Thursday, 1 September 2016

Jio users will never pay for domestic voice calls: Mukesh Ambani-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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1 September 2016
 
Mukesh Ambani (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 
Taking the current tariff war and competition in India's telecom space to a new level, Reliance Industries Chairman Mukesh Ambani on Thursday announced that domestic voice calls on the Jio network will be free forever, and unveiled a four-month introductory offer for everyone of free voice and data services beginning on September 5.

"The era of paying for voice calls is ending," Ambani told the 39th Annual General Meeting of the company, post its listing. "No Jio customer will ever have to pay for voice calls again." he added, devoting around an hour of his 90 minute speech to Jio.

In effect, the announcements on Thursday point to a commercial launch from January 1 next year even though no specific mention was made in this regard. This was also keenly awaited since Reliance Industries has invested as much as $21 billion on Jio -- its largest ever capital expenditure on a single project. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Chairman said the data plans will also reflect the affordability for customers, with an effective base rate of 5 paise per MB or Rs 50 per GB. "Jio will have a base rate which is more than 90 per cent discount over the industry," he said. 

Reliance Jio (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 

He said based on the usage, the tariff could go to as low as Rs 25 per GB. He said the free domestic voice calls will also come with free roaming while international ones too will be affordable. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We Indians have come to appreciate and applaud Gandhigiri. Now, we can all do 'Data-giri', which is an opportunity for every Indian to do unlimited good things with unlimited data."

The announcements came against the backdrop of a series of discounts and freebies offered by existing layers like Airtel, Vodafone and Idea during the past month, ostensibly to ensure customers stay with them, even after the commercial launch of Jio.

During the speech, Mukesh Ambani also appealed to incumbent operators not to block Jio calls and ensure adequate points of interconnect. "In the last week alone, Jio customers suffered over five crore call failures to other networks because of insufficient interconnect capacity provided by incumbents." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As for the stock markets, the shares of Reliance Industries fluctuated in a wide range during the course of the speech -- from a high of Rs 1,072.55 to a low of Rs 1,045.60. Soon after it was quoting at Rs 1,047.50, down Rs 10.50, or 0.99 per cent, over the previous close.

In contrast, Bharti Airtl shares fell 6.21 per cent at Rs 311.25, while Idea Cellular was quoting at Rs 85.90, down Rs 7.60 or 8.13 per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Other highlights of Mukesh Ambani's speech:

- Students will be able to get 25 per cent more data on Jio's main tariffs

- A target of 100 million customers in the near future

- Data usage of 250 core GB a month

- The Jio bouquet of apps free will end next calendar year

- Coverage of Jio to extnd to 90 per cent of population by March 2017

- A range of 4G enabled smart devices


- Jio digital Fund of Rs 5,000 crore to incubate start-ups.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Efficiency, tariff key to UDAY plan success for discoms: Fitch -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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1 September 2016

American agency Fitch Ratings said on Thursday that the success of India's UDAY debt restructuring scheme for power distribution companies will depend on efficiency gains registered by the discoms and frequent tariff revisions. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a report published from Singapore, the agency said the Indian central government's Ujjwal Discom Assurance Yojana (UDAY) has seen a large number of important states signing up for the programme.

Twenty Indian states and one union territory (UT) gave in-principle approval for UDAY and 16 have already signed up for the scheme. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to Fitch, the committed states and UT accounted for almost 77 per cent of the total fiscal in 2014 net cash losses reported by discoms, and around 58 per cent of the total debt outstanding at end-September 2015. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Tamil Nadu stands out among those which have not opted for UDAY, and accounted for 25 per cent of FY14 net cash losses of all discoms," the agency said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"However, the immediate relief provided by interest-expense reduction, while beneficial to the cash flow positions of the discoms, is inadequate to turn these entities profitable," Fitch said.

"Achieving this goal by March 2019 as per the plan is highly predicated based on the ambitious efficiency improvements, coupled with tariff increases that are politically sensitive in India," it added.

UDAY envisages taking over 75 per cent of discoms' cumulative debt. States would issue loans against the debt at prevailing market rates. The balance 25 per cent would be issued as sovereign backed bonds by discoms. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The scheme also envisages access to cheaper coal, modernising transformers to cut distribution losses, as well as a provision to revise tariffs, which has been criticised by the AIADMK government in Tamil Nadu. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As per the report, UDAY is an improvement on previous debt restructuring packages for its four-pronged strategy that targets not only a reduction in interest burden but also operational efficiency improvement, reduced cost of power purchased and financial discipline.

According to Fitch, the aggregate technical and commercial (AT&C) loss in the Indian power sector is very high - ranging from 11 per cent to 71 per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"For the majority of states, tariff increases are required to reach break-even status even after the other savings to which they are committed," Fitch said The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"A meaningful improvement in discoms' economics will especially benefit power generation companies through higher utilisation and timely clearance of dues," the report said.


The current low capacity utilisation of power plants is driven primarily by stressed discoms, which are unable to buy electricity because of weak financial positions, it added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's GDP growth slows; government spending to the rescue-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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1 September 2016
GDP (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 

India's first quarter (Q1) gross domestic product (GDP) slowed to 7.1% from 7.5% in the same period last year mainly due to lower activity in farm, mining and construction sectors, official data showed, even as industry said the numbers reflected a moderation of growth impulses. 

The decline was largely because of dwindling private investments – particularly real fixed investments. Fixed investments declined 3.1% on-year after having shed 1.9% the previous quarter (see image below). This is a result of excess capacity and high leverage in many sectors. The fall in investments was also in sync with the continuous decline in the capital goods industrial production. Consumption growth, however, did the anchoring, says ratings agency CRISIL in a report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
GDP Growth (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 

Given high level of discrepancies in GDP, Edelweiss Securities Ltd says it prefers to analyse economic activity on gross value added (GVA) basis. "Besides, GDP data is highly influenced by the government’s subsidy payments, which are volatile. Still, data suggests that private consumption and capex slowed, while exports and government spending supported growth," it added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
GVA Growth (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 
Standard Chartered Bank (StanChart) also says even though the GDP growth in Q1 has come at 7.1%, the slowest in five quarters, it focuses more on GVA, which it thinks is a better indicator of economic activity. In a note, StanChart says, "The Q1 GVA was in line with expectations at 7.3%. We forecast FY17 GDP at 7.7% year-on-year (yoy) and GVA at 7.4%, underpinning the theme of gradual recovery. FY16 GDP was 7.6% and GVA 7.3%."

"As GDP is arrived at by adding net indirect taxes to GVA, GDP in general is expected to be higher than GVA unless net indirect taxes are contracting. In India's case, while growth of net indirect taxes is likely to remain slow in FY17 as the impact of excise tax hikes during 2014 and 2015 normalises, it is not in contractionary territory. Thus, we think that lower GDP than GVA will correct in the remainder of FY17," the report from StanChart says.

Religare Capital Markets Ltd feels that the sharp slowdown in net indirect taxes pulled down GDP growth during the first quarter. "While indirect taxes continued to grow rapidly led by excise duty hikes on petrol and diesel in FY16, subsidy payments shot up by 53% YoY in Q1. Net indirect taxes (indirect taxes – subsidies) account for the difference between GDP and GVA," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


According to State Bank of India (SBI) Ecowrap, the first quarter GDP growth was more in consonance with reality. In a note, SBI says, "Private final consumption expenditure has also declined, but has been compensated by Government final consumption expenditure, which has shown double digit growth at 18.8%. The growth in Government final consumption expenditure can be attributed to One Rank One Pension (OROP) implementation. This has led to the highest growth of Total final consumption expenditure in six quarters."
 
Subsidies Payout (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 
SBI says, the business sentiments improved significantly in the country in response to several initiatives such as ‘Make in India’ and faster clearances of stalled projects, particularly, in respect of non-environmental permissions. "The number of stalled projects declined sharply from 759 in March 2015 to 374 in June 2016. Although in terms of amount, it has increased in the past three quarters. During FY16, the Project Monitoring Group cleared 168 large projects with the majority of these projects in the power, roads, coal and petroleum sectors," it added.

Looking forward, CRISIL says, it expects the growth to inch up in coming quarters. "On the whole, improved rural incomes on account of a favourable monsoon, lagged impact of interest rate reductions, Pay Commission payouts and easy monetary conditions should support demand in fiscal 2017. Consequently, investment cycle revival can be expected towards the end of fiscal 2017. We, therefore, expect real GDP growth to inch up to 7.9% in fiscal 2017 from 7.6% in fiscal 2016," the ratings agency says.

For FY2017, Edelweiss expects modest recovery. It says, "For FY17, we expect slow economic recovery to continue. This is mainly due to easing of financial conditions in the economy, normal monsoon and receding of exports drag. The government’s spending in infrastructure should also aid growth. However, increase in wholesale price index (WPI) could pose a statistical drag on GVA print going ahead."

According to StanChart, the forward guidance by BSE 500 non-finance companies signals hope for a turnaround during second half of FY2017. "While the demand recovery for consumption will take place in second half, investment as a whole remains weak, with a few sectors doing well. These companies are pinning hopes on a favourable monsoon and seventh Pay Commission payouts. At the same time, they are cautiously optimistic on the pace of recovery. Key sectors that are witnessing demand momentum are power transmission, renewables, defence, roads and railways," it added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"India has witnessed a normal monsoon so far, which has boosted Kharif sowing (+4.7% YoY as on 26 August 2016) and bodes well for agricultural growth. Besides, reservoir levels have also improved and should support a healthy Rabi season harvest. Healthy growth in agriculture, implementation of the 7th CPC, benign inflation and an accommodative monetary policy stance is expected to boost consumption demand, leading to acceleration in growth. Thus, we maintain our

GVA growth estimate for FY17 at 7.7%," Religare concludes in its note.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Nifty, Sensex still on an uptrend – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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1 September 2016

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might continue to rally. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and closed with minor losses over Wednesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Following the big ticket announcement by Reliance Industries on Jio commercial launch, key Indian stock market indices were trading flat on Thursday afternoon. Most telecom stocks were trading lower. Selling pressure was seen in telecom, technology, media and entertainment (TECK) and realty sectors, while good buying was observed in auto, metal and fast moving consumer goods (FMCG) sectors. On the NSE, on Thursday, there were 479 advances, 993 declines and 50 unchanged.

Taking the tariff war and competition in Indian telecom a new level, Reliance Industries Chairman Mukesh Ambani on Thursday said domestic voice calls on the Jio network will be free forever, and unveiled a four-month introductory offer of free voice and data services. "The era of paying for voice calls is ending," Ambani told the Annual General Meeting of Reliance Industries (RIL) in Mumbai. "No Jio customer will ever have to pay for voice calls again," he added. Bharti Airtel shares closed at Rs310.50, down 6.43% on the BSE. Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs1,029.15, down 2.73% on the BSE.

Commercial vehicle major Ashok Leyland Ltd on Thursday said it sold a total of 10,897 units last month, down by 6%. In a statement issued here, the company said it closed last month selling 10,897 units -- down from 11,544 units sold in August 2015. While the sales of light commercial vehicles went up by two per cent last month to 2,696 units, the sales of medium, heavy commercial vehicles went down 8% to 8,201 units. Ashok Leyland shares closed at Rs83.80, down 4.45% on the BSE.

India's leading car maker Maruti Suzuki India Ltd said on Thursday it logged 12% growth in sales in August. In a regulatory filing with the BSE, the company said it sold 132,211 units (119.931 domestic/12,280 exports) last month against 117,864 units (106,781/11,083) during August 2015. While the sales of utility vehicles zoomed last month to 16,806 units up by 114.5%, the mid-size car segment (Ciaz) the compact segment (Swift, Ritz, Baleno, Celerio and Dzire) and the van segment also logged sales growth. However Maruti Suzuki saw negative growth in its mini segment (Alto, WagonR) and super compact segment (Dzire Tour) last month as compared to sales logged in August 2015. Maruti Suzuki shares closed at Rs5,058.25, up 0.11% on the BSE.

The Supreme Court on Thursday said that the National Mineral Development Corporation (NMDC) can continue with its dual pricing policy for iron ore. Under the dual pricing, NMDC sells iron ore at different prices in different states. While allowing the dual pricing policy, the court declined the plea by Vedanta to export the iron ore that it cannot sell in Goa and Karnataka. NMDC shares closed at Rs106.20, down 1.62% on the BSE. Vedanta shares closed at Rs170.20, up 0.09% on the BSE.

The US dollar declined against most major currencies as economic data from the country came out mixed. In late New York trading on Wednesday, the euro rose to $1.1152 from $1.1137 of the previous session, and the British pound increased to $1.3128 from $1.3078, Xinhua news agency reported. The Australian dollar climbed to $0.7516 from $0.7505. US private sector employment added 177,000 jobs from July to August, above the market consensus of 175,000, according to the August ADP National Employment Report on Wednesday. The ADP figure is watched closely as a pre-indicator for the non-farm payrolls report due on Friday.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:

Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Wednesday, 31 August 2016

Microsoft sells MSN China operations -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31St  Aug 2016

US tech giant Microsoft has sold MSN China -- a Chinese edition of its global web portal -- to its local partner Xichuang Technology (Beijing) Co. Ltd founded by the portal's top executive.

Microsoft said on its official blog that it had signed an agreement to sell MSN China, effective from September, reported Chinese website caixin.com. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The financial terms were not disclosed.

Xichuang Technology was co-founded late in 2015 by Liu Zhenyu, MSN China's former General Manager. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to the report, Microsoft's MSN China portal never took off owing to government regulations and stiff competition from local rivals. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

MSN China has strong rivals like Sina and Tencent but according to Microsoft, China is still one of its strategic markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"After selling off the unpopular unit, Microsoft will continue to invest in China in other businesses, including computing and cloud services," the statement said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Sony Pictures to acquire sports channels of Zee for $385 mn -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31St  Aug 2016

Sony Pictures Networks India on Wednesday announced it is acquiring the sports broadcasting business of Zee Entertainment for $385 million in an all-cash deal.

"Zee's TEN Sports channels being acquired include TEN 1, TEN 1 HD, TEN 2, TEN 3, TEN Golf HD, TEN Cricket, TEN Sports that operate in several countries including the Indian sub-continent, Maldives, Singapore, Hong Kong, Middle East, Caribbean," a company statement said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

TEN Sports holds cricket rights in South Africa, Pakistan, Sri Lanka, West Indies and Zimbabwe. 

It also holds the rights for world wrestling, some football leagues, WTA and ATP tennis events, golf tours, Asian and Commonwealth Games athletics, motor sports and cycling events, includig Tour de France. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The acquisition of TEN Sports Network will strengthen SPN's offering for viewers of cricket, football and fight sports, complementing our existing portfolio of international and domestic sporting properties," said NP Singh, CEO, Sony Pictures Networks India.


"This is a landmark deal for ZEE and a step towards a strategic portfolio shuffle as we grow our general entertainment business both in the domestic and overseas markets," added Punit Goenka, Managing Director, Zee Entertainment Enterprises.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions