Tuesday, 21 August 2018

India's small renewables firms fighting consolidation wave-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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21 Aug 2018
 
Business (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Small to mid-sized renewable energy companies in India are starting to look like attractive takeover targets as lenders and investors withhold funds, worried by the stiff competition, weak bond markets, low tariffs and high debt besetting the sector. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The small companies’ difficulty in raising cash is keeping them away from government power project auctions, restricting their growth and crippling their ability to refinance loans, said a consultant from a top global consultancy firm. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
With many smaller operators being gobbled up or offering themselves for sale, the number of projects being developed could fall, potentially keeping India from its renewable energy targets, said the consultant, who did not wish to be named as he is directly involved with a company that cancelled a bond issue.
“India’s solar industry is becoming a big boys’ club,” said Rahul Goswami, managing director of Greenstone Energy Advisors.
In a few years, there may be only a few big companies and a few regional firms active in India’s renewable sector, he said.
The trend goes back at least to 2016, when Tata Power bought solar and wind company Welspun Renewable Energy, but the pace is expected to pick up. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
“Smaller players are being squeezed out ... due to two main factors: cost of equipment and ... financing”, said Alok Verma, executive director at Kotak Investment Banking, an arm of Kotak Mahindra Bank.
One of India’s largest renewables companies, Greenko Group, said in June that it was buying 750 megawatts (MWs) of solar and wind assets from Orange Renewables, because the Singapore-based company saw few opportunities for growth. The deal has yet to be closed.
Essel Infra, with a renewable power capacity of 685 MWs, and Shapoorji Pallonji Group’s 400-MW solar arm are also in talks to sell off their assets, one firm and two banks doing the due diligence for these companies have said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Besides loans, other funding options have also been dead ends for the smaller companies, further limiting growth opportunities.
ACME Solar postponed an initial public offering (IPO) announced in September last year as the proposed share issue did not generate enough interest from investors, confirmed a banker who was directly involved in the listing attempt.
Mytrah Energy, a major mid-sized renewables company, called off a $300 million to $500 million bond issue earlier this year as that option also went dry for the sector, and it canned IPO plans as well, said a separate banker directly involved there.
The companies have all declined to comment.
This dearth of financing and trend towards consolidation could be a significant threat to India’s target of 175 gigawatts (GWs) of renewables capacity by 2022, up from 71 GWs now, some analysts said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Others said a concentration of bigger players, with more cash and better financing, could mean things move faster.
“Consolidation in the renewable energy industry augurs well for the overall success of the programme ... Large players have access to required capital at reasonable rates and can procure the latest technology,” said Debasish Mishra, head of Energy, Resources and Industrials at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu India.
Tata Power, one of India’s largest power generators, said in May it plans to invest $5 billion to increase its renewable capacity in India fourfold over the next decade to 12 GWs.
More than doubling India’s renewables capacity by 2022 will require $76 billion, including debt of $53 billion, the Ministry of New and Renewable Energy said in July.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Global Shares Mostly Gain, Focus On China-US Talks, Fed-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 Aug 2018


Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Global shares were mostly higher in subdued trading Tuesday, tracking gains in Asia despite doubts over the prospects for resolving the trade dispute between the U.S. and China. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

KEEPING SCORE: France's CAC 40 climbed 0.5 percent to 5,406.69 and Germany's DAX added 0.5 percent at 12,388.87. Britain's FTSE 100 was virtually unchanged, slipping by less than 0.1 percent to 7,586.77. The future contract for the Dow Jones industrial average rose 0.1 percent to 25,789.00 while the contract for the S&P 500 added less than 0.1 percent to 2,859.20.

FEDERAL RESERVE: Minutes from the Federal Reserve's last policy meeting are due out Wednesday and could provide insights into the latest thinking on rate hikes at a time when President Donald Trump has been stepping up criticism of tightening by the U.S. central bank. The minutes will be followed by Fed chairman Jerome Powell's comments Friday to the annual conference of central bankers in Jackson Hole, Wyoming. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

TRADE TENSIONS: Investors are closely watching for any prospects for an end to the trade dispute between the U.S. and China. The costly, dueling tariffs between them are causing uncertainty in global markets. Hopes rose late last week on news that China will send an envoy to Washington this month to discuss a way out of the standoff before President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet in November. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

ANALYST'S VIEWPOINT: "Equities were broadly up supported by hopes on U.S.-China trade talks even though Trump expressed a conservative view overnight by saying that he does not anticipate much progress and he has no time frame for ending the trade dispute," Mizuho Bank said in a commentary.

ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 advanced nearly 0.1 percent to finish at 22,219.73, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost nearly 1.0 percent to 6,284.40. South Korea's Kospi rose 1.0 percent to 2,270.06 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng climbed 0.6 percent to 27,752.79 and the Shanghai Composite surged 1.3 percent to 2,733.83. Shares were higher in Taiwan but fell in Singapore.

ENERGY: U.S. benchmark crude was flat at $65.42 per barrel in New York. Brent crude, the standard for international oil prices, rose 8 cents to $72.29.

CURRENCIES: The dollar fell to 110.19 yen from 110.06 yen late Monday. The euro strengthened to $1.1533 from $1.1484.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Monday, 20 August 2018

Nifty, Sensex Headed Up – Monday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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20 Aug 2018

I The major indices of the Indian stock market rallied and ended Monday with gains over last Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 956 advances, 782 declines and 346 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Monday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The key Indian equity indices of the S&P BSE Sensex and the NSE Nifty50 touched fresh record levels Monday, supported by firm global cues and a recovery in the domestic currency. Both the BSE Sensex and the Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange touched new all-time highs of 38,281.70 points and 11,551.85 points, respectively, surpassing their previous benchmarks of 38,076.23 and 11,495.20 points. Buying activity was witnessed in capital goods, auto and oil and gas stocks. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

State Bank of India (SBI) has donated Rs2 crore for the Kerala flood victims and initiated several other ground-level measures in the deluged state, an official said on Saturday. The SBI has encouraged all its 270,000 staffers to contribute to the Chief Minister's Distress Relief Fund (CMDRF), and the bank would contribute an equivalent amount. It also announced a waiver of fees and charges on services like loans for flood relief, duplicate passbooks, ATM cards, cheque books and EMI delays, besides making attempts to restore the working of branches and ATMs in the flood affected regions of the state. Besides, the SBI has decided to waive all charges on remittance to the CMDRF, penalty on non-maintenance of minimum account balance from proceeds of relief fund provided by the government and agencies and if already recovered, such charges would be refunded for customers in the state. State Bank of India shares closed at Rs307.60, up 1.82% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Commercial vehicle maker Ashok Leyland received an order for 300 double decker buses from Bangladesh Road Transport Corporation (BRTC). According to the Company, the order delivery will take place within eight months from now and the procurement has been made against a tender under "Indian Line of Credit". "Exports have been a strong focus for us to de-risk from cyclicality in Indian market and to globalize our product portfolio," Vinod K Dasari, Managing Director, Ashok Leyland, was quoted as saying in a company statement. "This is a significant win for us and builds on the strong export growth we had last year." Ashok Leyland shares closed at Rs128.20, down 0.12% on the NSE.

Mining major Vedanta welcomed the Supreme Court's decision not to entertain Tamil Nadu government's plea against the National Green Tribunal (NGT) order allowing the company access to the administrative unit inside its subsidiary Sterlite Copper's closed plant at Tuticorin. Directing the NGT earlier on Friday to take a final decision on the matter, the apex court also did not grant a stay on the proceedings of the case at the NGT challenging the smelter plant closure, as was sought by the Tamil Nadu government.  Vedanta shares closed at Rs221.65, up 3.00% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tanla Solutions has entered into a definitive agreement to acquire 100% of Karix Mobile Pvt Ltd for a cash consideration of Rs340 crore. Karix is a leading Business Cloud Communications provider in India operating from four locations and serves over 1,500 enterprise clients. Tanla Solutions shares closed at Rs42.15, up 4.98% on the NSE.

Rupee movement and crude oil price movements along with inflow and outflow by the foreign and domestic players will dictate the trend of the market going ahead. The Indian rupee is expected to range from 69.50 to 70.50 against the US dollar in the coming week. In recent days, geo-political tensions between the US and Turkey, wider trade deficit, along with outflow of foreign funds have pulled the Indian rupee to fresh record intra-day and closing lows.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India’s CAD to widen to 2.5% of GDP in FY19: Moody’s, experts-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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20 Aug 2018
India’s current account deficit (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India’s current account deficit (CAD) will widen to 2.5 per cent of the GDP in the current fiscal due to higher oil prices that has been accentuated by rupee depreciation, Moody’s and other experts have said.

Rupee last week dropped to a record low of 70.32 to a US dollar as political turmoil in Turkey and concerns about China’s economic health continued to support safe-haven assets and weighed on emerging market currencies.

Joy Rankothge, Vice President – Senior Analyst, Moody’s Investors Service said while the weaker rupee will benefit exports at the margins, it is unlikely to reverse the trade deficit, which hit a five year high of USD 18.02 billion in July.

“India’s current account deficit is likely to widen to 2.5 per cent in FY 2018-19, up from 1.5 per cent in fiscal 2017 due to higher oil prices and strong non-oil import demand as domestic demand accelerates,” he said. “Net oil imports accounted for 2.6 per cent of GDP in FY 2017-18 and will increase further in fiscal 2019.”

Rajiv Biswas, APAC Chief Economist, IHS Markit, said the significant depreciation of the rupee against the US dollar since the beginning of 2018 reflects a number of factors. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“A key driver has been gradual US Fed monetary policy tightening, which has resulted in USD appreciation against many other currencies globally. However, the rupee weakness also reflects India’s widening current account deficit as higher world oil prices have pushed up oil import costs.

“A further negative for the INR is that a number of economic crises in large emerging markets including Argentina, Venezuela and Turkey, have made global investors more cautious about emerging markets currencies and equities,” he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sunil Sinha, Principal Economist, India Ratings and Research, said the rupee depreciation will have both positive and negative impact on the economy.
“On the negative side it will increase the oil import bill leading to higher current account deficit. Also, costly oil import would seep into the economy via higher inflation, make infra and other projects, which have a large import content, expensive and will even make critical imported defence items more expensive,” Sinha said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the positive side, he said as an overvalued rupee was hurting export competitiveness, it will improve export competitiveness of Indian goods and services. Also, it will improve the top line/bottom line of the companies especially export oriented IT/IT services companies.

“Net-net it may inflict some pain in the short run, but would lead to gain in the medium to long term,” he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Rankothge said Moody’s expect the ongoing cyclical recovery in growth to continue with GDP growth averaging around 7.4 per cent this year and next driven by the underlying growth momentum in the economy, pre-election spending and a pickup in rural demand to largely offset the impacts of a weaker rupee and rising oil prices. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“From a sovereign risk perspective, low foreign currency debt and long average debt maturity minimize exposures to rising rates and currency weakness,” he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sinha said trade position may worsen in the short term because of the oil/other items import bill rising immediately, while the benefit of export competitiveness benefiting the economy largely in the medium to long term.
“CAD to come under pressure this fiscal. India Ratings expects CAD to touch 2.6 per cent of GDP in FY19,” he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Biswas said rupee depreciation is not occurring in isolation, as many other emerging markets currencies have also shown significant depreciation against the USD this year, including the Chinese yuan, Indonesian rupiah and Malaysian ringgit. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“The Turkish lira has crashed by 40 per cent against the USD since the beginning of 2018, as that nation is engulfed by a financial crisis. Therefore, India’s relative competitiveness against many emerging markets competitors has not improved that much despite the rupee depreciation against the USD,” he said.

Biswas said a further widening of the CAD is expected in 2018-19 to around 2.4 per cent of GDP, due to a further increase in the oil import bill and the impact of rupee depreciation on import costs.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Rakesh Jhunjhunwala’s latest deal: Key things to know about Rs 6,500 crore Star Health Insurance acquisition-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 Aug 2018
Rakesh Jhunjhunwala (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Ace investor Rakesh Jhunjhunwala along with a consortium of private equity firms WestBridge Capital and Madison Capital have agreed to buy Chennai-based Star Health Insurance. While the financial details of the deal have not been disclosed, a Bloomberg report estimates the deal value at just under $1 billion, i.e, about Rs 6,500 crore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The consortium has signed definitive agreements with the shareholders of Star Health & Allied Insurance Company to purchase their shares in Star Health, India’s leading standalone health insurer. Earlier, it was reported that Rakesh Jhunjhunwala was in contention with several other financial investors. According to a CNBC TV18 report, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala will be a promoter of Star Health with 35% stake in the company. Further, Safecrop Holdings will be the new owner of Star Health- Safecrop Holdings comprises of WestBridge AIF, Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, Madison Capital, sources told the channel.

Interestingly, ICICI Lombard General Insurance had placed a bid amount of about Rs 5,800 crore, which fell short of Rakesh Jhunjhunwala-led consortium’s bid of approximately Rs 6,500 crore. So the valuation aspect of this particular transaction went in favour of the consortium led by Rakesh Jhunjhunwala, said CNBC TV18 report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The existing shareholders of Star Health include Star Health Investments and funds managed or advised by ICICI Venture, Tata Capital and Apis Partners. The transaction is subject to regulatory and certain other approvals, a statement by Star Health said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Notably, Star Health has a market share of 10.6% in health insurance space in India as of March 31, 2018. The company was founded more than 11 years ago in 2006 and provides health insurance, overseas mediclaim and personal accident policies. The investors are bullish on the prospects of Star Health Insurance in the retail health insurance space. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“We are really excited about Star Health, a dominant market leader in the retail health insurance industry. We believe the retail health insurance industry will continue to grow at a healthy pace in the coming decade, driven by increasing penetration. This aligns well with WestBridge’s investing philosophy and long-time horizon. We are highly confident of Star’s business model and believe that Star will continue to lead the retail health insurance space” Sumir Chadha, co-founder & MD, WestBridge Capital noted. Currently, Star Health Insurance employs 11,000 people providing insurance coverage to more than 1 crore lives. Star Health has a robust distribution platform and an integrated ecosystem to tap the retail health insurance opportunity with 434 branches and offices, 2.4 lakh agents and tie-up with 8,500 network hospitals.

“We have started from a humble beginning and have come to this level with an excellent team work. We feel new investors, with their abundance experience and golden touch, will enable the company to scale further heights,” Jagannathan, chairman-cum-MD of Star health Insurance said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's surging coal imports driven by captive power users -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 Aug 2018
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India’s coal imports appear headed for another strong month in August, raising the question as to why the usually cost-sensitive market hasn’t scaled back purchases given a surge in prices to the highest in nearly seven years.


Total coal imports may reach 17.7 million tonnes in August, according to vessel-tracking and port data compiled by Thomson Reuters.


This figure may be revised as it becomes clearer when ships will arrive and discharge their cargoes, but the August imports are likely to be more or less in line with the 17.4 million tonnes imported in July, which was the strongest monthly outcome so far in 2018.


But no matter what the exact level of imports turns out to be, India’s coal imports have been exceptionally strong and are on track to rise for the first year in three in 2018.


This is despite prices for thermal coal rising to the highest in 6-1/2 years, with the Australian benchmark Newcastle cargoes trading above $120 a tonne recently, taking the year-to-date gain to around 18 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The gain in prices has been largely driven by strong Chinese imports, partly because of output restrictions at domestic mines and partly because of high demand caused by a recent heatwave.


Previously Indian coal imports, especially for thermal grades used to generate electricity, have been thought to be sensitive to price, and likely to decline if prices moved rapidly higher, as they have done this year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


But Indian imports have been on an upward trend in recent months, despite the rising prices.


An easy answer as to why is to point to the recent difficulties state miner Coal India has experienced in transporting the polluting fuel from pits to power plants.


But as Tim Buckley, director of energy finance studies at the Institute for Energy Economics and Financial Analysis (IEEFA), pointed out in a recent note, there is more to the situation.


Data from India’s Central Electricity Authority show that coal imports for what are termed on-grid power plants, i.e. those that supply power to the network, are actually declining, falling 14 percent in the June quarter. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


So, as far as thermal coal imports for the power sector are concerned, the price signal is working insofar as they are declining as prices rise.


However, as Buckley notes, a large part of India’s coal imports are used by consumers other than on-grid power plants.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Stocks Mostly Rise On Hope For Progress On China Trade Talks-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 Aug 2018
Wall street financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Asian stocks are mostly higher Monday as investors welcomed signs of progress in resolving the trade dispute between the U.S. and China. The Wall Street Journal reported the countries hope to have a resolution by November.

KEEPING SCORE: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 inched down 0.3 percent in early trading to 22,204.30. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 added 0.2 percent to 6,350.60. South Korea's Kospi was little changed, edging up nearly 0.1 percent to 2,248.74. Hong Kong's Hang Seng gained 0.8 percent to 27,442.64, while the Shanghai Composite rose 0.5 percent to 2,681.98. Indexes were also higher in Taiwan and Singapore. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

TRADE TENSIONS: Asian regional markets are generally dependent on harmonious global trade relations. The Wall Street Journal cited officials in both the U.S. and China in its report that said negotiators want to end the trade war before President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping meet at multilateral events in November. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

WALL STRRET: The S&P 500 index rose 9.44 points, or 0.3 percent, to end last week at 2,850.13. The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 110.59 points, or 0.4 percent, to 25,669.32. The Nasdaq composite edged up 9.81 points, or 0.1 percent, to 7,816.33. The Russell 2000 index of smaller-company stocks gained 7.19 points, or 0.4 percent, to 1,692.95.

ENERGY: U.S. benchmark crude fell 12 cents to $65.79 a barrel. It picked up 0.7 percent to $65.91 a barrel in New York late last week. Brent crude, the standard for international oil prices, dipped 21 cents to $71.62 per barrel in London.
CURRENCIES: The dollar rose to 110.52 yen from 110.46 yen late Friday in Asia. The euro rose to $ 1.1431 from $1.1393.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions