Saturday 17 December 2016

Friday 16 December 2016

Raising compliance bar to battle fraud and corruption in 2017, says EY -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

The demonetisation drive, introduction of new regulations such as the Bankruptcy Code and push toward a digital economy could quash fraud and corruption by raising compliance standards even though these moves have had impact on businesses and consumers, according to a report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Forensic Outlook 2017, released by EY Fraud Investigation and Dispute Services on Thursday, has highlighted key trends which will enable companies to enhance compliance, stimulate business growth and redefine the Indian business diaspora. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In India, the crackdown on bribery and corruption has been through improved reforms such as the recommendations suggested by the Rajya Sabha Committee for the Prevention of Corruption Amendment Bill 2013, demonetisation drive to uncover unaccounted black money, upcoming Goods and Services Tax (GST), Income Disclosure Scheme and many others.

In 2017, the battle against corruption is expected to accelerate as India strives to keep pace with global standards, the report said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"While the short term situation could be challenging, these moves have the ability to quash fraud and corruption, raise compliance standards, focus on individual accountability and increase investor confidence in the long run," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"With cases of fraud and corruption on the rise, companies need to enhance the state of compliance through robust internal controls, due diligence processes and integrity trainings for internal and external stakeholders. The use of technology will be a key factor to strengthen anti-fraud and anti-corruption frameworks and mitigate fraud, waste and abuse," said Arpinder Singh, Partner and National Leader, Fraud Investigation & Dispute Services, EY India.

The report said government initiatives, strong domestic demand and rapid inflow of foreign direct investment (FDI) led India being on an upward growth trajectory this year.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Tax officials uncover Rs2,600 cr black money, seize Rs393 cr-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

Post the November 8 demonetisation of high-value currency, the government has uncovered concealed income to the tune of Rs 2,600 crore and has seized a total of Rs 393 crore involving nearly 300 cases, an official said on Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Admitted concealed income on the basis of our survey of data till date is Rs 2,600 crore," Central Board of Direct Taxes (CBDT) Chairman Sushil Chandra said briefing reporters here on the demonetisation drive designed to curb black money, counterfeiting and financing of terrorism. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We have conducted searches and seizures in about 291 cases, carried out surveys in 295 cases," he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We have seized currency notes over Rs 316 crore in raids, including Rs 80 crore in new notes. Besides, jewellery of Rs 76 crore has also been seized making for a total seizure of Rs 393 crore," added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The head of India's Income Tax Department said that 3,000 notices have been issued on the basis of their analysis of deposits made since demonetisation was announced last month. 

He cautioned those trying to launder black money that the tax authorities were checking all data on deposits made in banks after November 8 and having these scrutised by expert data analysts

"Assessees should know that simply depositing cash does not turn black money into white. The Department is checking everything," Chandra said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The survey showed that the major modes of moneylendering included using cash for purchase of bullion and jewellery, backdated receipts for transactions, and deposits made into Jan Dhan accounts and in shell companies, he added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Vardah hits general insurers hard -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

General insurers have received claims worth around Rs 200 crore following cyclone Vardah that crossed the Chennai coast on December 12, officials said.

The cyclone damaged factories, godowns, ships and vehicles, neon sign boards, mobile towers and power infrastructure. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

A public sector insurance official said the minimum hit for the company's bottomline would be Rs 50 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Officials in government and private insurance companies here told IANS that they have started getting loss intimation from their policy holders. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Claim intimation worth around Rs 200 crore is estimated to have been received by the general insurers.

An official of United India Insurance Co told IANS that it had got claims intimation of around Rs 150 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"It is a rough estimate. The actual loss may be less after survey," he said.

Similarly, private sector Royal Sundaram General Insurance Co has received around 120 claims.

"But the quantum of damage is not yet known," Nikhil Apte, Chief Product Officer at Royal Sundaram, told IANS. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to Apte, the number of claims from holders of home insurance was very small.

Apte urged policy holders to inform the insurer first and wait for loss assessor's arrival before carrying out any repair work. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to an industry official, after last year's floods in Chennai that resulted in a loss of around Rs 4,800 crore, reinsurers not only increased the premium for the catastrophic loss insurance but also doubled the deductible to Rs 50 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Deductible is the sum reinsurers would not pay and the primary insurers have to bear themselves.

"So claims up to Rs 50 crore have to be borne by us," he said.


According to him, any loss caused by a major natural disaster was classified as catastrophic loss.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India defers hike in fuel prices as crude oil climbs over $50 -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

State-run Indian Oil on Friday deferred the fortnightly revision of fuel prices without offering an explanation although during the preceeding fortnight, global crude oil prices shot up well over $50 a barrel following a landmark agreement between major oil producers to cut output.

Indian Oil Corp (IOC) Chairman B.Ashok told reporters here that "it is not compulsory" to change rates on a particular date. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We continue to review it and will take appropriate decision at the right time. Price revision is being done in a calibrated manner," he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

State-run oil marketers, Bharat Petroleum and Hindustan Petroleum revise rates on the 1st and 16th of every month based on the average international price in the previous fortnight.

Amid the fluctuation in global prices, rates were last revised on December 1, when petrol price was hiked by 13 paise a litre, while diesel rates were cut by 12 paise, both in Delhi, with corresponding changes in other states. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Petrol per litre currently costs Rs 66.10 in Delhi, Rs 68.81 in Kolkata, Rs 72.46 in Mumbai and Rs 65.58 in Chennai. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Similarly, diesel costs Rs 54.57 in Delhi, Rs 56.81 in Kolkata, Rs 60.17 in Mumbai and Rs 56.10 in Chennai. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

At the previous revision on November 15, petrol was decreased by Rs 1.46 per litre and diesel by Rs 1.53 both at Delhi, excluding state levies. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

With oil producers outside the Organisation of the Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC), led by Russia, agreeing to reduce output by 558,000 barrels per day last week, The Indian basket of crude oils gained more than $3 a barrel over the weekend even as global prices surged to an 18-month high. 

This came in the wake of the 13-nation OPEC cartel's November 30 decision to cut output by 1.2 million bpd for six months effective January 1. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

It is the first time since 2001 that OPEC and some of its rivals reached a deal to jointly reduce output in order to tackle the global oil glut. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Indian basket, comprising 73 percent sour-grade Dubai and Oman crudes, and the balance in sweet-grade Brent, closed trade on Thursday at $52.04 for a barrel of 159 litres. 

As per latest OPEC data, its reference basket of 13 crude oils closed at $50.09 a barrel on Thursday.


IOC officials said in conditions of anonymity that though the latest surge in international prices have warranted a hike of around Rs 2 each on petrol and diesel, the general cash crunch post the November 8 demonetisation of high-value currency has led to Friday's price revision deferment.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Nifty, Sensex in a slow decline: Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that the Nifty, Sensex rally was likely to stall soon. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were trading listlessly through the week and closed with weekly losses. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Weekly Closing Repot (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Profit booking, risks of upcoming global economic events and negative domestic cues pulled the Indian equities markets lower on Monday. The key indices closed the day's trade with losses of around a per cent each, as selling pressure was witnessed in automobile, banking and oil and gas stocks. The wider Nifty slipped by 90.95 points or 1.10% to 8,170.80 points. The Sensex touched a high of 26,725.31 points and a low of 26,468.59 points during the intra-day trade. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Monday, crude oil prices jumped over 4% to their highest level since 2015 after OPEC and other producers over the weekend agreed to jointly reduce output in order to rein in oversupply. After sharp spike in crude oil prices, upstream companies like ONGC gained 1.4% but oil marketing companies - HPCL, BPCL and IOC lost 2%-4%. Even aviation stocks like Jet Airways, SpiceJet & InterGlobe Aviation and paint companies like Asian Paints, Berger Paints & Kansai Nerolac were down 2-5%.

Amidst high volatility, benchmark indices gained strength in late trade on Tuesday, with the Nifty ending above 8,200-level ahead of the upcoming policy meeting of US Federal Reserve that will begin tonight. The 30-share BSE Sensex jumped 182 points to 26,697 and the 50-share NSE Nifty rose 51 points to 8,221. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Tuesday, auto stocks gained the most pushing S&P BSE Auto index to 20,306.41, up 0.98%, with Tata Motors, Bharat Forge and Mahindra & Mahindra contributing the most to the rally. Tata Motors rose as much as 5% intraday after unnamed entity bought about five crore shares of the company in a block deal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Energy stocks rose with oil retailer Bharat Petroleum Corp leading the gains, on Tuesday. Bharat Petroleum 2.30%, after Monday's 3.6% fall due to a jump in crude prices. Natco Pharma has launched generic Tamiflu capsules, used for the treatment of influenza, in the American market after the final nod from the US health regulator in August 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The domestic equity market slipped into the red on Wednesday as investors remained cautious ahead of the outcome of the FOMC meeting. The 30-share BSE Sensex was down 94.98 points at 26602.84 and the 50-share NSE Nifty fell 39.35 points to 8182.45. The broader markets also lost shine in last couple hours of trade, with the BSE Midcap and Smallcap indices falling 0.8% each on weak breadth. About two shares declined for every share rising on the exchange.

Wholesale inflation rate in November moderated to 3.15% from 3.39% in October as cash crunch has depressed the consumer demand. Even retail inflation slowed sharply to 3.63% from 4.2%, which may pave the way for rate cuts in the upcoming RBI policy meeting.

On Thursday, Asian stocks declined as a result of US Federal Reserve raising interest rates in the US on 14 December 2016. European indices were trading higher. Investors eyed the Bank of England's monetary policy decision due later in the trading session. The Federal Reserve raised its key short-term rate yesterday, 14 December 2016, on the expected lines, but it also forecast three rate increases in 2017, compared with the two that had been anticipated at its previous meeting in September.

IT (information technology) stocks were the biggest gainers of the day on Thursday, pushing S&P BSE Information Technology index to 9,977. In the midcap and smallcap segments, the S&P BSE Midcap index closed at 12,240 with JSW Energy being the top gainer and Nalco the worst laggard. The S&P BSE Smallcap index closed 0.21% higher at 12,143. The India VIX (Volatility) index was down 5.65% at 15.6. Out of 1470 stocks traded on the NSE, 701 declined and 697 advanced today. A total of 21 stocks registered a fresh 52-week high in trade today, whereas 15 stocks touched a new 52-week low on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Broadly negative global markets, coupled with lower crude oil prices, pulled the Indian equities markets lower on Friday. The key indices closed the day's trade on a flat-to-negative note, as selling pressure was witnessed in metal, banking and oil and gas stocks. At Friday’s close of trade, the losses in the major indices over Thursday’s close were small and less than 0.5%.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 15 December 2016

Data breach affected more than 1 bn accounts: Yahoo -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

Yahoo has disclosed a new security breach that may have affected more than one billion user accounts.

The breach dates back to 2013 and is thought to be separate from a massive cyber security incident announced in September, the company revealed on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"For potentially affected accounts, the stolen user account information may have included names, email addresses, telephone numbers, dates of birth, hashed passwords (using MD5) and, in some cases, encrypted or unencrypted security questions and answers," said Bob Lord, Chief Information Security Officer, Yahoo, in a blog post. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The company previously disclosed that outside forensic experts were investigating the creation of forged cookies that could allow an intruder to access users' accounts without a password. 

"Based on the ongoing investigation, we believe an unauthorised third party accessed our proprietary code to learn how to forge cookies. The outside forensic experts have identified user accounts for which they believe forged cookies were taken or used," Lord said. 

Yahoo says it was notifying the account holders affected. They will be required to change their passwords. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We have also invalidated unencrypted security questions and answers so that they cannot be used to access an account," added Lord. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Yahoo said it had connected some of this activity to the same state-sponsored actor believed to be responsible for the data theft disclosed on September 22.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Fed rate hike can trigger capital outflow: Moody's -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016

The US Federal Reserve hiking its key interest rate by 25 basis points could set off capital outflows from emerging market economies like India with large external funding needs and macro-economic imbalances, thereby increasing their vulnerability, Moody's Investors Service said on Thursday.

"While the impact of the rate increase on the US economy will be negligible, emerging market economies with large external funding needs and macro-economic imbalances could be vulnerable to capital outflows," Moody's said in a report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Federal Reserve on Wednesday increased its key interest rate by 25 basis points in the first rate hike in 2016 and just the second in a decade. The first was in December 2015.

It raised rates by 0.25 percentage points to a range of 0.50 per cent and 0.75 per cent.

"While emerging market economies could benefit from a strengthening US growth if it stimulates demand for exports, they could also suffer if higher US rates lead to a more sustained re-pricing of financial assets and tighter global financial conditions," the credit rating agency said. 

"The most direct impact will be felt in those economies that have high external financing needs relative to their foreign exchange earnings and reserves," it added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The American agency said the spillover effect of the rate hike may manifest itself in different ways. 

"For instance, in some cases a pronounced currency depreciation could lead to higher inflation, which, along with the threat of sustained capital outflows, could force central banks to raise interest rates," the report said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The (US) Fed's tightening could have negative spillovers for those with large external funding needs, high leverage, macroeconomic imbalances, or uncertainties around politics and policies," it added. 

The Federal Reserve slashed rates to zero in 2008 in the wake the financial crisis and kept it at that level throughout the period of major economic slowdown that followed. 

In this connection, when previous Reserve Bank of India Governor Raghuram Rajan took charge at the RBI in 2013, at a time the US Federal Reserve had declared its intent to wind down its stimulus programme, the rupee plunged in value in respect of the US dollar on fears about a spiralling current account deficit. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a series of measures, Rajan managed to stabilize the currency that also brought back investors. Giving Rajan its Central Banker of the Year award for 2015, British magazine Central Banking said in this regard that "Rajan's disciplined and focussed approach in leading the Reserve Bank during his first year as governor was remarkably impressive." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India is currently seen as being better equipped than other emerging markets to ride the impact of higher US interest rates because of its stronger economic growth and impressive foreign exchange reserves of more than $300 billion. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Chief Economic Advisor Arvind Subramanian said in New Delhi on Thursday that the hike in US interest rates "was anticipated and expected". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions 

After a US Fed Rate, A Stimulus?-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 December 2016
 
Dollars(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The US Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) finally decided to raise the target range for the federal funds rate by 0.25% point. This is the first rate hike by the Fed in 2016 and just the second in a decade. It appears that Federal Reserve’s decision is now balancing both credibility factor and data driven fixation in deciding its policy and even if the economy has shown some uptick, the Federal Reserve’s action is in stark departure from rhetoric of a fiscal stimulus, says a research note. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In the report, State Bank of India (SBI), talking about the impact of US Fed policy in India says, "We believe the impact will be muted though the currency can take a short term hit. Interestingly, there could be a commonality as far as fiscal stimulus is concerned between US and India. India could take perhaps take the route of pump priming the economy post demonetisation, but that may be through tax cuts as it may boost consumption, that have taken a hit in the last two months." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The SBI Ecowrap report says, "In 2017, apart from Fed rate hikes, there is now almost a universal consensus of a fiscal stimulus by the new US Government dispensation. There are two ways to look into such. Firstly, fiscal stimulus through tax cuts. Secondly, fiscal stimulus by ramp up of infrastructure spend. We envisage that a fiscal stimulus through tax cuts may not be that productive as it may benefit more the rich and thereby lead to rise in conspicuous consumption. Instead, the infrastructure spend will benefit more in terms of job creation. An increase in infrastructure spending looks all the more beneficial given that the American Society of Civil Engineers estimate a total investment of $3.6 trillion by 2020 to upgrade or improve various infrastructures. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"However, on the flip side, the US public pension system has developed a $3.4 trillion funding hole that is putting pressure on cities and states to cut spending or raise taxes. Large pension shortfalls have already played a role in driving several US cities, including Detroit in Michigan and San Bernardino in California, to file for Chapter 11 bankruptcy. The fear is other cities will soon become insolvent due to the size of their pension deficits. In December, the Dallas Pension System has suspended withdrawals. Hence when viewed at lowest level of Federal structure, the economic picture can be different." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"Another aspect of Federal Reserve’s valuation is that it is masked by linear, homogeneous narrative on inflation and unemployment rate. Its decision never acknowledges the falling labour force participation rate which is one of the factors why unemployment rate has fallen," SBI said in the report.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions