Saturday, 3 June 2017

Lumpsum and SIP return-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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3Rd June  2017

Lumpsum & SIP Return (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Friday, 2 June 2017

Nifty, Sensex continue to head higher – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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2 June 2017

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were in a rally mode again. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound during the week and closed with small weekly gains over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, Indian equity markets traded on a flat-to-positive note during the mid-afternoon trade session on Monday as healthy buying was witnessed in consumer durables and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) stocks. The key indices touched new intra-day highs, with the NSE Nifty scaling 9,637.75 points and the BSE Sensex 31,214.39 points. However, the indices receded from their highs as investors booked profits and healthcare, banking and IT (information technology) sectors continued to extend losses.

On Monday, Sun Pharmaceuticals Industries shares fell 10% after the company reported a 13.6% year-on-year drop in its consolidated net profit to Rs1,223.71 crore in the quarter ended March. Banking stocks currently pressurised the market sentiments, led by Bank of India, PNB (Punjab National Bank) and Federal bank with more than 2% intra-day downside.

On Tuesday, the Indian equity markets traded on a flat-to-positive note during the early morning trade session on Tuesday, as gains were capped by broadly negative Asian markets, along with a weak rupee. The key Indian equity indices closed at new highs on Tuesday aided by buying in healthcare, banking and automobile stocks. The 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE closed at 31,159.40 points -- a new closing high -- up 50.12 points or 0.16%, after scaling a new intra-day high of 31,220.38 points. The wider 51-scrip NSE Nifty closed at a new high of 9,624.55 points -- up 19.65 points or 0.20%. On the NSE, there were 666 advances, 808 declines and 54 unchanged. The BSE market breadth, however, was bearish -- with 1,454 declines and 1,224 advances. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Around 8.50 lakh retail chemists, druggists and pharmacies on Tuesday went on a daylong strike all over India in support of their various demands, said All India Organisation of Chemists and Druggists (AIOCD) President Jagannath Shinde. A total 8.50 million employees are directly involved in the retail pharmacy business, he said adding that 72,000 of the striking retailers are from Maharashtra. The strike is in protest against the government's decision to make e-portal registration for chemists-druggists mandatory, including uploading all details of medicine sales, etc, and to press for long-pending demands of the industry, Shinde said. The S & P BSE Healthcare Index closed at 13,517.81, up 2.28% on the BSE. 

After a negative start, the Indian equity markets on Wednesday traded at new highs during the mid-afternoon session with buying in automobile, consumer durables and capital goods stocks. Market observers opined that investors traded on a cautious note ahead of the release of India's quarterly estimates of GDP growth for the fourth quarter of 2016-17, and the index of eight core industries (ECI) figures for April 2017. On the NSE, there were 938 advances, 702 declines and 311 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


On Wednesday, the S & P BSE Sensex touched a new intra-day high of 31,233.68 points. The BSE market breadth was bullish -- with 1,384 advances and 1,119 declines.

On Wednesday, all the sectoral indices, led by realty, auto and consumer durables, traded in the positive zone with gains up to 1%. Sensex and Nifty both remained range-bound and market analysts do not expect any high volatility with consolidation on the menu for the market.

State-run steel manufacturer SAIL reported a net loss of Rs771.3 crore for the fourth quarter ended March, which was lower than the loss incurred in the same quarter of 2016, on the back of higher revenues during the last quarter. The company suffered a net loss of Rs1,184.64 crore in the corresponding quarter a year ago. For the entire fiscal 2016-17, SAIL has narrowed down its losses by 30% and recorded an overall improvement, including in production, sales and productivity, the company said in a stock exchange filing on Tuesday. During the quarter in consideration, the company's total income increased to Rs14,543.50 crore, as compared to Rs12,946.50 crore in the same period a year ago. "The unprecedented increase in coal prices during FY17 impacted the numbers and stunted the overall margins," SAIL said. Chairman PK Singh said in a statement that despite sharp hikes in imported and domestic coal prices, SAIL has "managed to compress the loss."  "There is an improvement in the performance on all accounts," he pointed out. The company’s share price closed at Rs57.15, down 2.22% on the BSE on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The Indian equity markets closed on a flat-to-negative note on Thursday as disappointing macroeconomic data and a weak rupee eroded investors' risk-taking appetite. On the NSE, there were 849 advances, 664 declines and 80 unchanged. 

India's manufacturing sector output slowed down last month due to a softer expansion in new orders and production, a key macro-economic data showed on Thursday. The Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which is a composite indicator of manufacturing performance stood at 51.6 from the index reading of 52.5 reported in April 2017. An index reading of above 50 indicates an overall increase in economic activity and below 50 an overall decrease. “The upturn in the Indian manufacturing sector took a step back in May, with softer demand causing lower expansions in output and the amount of new work received by firms. Moreover, there was a renewed decline in new export orders," said Pollyanna De Lima, economist at IHS Markit and the author of the report. The negative news from the macroeconomic front depressed investor sentiments further.

Commercial vehicles major Ashok Leyland Ltd on Thursday said its sales in May were down by 8%. In a statement here, Ashok Leyland said it sold 9,071 units last month, down from 9,875 units sold during May 2016. While the sales of medium and heavy commercial vehicles slid down 18 per cent, sales of light commercial vehicles went up by 22% in May as compared to sales numbers logged in May 2016, the company said. The company’s shares closed at Rs91.25, down 3.44% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



The Indian equity markets, which closed the previous trade session on a subdued note, witnessed a gap-up opening during the early morning session to touch fresh highs following positive global cues. There was optimism about a normal monsoon, the Goods and Services Tax (GST) roll-out and buying in automobile, healthcare and consumer durables stocks. On the NSE, there were 940 advances, 707 declines and 304 unchanged. The Sensex touched a new high of 31,332.56 points intra-day. The major indices however, failed to consolidate on the intra-day highs and closed with small gains over Thursday’s close. Overall, for the week, the gains were lower than 1%.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Murthy tells IT honchos to take less salary and avoid layoffs-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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2 June 2017

Seeking to allay fears of slowdown in the Indian IT industry affecting jobs of techies, software major Infosys co-founder N.R. Narayana Murthy on Thursday advised executives to take home less pay and avoid lay-offs at the middle and lower rungs.

"IT firms can protect jobs of their middle rung and junior level employees if their executives take a salary cut and pass it on to them to protect their jobs," said Murthy in an interview to business news channel "ET Now" here. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Noting that slowdowns and layoffs were not new to the industry, he said many IT firms went through such ups and downs in the past, especially in the post-2008 global financial crisis and technology meltdown in 2011. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"There is no cause for anxiety as our industry had gone through similar crisis in the past only to bounce back and grow. As we have lot of smart and experienced leaders at the helm of the companies, I am sure they will find solutions to the problems the industry is facing," he said.

Murthy's observations came in light of software majors like TCS, Infosys, Cognizant, Wipro, Tech Mahindra and HCL mulling layoffs in thousands on the basis of "non-performance" and disruptive technologies like automation, artificial intelligence and cloud computing making many of the processes redundant. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Citing his experience as Chairman and Chief Executive of Infosys in dealing with the issue of layoffs, Murthy told the news channel that his company protected jobs of its employees in hundreds by making its executives take salary cuts. 

"It is possible for us to protect the jobs of youngsters if the senior executives make adjustments by taking salary cuts," he reiterated. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


He recalled how his company's senior management decided to make some sacrifice to protect the jobs of its youngsters when the tech market shrunk in 2001.

"We had offered jobs to 1,500 engineers at a time (2001) when other IT firms were postponing the joining day of their new employees. We said let us not do that, let us demonstrate the commitment to youngsters by senior people taking salary cuts based on the disposable income as we go down the hierarchy and welcome those 1,500 engineers," he said.

The co-founder also hoped that the $150 billion Indian software industry would identify new areas of business and train their employees to adopt emerging technologies for adding value to their company and look out for another job if they fail to deliver.


"It is not fair to send somebody home and then let them become anxious, because they may have families depending on them. They may have children, parents and spouses. So it is incumbent on the industry leaders to find reasonable solutions to the layoff issue," added Murthy.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Auto companies post mixed sales figures for May-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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2 June 2017

Automobile companies on Thursday came out with mixed sales figures for last month.

According to Angel Broking, the May sales figures have given mixed signals, while tractors' off-take remained a bright area. However commercial vehicle sales numbers remained subdued due to transition to the BS IV standards. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On a company specific basis, automobile major Maruti Suzuki's total sales rose 11.3 per cent to 136,962 units from 123,034 units sold during the corresponding month of 2016.

Maruti's domestic sales edged higher by 15.5 per cent to 130,676 units from 113,162 units. However, exports plunged by 36.3 per cent with only 6,286 units shipped out during May 2017, down from 9,872 units sold abroad in the like period of 2016.

The other passenger vehicle major Hyundai Motor India Ltd (HMIL) registered an increase of 1.6 per cent in its domestic sales of 42,007 units for the month of May 2017.

"Hyundai volumes are 42,007 units maintaining the growth momentum in passenger vehicles... the newly launched new Xcent registering a growth of 30 per cent thus overcoming the challenges posted by the implementation of GST which will be a boon for the auto industry," Rakesh Srivastava, Director of Sales and Marketing, HMIL said. 

Leading SUV manufacturer Mahindra & Mahindra's (M&M) sales grew by three per cent to 41,895 vehicles sold during May 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The company's domestic sales surged to 11 per cent to 40,602 vehicles during last month from 36,613 units sold during May 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Given the favourable monsoon projections and the focused investment in the rural sector, we have a robust outlook for future which is expected to spur demand," said Rajan Wadhera, President, Automotive Sector, M&M. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The implementation of GST will be a significant game changer and we hope it benefits the auto industry. At Mahindra we look forward to a growth momentum on the back of our existing product portfolio as well as the upcoming new products."

In the two-wheeler space Hero MotoCorp reported a rise of 8.7 per cent in its monthly sales for last month. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The two-wheeler major's sales in May increased to 633,884 units from 583,117 units despatched during the corresponding month of 2016.

Another key player Honda 2Wheelers India's sales grew by 23 per cent to 537,035 units from 436,328 units sold in May 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Honda continues to outpace the two-wheeler industry growth growing nearly three times that of the industry in April-May 2017," said Yadvinder Singh Guleria, Senior Vice President - Sales and Marketing, Honda Motorcycle and Scooter India.

"Overall, the two-wheeler industry has once again bounced back to double digit growth after six months indicating early signs of recovery. However, with upcoming GST implementation, industry sentiment is cautiously optimistic."


The TVS Motor Company posted a sales growth of 16 per cent during the month of May 2017 to 282,007 units from 243,783 units in May 2016.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

US Trade Deficit Rises To Highest Level Since January-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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2 June 2017

U.S. trade deficit (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The U.S. trade deficit rose in April to the highest level since January. The politically sensitive trade gap with China registered a sharp increase. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The Commerce Department said Friday that the U.S. trade gap in goods and services climbed 5.2 percent to $47.6 billion in April from March. Exports dropped 0.3 percent to $191 billion, pulled down by a drop in automotive exports. Imports rose 0.8 percent to $238.6 billion as Americans bought more foreign-made cellphones and other consumer goods. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
A widening trade deficit is a drag on economic growth. Donald Trump made the trade gap — the difference between exports and imports — a centerpiece of his presidential campaign. His administration has vowed to reduce the deficit, blaming it on abusive practices by America's trading partners.
The deficit in goods with China rose by 12.4 percent to $27.6 billion in April.
So far this year, the trade deficit is up 13.4 percent from a year earlier to $186.6 billion. Exports are up 6.1 percent to $765.6 billion this year, but imports are up more — 7.5 percent to $952.2 billion. So far in 2017, the United States is running a $268.7 billion deficit in goods and an $82.1 billion surplus in services such as banking and tourism. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Trump recently has singled out Germany for criticism, saying it is unfairly benefiting from a weak euro. When a country's currency is weak, its products enjoy a price advantage in foreign markets. The trade deficit with Germany rose 4.3 percent in April to $5.5 billion.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Yields Sink To 2017 Low, Stocks Hug Close To Record Levels-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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2 June 2017

U.S.Stocks (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Bond yields touched their lowest level of the year and the dollar's value dipped against other currencies Friday after the nation's job growth slowed more than expected last month. Stock indexes hugged close to their record highs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
KEEPING SCORE: The Standard & Poor's 500 index rose 2 points, or 0.1 percent, to 2,432, as of 10:40 a.m. Eastern time. The Dow Jones industrial average added 19 points, or 0.1 percent, to 21,164, and the Nasdaq composite rose 25 points, or 0.4 percent, to 6,272. All three indexes added to records set on Thursday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
INTEREST RATES: Bond yields fell immediately following the release of Friday's jobs report. After sitting at roughly 2.20 percent shortly before the 8:30 a.m. release, the yield on the 10-year yield Treasury sank as low as 2.15 percent within 20 minutes. That's its lowest level since mid-November. It pared its loss to sit at 2.16 percent, down from 2.21 percent late Thursday.
The two-year Treasury yield fell to 1.27 percent from 1.30 percent, and the 30-year yield fell to 2.82 percent from 2.86 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
THE JOB MARKET: Employers added 138,000 jobs last month, short of economists' expectations. The government also said that hiring was weaker in March and April than it had earlier reported. The unemployment rate fell to 4.3 percent last month, its lowest level since 2001.
Many economists say they don't expect the latest jobs report to dissuade the Federal Reserve from raising interest rates again at its next policy meeting in two weeks. The job market and inflation remain strong enough, they say. The central bank has been trying to pull rates gradually off their record low following the Great Recession, and it has raised rates twice since December.
LOW ENERGY: Energy stocks deepened their losses for 2017 after the price of oil sank. Benchmark U.S. crude oil fell 82 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $47.54 per barrel. Brent crude, used to price international oils, sank 94 cents to $49.69 per barrel. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Energy stocks in the S&P 500 lost 1.2 percent Friday, the biggest loss among the 11 sectors that make up the index. They're down 14.1 percent for the year when the overall index is up 8.7 percent.
Transocean fell 26 cents, or 2.9 percent, to $8.97, and Marathon Oil lost 37 cents, or 2.8 percent, to $12.73. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
BANK PAIN: Friday's drop in interest rates hurt financial stocks, because higher rates would have allowed banks to charge more for loans make bigger profits. Financial stocks in the S&P 500 fell 0.5 percent.
GETTING REAL: The drop in interest rates had the opposite effect for stocks in industries that pay big dividends. Real-estate investment trusts in the S&P 500 rose 0.7 percent, for example. Dividends look more attractive to income investors when bonds are paying less in interest.
STRETCHING HIGHER: Lululemon jumped $7.21, or 14.8 percent, to $55.88 after the athletic apparel company reported better results for the latest quarter than analysts expected.
GETTING HEALTHY: Cooper, a maker of surgical and contact-lens products, surged to the biggest gain in the S&P 500 after it reported stronger quarterly earnings than expected and raised its forecast for full-year profit. It rose $18.93, or 8.6 percent, to $238.72.
CHIPPING IN: Broadcom rose $15.27, or 6.5 percent, to $249.86 after the chipmaker reported stronger quarterly revenue and profit than Wall Street had forecast.
QUARTERED: RH, a home-furnishings retailer, plunged $14.60, or 25.5 percent, to $42.65 after it cut its profit forecast for the year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
COMMODITIES: Gold rose $7.70 to $1,227.80 per ounce, silver added 11 cents to $17.40 per ounce and copper lost 2 cents to $2.57 per pound.
Natural gas was close to flat at $3.00 per 1,000 cubic feet, wholesale gasoline fell 3 cents to $1.57 per gallon and heating oil dipped 2 cents to $1.48 per gallon.
CURRENCIES: The dollar fell to 110.47 Japanese yen from 111.33 yen late Thursday. The euro rose to $1.1271 from $1.1214, and the British pound fell to $1.2873 from $1.2876.
OVERSEAS MARKETS: Japan's Nikkei 225 index rose 1.6 percent to cross above the 20,000 level for the first time since 2015. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index rose 0.4 percent, and South Korea's Kospi jumped 1.2 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In Europe, Germany's DAX gained 1.2 percent, and the French CAC 40 rose 0.4 percent. The FTSE 100 in London added 0.1 percent.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday, 1 June 2017

Nifty, Sensex listless – Thursday closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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1 June 2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were looking toppy. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and ended flat compared to Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Indian equity markets closed on a flat-to-negative note on Thursday as disappointing macroeconomic data and a weak rupee eroded investors' risk-taking appetite. On the NSE, there were 849 advances, 664 declines and 80 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's manufacturing sector output slowed down last month due to a softer expansion in new orders and production, a key macro-economic data showed on Thursday. The Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which is a composite indicator of manufacturing performance stood at 51.6 from the index reading of 52.5 reported in April 2017. An index reading of above 50 indicates an overall increase in economic activity and below 50 an overall decrease. “The upturn in the Indian manufacturing sector took a step back in May, with softer demand causing lower expansions in output and the amount of new work received by firms. Moreover, there was a renewed decline in new export orders," said Pollyanna De Lima, economist at IHS Markit and the author of the report. The negative news from the macroeconomic front depressed investor sentiments further.

Commercial vehicles major Ashok Leyland Ltd on Thursday said its sales in May were down by 8%. In a statement here, Ashok Leyland said it sold 9,071 units last month, down from 9,875 units sold during May 2016. While the sales of medium and heavy commercial vehicles slid down 18 per cent, sales of light commercial vehicles went up by 22% in May as compared to sales numbers logged in May 2016, the company said. The company’s shares closed at Rs91.25, down 3.44% on the BSE.

There will be a 2% drop in the Indian government's IT (information technology) spending this year due to demonetisation and a drop in industrial production, market research firm Gartner said on Thursday. The government is forecast to spend $7.8 billion on IT in 2017 -- a 7.5% increase from 2016. However, this is down from Gartner's projection of 9.5% growth this year. "The 2% revision in our outlook is primarily due to the effects of demonetisation and a drop in industrial production," Moutusi Sau, principal research analyst at Gartner, said in a statement. "However, spending plans like affordable housing scheme and increased loans to small and medium enterprises by the government are likely to have a positive effect on IT spending in the next few quarters," Sau added. The S & P BSE Information Technology Index closed at 10,232.03, down 0.02% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Automobile major Maruti Suzuki India on Thursday reported a rise of 11.3% in its monthly sales for May 2017. According to the company, its total sales during the month under review rose to 136,962 units from 123,034 units sold during the corresponding month of 2016. Maruti's domestic sales edged higher by 15.5% to 130,676 units from 113,162 units. However, exports plunged by 36.3 per cent with only 6,286 units shipped out during May 2017, down from 9,872 units sold abroad in the like period of 2016. Segment-wise, sales of passenger cars were higher by 8.7% to 95,047 units against 87,402 units during May 2016. The company's passenger car segment comprises of brands like Alto, WagonR, Swift, Ritz, Celerio, Ignis, Baleno, Dzire, Dzire Tour, and Ciaz. Besides, sales of Maruti's utility vehicles -- brands like Gypsy, Ertiga, S-Cross and Vitara Brezza -- exponentially increased by 66.3 per cent to 22,608 units. The off-take in the van segment which include brands Omni and Eeco increased by 3.5% to 12,593 units. The company’s shares closed at Rs7,143.75, down 0.99% on the BSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)