Friday 30 June 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Bounce Back a Bit – Weekly closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 June 2017


I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might correct. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound through the week and closed with small losses on Friday over last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

On Monday, the stock exchanges were closed on account of Eid. The Indian equity markets traded in the red during the post-afternoon session on Tuesday, as caution ahead of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) launch and selling pressure in banking, capital goods and automobile stocks subdued investors' sentiments. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Equity benchmarks started off on a positive note. However, gains were ceded on the back of profit booking and caution over GST implementation, pointed out market analysts.  Except for FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) and consumer durables, all other sectors traded in the red with oil and gas, auto and metals bearing most of the brunt. On the NSE, there were 302 advances, 1,179 declines and 35 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

However, with political stability in India, foreign institutional investors are likely to bring investments to the Indian stock markets. The true recognition of political stability came in the hug that President Donald Trump gave Prime Minister Modi in Washington D.C. The dialogue between the two countries in Washington D.C. was meaningful. The long term trend for the Indian stock markets is clearly bullish.

With the country's biggest indirect tax reform -- Goods and Services Tax (GST) -- just around the corner and derivatives expiry a day away, the Indian equity markets were pulled lower on Wednesday. Besides, investors' sentiments were dampened by negative global cues, weak rupee and selling pressure in consumer durables, oil and gas, and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) stocks. On the NSE, there were 721 advances, 696 declines and 59 unchanged. The BSE market breadth was bearish -- with 1,331 declines and 1,287 advances. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

State run lender Allahabad Bank is looking to achieve a business growth of 12.23% in the current financial year and is also planning to raise capital up to Rs2,000 crore, a top official said here on Wednesday. "The bank is looking to achieve a year-on-year business growth of 12.23 per cent and reach a level of Rs4.05 lakh crore by the end of FY 18 (2017-18). We are looking at a growth of 13.45 per cent and 10.68% in deposits and credit respectively," Allahabad Bank's MD and CEO Usha Ananthasubramanian said while addressing the shareholders of the bank at the 15th Annual General Meeting (AGM) here. She said the bank would primarily focus on building up low cost deposits or CASA deposits and would continue to discourage reliance on high cost deposits. In terms of capital adequacy, she said, "...the bank is fairly placed given the business growth and the environment we are operating. But I would not say we are very comfortable....we need to raise capital." At a special business resolution, the bank has sought shareholders' nod in the AGM for raising equity capital aggregating up to Rs2,000 crore through different modes like QIP or FPO or Rights issue etc. The shares of the bank closed at Rs66.95, down marginally on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Lending major SBI (State Bank of India) said it might have to make a little more provisioning towards large NPAs (non-performing assets) accounts referred by the RBI (Reserve Bank of India) for resolution and that this should not "badly impact" earnings. According to State bank of India Chairman Arundhati Bhattacharya, "pretty large provisions" have already been made for these accounts. SBI shares closed at Rs276.40, down 1.07% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The key Indian equity indices traded higher on Thursday morning following positive global cues. According to market observers, positive global cues and healthy buying in metal, FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) and capital goods stocks aided the key indices to trade on a higher note. However, the major indices fell towards the end of trading on account of profit booking, and the gains in the earlier part of the day were not sustained. On the NSE, there were 952 advances, 452 declines and 61 unchanged. The trend of the market was bullish. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

 After more than a decade-long journey, the biggest indirect tax reform since Independence -- The Goods and Services Tax (GST) -- was finally set for a midnight launch on Friday in Parliament's Central Hall in the presence of President Pranab Mukherjee, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Vice President Hamid Ansari, Members of Parliament, state finance ministers and chief ministers. Acknowledging the role of previous governments in readying the GST, the government also invited former Prime Ministers Manmohan Singh and H.D. Deve Gowda, though the Congress still appeared to be undecided over attending the special midnight function in Parliament. 

United Bank of India was looking at a 12.8% growth in business to clock a figure of Rs2.20 lakh crore in the current fiscal and the state-run lender is also planning to raise up to Rs1,000 crore capital this year, an official said on Thursday. "We are looking at a business of Rs2.20 lakh crore from the current level of Rs1.95 lakh crore in the current financial year. The bank is projecting a 10 per cent growth in advances and 8 per cent in deposits in 2017-18," United Bank of India MD and CEO Pawan Bajaj told shareholders here at the 8th Annual General Meeting of the bank.  The lender sought shareholders' approval to raise up to Rs1,000 crore in tranches through different modes. The shares of the bank closed at Rs19.00, up 0.75% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Just ahead of the launch of the country's biggest indirect tax reform -- Goods and Services Tax (GST) -- the Indian equity markets traded lower on Friday as investors booked profits. The key equity indices trimmed some of their morning losses to trade on a flat-to-negative note during the mid-afternoon session. By the time the markets closed for trading, the range-bound major indices managed to close with small gains over Thursday’s close. The global cues from Asian markets were negative. So, the indices did not make much headway at close of trading hours and the gains were around 0.20% over Thursday’s close. On the NSE, there were 862 advances, 781 declines and 306 unchanged.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a major embarrassment, SEBI fined for 'gross negligence'-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 June 2017
SEBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Securities Appellate Tribunal on 28 June 2017 passed a judgment rapping Securities and Exchange Board of India (SEBI) in two cases and imposing a Rs10,000 fine. 

In one case, the appellants were Vilas Valunji, Partha Debnath and Janardhan Shriniwas Purandare. In another case, VA Norhi was the appellant. 

SEBI was seeking an extension to comply with a SAT order of 5 September 2014. As per the order, SEBI had to issue a show-cause notice to the appellants and pass a fresh order, preferably within a period of four months from 5 September 2014. In spite of the specific direction, SEBI failed to comply. SEBI filed several affidavits explaining the circumstances in which the SAT order had not been implemented. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SAT said in its 28th June order that it was unimpressed by SEBI’s explanations. “In spite of the specific direction contained in the order of this Tribunal dated 5 September, 2014 SEBI has failed and neglected to comply with the said directions. Although SEBI has filed several affidavits explaining the circumstances in which the order of this Tribunal had remained to be implemented we are not at all impressed by those explanations. In our opinion, there is gross negligence on part of various officials of SEBI including the concerned Whole Time Member (WTM) of SEBI. Although, no case is made out for grant of extension, for the negligence of SEBI, a person who has allegedly violated SEBI Act and the regulations made there under cannot go unpunished.” SEBI was directed to pay a fine of Rs10,000 to the Advocate for the appellant VA Nohri, within a period of two weeks from 28th June 2017. 


The order also directed SEBI to issue show cause notices to the appellants within two weeks from the day of the order. The appellants in the respective appeals were told to file a reply within four weeks of receiving the show-cause notice. Further, SAT ordered SEBI to complete the adjudication proceedings in accordance with law and pass an appropriate order within four weeks of receiving the reply from the appellants. If the reply is not received within the stipulated time, SEBI is at liberty to pass ex-parte order. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Spain Revises Its Economic Growth Forecast Upward, Again-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 June 2017

Spain (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Spain is revising its economic growth forecast for this year upward to 3 percent from 2.7 percent, a further sign of the country's surging recovery. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Speaking Friday in Warsaw, Poland, Prime Minister Mariano Rajoy said that the latest estimate by the Spanish central bank that the economy grew 0.9 percent in the second quarter, up from 0.8 percent in the first quarter, was significant. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
It was the second upward revision to growth so far this year. Rajoy said Spain would officially revise the figure on Monday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Spain emerged from recession in late 2013 and is now one of the European Union's fastest-growing economies although its unemployment rate of 19 percent remains the EU's second-highest after Greece.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Eurozone Inflation Holds Up Despite Big Energy Drag-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 June 2017

