Thursday, 22 February 2018

German Business Confidence Drops Amid Global, Local Concerns-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 February  2018
Germany parliament europe (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

German business confidence dropped sharply in February amid increasing concerns about both domestic and international risks.

The Munich-based Ifo Institute said Thursday its business climate indicator fell to 115.4 points in February from 117.6 in January, while noting it remained near historic highs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ING economist Carsten Brzeski says the figures show concerns about "market turmoil, the political impasse in Berlin and new fears of a protectionist wave from the U.S. as well as the U.S. tax reform" are beginning to take their toll.

Despite the risks, he says "the economy should maintain its strong momentum."
He says company's "order books are still richly filled and the domestic momentum remains strong." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The survey is based on about 7,000 responses from firms in manufacturing, construction, wholesaling and retailing.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Worries About US Rate Hikes Return To Stalk Markets-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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22 February  2018
Hong kong financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global stock markets tracked Wall Street lower on Thursday after the minutes to the last meeting of the Federal Reserve policy meeting rekindled fears about the pace of interest rate rises. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 1 percent at 7,210 while Germany's DAX fell 0.7 percent to 12,383. The CAC 40 in France was 0.3 percent lower at 5,283. U.S. stocks were poised for a modest recovery on the opening bell, with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures pointing to gains of 0.3 percent.

MEETING MINUTES: The Fed minutes indicated confidence among policymakers about the outlook for U.S. and global economic growth, reinforcing expectations of further interest rate rises this year. Wall Street initially welcomed the report but soon U.S. Treasury yields spiked to their highest level in four years, snuffing out the stock market rally amid renewed worries about rising inflation. Higher yields generally hurt stock prices by making bonds more attractive than equities. Earlier this month, global stock markets, but particularly those in the U.S., suffered big losses amid mounting concerns over the pace of Fed policy tightening.

ANALYST TAKE: "Indices still appear vulnerable to further shocks and the prospect of more aggressive tightening by the Fed may trigger it," said Craig Erlam, senior market analyst at OANDA.

UK SLOWDOWN: British shares underperformed their European counterparts after figures showed the British economy did not grow as strongly as initially thought during 2017 as consumers and businesses were held back by factors related to Brexit. The Office for National Statistics said Thursday that the British economy expanded by a quarterly rate of 0.4 percent, down from the initial estimate of 0.5 percent. The downgrade was largely due to lower than anticipated industrial production. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index sank 1.1 percent to close at 21,736.44 and South Korea's Kospi shed 0.6 percent to 2,414.28. Hong Kong's Hang Seng lost 1.5 percent to 30,965.68 but the Shanghai Composite jumped 2.2 percent to 3,268.56, fueled by pent-up demand from investors in mainland China, where markets reopened after a weeklong holiday. Australia's S&P ASX 200 edged up 0.1 percent to 5,950.90. Taiwan's benchmark fell and Southeast Asian indexes were mostly lower.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude fell 15 cents to $61.52 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange while Brent crude, used to price international oils, lost 3 cents to $65.39 per barrel in London.


CURRENCIES: The euro fell 0.1 percent to $1.2276 while the dollar slid 0.6 percent to 107.07 yen.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday, 21 February 2018

Nifty, Sensex continue to move sideways – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 February  2018

I had mentioned in Tuesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were showing no strength at all. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Wednesday and closed with small gains over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 561 advances, 915 declines and 53 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
After three consecutive days of losses, the key Indian equity indices traded in the green during the mid-afternoon session on Wednesday riding on broadly positive Asian markets and a surge in IT (information technology) stocks. 

The Central government on Wednesday opposed a public interest litigation (PIL) seeking probe into the role of PNB's top management in the Rs11,300 crore scam and extradition of diamond trader Nirav Modi who is alleged to be involved in it. Also, the CBI (Central Bureau of Investigation) on Wednesday said that it has arrested a General Manager rank officer of the Punjab National Bank in connection with the Rs11,300 crore fraud case. PNB’s shares closed at Rs117.30, down 0.26% on the NSE.

The Income Tax Department raided 20 premises and associated firms in connection with Gitanjali Group in a tax evasion case. The search action were conducted in Mumbai, Pune, Surat, Hyderabad, Bengaluru and few other cities against 13 companies linked to the Gitanjali Group.  Gitanjali's chief Mehul Choksi is under investigation by the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) and the Enforcement Directorate (ED) for allegedly committing fraud amounting to Rs11,300 crore against PNB, whose Letters of Undertaking and Foreign Letters of Credit were illegally used to raise and rollover money.  Choksi, along with other family members are said to have left the country in early January this year. Also, the closure of Gitanjali Gems Park in Hyderabad following the raid by the Enforcement Directorate (ED) in connection with the multi-crore Punjab National Bank (PNB) scam has hit about 600 families and led to protests here on Tuesday.  Gitanjali Gems shares closed at Rs27.40, down 9.87% on the NSE, on Wednesday.

Reliance Jio will invest another Rs10,000 crore in Uttar Pradesh over the next three years, Reliance Industries Limited Chairman Mukesh Ambani said on Wednesday while addressing the Uttar Pradesh Investors' Summit 2018. Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs929.35, up 0.86% on the NSE.

Central trade unions in coal sector opposed opening up of commercial coal mining for private sector after the Union Cabinet approved the methodology for auction of coal mines for sale of coal. Coal India shares closed at Rs310.55, up 0.06% on the NSE.

In the backdrop of several ponzi schemes duping gullible investors surfacing in recent years, the Union Cabinet decided to bring a bill in Parliament to ban unregulated deposit schemes. This is likely to bring more investors to the banking sector and the stock markets and re-inforce the long term bullish trend in the stock markets.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:

 
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

PM announces Rs 20,000-cr defence industrial corridor in Bundelkhand (Lead)-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 February  2018
Prime Minister Narendra Modi(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Prime Minister Narendra Modi on Wednesday announced that his government will establish a Rs 20,000-crore defence industrial production corridor in Bundelkhand -- a region divided between Uttar Pradesh and Madhya Pradesh -- that will generate 250,000 jobs and bring development to one of the most impoverished regions of the country.

"I am making an important announcement. In this year's budget, we had announced that we will establish two defence industrial production corridors. One of them will be in Bundelkhand," Modi said addressing the inaugural session of the two-day Uttar Pradesh 'Investors Meet' at the Indira Gandhi Pratishthan in Lucknow.

The government had earlier announced that it would develop two such corridors. The first of the two, announced by Finance Minister Arun Jaitley in his budget speech, is being built between Chennai and Bengaluru - connecting Kattupalli port, Chennai, Tiruchi, Coimbatore and Hosur.

The project, he said, would bring an "investment of Rs 20,000 crore and generate employment avenues for 2.5 lakh people".

The Prime Minister said the decision to come with the defence production corridor to Uttar Pradesh was taken keeping in mind the developmental requirements of Bundelkhand region.

The corridor will link Agra, Aligarh, Lucknow, Kanpur, Jhansi and Chitrakoot.
Modi said Uttar Pradesh had a vast potential for development but needed policy, planning , performance. He lauded the efforts of Chief Minister Yogi Adityanath for setting the state on the path to give a "super hit" performance.

The Prime Minister pointed out how air traffic in the state had grown by 30 per cent in the past one year with just three international airports in Agra, Varanasi and Lucknow.
He said it was more than the national average and indicated a huge potential in the state for civil aviation.
The Prime Minister said more airports will be initiated in multiple parts of the state to realize his dream of "hawai chappal pehne wala bhi, hawa mein udna chahiye".
"New airports will give it (the air traffic in Uttar Pradesh) an additional boost. The state is also home to the largest rail network."

Modi said the Centrally-sponsored Prime Ministerial Kisan Property scheme will reduce crop-grain-fruits and waste of vegetables as the government was also keen on modernizing the entire supply chain and infrastructure for the agri and allied sectors to help in doubling the farmers income by 2022.

He said the initiatives would help the state in particular because it is ranked number one in the country in production of foodgrains, wheat, sugarcane, milk, potato production. It is number two in terms of vegetable production and third in fruit production.
He also called for a storage and marketing grid, underlining how the produce of farmers was wasted in a big way because of lack of facilities.

Modi suggested that local manufacturing units for chips and similar products could minimize the losses inflicted on farmers due to lack of storage and transport facilities.
The investors event organised by the Yogi Adityanath government is aimed to showcase the investment opportunities in the state. Corporate honchos are attending the summit.

Modi also praised the Uttar Pradesh government for curbing red tape and rolling out the red carpet for investors and taking decisions that have linked industrial development with employment generation.

"There is no dearth of resources and opportunities in Uttar Pradesh where you find 'Lucknowi chikankari', Banarsi zardosi', brassware of Moradabad and glassware industries of Firozabad," Modi said.

He called for "inter-linking of expertise and efficiency" and lauded the state government for its innovative 'one district, one product' scheme.

"This is a game changer and I am sure the artisans and industries in places like Firozabad, Mallihabad, Agra, Lucknow and Varanasi will hugely benefit from this."
He also asked the Uttar Pradesh government to compete with Maharashtra in achieving the target of a one trillion dollar economy.

"I set this challenge before Uttar Pradesh to compete with Maharashtra and let us see who will become the first trillion dollar economy," he said.

Urging the states to get into the "spirit of competitive cooperative federalism" and to try and outsmart each other in growth and industrialization indices, he said Uttar Pradesh had advantages in terms of being a favourite investment destination as 60 per cent of the state's population was a working force.


The Prime Minister also launched an integrated digital clearance system portal of the state government which aims to minimize human interface and faster procedures, cut red tape and delays and offer solutions to investors.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Lupin receives FDA approval for generic Tamiflu for Oral Suspension -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 February  2018
 
Lupin (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Pharma major, Lupin Ltd, announced in its filing to BSE that it has received final green signal for its Oseltamivir Phosphate for Oral Suspension from the United States Food and Drug Administration (USFDA). The approval is to market the generic version of Tamiflu for Oral Suspension, 6 mg/mL.

Lupin, significant player in the Cardiovascular, Diabetology, Asthma, etc, shall commence promoting the product shortly. 

Lupin's Oseltamivir Phosphate for Oral Suspension, 6 mg (base)/mL is indicated for i) treatment of acute, uncomplicated influenza A and B in patients 2 weeks of age and older who have been symptomatic for no more than 48 hours and ii) treatment of influenza A and B in patients 1 year and older. Oseltamivir Phosphate for Oral Suspension, 6 mg (base)/mL had annual sales of ~USD358mn in the US (IQVIA MAT October, 2017). 


Lupin Ltd is currently trading at Rs813.05 down by Rs2.75 or 0.34% from its previous closing of Rs815.80 on the BSE. The stock is currently trading below its 200 DMA.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Eurozone Economy Cools Amid Stock Market Turmoil-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 February  2018

Spain daily life (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
There are signs that the turmoil in financial markets at the start of February had a negative impact — albeit a short-term one — on the fast-growing 19-country eurozone economy. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
A closely monitored survey of the private sector found activity cooling during the month but still remaining near levels not seen since before the global financial crisis over a decade ago. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
In its monthly survey, financial information firm IHS Markit found that its main gauge of business activity across manufacturing and services — the so-called purchasing managers' index — slipped to 57.5 points in February from the previous month's 12-year high of 58.8.
The survey, which informs the European Central Bank's thinking when it comes to setting policy, has been one of the main indicators showing the strengthening recovery across the countries using the euro currency. Anything above 50 indicates growth. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The decline is not causing much alarm, not least because the start of February was marked by a massive retreat in global stock markets as investors around the world, particularly in the United States, took fright at the prospect of rapid rises in interest rates. Markets have since steadied, a development that's likely to ease concerns in business of a more protracted and debilitating drop.
"The abrupt end of the long period of nonchalance on the financial markets appears to have also put a damper on the euphoric mood in the eurozone economy," said Christoph Weil, senior economist at Commerzbank. "But today's data do not signal an end to the economic upswing in the eurozone."
In fact, the eurozone is enjoying particularly robust and broad-based economic growth that is raising speculation that the European Central Bank will start to unwind its crisis-era measures faster than expected.
Chris Williamson, IHS Markit's chief business economist, thinks the region could be headed for quarterly growth of 0.9 percent in the first three months of the year, which would equate to annualized growth — the preferred measure in the United States — not far short of 4 percent. That's a strong level and would likely prompt further big declines in the region's still-high unemployment rates. In the last three months of 2017, the eurozone economy grew by a healthy quarterly rate of 0.6 percent.

"The rate of expansion remains impressive, putting the region on course for its best quarter for almost 12 years," he said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

World Markets Mixed As Investors Eye Fed Minutes-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 February  2018
Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Shares slid Wednesday in Europe after a day of gains in Asia as attention turned to minutes from the latest meeting of the Federal Reserve.
KEEPING SCORE: Germany's DAX slipped 0.7 percent to 12,402 and the CAC 40 of France lost 0.4 percent to 5,270. Britain's FTSE 100 was flat at 7,246. Dow futures edged 0.1 percent lower and S&P 500 futures were down almost 0.1 percent, pointing to small losses on the open in New York.
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's Nikkei 225 index climbed 0.2 percent to 21,970.81 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng advanced 1.8 percent to 31,431.89. Australia's S&P ASX 200 edged 0.1 percent higher to 5,943.70 and the Kospi in South Korea added 0.6 percent to 2,429.65. India's Sensex gained 0.3 percent to 33,801.94 while shares in Southeast Asia were mixed. Markets in mainland China were closed for a final day of lunar new year holidays. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
WALL STREET: Walmart's stock sank 10 percent on Tuesday, its biggest drop in 30 years, after the retailer reported fourth-quarter results that missed Wall Street's expectations as its e-commerce sales in the U.S. slowed. The late sell-off erased early gains led by technology companies. Grocery store operators, retailers, health care companies and industrial stocks accounted for much of the market's slide. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
FED WATCH: Investors have been bracing for signs the U.S. central bank might tighten monetary policy in minutes from its Jan. 30-31 policy meeting due out Wednesday. Jitters over inflation remain after the spate of volatility earlier this month. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
BONDS LOOMING: Adding to the risks, the rising yield on the 10-year Treasury, which is used as a benchmark for mortgages and other loans, is making bonds more appealing than stocks. It has been rising in recent months from a low of 2.04 percent in September. On Wednesday it was at 2.89 percent. "Some of the broader concerns on investors' minds right now are looking across to the bond market and seeing the 10-year Treasury starting to approach that 3 percent level," said Bill Northey, vice president at U.S. Bank Wealth Management.
ECONOMIC DATA: A survey of manufacturers in Japan in February showed indicators at their strongest level since early 2014. The Nikkei Japan Manufacturing PMI index was at 54 on a 0-100 scale where reading exceeding 50 indicate expansion. Job creation hit an 11-year high. In Europe, a similar gauge of manufacturing and services slipped amid the financial market volatility in February, but remained near a 12-year high.
ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude rose 9 cents to $61.77 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. It rose 24 cents the day before. Brent crude, used to price international oils, shed 18 cents to $65.07 per barrel, having gained 42 cents on Tuesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 107.54 yen from 107.33 yen on Tuesday. The euro slipped to $1.2314 from $1.2337.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tuesday, 20 February 2018

Nifty, Sensex Showing no Strength at all – Tuesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 February  2018

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were trying to ward off bear pressure. The major indices of the Indian stock markets saw volatile trading on Tuesday and closed with small losses over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 771 advances, 909 declines and 339 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Tuesday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Key Indian equity indices traded on a higher note on Tuesday during the mid-afternoon session, amid volatility, with buying in metals, consumer durables, IT (information technology) and banking stocks. However, the gains were not sustained and the major indices closed with minor losses, at the close of trading. The India Vix volatility index closed at 16.8675, up 1.19% on the NSE.

Debt-laden Bhushan Steel Ltd said Tata Steel, JSW Living Pvt Ltd and employees of the company have submitted resolution plans to take over its assets. JSW Living Pvt Ltd is a joint venture between JSW and Piramal Enterprises. A broad summary of the resolution plans were presented by the RP to the committee of creditors (CoC) in their meeting held on February 16, the company said. Bhushan Steel shares closed at Rs52.25, down 2.97% on the NSE.

Already reeling under the $1.8 billion fraud blow, the Punjab National Bank (PNB) on Tuesday got another shock from two top rating agencies Moody's and Fitch who are mulling to downgrade the bank's ratings. Fitch Ratings has placed PNB Viability Rating of 'bb' on Rating Watch Negative (RWN), following the $1.8 billion fraud detected in the bank, an official statement said here on Tuesday.  Moody's Investors Service placed under review for downgrade PNB local and foreign currency deposit rating of Baa3/P-3 and foreign currency issuer rating Baa3, an official statement said. Fitch clarified that it would resolve the Rating Watch once more clarity emerges on the extent of control failures and the impact on PNB's financial position. "At this stage, Fitch does not view this event to have an impact on PNB's Support Rating Floor (BBB-) due to the bank's high systemic importance as the second-largest state-owned bank. We believe that the state's propensity to provide extraordinary support to PNB remains high, subject to the sovereign's ability, which is captured in India's sovereign rating of 'BBB-'," Fitch said. PNB shares closed at Rs117.05, up 0.47% on the NSE.

The Supreme Court will hear on Friday a plea for probe into the role of the top management of Punjab National Bank in the Rs11,300 crore scam allegedly involving jeweller Nirav Modi and others. A bench of Chief Justice Dipak Misra, Justice A.M. Khanwilkar and Justice D.Y. Chandrachud on Tuesday agreed to hear the plea by lawyer Vineet Dhanda. Dhanda also sought direction to the government to take steps for the extradition of Nirav Modi. The petitions also sought the framing of guidelines for the grant of loans involving Rs10 crore and above. The PIL (public interest litigation) petitioner also sought setting up of a committee to look into the bad debts and steps needed to be taken for their recovery. The S&P BSE Bankex closed at 28,061.01, down 0.61% on the BSE.

India's IT (information technology) exports are expected to grow at 7%-9% to be at $135-$137 billion in 2018-19, the industry outlook by the National Association of Software & Services Companies (Nasscom) said on Tuesday. The IT exports during the current financial year are projected to be $126 billion, a growth of 7%-8% over previous year. The domestic revenues, excluding hardware, are expected to grow by 10%-12% to be at $28-29 billion in the next financial year against $26 billion likely in FY2018. During 2018-19, the industry is expected to add 100,000 new jobs, the same numbers added during the current year. Nasscom announced the key trends for the current year and the outlook for the next year on the sidelines of the special edition of Nasscom India Leadership Forum in conjunction with the World Congress on Information Technology (WCIT). Nasscom president R. Chandrasekhar told reporters that the positive outlook is based on global economic growth and growth trends of digital spending. The S & P BSE Information Technology Index closed at 12,072.67, up 0.31% on the BSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)