Thursday, 7 September 2017

Profits of gold loan companies surging on new business model -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 September  2017
 
Gold (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Profitability of large gold loan financiers has surged to peak levels seen before 2012, with rejuvenated business model like periodic collection of interest on the loans and lowering of product tenures, says a research report.

In the report, Krishnan Sitaraman, Senior Director, CRISIL Ratings, says, “Periodic interest collection has ensured the loan-to-value ratio remains intact and gold price declines do not result in interest loss, which was a key reason for reduced profitability in the preceding few years. It also reduces the chances of delinquency as the borrower’s equity in the pledged gold does not reduce.”

According to the report, Fiscal 2017 saw return on assets zoom to over 4% from around 2.5% for fiscal 2014 for gold loan companies, which had seen such profitability levels till 2012. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Earlier, gold loans had a tenure of one year and were repaid in one bullet repayment along with interest. The borrower had the option to repay the loan any time before maturity, and over 80% of borrowers repaid the loan before six months. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"However, in the past couple of years, forced by a decline in gold prices, these companies have started collecting interest from borrowers at periodic intervals without waiting for loan maturity. This is reflected in the balance sheet, where the interest receivable has fallen to 3-4% of outstanding loans as on March 2017 compared with about 6% earlier," the ratings agency says.

As per CRISIL, other key reason for improved profitability of gold loan companies is the shortened loan tenure. It says, "Increasingly, loans are disbursed with tenures of three to nine months as against 12 months earlier. This enables the gold loan financiers to react swiftly to any decline in gold price." 

Under the norms from Reserve Bank of India (RBI), gold pledged by delinquent borrowers can be auctioned only on following the due regulatory process. A shorter maturity period helps the lender auction the gold sooner, if the need arises. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

“A one-year tenured loan with a provision for repayment at any time and without the requirement of periodic interest payment provides high flexibility and convenience. The structural change of shorter tenure products being attempted, to an extent, takes away this very convenience that had
contributed to the product’s popularity. Therefore, a fine balance of risk management and customer-orientation holds the key to sustained growth in business and profitability,” says Ajit Velonie, Director, CRISIL Ratings.

In addition, interest accrued on loans with three to six months is lower than loans with tenor of 12 months, so interest recovery – even through auction – has been higher. This is reflected in the fact that large gold loan companies have seen a 2-5% increase in their interest yields in fiscal 2017 compared with the previous year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"While the growth in gold loan business will continue to be moderate, efforts by the large gold loan financiers to diversify into other lending segments - housing, microfinance and vehicle financing - will help broad base the business and mitigate the risks arising from mono line gold loan business," the ratings agency concluded.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

European Markets Buoyed By ECB Inaction; All Eyes On Draghi-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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7 September  2017
Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

European stock markets and the euro remained firm Thursday as the European Central Bank kept policy unchanged and said in a statement that it stands read to provide the eurozone economy a further stimulus if needed.
KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, Germany's was up 0.9 percent at 12,324 while the CAC 40 in France was 0.7 percent higher at 5,135. The FTSE 100 index of leading British shares rose 0.4 percent at 7,384. U.S. stocks were poised for a flat opening with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures unchanged.
ECB DECISION: The central bank left its key interest rates and bond-purchase stimulus program unchanged. The decision was announced after a meeting Thursday of the bank's 25-member governing council in Frankfurt. The bond purchases are set to run at 60 billion euros ($72 billion) per month through the end of the year, and longer if needed to raise inflation from the current 1.5 percent toward the bank's goal of just under 2 percent. In a statement, the ECB said it could extend its stimulus in terms of its size or duration if the outlook less favorable. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ALL EYES ON DRAGHI: Markets are waiting to see whether European Central Bank President Mario Draghi will try to talk the euro down as he discusses the future of stimulus for the 19-country eurozone economy. The rise in the currency's exchange rate is complicating life for the central bank. The exchange rate has risen 14 percent this year to $1.20. That could hurt exports and lower inflation, which the ECB is trying to raise. So far, Draghi has not expressed public concern and analysts are speculating he may now use the post-decision news conference to address the issue. Ahead of his briefing, the euro was up 0.5 percent at $1.1970. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ANALYST TAKE: "The ECB is probably not concerned about the past appreciation of the euro but rather about the future appreciation," said Carsten Brzeski, an economist at ING. "In this regards, to get out of the euro trap, don't be surprised if Draghi presents a more detailed game plan than market participants expect." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
DEBT DEAL: Trump came to a deal with congressional Democrats to raise America's debt limit for three months, overruling Republicans in the process. The immediate goal was ensuring money for storm relief as Trump sought to help speed the $7.9 billion aid bill for Hurricane Harvey victims, but the move also helps keep the government operating, removing some short-term uncertainty for investors. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
FED IN FLUX: In a surprise announcement, the Federal Reserve said Vice Chairman Stanley Fischer will resign next month for personal reasons, leaving a fourth vacancy on the U.S. central bank's seven-member governing board. The unexpected departure of Fischer, a widely respected economist, adds to a leadership vacuum at the top of the Fed as it navigates a difficult path. It plans to slowly raise interest rates as the U.S. economy grows and unemployment falls, even as inflation remains below target, complicating its future course.
NUCLEAR TENSIONS: North Korea's nuclear program remains in the headlines though the focus now shifts to diplomacy, with the U.S., South Korea and Japan all calling for tougher sanctions including cutting off oil supplies. Meanwhile, the U.S. military finished placing more launchers for a high-tech U.S. missile defense system installed in South Korea to better cope with North Korean threats.
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 rose 0.2 percent to close at 19,396.52 and South Korea's Kospi jumped 1.1 percent to 2,346.19. The Shanghai Composite slid 0.6 percent to 3,365.50 and Hong Kong's Hang Seng index gave up early gains to fall 0.3 percent to 27,522.92.

ENERGY: Oil futures renewed their climb. Benchmark U.S. crude was down 36 cents at $48.81 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange while Brent crude, used to price international oils, fell 7 cents to $54.10 a barrel in London.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday, 6 September 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Try to Move Up – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 September  2017

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that a close below today’s low may mean a new downturn for Nifty, Sensex. On Tuesday, Moneylife offices were closed but the Indian stock markets were open for trading. On Tuesday, the benchmark indices closed on a higher note as positive European markets and persistent purchasing by domestic institutional investors (DIIs) buoyed investors' sentiments. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Wednesday and closed with small losses over Tuesday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Negative global cues and heavy selling pressure in index heavyweights like ITC, Sun Pharma, Lupin and Axis Bank, among others, pulled the two key Indian equity indices lower during the mid-afternoon trade session on Wednesday. Sectorwise, the healthcare and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) indices plunged into the negative zone. On the NSE, there were 832 advances, 811 declines and 322 unchanged.

US stocks sank on Tuesday, with the S&P 500 stumbling to its biggest single-day loss in about three weeks. Asian stocks also slipped in the morning trade while the dollar was on the defensive with tensions in the Korean Peninsula showing little signs of abating, pointed out market analysts.

North Korea on Wednesday insisted that it will maintain its nuclear program even if additional sanctions from the international community are imposed on the regime, media reports said. It also accused the US of being the main culprit for escalating tension and nuclear threat, Efe news reported. "The US is terribly mistaken if it thinks it can frighten or persuade Pyongyang by talking about 'all options' on the table and imposing the toughest sanctions and pressure," the North Korean Foreign Ministry said in a statement released late Tuesday by state news agency KCNA. The statement also referred to the UN Security Council's emergency meeting on Monday and US Ambassador Nikki Haley's request to adopt a new and tougher sanctions resolution against North Korea. International markets can hence continue to be volatile in this context.

“The short-term outlook continues to be challenging as the US generics industry is facing rapidly changing market dynamics. Increased competitive intensity and customer consolidation is leading to pressure on pricing; while continued delay in approvals from the Halol facility is also impacting the company’s working,” Sun Pharmaceutical managing director Dilip Shanghvi said in its annual report. “In the Indian market, there is uncertainty amongst the trade channels due to the GST (goods and services tax) implementation, although it may be temporary. Given these factors, growth could be a challenge in FY18 (2017-18) and we expect a single-digit decline in consolidated revenues for FY18 over FY17 (2016-17),” Shanghvi said. The company’s shares closed at Rs474.10, down 3.61% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

HCL Technologies on Wednesday announced the acquisition of automation-driven data management platform Datawave for an undisclosed sum. The shares of the HCL Tech closed at Rs852.00, down 0.92% on the NSE. Mergers can happen between healthy banks and not amongst weak ones and the central government should be careful in this regard, said Reserve Bank of India's former Governor Raghuram G Rajan said. Rajan said one has to be careful while merging public sector banks as mergers take time. "It is better to do mergers when banks are healthy than when they are unhealthy," he added. Rajan said in case of weak banks, more time has to be spent on cleaning up their balance sheets. 

The Indian service sector's output continued to be weak in August, impacted by the implementation of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) from the previous month, a key macro-economic data showed. According to the seasonally adjusted Nikkei India Services PMI Business Activity Index, the pace of downturn last month was less than the contraction in July when output had declined to its lowest level since September 2013. The seasonally adjusted index rose to 47.5 in August from 45.9 in July. An index reading of above 50 indicates an overall increase in economic activity and below 50 an overall decrease. "Services acted as a drag on the private sector economy in August, with the reduction in business activity offsetting growth of manufacturing production. While July's downturn in the goods-producing industry proved to be a temporary blip, services remained trapped in contraction," said Pollyanna De Lima, economist at IHS Markit and the author of the report. "The downturn was often associated with the implementation of the GST, though there was also a mention of shortages of inputs," Nikkei said in a release. The Nikkei India Manufacturing PMI in India report last week showed output rebounding in August with new orders and output returning to growth territory after falling in July. The markets are likely to appear to be bearish in the near term for investors in the manufacturing sector.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India's GDP growth to re-accelerate as GST impact fades: Morgan Stanley-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 September  2017

Growth (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Economic activity in the country lost some pace amid GST related disruptions but underlying growth momentum remains strong and the country may clock 6.7 percent growth this fiscal, says a Morgan Stanley report.
India's economic growth slipped to a three-year low of 5.7 percent in April-June, underscoring the disruptions caused by uncertainty related to the GST rollout amid slowdown in manufacturing activities.
Commenting on the GDP numbers, Morgan Stanley said, "We are inclined not to read this as a sign of general slowdown in aggregate demand".
"Indeed, we remain skeptical that the GDP statistics are fully reflecting the underlying growth trends in the economy," Morgan Stanley said in a research note. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
It further said that a number of high frequency growth indicators are indicating that end demand is holding up well and is running counter to the slowdown exhibited in the national accounts. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
However, on account of the weak GDP print in June 2017 quarter, Morgan Stanley has made some mark-to-market adjustments to its full year GDP growth estimates. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"We believe that June 2017 likely marked the trough in growth in this cycle and we expect GDP growth to accelerate by almost 200 bps to 7.5 percent year-on-year in March 2018 quarter," it said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
On a calendar year basis, Morgan Stanley now project growth of 6.4 per cent and 7.4 percent in 2017 and 2018, respectively, as against 7.6 percent and 8.0 percent previously. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The revised new financial 2018 and fiscal 2019 growth estimates are at 6.7 percent and 7.5 percent, respectively. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
According to Morgan Stanley, currency replacement programme and GST had led to a deceleration in growth momentum.
"However, considering that these events are already in the rear view mirror, we expect the underlying economic growth momentum to reassert themselves, leading to a re-acceleration in growth," it said.

"In our view, India is moving on to the next phase of the business cycle of productive growth - a phase marked by further improvement in growth while macro stability remains in check. This will also set the stage for a sustained growth cycle," it added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Nissan unveils new electric car in bid to drive off competition-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 September  2017


Nissan (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 

Japanese giant Nissan Wednesday unveiled a new electric car with an extended range and semi-autonomous driving functions, as it seeks to battle off competitors in a sector it once pioneered.
The second-generation Nissan Leaf has a potential range of 400 kilometres (250 miles) between charges, compared with 250 kilometres for its previous version.
It also boasts semi-autonomous driving capabilities such as keeping the vehicle automatically in one lane on the motorway or parking without human intervention. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Hiroto Saikawa, president and chief executive officer of Nissan, said in a statement that the new vehicle "strengthens" the firm`s "leadership" in the electric car sector. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Nissan was an innovator in the sector seven years ago when it unveiled its first Leaf -- which has sold 280,000 units -- but has since had to contend with fierce competition from General Motors and Tesla among others.
Faced with tighter global environmental regulations, most carmakers are investing heavily in the electric car sector, sparking a ferocious race to create the next green vehicle. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The new car will be available next month in Japan, followed by the United States, Canada and Japan in January 2018. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The price tag in Japan will be 3.15 million yen (around $29,000).The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

SC directs Facebook, WhatsApp to file affidavit on transferring data to third parties-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 September  2017

Whatsapp and Facebook (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Supreme Court on Wednesday directed Whatsapp and Facebook to file an affidavit within four weeks specifying whether they were sharing the data with any third-party entity. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Senior advocates Kapil Sibal and Arvind Datar, representing Whatsapp and Facebook respectively, said they were not sharing user data with any entity.
Later, Sibal said that they were only sharing details like 'last seen', telephone number and device details. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The petitioners, who have challenged the Whatsapp privacy policy, claimed in the court that Whatsapp was sharing data of their users with Facebook and various third-party entities. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
A committee to deliberate on the issue of data protection in India has been set up under the chairmanship of former apex court judge Justice B N Srikrishna and a law can be evolved after it submits its report, the Centre told the Supreme Court.
The government told the court that there was all the possibility for a law to be passed to regulate data protection in the country after the panel comes up with its report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Additional Solicitor General Tushar Mehta, appearing for the Centre, told a five-judge constitution bench headed by Chief Justice Dipak Misra that the committee, which comprises experts from the field, would make specific recommendations to the government after going through various facets of data protection.
The court then fixed the matter for hearing on November 28.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Caution Rules In Markets Amid Korea, Hurricane Worries-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 September  2017
South Korea financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global stock markets drifted lower Wednesday amid rising risk aversion linked to the ongoing tensions on the Korean Peninsula, while oil prices pushed ahead as Hurricane Irma hit the Caribbean. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, the FTSE 100 index of leading British shares was down 0.7 percent at 7,324, while France's CAC 40 fell 0.2 percent to 5,076. Germany's DAX was steady at 12,121. U.S. shares were poised for a flat opening, with Dow futures and the broader S&P 500 futures unchanged.
NORTH KOREA: Investors are yet to see signs that the geopolitical tensions between the United States and North Korea, which surged after the North's sixth nuclear test on Sunday, would ease any time soon. On Tuesday, President Donald Trump said in a tweet that he has given the go-ahead for Japan and South Korea to buy a "substantially increased amount" of sophisticated military equipment from the United States. South Korea is seeking more military might and considering bringing back the U.S. nuclear weapons.
ANALYST TAKE: "Global stock markets appear to be in a period of nervous uncertainty, as the threat of another North Korean test looms large over any investors wishing to invest in risky assets," said Joshua Mahony, market analyst at IG. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ASIA'S DAY: Earlier in Asia, most stock markets stuttered with Japan's Nikkei 225 down 0.1 percent at 19,357.97 and South Korea's Kospi 0.3 percent lower at 2,319.82. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index fell 0.5 percent to 27,613.76 and Shanghai Composite Index was flat at 3,385.39. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 fell 0.3 percent to 5,689.70. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
HURRICANE: As well as developments surrounding North Korea, investors, particularly in the energy markets, are monitoring the most powerful Atlantic Ocean hurricane in recorded history. Irma made its first landfall in the islands of the northeast Caribbean early Wednesday, roaring along a path pointing to Puerto Rico, the Dominican Republic, Haiti and Cuba before possibly heading for Florida over the weekend. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
OIL: Benchmark U.S. crude was up 25 cents, or 0.5 percent, at $48.91 a barrel on the New York Mercantile Exchange, while Brent crude, used to price international oils, gained 69 cents to $54.07 per barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The euro was up 0.1 percent at $1.1925 while the dollar rose 0.1 percent 108.87 yen.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tuesday, 5 September 2017

Sensex rebounds on bargain buying; sentiment remains cautious-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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5 September  2017

Indian financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions) 
The BSE Sensex on Tuesday recovered by 107 points to close at 31,809.55 in a choppy trade on bargain buying by jittery investors in banking, oil & gas and auto stocks.
Buying activity picked up momentum in the later part of the session largely in tandem with strong opening of European shares.
The overall recovery received some support from consumer durables, realty, oil & gas, metal and banking stocks which recouped their losses to an extent.
The NSE Nifty also moved up by 39.35 points, or 0.40 percent, to end at 9,952.20, after moving between 9,963.10 and 9,901.05.

Meanwhile, the services sector activity in India suffered the second consecutive month of contraction in August as business activity and new work orders got affected by the Goods and Services Tax (GST), a monthly survey has found.
The Nikkei India PMI said in its survey, activity Index improved slightly from 45.9 registered in July to 47.5 in August. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The Sensex opened higher and hit the day's high of 31,863.47 as banking, auto and IT stocks advanced. But profit-booking triggered by weak Asian markets dragged the barometer to a low of 31,674.23 in afternoon session.
It finally closed higher by 107.30 points, or 0.34 percent, at 31,809.55 on strong European cues. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Sensex had lost 189.98 points in the previous session in line with a general weakness cross the globe fuelled by North Korea's nuclear test on Sunday.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Crackdown on black money: Over 2 lakh companies deregistered; bank accounts frozen, says governmen-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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5 September  2017

Arun Jetley (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

As part of a broad crackdown on illegal transactions and tax evasion, the government on Tuesday said that names of over 2 lakh firms have been struck off from the Register of Companies (RoC) for failing to comply with regulatory requirements and action has been initiated to restrict operations of their bank accounts.
Existing directors and authorized signatories of such struck off companies will now become ex-directors or ex-authorized signatories, the Finance Ministry said on Tuesday.
These individuals will not be able to operate bank accounts till such companies are legally restored by an order of National Company Law Tribunal (NCLT). The restoration, as and when it happens will be reflected by change in the status of the company from ‘struck off’ to ‘active’. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"Government has stepped up decisive action against companies falling within the ambit of Section 248 of the Companies Act. The names of 2,09,032 companies have been struck off from the Register of Companies (RoC)", the Ministry said in a statement.
The department of financial services has, through the Indian Banks Association (IBA), advised all banks that they should take immediate steps to put restrictions on bank accounts of such struck off companies, it said.
The statement further said that banks have been asked to employ 'enhanced diligence while dealing with companies' and keep a watch on companies which are defaulting in filing financial statements or annual returns. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

A list of such companies (Registrar of Companies wise) has been published on the website of the Ministry of Corporate Affairs.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions