Saturday 8 April 2017

Friday 7 April 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Remain Under Pressure - Weekly closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 April 2017

 I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex may go sideways. The market opened on a positive note on Monday, with the rally continuing on Wednesday after the off on Tuesday; the rally however didn’t continue on Thursday. Overall, for the whole week, the major indices closed with marginal gains. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Positive domestic cues, coupled with a strong rupee and healthy buying in capital goods and consumer durables sectors, gave a fillip to the Indian equity markets during the mid-afternoon trade session on Monday. Both the key Indian indices touched new 52-week high levels during the intra-day trade. 

Healthy macro-economic data -- the Nikkei India Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI), which showed that India's manufacturing activity rose to 52.5 in March from 50.7 in February -- aided the upward trajectory of the key Indian indices. Besides, investors' sentiments were buoyed by the passage of the Goods and Services Tax Bill 2017 -- a major tax reform -- and Finance Minister Arun Jaitley's pegging India's GDP growth at 7.7% in 2018. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Indian markets were closed on Tuesday on the occasion of Ram Navami.

The Nifty ended 0.30% higher at 9,265.15. Earlier in the day the index hit 9273.9, its highest ever. Indian shares climbed with key benchmarks registering new record high as foreign funds continue to ramp up their investments in local equities. The S&P BSE Sensex gained 0.2% to 29,974.24 – a record closing for the 30-share index. Intraday, the benchmark crossed the 30,000 mark for the first time since March 2015. Meanwhile, the NSE’s Nifty 50 index rose 0.3% to 9,265, also a record close for the index. The 50-share index made an intraday high of 9,273. All the sectoral indices, barring the technology index, advanced on the BSE.  The market breadth was dominated by the bulls, with three stocks advancing to every one stock that declined on the NSE. In the sectoral landscape, realty stocks surged the most, sending the S&P BSE Realty index 4% higher, at 1671.21. The rally was fuelled by rise in shares of Sobha, Godrej Properties and Unitech. The domestic equity market continued its winning momentum for a second straight trading session of FY18 as benchmark indices hit fresh highs, fuelled by heavy buying in blue chips such as Reliance Industries, Maruti Suzuki and L&T.

The S&P BSE Sensex closed the session 47 points lower, at 29,927, with ITC, ICICI Bank and SBI contributing most to the fall. The headline index, which opened at 29,946 against the previous day’s close of 29,974, hit an intraday high and low of 29,954 and 29,817, respectively. 

In the midcap space, the S&P BSE Midcap index closed 0.15% higher, at 14,276, with Jindal Steel, Concor and M&M Finance being the major contributors in the surge in the index. The broader Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) ended at 9,261, down 3.20 points.

Benchmark indices ended the day on a lower note, but not before staging a recovery from the day’s low after the RBI’s policy announcement. The Street had factored in the central bank’s decision. A rally in real estate stocks could have helped in the recovery.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.25% on Thursday, forecast robust 7.4% growth in 2017-18 aided by waning effects of demonetisation, although inflation risks remain in the medium term. The RBI hinted at a looming inflation threat over the next 6-12 months, obliquely leaving the door ajar for an interest rate hike in 2017-18. For 2017-18, inflation is projected to an average 4.5% in the first half and 5% in the second half. “Underlying inflation pressures persist, especially in the prices of services. Input cost pressures are gradually bringing back pricing power to enterprises as demand conditions improve,” the central bank said flagging weak monsoon, expected rise in government employees’ allowances and goods and services tax (GST) as the primary factors that could knock up prices in the short-term. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Friday, the Indian Equity Benchmarks fell sharply, with the Sensex falling 220.73 points, closing at 29,706.61, and Nifty closing slightly below the 9,200 mark, at 9,198.30, after the US military launched cruise missiles against a Syrian airfield. The market however recovered some losses during the noon trade on clearance to important GST bills in Rajya Sabha. 

Markets across the globe came under pressure after the US military launched cruise missile strikes against a Syrian airbase controlled by President Bashar al-Assad's forces in response to a chemical attack in a rebel-held area. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Asian equities ended mixed but European markets like France's CAC and Germany's DAX were trading lower by 0.1-0.5%. However, the rupee strengthened against the US dollar, 28 paise from previous close, ending at 64.23. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Reliance Industries, ending 2.31% lower because of profit booking following the TRAI order to Jio to withdraw its Summer Surprise Offer, was the biggest contributor to the Sensex  fall. Shares of Idea and Bharti Airtel rose by 1.04% and 0.89% respectively after the announcement. Avenue Supermarts gained 14.22% on NSE, closing at Rs758.90 after the credit rating agency CRISIL upgraded its rating on the long-term bank facilities and non-convertible debentures of the company to ‘CRISIL AA/Stable’ from ‘CRISIL AA-/Positive’. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In the Sector space, Pharma sector fell the most, by 1.35%, with Sun Pharma, Lupin and Dr Reddy’s contributing most to the fall, falling by 3.04%, 2.61% and 2.32% respectively. Auto- 2 & 3 wheelers sector rose the most, by 0.82%, the major contributors being TVS Motor (4.18%) and Scooters India (3.83%). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The BSE market breadth was bearish -- with 1,660 declines and 1,250 advances. On NSE, there were 1,042 declines, 648 advances and 72 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Jio to withdraw 3 months complimentary Summer Surprise offer-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 April 2017

Advised by the telecom regulator, Reliance Jio on Thursday said it will withdraw the three months complimentary benefits of Jio Summer Surprise, "as soon as operationally feasible, over the next few days". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Today, the Telecom Regulatory Authority of India (TRAI) has advised Jio to withdraw the three months' complimentary benefits of Jio Summer Surprise," the company statement said.

"Jio accepts this decision. Jio is in the process of fully complying with the regulator's advice, and will be withdrawing the three months complimentary benefits of Jio Summer Surprise as soon as operationally feasible, over the next few days," the statement added.

However, the company said: "All customers who have subscribed to Jio Summer Surprise offer prior to its discontinuation will remain eligible for the offer."

On March 31, Jio announced its Jio Summer Surprise offer. Under this offer all Jio Prime members making their first recharge payment of Rs 303 (or higher) plans got three months' complimentary services in addition to the benefits of their purchased plan.

The company on March 31 in a statement said: "Every Jio Prime member, when they make their first paid recharge prior to April 15 using Jio's Rs 303 plan (or any higher value plan), will get services for the initial three months on a complimentary basis. The paid tariff plan will be applied only in July, after the expiry of the complimentary service."

Looking at the unprecedented rush of subscription, the company had also extended the deadline to buy Jio's Rs 303 (and other) plans till April 15. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Reliance Jio had announced that in "just one month, over 72 million Jio customers have signed up for Jio Prime, making it one of the most successful customer privilege programmes anywhere in the world." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

With 72 million subscribers enrolling for prime membership till March 31, Reliance Jio will remain disruptive given its aspirations, investment banking firm Jefferies said in its recent report.

The newcomer in the industry has over 100 million customers.

The newcomer, Reliance Jio, had launched a free voice and data plan in September 2016 and had extended it till March 31, 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Reliance Jio had launched the Welcome Offer on September 5, 2016, which was valid for 90 days with extended benefit till December 31, 2016. The Happy New Year offer was launched on December 4, 2016, which was valid till March 3 with extended benefit till March 31, 2017.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Parliament passes GST bills; government looking at July 1 roll out -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 April 2017

Decks have been cleared for implementation of the biggest indirect tax reform since independence, with parliamentary approval to the GST as Rajya Sabha on Thursday passed the four enabling bills for its roll out, possibly from July 1. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The long-awaited four bills -- Central Goods and Services Tax (GST) Bill, Integrated GST Bill, Compensation GST Bill and Union Territory GST Bill 2017 -- were passed by the Rajya Sabha and returned to Lok Sabha, after a discussion of almost nine hours spread across two days. The Lok Sabha had passed the bills last week. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Talking to reporters after the bills were passed by parliament, Finance Minister Arun Jaitley said it was a "historic day." He said it took almost 11 years to build a consensus on the roll out of GST.

He said the government is still looking at July 1 date for rolling out the new indirect tax regime.

"If any issues crop up, then the GST Council will address them.

"We are already in a transition phase. There will be some challenges because we are switching to a new regime. Some relaxation will be given in compliance," he added.

Earlier, replying to the debate on the four bills in the Rajya Sabha, Jaitley said that the goods that are exempted from taxes at present will remain so once GST is implemented.

He also said there is provision of quarterly returns to make tax filing easier under the GST. 

Noting that both the central and state governments are pooling their sovereignty to have this tax regime, Jaitley noted that India, despite being one political entity, had remained different economic entities with states having different taxes.

"GST is the only tax which is simultaneously levied by Centre and states," he said. 

Jaitley said that the Council has decided that the petroleum products though they have been included under GST, will remain zero rated as of now. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The Council decided that we will take up the issue of petroleum products in a year after implementation of GST. Today, constitutionally, petroleum products are under GST, but will be zero rated. So once Council decides it can be taxed under GST, we won't need to amend the Constitution," he said.

On demands of change in the structure of Goods and Services Tax Network (GSTN) that is creating the information technology backbone for the new indirect tax regime, Jaitley said that the shareholding pattern has been set after detailed discussions to ensure the flexibility of the company.

"Government can acquire 1-2 per cent more shares in GSTN, but not sure if the flexibility will remain. We have not felt the need of altering the arrangement. The management structure created has to face penal consequences if any information is leaked," he said.

The Central government owns 24.5 per cent stake in GSTN, state governments own another 24.5 per cent, while the HDFC, NSE Strategic Investment Corporation, HDFC Bank and ICICI Bank own 10 per cent each. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

LIC Finance holds 11 per cent stake in GSTN, according to the Registrar of Companies (RoC) filings, obtained by IANS from business research platform Tofler.

Taking part in the debate in the upper house, Sharad Yadav of the Janata Dal-United said that "GST should be made easy, so people do not have any tax related problems".

Praful Patel of the Nationalist Congress Party expressed apprehension over the proposed "harsh punishments" in the GST Bills. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sitaram Yechury of the Communist Party of India-Marxist expressed his unhappiness over GST having been brought in the Rajya Sabha as a Finance Bill. He was supported by Jairam Ramesh of Congress and D. Raja of the Communist Party of India. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Parliament cannot be ignored," he said, suggesting that GST should be audited by the Comptroller and Auditor General. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The four GST-related bills were passed after amendments moved by by Trinamool Congress MP Derek O' Brien and CPI-M leader Tapan Sen were negatived after division.

Ramesh did not press his amendments saying that he was following advice of former Prime Minister Manmohan Singh to maintain consensus. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

There also have been demands from some stakeholders to delay implementation of GST.


All India Tax Advocates' Forum (AITAF) President M.K. Gandhi said in a statement on Thursday that the new tax roll-out should be delayed by at least a quarter as industry, especially small time assesees, would require time to prepare themselves.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI raises ARCs' capital requirement to Rs 100 cr -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 April 2017

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has raised the capital requirement for asset reconstruction companies (ARCs) to Rs 100 crore, from the current Rs 2 crore, it has announced.

This move was necessitated by the higher amount of cash required to buy bad loans from the current fiscal, RBI said in note accompanying its first bi-monthly monetary policy statement of the current fiscal presented here on Thursday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The enhancement in capital requirements comes after new norms notified by the RBI in September last said if security receipts (SRs) make more than 50 per cent of the value of the asset under consideration, banks have to continue to provide for these loans as if the loans continue in the books of the bank.

These norms were aimed at forcing banks to sell more such non-performing assets (NPAs), or bad loans, at cash. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"In view of the enhanced role of ARCs and greater cash-based transactions, it is proposed to stipulate a minimum NOF (Net Owned Fund) of Rs 100 crore for ARCs. The necessary instructions will be issued by end-April, 2017," the RBI said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SBI bad loans balloon, post-merger provisioning may rise -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 April 2017

State Bank of India's bad loans have ballooned approximately 50 per cent in the span of a year and those of its five associate banks by 170 per cent.

The bank will likely have to increase its provisioning for bad loans -- setting aside money to partly cover the non-performing assets (NPAs) following its merger with five subsidiaries.

SBI, which had a provisioning coverage ratio of about 59 per cent, said that after the merger it will revisit the NPAs and provide accordingly.

"Depending on the age of NPAs, we provide provisioning as per the norms. Hundred per cent provisioning is not a practice in the industry," SBI Managing Director Dinesh Kumar Khara told. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SBI's gross NPAs in December 2016 were at Rs 1.08 lakh crore, an increase by 48.6 per cent from Rs 72,792 crore in the third quarter FY16. The bank's net NPAs rose by 52.6 per cent during the same period. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SBI's five associate banks reported a 172.8 per cent increase in gross NPAs at Rs 55,164 crore in December 2016, as compared to Rs 20,218 in the same period in 2015-16. The net NPAs of these rose by 218.7 per cent in the same period.

The five associate banks with which SBI merged on April 1 were: SBBJ (State Bank of Bikaner and Jaipur), SBM (State Bank of Mysore), SBT (State Bank of Travancore), SBP (State Bank of Patiala), and SBH (State Bank of Hyderabad).

The Bharatiya Mahila Bank, which is not an SBI subsidiary, was also merged with it on the same day. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The combined gross NPAs of SBI and its five associate banks as on December 31, 2016, stood at Rs 1.6 lakh crore or 8.70 per cent of the total assets, while the net NPAs were at 5.33 per cent.

"As far as the corporate books of associate banks are concerned, we started converging the NPA books of corporates from September quarter; so I don't envisage any surprises on that," Khara said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Reserve Bank of India had asked the banks to clean up their balance sheets and had given a deadline of March 31 for asset quality review. Kumar said that SBI has been continuously declaring NPAs; so there will not be any extraordinary rise in the fourth quarter of 2016-17.

SBI Managing Director Rajnish Kumar told IANS, "We have been declaring NPAs from time to time. I don't expect any extraordinary hike in NPAs. The formation of NPAs has slowed, that is the fact, though we are still not out of the woods as of now."

From time to time there are meetings at the level of the government or Indian Banks' Association to find an acceptable solution as the recognition of NPAs has happened in the last two years, Kumar said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"All have realised the problem and are trying to work together to find a solution that is acceptable to all. NPA problem is (because of) corporates, or rather mid-corporates," he added.

He said that the NPAs would get reduced if the economy grows at a fast pace and profitability of stressed sectors sees an improvement. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"For resolution of NPAs, the profitability of corporates should increase. For example, the steel sector has now suddenly started showing up, because there is an improvement in the profit margins. It is because of the pressure on the margins that the debt becomes non-sustainable. But if EBIDTA (earnings before interest, depreciation, taxes and amortisation) margins improve, synergy improves, problem would at least be partly solved," Kumar said.

Khara, however, said that the idea of bad bank could be considered, not as a repository of bad assets, but with the aim to turnaround these assets.

"There are some insolvency professionals coming in. But by the time the ecosystem gets created and starts delivering... it is still some time away. That kind of vehicle to identify such assets which can be turned around is needed," he said.

SBI has committees for NPAs depending on the size of the loans. There is also a committee under the bank chairperson which looks after stressed assets worth Rs 500 crore or more. Similarly, there are committees that regularly review NPAs and decide on the future course of action. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


After the merger, SBI, with a customer base of 450 million, has about a quarter of all outstanding loans of the banking sector.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 6 April 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Try to Rally - Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 April 2017

Snapping the two-day winning streak, the domestic equity market ended in the red on Thursday after the minutes of the US Fed’s last policy review induced weakness in global equities and back home. The market recovered a bit after Reserve Bank of India kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.25%. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The S&P BSE Sensex closed the session 47 points lower at 29,927 with ITC, ICICI Bank and SBI contributing most to the fall. The headline index, which opened at 29,946 against the previous day’s close of 29,974, hit an intraday high and low of 29,954 and 29,817, respectively. 

In the midcap space, the S&P BSE Midcap index closed 0.15% higher at 14,276 with Jindal Steel, Concor and M&M Finance being the major contributors in the surge in the index. The broader Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) ended at 9,261, down 3.20 points.

Benchmark indices ended the day on a lower note, but not before staging a recovery from the day’s low post the RBI’s policy announcement. The Street had factored in the central bank’s decision. A rally in real estate stocks could have helped in the recovery.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.25% on Thursday, forecast robust 7.4% growth in 2017-18 aided by waning effects of demonetisation, although inflation risks remain in the medium term. The RBI hinted at a looming inflation threat over the next 6-12 months, obliquely leaving the door ajar for an interest rate hike in 2017-18. For 2017-18, inflation is projected to average 4.5% in the first half and 5% in the second half. “Underlying inflation pressures persist, especially in prices of services. Input cost pressures are gradually bringing back pricing power to enterprises as demand conditions improve,” the central bank said flagging weak monsoon, expected rise in government employees’ allowances and goods and services tax (GST) as the primary factors that could knock up prices in the short-term.

The status quo on rates, however, was accompanied by a string of regulatory changes including raising the reverse repo by 25 basis points to 6%, allowing banks to investment in real estate investment trusts (REITs), raising the minimum fund requirements of asset reconstruction companies (ARCs), allowing collateral substitution under repo that will give banks more funds to lend, and proposing the introduction of standing deposit facility (SDF)—another window for banks to borrow. The six member monetary policy committee (MPC), headed by RBI governor Urjit Patel, also reduced the liquidity corridor – the difference between the repo and reverse repo rates or the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF)—to 25 basis points with immediate effect. Likewise, the marginal standing facility (MSF) or the rate at which banks borrow from the RBI during periods of acute liquidity shortage, will stand reduced to 6.5%.

Rate sensitive stocks such as banks, real estate stocks rallied after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep the policy rates and cash reserve ratio (CRR) unchanged. Real estate stocks rallied after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that it plans to allow banks to invest in REITs and InvITs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tata Power said electricity generation from all its plants collectively crossed 51,000 Million Units (MUs) in 2016-17. It also reported significant increase of 15.2% in output, with its total power generation capacity at 10,577 MW from various fuel sources such as thermal, hydroelectric power, renewable energy (wind and solar PV) and waste heat recovery. According to a statement by the company, it also has a significant presence in the clean energy space with a gross installed capacity of 3,141 MW. Toyota Kirloskar Motor is recalling 23,157 units of its sedan Corolla Altis in India, as part of the ongoing recall of 2.9 million vehicles globally for defective air bags. Bharat Forge hit fresh 52-week high, up nearly 3% after sharp jump in North America truck orders. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the global front, Wall Street ended lower on Wednesday after a late-afternoon reversal following signals from the Federal Reserve that it could change its bond buying policy this year, quenching a rally sparked by a strong private sector jobs report, said a Reuters report. Stocks in China bucked the trend as they extended gains on Thursday to hit a four-month high as investors continued to chase stocks which could benefit from the government's launch of a massive new economic zone near Beijing. Most of the Asian markets settled lower, as the region nervously watched for market-moving news from the first meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. European stocks opened lower.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)