Friday 28 September 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Rise on Relief Rally – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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28 September 2018

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that too many negatives had come together for Nifty, Sensex. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound during the week and closed with marginal losses over the previous close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below:


The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a further correction on Monday. On the NSE, there were 273 advances, 1,526 declines and 276 unchanged.

Ramco Systems won an order for Ramco Aviation Suite from multidisciplinary technology services provider Advanced Global Resources, to track and manage inventory in real-time, ensuring auditability and accountability for their asset management responsibilities to the US Army. 

L&T Technology Services has won a 5-year Engineering Content Management (ECM) deal worth US$ 40 million in Europe. LTI to provide AI & Virtual Reality based ECM solutions in the Industrial Products space. 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Tuesday and closed with gains over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 691 advances, 1,059 declines and 302 unchanged.

Software major Infosys said on Tuesday that Australian Military Bank (AMB) in Sydney went live digitally on the Finacle cloud platform of its subsidiary EdgeVerve Systems. The bank has been processing about 40,000 mixed transactions per day, with 22,000 card transactions and nearly 7,000 composite payments transactions on average per day on the digital platform.

Budget carrier SpiceJet will commence flight service on the Shirdi-Delhi-Shirdi sector from October 1, said the airline on Monday. Besides, it will also launch a new daily direct flight on the Mumbai-Kanpur route from October 8. The airline will also operate first direct flight on the Mumbai-Jaisalmer route starting October 29 and a third direct flight on Mumbai-Kolkata sector from November 1.

Capcite Infraprojects received contracts worth Rs674.75 crore. The company secured orders worth Rs560.90 crore from Glider Buildcon Realtors, a Piramal Group company. It also received an order worth Rs113.85 crore from Radius Group company.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Wednesday and closed with losses. On the NSE, there were 844 advances, 903 declines and 312 unchanged.

Profit booking ahead of the September Futures and Options (F&O) expiry subdued the Indian equity markets on Wednesday. Accordingly, selling pressure was witnessed in auto, IT (information technology) and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) counters. 

HCL Technologies signed a new 5-year infrastructure services contract with Anglo American, a company headquartered in UK which runs mining operations across Southern Africa, North and South America and Australia, with a workforce of 69,000 people worldwide. 

Torrent Power emerged as the winning bidder for capacity of 115 MW project in the E-reverse auction process conducted by SECI for setting-up of 1,200 MW ISTS connected wind power projects. The bid tariff for capacity addition is Rs2.76 / kWh.  

The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Thursday and closed with losses over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 473 advances, 1,282 declines and 303 unchanged.

The S&P BSE Sensex closed 218 points down and the NSE's Nifty50 closed lower by 69 points as investors turned cautious ahead of the September futures and options (F&O) contracts’ expiry. Almost all the sectors led by finance, banking and capital goods stocks came under selling pressure on Thursday. However, IT (information technology) stocks gained due to a weakening rupee.

Private airline SpiceJet on Thursday announced a daily non-stop flight between Delhi and Hong Kong starting from November 22. The airline would deploy Boeing 737 MAX on the route, SpiceJet said in a statement.
 
Tata Power on Thursday said it has signed an MoU with state-run oil marketer Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HPCL) for setting up electric vehicle (EV) charging stations at HPCL's retail outlets and other locations across the country. 

The US Federal Reserve has raised its key interest rate by 0.25% for a third time in 2018 bringing it to the 2-2.25% range. In a statement, following its two-day meeting in Washington, the Federal Open Market Committee also dropped its earlier "accommodative" stance on monetary policy. The majority of Fed members also said they expect another hike in rates before the end of 2018. The nine-member committee voted unanimously for the hike. In continuing with its policy of gradual rate rises, the latest one marks the Fed's eighth rate hike since 2015, indicating its favourable assessment of the US economy. The Fed statement said that growth and employment gains in the domestic economy have been strong and inflation has remained near the US central bank's target of 2%. "The committee expects that further gradual increases in the target range for the federal funds rate will be consistent with sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labour market conditions and inflation near the committee's symmetric 2% objective," the statement said. America's GDP in the second quarter of 2018 grew at over 4%, while the unemployment rate continued to stay below 4%. According to Fed projections released after the meeting, the US economy was expected grow by 3.1% in 2018.

The key Indian equity indices closed in the red for the third consecutive session on Friday as the S&P BSE Sensex dropping nearly 100 points. According to market observers, selling pressure was witnessed in metal and auto stocks.

Take Solutions's subsidiary Navitas, Inc (USA) has sold off its supply chain unit namely 'TAKE Supply Chain' in Austin, USA to ESW Capital, LLC, USA for a consideration of US$ 3.25 million (approx. Rs23.58 crore).

Cochin Shipyard signed a Memorandum of Understanding with Andaman & Nicobar Administration for ‘Operation & Maintenance of the Marine Dry-Dock” at Port Blair. CSL would be assisting in setting up of Ship repair Eco-system, Augmentation & Modernization of Marine Dockyard and Skill Development & Training schemes.

Leel Electricals bagged orders worth Rs7.3 crore from HAL for Design, Development, manufacturing and Supply of Oil Cooling System including Heat Exchanger. Leel has been uniquely positioned and is the only Indian company to be technically qualified on this offering.

Eimco Elecon entered into a Technology & License Agreement with CZM USA Corp, USA for design, manufacture and sale of Drilling Rigs, for a term of 10 years, in various countries except America. It will be benefitting by expanding a new line of products in long term under this agreement.

Gayatri Projects has been declared as the lowest bidder for three road projects worth Rs405 crore, awarded by the Bihar State Road Development Corporation and funded by Asian Development Bank (ADB).The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India's external debt declines 2.8 per cent $514.4 billion at end-June: RBI -The Total Investment & Insurance SolutionsDebt (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


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28 September 2018

Debt (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



India's external debt declined 2.8 per cent to USD 514.4 billion at June-end over the previous quarter on account of a decrease in commercial borrowings, short-term debt and non-resident Indian (NRI) deposits, the RBI said Friday. 


At end-June 2018, the external debt was placed at USD 514.4 billion, recording a decrease of USD 14.9 billion over its level at end-March 2018. 

As per the RBI, the decrease in the magnitude of external debt was primarily due to valuation gains resulting from the appreciation of the US dollar against the Indian rupee and major currencies. 

The external debt to GDP ratio stood at 20.4 per cent at end-June 2018, a shade lower than its level of 20.5 per cent at end-March 2018. 

"Valuation gains due to the appreciation of the US dollar vis-a-vis the Indian rupee and major currencies (viz, Japanese yen, euro, SDR, and pound sterling) were placed at USD 13 billion. 

"Excluding the valuation effect, the decrease in external debt would have been USD 1.9 billion instead of USD 14.9 billion at end-June 2018 over end-March 2018," RBI said. 

Commercial borrowings continued to be the largest component of external debt with a share of 37.8 per cent, followed by NRI deposits (24.2 per cent) and short-term trade credit (18.8 per cent). 

At end-June 2018, long-term debt (with original maturity of above one year) was placed at USD 415.7 billion, recording a decline of USD 11.4 billion over its level at end-March 2018. 

US dollar denominated debt continued to be the largest component of India's external debt with a share of 50.1 per cent at end-June 2018, followed by the Indian rupee (35.4 per cent), SDR (5.4 per cent), Japanese yen (4.7 per cent) and euro (3.3 per cent), RBI added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

WTO cuts global trade outlook to 3.7% in 2019 as trade tensions escalate -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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28 September 2018

WTO (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Escalating trade tensions and tighter credit market conditions in important markets would moderate the growth of global merchandise trade to 3.7% in 2019 from 3.9% in 2018, the World Trade Organization (WTO) had said. 

“Trade volume growth should slow to 3.7% in 2019 as global GDP growth dips to 2.9%,” the multilateral trade body said. 

The new forecast for 2018 is below the WTO's April 12 estimate of 4.4% but falls within the 3.1-5.5% growth range indicated at that time. Trade growth in 2018 is now most likely to fall within a range from 3.4-4.4%, it said. 

As per the WTO, North America had the fastest export growth and Asia had the strongest import growth in the first half of 2018 while resource-based economies still struggled. 

While rising trade tensions pose the biggest risk to the forecast, monetary policy tightening and associated financial volatility could also destabilize trade and output. 

As per the organisation, monetary policy tightening in developed economies has also contributed to volatility in exchange rates and may continue to do so in the coming months. 

“Developing and emerging economies could experience capital outflows and financial contagion as developed countries raise interest rates, with negative consequences for trade,” it said. 

It noted that trade-related indicators have shown a loss of momentum, including global export orders and economic policy uncertainty. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI allows Urban Co-operative Banks to Become Small Finance Banks-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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28 September 2018
 
RBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Friday allowed voluntary transition of primary (urban) co-operative banks (UCBs) into small finance banks (SFBs).

"In keeping with the fast paced changes in the banking space and in order to facilitate growth, a scheme for voluntary transition of UCBs into SFB will be a step forward to provide full suite of products and services, sustain competition, raise capital, etc. Accordingly, this scheme has been introduced for voluntary transition of a UCB into SFB by way of transfer of assets and liabilities," the central bank said in a notification.

As per RBI, UCBs with a minimum net worth of Rs50 crore (Rs500 million) and maintaining capital to risk (weighted) assets ratio of 9% and above are eligible to apply for voluntary transition to SFB under this scheme.

The promoters are required to be Indian residents, with 10 years of experience in banking and finance. Promoter or promoter groups should conform to the definition of the SEBI (Issue of Capital & Disclosure Requirements) Regulations, 2009 and RBI guidelines on ‘fit and proper’. 

RBI says it would assess the ‘fit and proper’ status of the applicants on the basis of their past record of sound credentials and integrity; financial soundness and successful track record of professional experience or of running their businesses.

The small finance banks are required to have minimum net worth of Rs100 crore (Rs1 billion) while starting the business. These banks are also required to maintain a minimum capital adequacy ratio of 15% of its risk weighted assets (RWA) on a continuous basis, and ensure availability of adequate capital. Promoters of the SFB are needed to maintain at least 26% of the paid-up equity capital in the Bank.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Stocks Turn Lower On Concern About Italy's Spending Plans-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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28 September 2018
financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Global stocks turned lower on Friday amid concern that Italy's populist government plans to spend heavily on policies that could add to the country's already heavy debt load.

KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, Italy's FTSE MIB plunged 4.1 percent to 891 points, while France's CAC 40 lost 1 percent to 5,487. Germany's DAX dropped 1.5 percent to 12,243 and the FTSE 100 in Britain shed 0.8 percent to 7,488. Wall Street was set for a weaker open, with Dow and S&P 500 futures both down 0.3 percent.

ITALIAN SPENDING: Italy's new government announced a sharp increase in spending that will push the budget deficit to 2.4 percent of gross domestic product next year, a significant jump from the 2018 target of 1.6 percent set by the former government. While still within the 3-percent ceiling set by the EU, it is likely to set up a clash with EU executives who want Italy to bring down its debt level, the second highest in the EU after Greece. A clash could further erode popular confidence in the EU and euro at a time of heightened uncertainty, from Brexit to diplomatic clashes with governments in Eastern Europe.

ANALYST'S TAKE: Economists note that Italy's public borrowing costs are still low by historical standards, so there is no imminent financial crisis. But if the government takes a hard line with the EU and continues to overspend, investor confidence could erode. A drop in the value of Italy's debts could shake the banks, which are among the biggest holders of Italian bonds, testing the country's financial stability. "There are concerns over how the EU will respond to the Italian budget that showed less fiscal rectitude than expected," says Chang Wei Liang, analyst at Mizuho Bank.

ASIA'S DAY: Markets rebounded on Friday as strong U.S. economic data supported the Federal Reserve's decision to raise interest rates. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index added 0.3 percent to 27,788.52. The Shanghai Composite Index rallied 1.1 percent to 2,821.35. Australia's S&P ASX 200 was 0.4 percent higher at 6,207.60. South Korea's Kospi bucked the regional trend, losing 0.5 percent to 2,343.07. Shares fell in Taiwan and the Philippines but rose in Singapore and Indonesia.

JAPAN-US-TRADE: Japan's Nikkei 225 jumped 1.4 percent to 24,120.04 after the country agreed to open negotiations on a bilateral trade agreement with the United States. The move won Japan relief from the immediate threat of punitive tariffs on its auto exports to the U.S. The yen rose sharply against the dollar overnight.

U.S. ECONOMY GROWS: The U.S. economy grew at a robust annual rate of 4.2 percent in the second quarter, its best performance in nearly four years, the government reported Thursday. "We're doing much better than anybody thought possible," President Donald Trump said at a news conference. But economists believe growth has slowed in the current quarter partly because of a drag from trade.
ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude rose 7 cents to $72.19 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract gained 0.8 percent on Thursday to close at $72.12. Brent crude, used to price international oils, added 52 cents to $82.24. It settled at $81.38 per barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The dollar edged down to 113.36 yen from 113.42 yen. The euro weakened to $1.1579 from $1.1658.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 27 September 2018

Nifty, Sensex Still under Selling Pressure – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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27 September 2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might rise if today’s low holds. The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Thursday and closed with losses over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 473 advances, 1,282 declines and 303 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:


The S&P BSE Sensex closed 218 points down and the NSE's Nifty50 closed lower by 69 points as investors turned cautious ahead of the September futures and options (F&O) contracts’ expiry. Almost all the sectors led by finance, banking and capital goods stocks came under selling pressure on Thursday. However, IT (information technology) stocks gained due to a weakening rupee.
 
Private airline SpiceJet on Thursday announced a daily non-stop flight between Delhi and Hong Kong starting from November 22. The airline would deploy Boeing 737 MAX on the route, SpiceJet said in a statement. Spicejet shares closed at Rs68.05, down 1.95% on the BSE.

Tata Power on Thursday said it has signed an MoU with state-run oil marketer Hindustan Petroleum Corp (HPCL) for setting up electric vehicle (EV) charging stations at HPCL's retail outlets and other locations across the country. Tata Power Co shares closed at Rs68.90, down 1.99% on the BSE.

The US Federal Reserve has raised its key interest rate by 0.25% for a third time in 2018 bringing it to the 2-2.25% range. In a statement on Wednesday, following its two-day meeting in Washington, the Federal Open Market Committee also dropped its earlier "accommodative" stance on monetary policy. The majority of Fed members also said they expect another hike in rates before the end of 2018. The nine-member committee voted unanimously for the hike. In continuing with its policy of gradual rate rises, the latest one marks the Fed's eighth rate hike since 2015, indicating its favourable assessment of the US economy. The Fed statement said that growth and employment gains in the domestic economy have been strong and inflation has remained near the US central bank's target of 2%. "The committee expects that further gradual increases in the target range for the federal funds rate will be consistent with sustained expansion of economic activity, strong labour market conditions and inflation near the committee's symmetric 2% objective," the statement said. America's GDP in the second quarter of 2018 grew at over 4%, while the unemployment rate continued to stay below 4%. According to Fed projections released after the meeting, the US economy was expected grow by 3.1% in 2018.
 
Lender Punjab National Bank's Board will consider a proposal for capital infusion of Rs5,431 crore from the central government by way of preferential issue of equity share. According to a BSE filing made on Wednesday, PNB's Board of Directors will meet on September 27 "for considering infusion of Rs5,431 crore by Government of India by way of preferential issue of equity share". Punjab National Bank shares closed at Rs62.85, down 6.40% on the BSE.

Budget carrier IndiGo will operate its daily non-stop flights between Kuala Lumpur-Bengaluru and Kuala Lumpur-Delhi from November 15. InterGlobe shares closed at Rs842.00, down 1.27% on the BSE.

Cochin Shipyard signs MoU with Andaman & Nicobar Administration for ‘Operation & Maintenance of the Marine Dry-Dock” at Port Blair. CSL will be assisting in the setting up of Ship repair Eco-system, Augmentation & Modernization of Marine Dockyard and Skill Development & Training schemes. Cochin Shipyard shares closed at Rs399.45, down 0.15% on the NSE.

Amara Raja Batteries has entered into an agreement with Johnson Controls Technology Company, USA for acquiring the license for manufacturing advanced stamped grid plate making technology. Also, it entered into a technology collaboration to manufacture advanced lead acid batteries. Amara Raja Batteries shares closed at Rs771.45, down 1.91% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Boost to food processing sector! Government to relax FDI regulations-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 September 2018
FDI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



The government will relax foreign direct investment (FDI) regulations to give a boost to the food processing sector, which has attracted USD 8.7 billion of investment, a senior government official said here. “We have already received USD 8.7 billion of FDI in food processing industry and we are in the process of removing bottlenecks as we see huge FDI investment potential in the sector. The government will relax FDI regulations to give a boost to the sector,” ministry of commerce and industry DIPP joint secretary Rajiv Aggarwal told PTI on the sidelines of World of Food India conference organized by FICCI.

MNCs and investors were facing some hurdles, which has now been removed in terms of modifications, harmonisation. They hope to provide ease of doing business in the sector, he added. At present, 100 per cent FDI in food processing sector is allowed in setting up of manufacturing unit. There is no permission required for wholesale business in the sector too, he said.

The government is expected to announce a new industrial policy soon. The proposed policy will encompass the use of new technologies such as artificial intelligence and IoT which will open new avenues for investments in India. “We need technology and investment in supply chain mechanism to boost the industry,” Aggarwal said, adding that the industry faces huge wastages from farm to table.

“We only process 7 per cent of perishable goods as compared to 65 per cent in US, 23 per cent in China and 78 per cent in Phillipines,” he said. The three-day conference, is being attended by buyers and sellers from 30 countries with 297 exhibitors showcasing the latest technologies and trends in the food and beverage industry and 7,000 scheduled B2B meetings are to be held.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

RBI to ease SLR norms from October to induce liquidity-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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27 September 2018
 
Statutory Liquidity Ratio (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The Reserve Bank of India will ease the Statutory Liquidity Ratio (SLR) norms from October to induce liquidity into the financial system, amid concerns of a credit crunch.

SLR is a reserve requirement that commercial banks must maintain.

According to the RBI, "the increase in 'Facility to Avail Liquidity for Liquidity Coverage Ratio' (FALLCR), announced today (Thursday) for effect from October 1, 2018, from the existing 11 per cent to 13 per cent will take the carve out from SLR available to banks to 15 per cent of their NDTLA(Net Demand and Time Liabilities)".

The development comes days after the apex bank had assured that it will take steps to ensure adequate liquidity is available in the financial system.

"This should supplement the ability of individual banks to avail of liquidity, if required, from the repo markets against high-quality collateral," the RBI said in a statement on Thursday.

"This, in turn, will help improve the distribution of liquidity in the financial system as a whole."

In addition, the apex bank said that it will use various available instruments to meet the durable liquidity requirements of the financial system.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions