Tuesday, 27 December 2016

Global Markets & News -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December 2016

OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 +0.06%) are up +0.06% and European stocks are up +0.10% in thin holiday trade. Markets in the UK, Australia and Hong Kong are closed today for holiday. A +0.30% rally in Feb WTI crude (CLG17 +0.26%) is positive for energy producing stocks, although a -0.22% decline in the price of Mar COMEX copper (HGH17 -0.22%) to a 1-1/4 month low is undercutting mining stocks and raw-material producers. Asian stocks settled mixed: Japan +0.03%, Hong Kong and Australia closed for holiday, China -0.25%, Taiwan -0.01%, Singapore +0.51%, South Korea +0.23%, India +1.57%. Economic concerns undercut Japanese stocks after Japan Nov household spending unexpectedly declined -1.5% y/y. Also, deflation concerns remain after Japan's Nov national CPI fell -0.4% y/y, weaker than expectations of -0.3% y/y and the ninth straight month prices have fallen.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.17%) is up +0.07%. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.08%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.19%. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 -0.09%) are down -3.5 ticks.
ECB Governing Council Member Knot said the ECB's assets purchase program prevents countries from taking structural reform measures and the program will have to come to an end at some point.
Japan Nov national CPI rose +0.5% y/y, right on expectations. Nov national CPI ex-fresh food fell -0.4% y/y, weaker than expectations of -0.3% y/y. Nov national CPI ex food & energy rose +0.1% y/y, right on expectations.
Japan Nov overall household spending unexpectedly fell -1.5%, weaker than expectations of +0.1% and the ninth consecutive month that spending has declined. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) Oct S&P CoreLogic composite-20 home prices (expected +0.5% m/m and +5.0% y/y, Sep +0.37% m/m and +5.08% y/y), (2) Dec Richmond Fed manufacturing survey (expected +1 to 5, Nov +8 to 4), (3) Conference Board Dec U.S. consumer confidence index (expected +1.4 to 108.5, Nov +6.3 to 107.1), (4) Treasury auctions $26 billion of 2-year T-notes, (5) USDA weekly grain export inspections.
Russell 1000 earnings reports today include: none.
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: none.
Equity conferences this week: none. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
Disney (DIS -0.26%) may move to the upside in today's trading after its 'Rogue One' movie was the number one movie seen over the weekend according to ComScore.
Lions Gate Entertainment (LGF +4.40%) was initiated with a 'Buy' at Argus Research with a 12-month price target of $34.
Ritchie Bros. Auctioneers (RBA +2.21%) was downgraded to 'Market Perform' from 'Outperform' at Raymond James.
Sotheby's (BID +1.84%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Sidoti & Company with a 12-month target price of $54.
Hologic's (HOLX +0.65%) received U.S. FDA approval for commercial distribution of its HIV-1 test.
MacroGenics (MGNX +6.59%) was granted orphan drug status by the U.S. FDA for its Cd123 X drug in treatment of acute myeloid leukemia.
Shire (SHPG +1.43%) said the U.S. FDA approved its hemophilia therapy of Adynovate in pediatric patients under 12 years old and for use in surgical settings for adult patients.
International Value Advisers cut its stake in DeVry Education Group (DV +0.47%) to 7.0% from 8.5%.
Point72 Asset Management cut its stake in Whiting Petroleum (WLL +0.32%) to 1.9% from 5.7%.
Protalix Biotherapeutics (PLX unch) jumped 8% in pre-market trading after it received a $24.3 million order for its alfataligilicerase drug to treat Gaucher patients in Brazil by the Brazilian Ministry of Health. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
MARKET COMMENTS
Mar E-mini S&Ps (ESH17 +0.06%) this morning are up +1.25 points (+0.06%). Friday's closes: S&P 500 +0.13%, Dow Jones +0.07%, Nasdaq +0.11%. The S&P 500 on Friday closed slightly higher on the +5.2% increase in U.S. Nov new home sales to a 4-month high of 592,000 (stronger than expectations of +2.1% to 575,000) and on the unexpected +0.2 point gain in Dec University of Michigan U.S. consumer sentiment index to 98.2 (stronger than expectations of unchanged and the highest in 12-3/4 years). Stocks were undercut by concerns about Chinese economic growth after Chinese President Xi Jinping said he's open to China's GDP slowing below the government's 6.5% annual target. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 -0.09%) this morning are down -3.5 ticks. Friday's closes: TYH7 +3.00, FVH7 +1.75. Mar 10-year T-notes on Friday climbed to a 1-week high and settled higher on carry-over support from a rally in German bunds to a 3-week high and on Chinese President Xi Jinping's comment that he is open to China's GDP growth slowing below the government's 6.5% GDP target, which would lead to slower global economic growth.
The dollar index (DXY00 +0.17%) this morning is up +0.070 (+0.07%). EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is down -0.008 (-0.08%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.22 (+0.19%). Friday's closes: Dollar index -0.080 (-0.08%), EUR/USD +0.0019 (+0.18%), USD/JPY -0.21 (-0.18%). The dollar index on Friday closed lower on the decline in U.S. T-note yields and on long liquidation pressure ahead of the long Christmas holiday weekend.
Feb WTI crude oil (CLG17 +0.26%) prices this morning are up +16 cents (+0.30%) and Feb gasoline (RBG17 -0.18%) is down -0.0009 (-0.05%). Friday's closes: Feb crude +0.30 (+0.57%), Feb gasoline +0.0162 (+1.00%). Feb crude oil and gasoline on Friday settled mixed. Crude oil prices were boosted by the weaker dollar and by the rise in the crack spread to a 1-1/2 month high, which may boost refinery demand for crude to refine into gasoline. Crude oil prices were undercut by news that Libyan crude oil returned to the global market after crude cargoes were loaded at the Es Sider terminal, Libya's biggest oil export terminal, for the first time in two years due to the civil war.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

OurMine hacks into Sony Music, tweets 'Britney Spears is dead' -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December 2016

In a yet another high-profile Twitter account compromise this year, the hacker group OurMine broke into Sony Music's Twitter account, flashing a news that famous singer Britney Spears "is dead by accident". The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Britney Spears is dead by accident! We will tell you more soon #RIPBrtiney," the tweet from OurMine read late on Monday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Alerted, Sony Music immediately swung into action and tweeted after recovering their handle @SonyMusicGlobal: "We saw a new IP logged in to the account a few minutes ago and the tweet is posted by a new IP so @britneyspears is still alive #OurMine".

According to CNET, both the tweets have now been removed from Sony Music Global's account.

Spears' manager Adam Leber was quoted by CNN as saying that the popstar was alive, officially debunking the rumour. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

OurMine has hacked into some top-notch Twitter handles in the past, including those of Facebook CEO Mark Zuckerberg, Twitter CEO Jack Dorsey, Niantic head John Hanke and Evan Williams, the co-founder and former CEO of Twitter. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

OurMine also hacked into BuzzFeed's website in October and accessed Twitter accounts of Netflix and Marvel. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Sony's movie division was earlier hacked in 2014.

Tata Sons serves legal notice to Cyrus Mistry -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December 2016

Tata Sons on Tuesday served a legal notice on ousted chairman Cyrus P. Mistry for breach of confidentiality and misconduct. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"By passing on confidential and sensitive information accessed by you in your capacity as a Director of Tata Sons to companies owned and controlled by your family, that is, the petitioners, you have acted in complete violation of your confidentiality undertakings to Tata Sons, your fiduciary duties towards Tata Sons and your obligations under the Tata Code of Conduct," the legal notice said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Aadhaar not valid proof of citizenship or domicile says Calcutta HC -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December 2016

The Calcutta High Court has upheld that Aadhaar or the unique identification (UID) number issued by the Unique Identification Authority of India (UIDAI) is not a valid proof of citizenship or domicile. While rejecting a claim of citizenship of the accused, who was issued an Aadhaar number in view of his long residence India, the HC said, “Aadhaar card by itself shall not confer any right of or be proof of citizenship or domicile in respect of the holder thereto”. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The High Court was hearing a bail application by a person who was booked under Section 14F of the Indian Foreigners Act and was claiming to be an Indian citizen on the basic of Aadhaar issued to him. Referring to the new Aadhaar Act, 2016, Justice Joymalya Bagchi held that Aadhaar itself is neither a proof of citizenship nor domicile for the petitioner. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Earlier on several occasions, various courts, including the Supreme Court have restricted use of unique identification (UID) number or Aadhaar. The Supreme Court has repeatedly emphasised that the UID number where permitted “is purely voluntary and it cannot be made mandatory till the matter is finally decided by the Court one way or the other”. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Last year on 16th March, a Bench of Justices J Chelameswar, SA Bobde and C Nagappan directed the central and state governments not to insist on possessing Aadhaar for availing benefits under the various social security schemes as it reiterated an order it passed in September 2013.

Later on 16 October 2015, while reiterating that Aadhaar scheme is purely voluntary, the SC extended its usage for Mahatma Gandhi National Rural Employment Guarantee Scheme (MGNREGS), National Social Assistance Programme (Old Age Pensions, Widow Pensions, Disability Pensions) Prime Minister's Jan Dhan Yojana (PMJDY) and Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO). Earlier the apex court had allowed usage of Aadhaar to public distribution scheme (PDS), for the distribution of foodgrains, cooking fuel, such as kerosene and LPG. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


The order says, "We impress upon the Union of India that it shall strictly follow all the earlier orders passed by this Court commencing from 23 September 2013. We will also make it clear that the Aadhaar card Scheme is purely voluntary and it cannot be made mandatory till the matter is finally decided by this Court one way or the other."The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Nifty bounced from oversold zones – Tuesday closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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27 December 2016

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might bounce because it was reaching an oversold zone. Short covering and value buying lifted the Indian equity markets on Tuesday. The key indices provisionally closed with substantial gains of around 1.5 per cent each, as buying was witnessed in automobile, banking and healthcare stocks. The Nifty recaptured 8000 while the Sensex surged up 400 points Tuesday. The wider 51-scrip Nifty of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) surged by 124.60 points or 1.58 per cent to 8,032.85 points. The Sensex touched a high of 26,249.03 points and a low of 25,803.19 points during the intra-day trade. The trends of the major indices in the course of Monday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bulls - with 1,692 advances and 875 declines. Out of 1,362 stocks traded on the NSE, 320 declined and 986 advanced today. On Monday, both the Sensex and the Nifty had plunged as the Prime Minister's major announcement of increasing tax rates, continuous outflow of foreign funds and selling pressure spooked investors. The India VIX or volatility index fell more than 9% to 15.08 as benchmark indices notched up near 1.5% gains each. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The rupee was trading down 21 paise at 67.94 per US dollar. A total of eight stocks registered a fresh 52-week high in trades today, whereas 46 stocks touched a new 52-week low on the NSE. The domestic market had plunged in eight out of the past 10 sessions (including Tuesday’s trade) on rising concerns about foreign fund outflow from emerging markets to developed markets, like the US. The BSE Midcap index outperformed the broader market and closed 1.71 per cent higher at 11,702, while the BSE Smallcap index gained 1.49 per cent to 11,720. 

Nifty FMCG Index opened at 19,671 and touched a high of 20,154 in the day’s trade. Among the top gainers was Dabur which was up 4.15%; it was closely followed by ITC which was up by 4.04%. Jubilant FoodWorks was up by 2.81%, while Marico and Tata Global Beverages Ltd also gained by nearly 2%.
Cigarette stocks hogged limelight in Tuesday’s trade after media reports said tobacco may be exempted from a steep hike in taxes in the Union Budget for 2017-18. Shares of Godfrey Phillips rallied 20 per cent to Rs999. Shares of ITC advanced 4.02 per cent to Rs234.10. 

Lupin advanced 2% after the pharma company has received tentative approval from the US health regulator to sell Olmesartan medoximil tablets, used for treating high blood pressure, in the American market. Shares of Bharat Financial Inclusion today snapped a seven-session losing streak to rise 8% to Rs518 on bargain buying. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Asian stocks ended mixed on a day of thin trade as some markets were closed on account of Christmas and New Year holiday week. Nikkei 225 ended flat at 19,403 and the Kospi of South Korea rose 0.2%. The Shanghai Composite index closed marginally lower. Hong Kong and Australia were closed for Boxing Day. European shares were trading flat in morning trade on Tuesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Monday, 26 December 2016

India test-fires n-capable Agni-V missile off Odisha coast -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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26 December 2016

India on Monday successfully test-fired its indigenously developed intercontinental surface-to-surface nuclear-capable ballistic missile Agni-V from the Abdul Kalam Island off the Odisha coast in Balasore district. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

This is the fourth and final test of the missile, developed and successfully tested by the Defence Research and Development Organisation (DRDO) under the Integrated Guided Missile Development Programme, according to defence sources. 

It was launched around 11.05 a.m. from a mobile launcher complex-4 of the Integrated Test Range (ITR), the sources said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We are analysing the test launch after collecting information from radars. The report suggests it is a successful launch," said an official source.

On January 31, the canisterised version of the missile was successfully test-fired.

Speaking about the Agni-V missile, V.K. Saraswat, former DRDO chief and Niti Aayog member, said: "Right from the beginning, the missile was designed for the canisterised version." 

"Agni-V has all the capability to meet evolving threat and operational requirement of India. Now, we should look for introduction of force multipliers like MIRV (multiple independently targetable re-entry vehicle) in the missile." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Agni-V missile, in its operational form is designed to be stored and launched from the canister, enhancing its storage, operational readiness, transportability, response time and shelf life. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

MIRV is a missile payload with several warheads, each capable of being aimed at independent targets. This helps in reducing the efficiency of the anti-ballistic missile capability of the adversary. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The missile employs Ring Laser Gyro-based Inertial Navigation System (RINS) and Micro Navigation System (MINS) for navigation, which support the missile to reach the target point within a few metres of accuracy. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

With the success of the final development test, Agni-V is now ready for induction into the strategic arsenal of India. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On why only four tests for clearing the missile for operations, Saraswat said, "DRDO conducted 30-odd launches before inducting Prithvi missiles. Those were the initial days." 

"Now, we are using proven technology which does not require large number of tests. DRDO today has high level of instrumentation and the processing capability on ground as well as in the missile is high." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

DRDO has been steadily increasing the range of the missiles through redesigning the operational missiles for longer ranges. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Speaking about Agni-V missile's capability to launch satellite, Saraswat said, "It is a building block. It can be used to deliver satellites, below 100 kg weight, into the lower earth orbit (LEO) with addition of a small injecting stage in the missile. We had made studies at that time."

A LEO satellite can be launched during the war to gather information on the "theatre battlefields" for specific requirements. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Agni-V was first tested in 2012 when V.K. Saraswat was the Secretary, DRDO.

The Inter-Continental Ballistic Missile (ICBM) Agni-V has the capability to strike targets anywhere in all of Asia and parts of Africa and Europe.

The three-stage 17 metres long, 2-metre wide, 50-tonne Agni-V is capable of delivering nuclear warhead of over a tonne to a distance of more than 5,000 km.

Once the Agni-V is inducted into the Indian military, India would join the super exclusive club of countries with ICBMs alongside the US, Russia, China, France and Britain.

The first test of Agni-V was conducted on April 19, 2012, while the second test was launched on September 15, 2013.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


SBI Index crashes to all time low in December 2016 -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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26 December 2016
 
SBI Index (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The yearly State Bank of India (SBI) Composite Index, an indicator for tracking India’s manufacturing activity, has crashed to an all-time low in December 2016 of 45.5 (moderate decline), compared to last month’s revised index of 50 (low growth). According to the researchers at SBI, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) may show a decline in December 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"Retail sales during the month of November 2016 were down in the range of 20-40% due to currency crunch and negative sentiments on account of uncertainty post Government’s monetary initiative. Even the festive season shifted early by almost a month this time, which also resulted in lower sales during November due to post-festive sluggishness. Overall we feel that the effect of demonetisation is more of short term nature, say a quarter or two in most of the sectors, except real estate, jewellery, and luxury goods, and will normalise thereafter," SBI says in a report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
SBI Index 14(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Interestingly, the directional validation of the SBI composite index also throws some more interesting facts on manufacturing activity. The directional validation indicates the direction of the predicted month-on-month index with the actual IIP-Manufacturing index growth for the corresponding month.

 
SBI Index2 (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Sectors such as fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG), consumer durables, plantation and plantation products, and fertilizers, which mostly derive strength from rural influence, will seem to face certain moderation in demand from the consumer side, owing to significant amount of cash transaction involved in these sectors. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"We may see weak Q3 sales for India Incorporation as most of the sectors that do cash sales - are either extending credit or are not doing sales. The weak sales would have a trickle-down impact on the supply chain, thus hampering economic activity across sectors and supply chain," the report from SBI says.
 
SBI Index3 (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The report also highlights low credit growth, which it feels is a matter of concern. The fortnightly data of all scheduled commercial banks (ASCB) indicates that credit off-take (year-on-year) continues to be a laggard and has declined to a historical low of 5.8% as on 9 December 2016.

 
SBI Index4 (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

"Due to weak credit off-take and huge money inflows, we expect a faster rate of marginal cost of funds-based lending rate (MCLR) transmission by banks in the coming days as inflation trajectory is expected to remain benign with consumer price index (CPI) inflation at sub-4% for coming months till January 2017. Though inflation may increase thereafter (post January), it may not be more than 4.5% by March 2017," SBI concluded.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions