.9% and for three months will be 8.05%.The MCLR on 6-month loans will be 8.15% and for one-year loans the rate would be 8.25%, the bank said. MCLR for two-year loans would be at 8.3% and loans with three-year maturity would carry an MCLR of 8.35%, the bank said. The new loans will be priced at the published internal benchmark MCLRs as mentioned above with effect from 18 April 2017. The announcement was made after market hours on 17 April 2017.

Meanwhile, India Meteorological Department (IMD) in its first stage forecast of southwest monsoon for 2017, today, 18 April 2017, said that quantitatively, the monsoon seasonal rainfall is likely to be 96% of the long period average (LPA) with an error of ± 5%. Forecast assessment suggests 38% of probability for near normal monsoon rainfall, it added. IMD will issue the update forecasts in early June, 2017, as a part of the second stage long range forecast of monsoon rainfall. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The key benchmark indices settled almost unchanged amid mixed trend on the bourses after a listless and rangebound session on Wednesday. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex closed with small gains while the Nifty settled with tiny losses. 

IndusInd Bank shed 0.63% after announcing Q4 results. The bank's net profit rose 21.16% to Rs 751.61 crore on 22.36% increase in total income to Rs 5041.31 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The net profit rose 25.43% to Rs 2867.89 crore on 22.47% increase in total income to Rs 18577.16 crore in the year ended March 2017 over the year ended March 2016.

Technology stocks were under pressure after the US President Donald Trump signed an executive order for a review of the H-1B visa programme, saying they should never be used to replace American workers. Muted earnings by TCS also dented sentiment. TCS and Infosys declined over 0.3% each while Wipro gained 0.8%. Coal India gained more than a percent as Motilal Oswal has upgraded the stock to buy with increased target price at Rs 335 (implying 20% upside), citing strong earnings growth and attractive dividend yield.

TCS was down 0.3% after consolidated net profit fell 2.5% to Rs 6608 crore on 0.3% decline in revenue to Rs 29642 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q3 December 2016. The result was announced after market hours yesterday, 18 April 2017. 

On Thursday equity markets settled with modest gains after gyrating in a small range in the positive terrain throughout the day as largely positive global cues supported gains. The S&P BSE Sensex, rose 85.82 points or 0.29% to settle at 29,422.39. The Nifty 50 index rose 32.90 points or 0.36% to settle at 9,136.40. The Sensex gained for the second day in a row while Nifty snapped a five-day losing streak today. The Sensex hit its highest closing level in one-week.

Realty, IT, bank, capital goods and FMCG stocks hogged limelight in today's trade. HDFC was the leading contributor to Sensex' gains, up nearly 2% followed by Infosys, TCS, Asian Paints, Maruti and Lupin. Adani Ports retained its uptrend, rising 1.8%.

Yes Bank dropped 3.76% as the bank's bad loans rose in Q4. Yes Bank's net profit rose 30.2% to Rs 914.10 crore on 29.44% rise in total income to Rs 5606.38 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The bank announced Q4 results after market hours yesterday, 19 April 2017. The bank's gross non-performing assets (NPAs) rose to Rs 2018.56 crore as on 31 March 2017 as against Rs 1005.85 crore as on 30 December 2016 and Rs 748.98 crore as on 31 March 2016.

On Friday, the bourses made a positive start to the session on higher Asian stocks. After trading with small gains in early trade, key indices steadily added on to the gains and hit fresh high in early afternoon trade. Indices hovered within a narrow range in positive terrain later during the session amid firm European cues. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Trading for the week ended on a dull note on Friday as the key benchmark indices failed to hold onto intraday gains to settle with small declines. The barometer index, the S&P BSE Sensex, fell 57.09 points or 0.19% to settle at 29,365.30. The Nifty 50 index fell 17 points or 0.19% to settle at 9,119.40. Weakness in European stocks dampened sentiment.

Key benchmark indices opened higher on positive Asian stocks. After hovering in a narrow range in positive terrain till early afternoon trade, indices slipped into the red to hit intrday low in afternoon trade. After sliding to intraday low in afternoon trade, the key benchmark indices trimmed losses in mid-afternoon trade. Stocks traded in negative zone in late trade. The Sensex fell 57.09 points or 0.19% to settle at 29,365.30. The Sensex gained 161.95 points or 0.55% at the day's high of 29,584.34. The index fell 162.97 points or 0.55% at the day's low of 29,259.42.The Nifty 50 index fell 17 points or 0.19% to settle at 9,119.40. The Nifty gained 47.25 points or 0.51% at the day's high of 9,183.65. The index fell 47.65 points or 0.52% at the day's low of 9,088.75. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

HDFC Bank advanced 2.05% after net profit rose 18.25% to Rs3990.09 crore on 14.3% growth in total income to Rs21560.66 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The bank's gross non-performing assets (NPAs) rose to Rs5885.66 crore as on 31 March 2017 as against Rs5232.27 crore as on 31 December 2016 and Rs4392.83 crore as on 31 March 2016.

Tata Steel fell 0.67% after the company's board at a meeting held yesterday, 20 April 2017, reviewed the performance, capital structure and financing plan of the company. Based on the review and pursuant to the existing shareholders approval, the board approved issue of debt securities of up to Rs9000 crore in the form either of non-convertible debentures on private placement basis or foreign currency or rupee denominated bonds or a combination thereof in one or more tranches. The funds will primarily be deployed towards re-financing the existing debt, capex/working capital requirements and general corporate purposes. The board of directors also authorized the finance committee of the board to determine and approve the timing and terms of such issue of securities. The announcement was made after market hours yesterday, 20 April 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The market ended on a marginally bearish note on Friday. On BSE, there were 1449 declines, 1426 advances and 139 unchanged. On NSE, there were 857 declines, 827 advances and 80 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI monetary policy panel warns of upside risks to inflation-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 April 2017
 
R.B.I (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Citing upside risks to inflation from price pressures as the main reason for keeping its key interest rate unchanged earlier this month, the RBI's monetary policy committee (MPC) said there is room for banks to further cut interest rates, minutes of the MPC meeting on April 5-6, released on Thursday, showed. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

At its first bi-monthly policy review of the 2017-18 fiscal, the RBI preferred to maintain status quo on its repurchase (repo) rate, or the short-term lending rate it charges on borrowings by commercial banks, saying it awaited further macroeconomic data before deciding on any changes. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
  
"After moderating continuously over the last six months to a historic low, retail inflation measured by year-on-year changes in the consumer price index (CPI) turned up in February to 3.7 per cent," according to the minutes of the MPC meeting. 

"While food prices bottomed out at the preceding month's level, base effects pushed up inflation in this category. Importantly, inflation excluding food and fuel has exhibited persistence and has been significantly above headline inflation since September 2016," it said. 

Although committe member and RBI Executive Director Michael Patra favoured an increase in the repo rate by 25 basis points as a pre-emptive move to check inflationary pressures, at the end the six-member MPC unanimously decided to maintain status quo.

In the monetary policy statement, the RBI said risks are evenly balanced around the inflation trajectory at the current juncture. "There are upside risks to the baseline projection," it said. 

"Inflation developments have to be closely and continuously monitored, with food price pressures kept in check so that inflation expectations can be re-anchored. At the same time, the output gap is gradually closing. Consequently, aggregate demand pressures could build up, with implications for the inflation trajectory," it added. 

RBI Governor Urjit Patel told the MPC that "the outlook for inflation calls for close vigilance" and there is room for banks to further cut interest rates. 


"There is still room for banks to cut lending rates. For efficient transmission, it is important that interest rates on small savings are not out of line with interest rates on other comparable instruments in the financial system," Patel said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SC questions govt over making Aadhaar as mandatory-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 April 2017
Aadhar Card(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Coming down heavily on the Narendra Modi government, the Supreme Court on Friday asked how they could make Aadhaar mandatory when the apex court has made it optional. The Court also asked the Centre to justify the need for making Aadhaar mandatory for filing income tax returns (ITRs). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Court said it will examine next week the constitutional validity of central government's decision to link the Aadhaar with the permanent account number (PAN) card. 

Mukul Rohatgi, the Attorney General was quoted in the reports as saying that "We found a number of PAN cards being used to divert funds to shell companies. To prevent it, the only option is to make Aadhaar mandatory."

The Bench of Justice AK Sikri, and Justice Ashok Bhushan, asked the Attorney General that “Is this the remedy? Forcibly asking people to get Aadhaar cards?”

The court was hearing a petition filed by former Kerala Minister Binoy Viswam, represented by senior advocate Arvind Datar and advocate Sriram Prakkat, challenging the constitutionality of Section 139AA inserted in the Income Tax Act by the Finance Act, 2017.

The Attorney General argued that it was a mandatory requirement under Section 139A of the Income Tax Act to allot PAN and Aadhaar is only being linked to it. 

Mr Datar contended that the Aadhaar Act itself does not make obtaining Aadhaar mandatory. “Going by the Attorney General 's logic about fake PANs, I get a PAN card on the basis of showing my Aadhaar as proof. Aadhaar is a basic document along with driving licence. By making Aadhaar mandatory under Section 139AA, my PAN become invalid. This has serious consequences," he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In his petition, Mr Viswam, former minister from Kerala, had stated that “Section 139AA of the Income Tax Act, 1961, which makes enrolment for Aadhaar mandatory, without making appropriate amendments to the Aadhaar Act which till date does not prescribe that the enrolment is mandatory, in a Finance Bill was with the intention of avoiding the Rajya Sabha where the ruling party does not have a majority. It is submitted that the said amendment is completely contrary to Article 110 of the Constitution, which defines a Money Bill."

The Modi government had enacted the Aadhaar (Targeted Delivery of Financial and Other Subsidies, Benefits and Services) Act of 2016 as a Money Bill. However, Congress MP and former Union Minister Jairam Ramesh had challenged this enactment in the apex court.

Ever since Finance Minister Arun Jaitly announced to link Aadhaar number with PAN card and mandatory for filing ITR, several people are finding it difficult to link both due to mismatch in data fields. Over the years, PAN cards are known as linked with Income Tax and ITRs and are issued through a verification process. The same cannot be said to be true for Aadhaar as it is the private companies that collect the data, which is never verified or audited by any government agency or authority. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Supreme Court had time and again restricted use of unique identification (UID) number or Aadhaar to public distribution system (PDS) Scheme, the liquefied petroleum gas (LPG) distribution scheme, the Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (MGNREGS), National Social Assistance Programme (Old Age Pensions, Widow Pensions, Disability Pensions), Prime Minister's Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) and Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO).  The Supreme Court has repeatedly emphasised that the UID number where permitted “is purely voluntary and it cannot be made mandatory till the matter is finally decided by the Court one way or the other“.  

On 15 October 2015, the Constitution Bench of Supreme Court led by the then Chief Justice HL Dattu had ruled that no person shall be deprived of services such as MNREGA, Jan Dhan Yojana, pension and provident fund schemes for want of Aadhaar. The Bench even hinted that the government risked contempt of Court if it chooses to continue to make Aadhaar number a mandatory condition. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Earlier on 23 September 2013, a bench of Justice J Chelameswar, Justice SA Bobde and Justice C Nagappan, without going into concrete examples, had said: "In certain quarters, Aadhaar are being insisted on by various authorities." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"...no person should suffer for not getting the Aadhaar in spite of the fact that some authorities had issued a circular making it mandatory and when any person applies to get the Aadhaar voluntarily, it may be checked whether that person is entitled for it under the law and it should not be given to any illegal immigrant," the apex court had said in its order.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wipro 'sacks' hundreds of techies for non-performance-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 April 2017

Global software major Wipro "sacked" at least 600-700 employees in fiscal 2016-17, ostensibly for non-performance or not rising to its expectations, said a company source on Thursday.

"Attrition takes place every quarter when employees leave voluntarily for various reasons or involuntarily when asked to go for non-performance or not measuring up to the expectations during appraisal," a Wipro source told IANS on condition of anonymity.

The source, however, declined to specify the number of techies "sacked" in the fourth quarter (January-March) of the just-concluded fiscal (FY 2017), as the company was in "silent period" ahead of its results on April 25. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Asked how many employees left involuntarily in the quarter (Q4) or during the fiscal under review, a Wipro spokesperson said the company made a performance appraisal regularly to align its workforce with its business objectives, strategic priorities and requirements of its global clients. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"Our performance evaluation triggers actions such as mentoring, retraining and up-skilling. The appraisal also leads to the separation of some employees from the company and their numbers vary from year to year," the spokesperson said in a statement here later.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

US Home Sales Shoot Up To 10-Year High -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 April 2017
U.S.Home Sales(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
 Americans purchased homes in March at the fastest pace in over a decade, a strong start to the traditional spring buying season. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sales of existing homes climbed 4.4 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 5.71 million, the National Association of Realtors said Friday. This was the fastest sales rate since February 2007. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The U.S. housing market faces something of a split personality: A stable economy has intensified demand from would-be buyers, but the number of properties listed for sale has been steadily fading. The result of this trend is prices rising faster than incomes, homes staying on the market for fewer days and a limit on just how much home sales can grow. It's a situation that rewards would-be buyers who can act quickly and decisively. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"The pace of sales we saw in March is unsustainable," said Nela Richardson, chief economist at the brokerage Redfin. "Sales may be soaring, but inventory isn't."
The inventory shortage largely reflects the legacy of a housing bubble that began to burst a decade ago.
Foreclosed properties were snapped up by investors who turned the homes into income-generating rentals, depriving the market of supply. And many owners who escaped the downturn unharmed chose to refinance their mortgages at extremely low rates, possibly making them hesitant to move to a new house that could increase their monthly costs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
This mismatch between supply and demand can be seen in two simple figures tracked by the Realtors.
Sales have risen 5.9 percent over the past year, but the inventory of homes for sale has fallen 6.6 percent to 1.83 million properties. This means there are essentially more buyers chasing fewer properties.
The consequences can be seen in home values and days on the market. The median sales price in March climbed 6.8 percent over the past year to $236,400, significantly outpacing wage growth. And it took an average of 34 days to complete a sale, compared to 47 days a year ago.
In March, sales rose in the Northeast, Midwest and South but declined in the West.
It's possible that more Americans are devoting their incomes to housing as retail sales have struggled in recent months, said Jennifer Lee, a senior economist at BMO Capital Markets.
"Although spending on doo-dads may have slowed, perhaps more of their funds are being directed towards housing," Lee said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Demand might increase further as mortgage rates began to dip in recent weeks.
Home loan costs had been climbing after President Donald Trump won the November election, under the belief that the government would engage in forms of stimulus such as tax cuts and greater deficits that could cause higher levels of inflation. But major initiatives such as tax reform have stalled in recent weeks as the administration has yet to put forward a proposal, prompting more doubts as to when and whether any stimulus might arrive. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Mortgage buyer Freddie Mac said Thursday that the average interest rate on 30-year fixed-rate home loans declined to 3.97 percent this week from 4.08 percent last week. The average is now at its lowest level in five months.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 20 April 2017

Nifty, Sensex may rally further - Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 April 2017

I have mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex may rally. The major indices of the Indian stock market ended with gains, with Nifty breaking the five day streak. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Indian Equity markets settled with modest gains after gyrating in a small range in the positive terrain throughout the day as largely positive global cues supported gains. The S&P BSE Sensex, rose 85.82 points or 0.29% to settle at 29,422.39. The Nifty 50 index rose 32.90 points or 0.36% to settle at 9,136.40. The Sensex gained for the second day in a row while Nifty snapped a five-day losing streak today. The Sensex hit its highest closing level in one-week.

Realty, IT, bank, capital goods and FMCG stocks hogged limelight in today's trade. HDFC was the leading contributor to Sensex' gains, up nearly 2% followed by Infosys, TCS, Asian Paints, Maruti and Lupin. Adani Ports retained its uptrend, rising 1.8%.

ICICI Bank and Axis Bank shares prices fell 2-3% after bad asset quality performance reported by Yes Bank. HDFC Bank gained 1% ahead of its earnings on Friday. The country's second largest private sector lender is expected to report profit growth below 20% for the second consecutive quarter in Q4FY17.

IndusInd Bank gained 0.3% as majority of brokerage houses retained their bullish stance on IndusInd Bank, citing strong performance excluding one-off provisions in the quarter ended March 2017. Shalimar Paints ended the day with over 5% gains after investor Porinju Veliyath of Equity Intelligence bought some shares. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Yes Bank dropped 3.76% as the bank's bad loans rose in Q4. Yes Bank's net profit rose 30.2% to Rs 914.10 crore on 29.44% rise in total income to Rs 5606.38 crore in Q4 March 2017 over Q4 March 2016. The bank announced Q4 results after market hours yesterday, 19 April 2017. The bank's gross non-performing assets (NPAs) rose to Rs 2018.56 crore as on 31 March 2017 as against Rs 1005.85 crore as on 30 December 2016 and Rs 748.98 crore as on 31 March 2016.

National Aluminium Company (Nalco) rose 0.74% to Rs 68.25 as the government's two-day offer for sale for offloading a total of 10% stake in the company began yesterday, 19 April 2017. The Government of India held 74.58% stake in Nalco as per the shareholding pattern as on 31 March 2017. The floor price for the offer for sale (OFS) was fixed at Rs 67 per share. Retail investors will be allocated offer shares at a discount of 5% to the cut off price.

Domestic bourses made a positive start to the session on higher Asian stocks. After trading with small gains in early trade, key indices steadily added on to the gains and hit fresh high in early afternoon trade. Indices hovered within a narrow range in positive terrain later during the session amid firm European cues. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:

Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Overseas, most European stocks rose as strong results from Unilever lifted bluechip consumers staples stocks and helped offset weakness in the energy sector. Construction of buildings and infrastructure across the eurozone rose at the fastest pace in almost five years during February, reflecting a period of unusually mild weather and indicating that businesses and households may be more willing to invest after years of caution. Back home, the market breadth was positive today; On BSE there were 1845 advances, 1029 decline and 161 unchanged. On NSE, there were 1126 advances, 536 declines and 75 unchanged. The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)