Eurozone (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Inflation across the 19-country eurozone held up better than anticipated in the face of waning energy prices, a sign that the region's economic recovery is reverberating across the single currency bloc, official figures showed Friday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
In its first estimate of inflation for June, Eurostat, the European Union's statistics agency, found that consumer prices rose by an annual 1.3 percent, down slightly from 1.4 percent the month before.
Though the rate has not been lower since December, the decline was more modest than financial markets had anticipated. That was likely due to the fact that the core inflation rate, which strips out the volatile items of food, alcohol, energy and tobacco such as energy, rose to 1.1 percent in the year to June from 0.9 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The increase in the core rate is a further sign that many prices are being pushed up by higher wages as unemployment across the region steadily falls and economic growth improves.
A run of economic data recently has raised hopes that the eurozone economy is gaining momentum, fueling speculation that the European Central Bank may start reining in its stimulus sooner than predicted. Earlier this week, ECB President Mario Draghi spoke of a "firming and broadening" recovery, words that investors interpreted as a move to lay the groundwork for a change in policy. As well as slashing interest rates, including its main one to zero, the ECB has been buying bonds — currently about 60 billion euros ($68 billion) per month — to keep market interest rates down and encourage lending across the economy. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The ECB's primary policy aim is to keep the inflation rate just below 2 percent. A little bit of inflation is considered a good thing for an economy as it encourages consumers to spend now and businesses to invest. Inflation in the eurozone has been below target for most of the past few years, turning negative at times. However, it's been rising steadily in recent months as oil prices have bounced back from multi-year lows and in February inflation actually hit 2 percent.
Energy prices remain the main driver of the headline rate as evidenced in the June figures. The main reason inflation rate fell to a 2017 low in June was the fact that energy prices were up only 1.9 percent from the year before compared with a 4.5 percent gain the previous month. As recently as February, they were 9.3 percent higher. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Analysts said the inflation figures are unlikely to prompt any immediate turn in sentiment, and the euro remained flat at near 14-month highs of $1.14. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Jennifer McKeown, chief European economist at Capital Economics, said the figures will "add to the ECB's sense that reflationary pressures are appearing" but that the bank will remain cautious.

"The ECB will keep saying that the pace of normalization will be slow and that interest rate hikes are a long way off," she said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Markets Volatile As Quarter-End Impacts On Trading-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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30 June 2017
European stock markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

European stock markets bounced back Friday with trading set to be volatile for the rest of the session ahead of the quarter's end, traditionally a time when investors look to make their books look as healthy as possible by adjusting their portfolios in any number of ways.
KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, Germany's DAX was up 0.2 percent at 12,442 while the CAC 40 in France rose 0.6 percent to 5,183. The FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was 0.3 percent higher at 7,370. Wall Street was poised for a solid opening with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures up 0.2 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
QUARTER END: With the second quarter of the year coming to an end, some investors will be looking to close out positions and book profits. It has the potential to make trading choppy over the coming hours.
ANALYST TAKE: "It is the last day of the week, month and quarter, so the impact of profit-taking and portfolio rebalancing by fund managers should have some impact on the markets," said Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at Forex.com. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
RATE BACKDROP: The week in Europe has been dominated by hints from European Central Bank President Mario Draghi and Bank of England Governor Mark Carney that monetary policy may have to be tightened soon. The comments prompted big rises in the euro and the pound. On Friday, both currencies gave up some gains. The euro was down 0.3 percent at $1.1410 but still near 14-month highs while the pound dropped 0.2 percent to $1.2977. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
EUROZONE INFLATION: Figures showing a slight easing in eurozone inflation to 1.3 percent in the year to June had little market impact. Though the rate has not been lower since December, the decline was more modest than financial markets had anticipated. That was likely due to the fact that the core inflation rate, which strips out the volatile items of food, alcohol, energy and tobacco such as energy, rose to 1.1 percent in the year to June from 0.9 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
CHINA MANUFACTURING: A survey showed China's manufacturing activity accelerated in June, helped by stronger foreign demand for Chinese goods. The monthly purchasing managers' index issued by the Chinese statistics bureau and an industry group on Friday rose to 51.7 from May's 51.2 on a 100-point scale on which numbers above 50 show activity expanding. The Federation of Logistics & Purchasing said it was the 11th straight month of improvement.
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's Nikkei 225 index dropped 0.9 percent to 20,033.43 and the Hang Seng in Hong Kong fell 0.8 percent to 25,764.58. South Korea's Kospi lost 0.2 percent to 2,391.79. The Shanghai Composite index gained 0.1 percent to 3,192.43, while Australia's S&P ASX 200 lost 1.7 percent to 5,721.50. Shares in Southeast Asia were mostly lower.

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude rose 42 cents to $45.35 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange while Brent, the international standard, gained 41 cents to $48.04.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Thursday 29 June 2017

Nifty, Sensex to Head Higher, if the Week’s Low Holds – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 June 2017

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex decline might reverse. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with small gains over Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The key Indian equity indices were trading higher on Thursday afternoon following positive global cues. Asian markets were trading positive following positive US markets closing on Wednesday. All sectors were trading in positive especially metals, oil & goods, technology and bank.  According to market observers, positive global cues and healthy buying in metal, FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) and capital goods stocks aided the key indices to trade on a higher note. However, the major indices fell towards the end of trading on account of profit booking, and the gains in the earlier part of the day were not sustained. On the NSE, there were 952 advances, 452 declines and 61 unchanged. The trend of the market was bullish.

After more than a decade-long journey, the biggest indirect tax reform since Independence -- The Goods and Services Tax (GST) -- is finally set for a midnight launch on Friday in Parliament's Central Hall in the presence of President Pranab Mukherjee, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Vice President Hamid Ansari, Members of Parliament, state finance ministers and chief ministers. Acknowledging the role of previous governments in readying the GST, the government has also invited former Prime Ministers Manmohan Singh and H.D. Deve Gowda, though the Congress still appears undecided over attending the special midnight function in Parliament. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

United Bank of India is looking at a 12.8% growth in business to clock a figure of Rs2.20 lakh crore in the current fiscal and the state-run lender is also planning to raise up to Rs1,000 crore capital this year, an official said on Thursday. "We are looking at a business of Rs2.20 lakh crore from the current level of Rs1.95 lakh crore in the current financial year. The bank is projecting a 10 per cent growth in advances and 8 per cent in deposits in 2017-18," United Bank of India MD and CEO Pawan Bajaj told shareholders here at the 8th Annual General Meeting of the bank. With the growth projection in place, the bank needs to raise more capital in order to become self-sufficient in terms of capital by March 2019 when the Basel III norms become fully applicable, he said. "We have decided to raise up to Rs1,000 crore capital this year but in which modes it would be raised has not been decided," he said on the sidelines of the AGM.  The lender sought shareholders' approval to raise up to Rs1,000 crore in tranches through different modes. The shares of the bank closed at Rs19.00, up 0.75% on the NSE.

Moving ahead on the proposal for privatisation, the Union cabinet on Wednesday gave its in-principle approval for divestment of Air India, whose debt has mounted to Rs50,000 crore besides huge losses. State miner Coal India (CIL) will generate one gigawatt (GW) power from renewable energy during the current fiscal as part of its plan to produce around 10 GW power overall from renewables, Union Coal, Power and Renewable Energy Minister Piyush Goyal said on Thursday. "This is a contribution towards a better planet, towards greening the country and greening the world," Goyal said, while releasing the first part of a report 'Pathways to Integrate 175 Gigawatts of Renewable Energy into India's Electricity Grid' at an event here

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

After a decade, GST set for Friday midnight launch in Parliament -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 June 2017
 
GST (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
After more than a decade-long journey, the biggest indirect tax reform since Independence -- GST -- is finally set for a midnight launch on Friday in Parliament's Central Hall in the presence of President Pranab Mukherjee, Prime Minister Narendra Modi, Vice President Hamid Ansari, Members of Parliament, state finance ministers and chief ministers. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Goods and Services Tax (GST) will be launched on Friday midnight in an hour-long event that will evoke memories of the "Tryst with Destiny" moment of 1947.

Both the President and the Prime Minister will speak on the subject and two short films on GST will be screened in the Central Hall. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the midnight of August 14-15, 1947, the country ushered in Independence from British rule with a special function in the Central Hall in which the first Prime Minister, Jawaharlal Nehru, made his now famous speech "Tryst with Destiny". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Acknowledging the role of previous governments in readying the GST, the government has also invited former Prime Ministers Manmohan Singh and H.D. Deve Gowda, though the Congress still appears undecided over attending the special midnight function in Parliament. 

The Trinamool Congress has already decided not to attend the June 30 midnight programme as a mark of protest against the "unnecessary disastrous hurry" to roll out the pan-India tax regime. 

Major opposition parties are likely to skip the midnight launch of GST, sources in the parties said.

The issue was discussed informally among leaders of the opposition grouping which gathered here for filing of nomination of their Presidential candidate Meira Kumar on Wednesday.

The leaders said there appeared to be a lot of confusion and apprehension among various sections of the trading and business community, some of whom are protesting against certain provisions of the new indirect taxation law. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Opposition leaders said they would like to keep away from the function which they feel was being planned by the government as a publicity gimmick. "It's not a tryst with destiny but playing with the destiny of people," one leader remarked. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

GST, termed as the most radical tax reform since Independence, seeks to subsume all central indirect taxes like excise duty, countervailing duty and service tax, as also state levies like Value Added Tax, entry tax and luxury tax, to create a single, pan-India market.

So far, apart from Jammu and Kashmir, all the states have passed the State GST (SGST) law. Finance Minister Arun Jaitley has written to J&K Chief Minister Mehbooba Mufti to join the GST regime by July 1. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Going back in history, GST was first discussed in the Kelkar Task Force report on indirect taxes in 2003 and a proposal to introduce a national GST by April 1, 2010, was first mooted in the Budget Speech for the financial year 2006-07. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Decks were cleared for the GST regime with parliamentary approval to Central Goods and Services Tax (GST) Bill, Integrated GST Bill, Compensation GST Bill and Union Territory GST Bill 2017, on April 7.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

IndiGo interested in Air India, others might follow-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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29 June 2017
 
IndiGo and Air India (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
A day after the Union cabinet gave its in-principle approval for Air India's divestment, Civil Aviation Minister Ashok Gajapathi Raju said that the budget passenger airline IndiGo has expressed its interest in participating in the stake sale of the flag-carrier. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"There has been interest shown for Air India. IndiGo has approached the ministry with a formal expression of interest proposal," Civil Aviation Minister Ashok Gajapathi Raju told IANS.

"Other airlines have also shown interest in Air India, but they have not submitted any formal proposals as yet," he added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

When contacted, an official from IndiGo said that the airline was "observing a silent period". 

According to Civil Aviation Ministry Secretary R.N.Choubey, a formal proposal from IndiGo was received after Wednesday's cabinet decision on Air India's divestment. 

The Union cabinet's decision on Air India comes after NITI Aayog in a recent report to the Civil Aviation Ministry recommended strategic disinvestment in the loss-making Air India.

At present, the national passenger carrier has a debt burden of more than Rs 50,000 crore.

The airline in 2015-16 had posted an operating profit of Rs 105 crore. For the last fiscal 2016-17, the company is expected to report an improved operating profit margin.

The flag carrier had got a new lease of life on April 12, 2012, when the previous central government under the UPA had approved a Rs 30,000 crore turnaround (TAP) and financial restructuring plans (FRP) package spanning up to the year 2021. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Currently, Air India's portfolio of subsidiaries include Air India Engineering Services, Air India Transport Services, Alliance Air, Air India Express and the Hotel Corporation of India. It also has a ground handling joint venture AISATS. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Apart from its subsidiaries, the national carrier owns several properties in India and abroad, operational slots at international airport and priceless art work, besides a well trained manpower. 

According to the company's website, Air India operates 118 aircraft of various kind. Its international network consists of 41 destinations across the US, Europe, Australia, Far East and South East Asia and the Gulf. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The airline's domestic network covers 72 destinations, including far-flung areas of the North-East, Ladakh, Andaman and Nicobar Islands. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions