Friday 26 October 2018

Nifty, Sensex Deeply Oversold but Showing No Sign of Bounce Back – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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26 October 2018

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might try to rally. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction during the week and closed on Friday with losses over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below:


The indices suffered a correction on Monday itself and closed with losses over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 508 advances, 1,261 declines and 297 unchanged.

The key Indian equity indices managed to trade in the green initially. However, as the trading session progressed, the market correction set in and the major indices closed with losses.

Lending major HDFC Bank reported a 20.6% increase in its net profit to Rs5,005.73 crore during the quarter ended September 30, 2018. The Bank's total income for the quarter under review was at Rs28,215.2 crore, up by 21.2%. Net interest income (interest earned less interest expended) for the period grew by 20.6% to Rs11,763.4 crore, from Rs9,752.1 crore for the year-ago quarter, driven by asset growth and a net interest margin for the quarter of 4.3%. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The indices of the Indian stock markets suffered further correction on Tuesday and closed with losses over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 510 advances, 1,241 declines and 309 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Negative global cues along with a worrying macro-economic situation and mixed start to the corporate earnings season subdued key domestic indices on Tuesday. The quarterly results were mixed adding to the negative sentiments among the investors. Selling pressure was witnessed in IT (information technology), healthcare, oil and gas counters.

Bajaj Finance reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with total revenue of Rs4,255.92 crore (Rs3,050.65 crore in the same period a year ago), up 39.5% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs923.47 crore (Rs597.87 crore in the same period a year ago), up 54.5% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs16.03 (Rs10.80 in the same period a year ago).

TVS Motor reported Q2 FY19 standalone results of revenues of Rs4,993.47 crore (Rs4,064.72 crore in the same period a year ago), up 22.8% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs211.31 crore (Rs213.16 crore in the same period a year ago), down 0.9% year-on-year. Earnings per share were Rs4.45 (Rs4.49 in the same period a year ago). Interim dividend of Rs2.10 per share was declared. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Asian Paints reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with revenues at Rs4,639.05 crore (Rs4,274.18 crore), up 8.5% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs492.76 crore (Rs575.89 crore), down 14.4% year-on-year. Interim dividend of Rs2.85 per equity share was declared.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Wednesday and closed with gains over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 956 advances, 794 declines and 308 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


A recovery in the global markets coupled with a decline in the crude oil prices aided the domestic markets to trade in the positive on Wednesday. A recovery in the global markets has worked well for the domestic indices, which have shown some recovery. The ease in crude oil prices has also brought in some positivity in the markets. The domestic currency was trading at Rs73.29 to a US dollar from its previous close of 73.57. Also, the crude oil prices eased to $76.37 a barrel.

Sundaram Clayton reported Q2 FY19 standalone results with revenues of Rs488.06 crore (Rs411.75 crore in the same period a year ago), up 18.5% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs12.09 crore (loss of Rs40.15 crore in the same period a year ago). Earnings per share were at Rs5.97 (-Rs20.02 in the same period a year ago).

Karur Vysya Bank reported Q2 FY19 results with net interest income (NII) at Rs579.14 crore (Rs555.01 crore in the same period a year ago), up 4.3% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs83.74 crore (Rs75.65 crore in the same period a year ago), up 10.7% year-on-year. Provisions were at Rs213.14 crore (Rs321.36 crore in the same period a year ago). Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) were at 7.70% (4.83% in the same period a year ago). Net non-performing assets (NNPA) were at 4.41% (3.24% in the same period a year ago).

The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Thursday and closed with losses over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 603 advances, 1,118 declines and 340 unchanged. Except for IT (information technology), oil and gas counters, all the sectors witnessed selling pressure led by banking, finance and healthcare stocks. The domestic currency was trading at Rs73.30 to a US dollar from its previous close of 73.15. Also, the crude oil prices continued to ease at around $75.76 a barrel. 

Maruti Suzuki reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with total revenue at Rs22,433.2 crore (Rs21,768.2 crore in the same period a year ago),  up 2.96% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs2,240.4 crore (Rs2,484.3 crore in the same period a year ago), down 9.8% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs74.17, down from Rs82.24 in the same period a year ago.

Oriental Bank reported Q2 FY19 results with Net Interest Income (NII) at Rs1,274.83 crore (Rs1,251.73 crore in the same period a year ago), up 1.8% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs101.74 crore (loss of Rs17,49.90 crore in the same period a year ago). Provisions were at Rs832.03 crore (Rs3,146.92 crore in the same period a year ago). Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) were at 17.24% (16.30% in the same period a year ago). Net non-performing assets (NNPA) were at 10.07% (9.44% in the same period a year ago).

Negative global cues, along with a depreciating domestic currency, pulled the Sensex down on Friday. Nifty was down 95 points and Sensex fell 341 points. On the NSE, there were 747 advances, 964 declines and 346 unchanged.

Cigarette-to-FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) major ITC Ltd on Friday reported a 11.9% increase in its net profit at Rs2,954.67 crore in the quarter which ended on September 30 of the current fiscal as compared to Rs2,639.84 crore. Its revenue operations were at Rs11,272.51 crore, up by about 15.5%. Its revenue from the cigarette business, during the September quarter, stood at Rs5,026.06 crore, up by 10.36%. ITC shares closed at Rs279.90, down 2.66% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Biotech major Biocon Ltd has reported Rs355 crore consolidated net profit for the second quarter (Q2) of fiscal 2018-19, registering a record 416% growth from Rs69 crore in the like period year ago and 196% sequential growth from Rs120 crore quarter ago. Consolidated revenue from operations for Q2 grew 36% year-on-year (YoY) to Rs1,321 crore from Rs969 crore and 18% sequentially from Rs1,124 crore quarter ago. Earnings before interest, tax, depreciation and amortisation (Ebitda) also shot up 69% year-on-year to Rs394 crore and 28% sequentially. Biocon shares closed at Rs602.50, down 2.56% on the NSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Commerce Ministry considering incentives for exporters -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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26 October 2018
 
Incentives for exporters (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The Commerce Ministry is working on a comprehensive strategy and considering incentives for exporters with a view to boost the country's outbound shipments, a senior government official said on Friday.

 Director General of Foreign Trade (DGFT) Alok Chaturvedi said that the exports, which recorded about 10 per cent growth in 2017-18 to over USD 300 billion, is expected to reach USD 330-340 billion this fiscal.
In the first half of the current fiscal, the exports grew by 12.5 per cent to USD 164 billion. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

 He said the ministry has prepared a matrix of action plans for specific sectors, including engineering, gems and jewellery, chemicals, textiles and pharma, and issues pertaining to these areas are being taken up with the concerned departments.

There are some cross-cutting issues such as withdrawal of amendment in the CGST rules, which is being partially resolved.

 "We are thinking of having some kind of incentives, where exporters are at disadvantage with respect to our competing countries where they are having some kind of free trade agreement with common export markets.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"So, we are trying to finalise a scheme, you can provide incentive to partially compensate for that disadvantage, which our exporters are facing," the DGFT said here at CII's Export Summit. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The ministry is also working on tax rebates, duties and embedded taxes, besides alternative payment mechanism in potential problem countries such as Venezuela, Sudan, Cuba and CIS nations.

He said that it is the right of exporters to get rebate on those levies as "those duties and taxes should not be exported. We are working on a pilot scheme".

Further, the DGFT said soon the IT system for exporters will be revamped completely and the ministry will float tenders for the same. Speaking at the summit, Commerce and Industry Minister Suresh Prabhu asked the industry to become more aggressive in exploring export opportunities in new markets such as Africa andLatin 10/26/2018 Commerce Ministry considering incentives for exporters.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

He said the action plan prepared by the ministry to boost exports will be released soon. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

 "There are huge opportunities for exports in SAARC and ASEAN countries," Prabhu said, adding India is working with the US to resolve all the pending issues to boost bilateral trade. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The US is raising issues related to data localisation, issues related to duty imposed by Indian on IT products. We are engaged with the discussion (with them)," he added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Since 2011-12, India's exports have been hovering at around USD 300 billion.

 During 2017-18, the shipments grew by about 10 per cent to USD 303 billion. Promoting exports helps a country to create jobs, boost manufacturing and earn more foreign exchange. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India presents opportunities in oil and gas sector at Singapore roadshow-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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26 October 2018

Oil and gas sector  (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India on Friday presented a wide range of investment opportunities in the upstream oil and gas sector, citing strong interests in the ongoing USD 2.86 billion investment underway to double gas production and drill more than 120 exploration wells over the next four-five years.

A Directorate General of Hydrocarbons (DGH) delegation, led by Director General Dr V P Joy, highlighted in its presentation new improved oil recovery and enhanced oil recovery concepts, introduced earlier this month, which offers flexible terms for exploiting existing discoveries.

“Investments in capital goods for hydrocarbon production is recoverable from earnings,” said Dr Joy while listing out incentives under the new upstream sector policies.

The USD 2 billion investment will nearly double the natural gas production to 60 billon cubic metres (bcm) a year by 2022 from the current 33 bcm a year.

The presentation was for bid round II under the Discovered Small Field Policy (DSF) and Open Acreage Licensing Policy (OLAP). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Fourteen blocks under the OLAP and 25 contract areas covering 59 discovered oil and gas fields under DSF Bid Round II are being offered. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The DSF policy is aligned to Hydrocarbon Exploration and Licensing Policy (HELP), which adopts the revenue sharing model as a step towards improving the ease of doing business in Indian exploration and production (E&P) sector, the DGH said in a press statement here.

It comes with attractive fiscal terms like reduced royalty rates and no cess, single license for all hydrocarbons, pricing and marketing freedom, freedom to exploration throughout contract period, no signature bonus and provision for sharing of common facilities, it said.
Over 175 participants from E&P companies, service providers, investors and entrepreneur attended the Singapore roadshow. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Singapore roadshow was second after the October 4 Russia event and will continue in London and Abu Dhabi.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


China, Japan Show United Front On 'Free And Fair' Trade-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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26 October 2018
China and Japan (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


China and Japan displayed a united front on "free and fair" trade as leaders of Asia's two biggest economies met Friday in Beijing. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The visit by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe, along with hundreds of Japanese businessmen, took place against the backdrop of the festering trade dispute between China and the U.S. that has resulted in both sides imposing billions of dollars in tariffs on each other's exports.
"I believe we need to take to a new level a free and fair trade system," Abe said after meeting with Chinese President Xi Jinping. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The two sides signed a slew of agreements, including a currency swap deal and plans to work together in other markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The demonstration of unity was underlined by the nearly 1,000 business representatives who traveled to Beijing from Japan. China's Premier Li Keqiang said they had signed 500 agreements worth $18 billion.
"This indicates our cooperation has great potential and a promising prospect," he said. "As countries with great influence in the region and the world, we should safeguard free trade."
Li said the two sides should work on regional free trade deals such as the Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership, which does not include the U.S., and on a free trade area between China, South Korea and Japan.
"The realization of regional economic integration in the Asia Pacific region benefits the development of global free trade," Li said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
President Donald Trump's effort to win more favorable trade deals for the U.S. has focused most heavily on China, source of the biggest American trade deficit and the target of complaints over Beijing's policies for building leadership in advanced technologies. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Japan, too, faces pressure over its own trade imbalance with the U.S., especially on auto exports. Abe's government has agreed on holding talks with the U.S., its powerful ally, on a bilateral trade deal but also needs good relations with China, its biggest trading partner and the regional powerhouse.
Also Friday, the central banks of the two countries signed a three-year, bilateral currency swap agreement enabling the two sides to swap up to 200 billion yuan (about $28.8 billion) for 3.4 trillion yen. Such deals are aimed at easing trade transactions and support for financial markets.
The two countries agreed to discuss advanced technologies and issues related to patents and other intellectual property — a perennial bugbear for China's relations with all foreign investors. The Japanese financial newspaper Nikkei said China was hoping to find ways to avoid shortages of components resulting from the trade dispute with the U.S. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
A highlight of Abe's meetings was the dozens of preliminary agreements on China-Japan cooperation in other countries, such as a "smart, sustainable city" in eastern Thailand.
A Japanese government document outlining the accords listed agreements between banks, insurers, energy companies, a cotton grower, contractors, electronics and logistics companies, as well as local governments and trade promotion organizations. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Abe's three-day visit was the first by a Japanese prime minister since December 2011.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Stock Markets Slide, With Wall Street Set To Drop Again-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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26  October 2018

Financial Markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global stock markets turned lower again on Friday, with Wall Street set to drop on the open, amid worries over corporate earnings, trade and the outlook for economic growth.

KEEPING SCORE: France's CAC 40 shed 2.3 percent to 4,917, while Germany's DAX slipped 2 percent to 11,089. Britain's FTSE 100 shed 1.4 percent to 6,906. U.S. shares were also set to slide, with Dow futures falling 0.9 percent and S&P 500 futures dropping 1.1 percent.

ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 lost 0.4 percent to finish at 21,184.60, while South Korea's Kospi dropped 1.8 percent to 2,027.15. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 was flat at 5,665.20. Hong Kong's Hang Seng sank 1.1 percent to 24,717.63 and the Shanghai Composite shed 0.2 percent to 2,598.85. Shares rose in Indonesia but fell in Taiwan and elsewhere in Southeast Asia.

TECH WOBBLE: After gains on Wall Street on Thursday, sentiment soured after Amazon reported revenue figures that disappointed investors. Google parent company Alphabet's earnings were also below expectations. That put pressure more widely on technology stocks. Shares in Amazon were down 9 percent in premarket trading.

More broadly, investors are worried that rising interest rates and disputes with trading partners could hurt economic growth and corporate profits. They get more insight into how the American economy is doing later in the day when the U.S. government reports on economic growth during the third quarter.

THE QUOTE: "Any hope that Thursday's recovery was anything more than a dead cat bounce was short-lived, as a couple of disappointing earnings reports sent investors running for the hills again on Friday," Craig Erlam of OANDA said in a commentary. "The mentality of the markets right now means that any reasons to sell are being leaped on."

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude fell 91 cents to $66.42 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It gained 51 cents to $67.33 per barrel on Wednesday. Brent crude, the benchmark for international oil prices, dipped 80 cents to $76.09.

CURRENCIES: The dollar fell to 112.02 yen from 112.43 yen the day before. The euro fell to $1.1346 from $1.1375.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 25 October 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Rally If Global Markets Hold Up – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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25 October 2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might head higher a bit. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Thursday and closed with losses over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 603 advances, 1,118 declines and 340 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:

Negative global cues along with a weak rupee led the key domestic equity indices in the negative territory, on Thursday. Consequently, the barometer Sensex slipped below the 34,000-mark and the NSE's Nifty50 also dropped below the psychological 10,200 point mark. Except for IT (information technology), oil and gas counters, all the sectors witnessed selling pressure led by banking, finance and healthcare stocks. The domestic currency was trading at Rs73.30 to a US dollar from its previous close of 73.15. Also, the crude oil prices continued to ease at around $75.76 a barrel.

Maruti Suzuki reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with total revenue at Rs22,433.2 crore (Rs21,768.2 crore in the same period a year ago),  up 2.96% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs2,240.4 crore (Rs2,484.3 crore in the same period a year ago), down 9.8% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs74.17, down from Rs82.24 in the same period a year ago. The company’s shares closed at Rs6,725.00, down 0.64% on the NSE.

BHEL reported Q2 FY19 standalone results with income from operations at Rs6,606.90 crore (Rs6,168.36 crore in the same period a year ago), up 7.1% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs185.17 crore (Rs115.42 crore in the same period a year ago), up 60.4% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs0.50 (Rs0.31in the same period a year ago). BHEL shares closed at Rs69.90, down 7.97% on the NSE.

Varun Beverages reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with revenue at Rs1,204.4 crore (Rs988 crore in the same period a year ago), up 21.9% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs42.2 crore (Rs32.8 crore in the same period a year ago), up 28.7% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs2.31 (Rs1.80 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs761.00, up 1.38% on the NSE.

Bharti Infratel reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with revenue at Rs1,720.2 crore (Rs1,658.7 crore in the same period a year ago), up 3.7% year-on-year. Profit after tax was at Rs599.8 crore (Rs638.4 crore in the same period a year ago), down 6% year-on-year.  Earnings per share were at Rs3.24 (Rs3.45 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs264.50, up 0.47% on the NSE.

L&T Finance Holdings reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with total revenue at Rs3,246.30 crore (Rs2,596.72 crore in the same period a year ago), up 25% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs560.41 crore (Rs337.53 crore in the same period a year ago), up 66% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs2.81 (Rs1.85 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs119.00, down 6.08% on the NSE.

Larsen & Toubro Infotech reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with revenue at Rs2,331.2 crore (Rs1,750.8 crore in the same period a year ago), up 33.2% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs400.1 crore (Rs272.6 crore in the same period a year ago), up 46.8% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs23.14 (Rs15.95 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs1,640.10, down 1.11% on the NSE.

M&M Financial reported Q2 FY19 standalone results with revenue at Rs2,103.26 crore (Rs1,517.38 crore in the same period a year ago), up 38.6% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs381.39 crore (Rs164.01 crore in the same period a year ago), up 132.5% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs6.21 (Rs2.90 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs408.00, up 1.75% on the NSE.

Wipro reported Q2 FY19 consolidated results with revenue at Rs14,541 crore (Rs13,423.4 crore in the same period a year ago), up 8.3% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs1,889 crore (Rs2,191.8 crore in the same period a year ago), down  13.8% year-on-year. Earnings per share were at Rs4.19 (Rs4.52 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs318.15, up 3.03% on the NSE.

Interglobe Aviation reported Q2 FY19 standalone results with revenue at Rs6,185.3 crore (Rs5,290.0 crore in the same period a year ago), up 16.9% year-on-year. Net loss was at Rs652.1 crore (Rs551.5 crore in the same period a year ago). Earnings per share were at a negative value of Rs16.96 (negative value of Rs15.19 in the same period a year ago). The company’s shares closed at Rs884.00, up 8.23% on the NSE.

Oriental Bank reported Q2 FY19 results with Net Interest Income (NII) at Rs1,274.83 crore (Rs1,251.73 crore in the same period a year ago), up 1.8% year-on-year. Net profit was at Rs101.74 crore (loss of Rs17,49.90 crore in the same period a year ago). Provisions were at Rs832.03 crore (Rs3,146.92 crore in the same period a year ago). Gross non-performing assets (GNPA) were at 17.24% (16.30% in the same period a year ago). Net non-performing assets (NNPA) were at 10.07% (9.44% in the same period a year ago). Oriental Bank shares closed at Rs66.35, up 6.33% on the NSE.

NBCC has received LoA (letter of assurance) worth Rs902 crore from Ministry of Health & Family Welfare, Government of India for Planning, Designing, & Construction of AIIMS, Deoghar, Jharkhand under Pradhan Mantri Swasthya Suraksha Yojana (PMSSY). NBCC India shares closed at Rs54.55, up 2.44% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)