Thursday, 15 February 2018

US Factory Output Flat For 2nd Straight Month-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutioins

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15 February  2018

Industrial production (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
U.S. factory output was unchanged in January for the second straight month after three months of healthy gains. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The Federal Reserve said Thursday that production fell in wood products, aircraft and a category including concrete and glass. Yet factories also cranked out more cars and computers. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Manufacturers posted a solid year in 2017, expanding production and adding nearly 200,000 jobs. A cheaper dollar and healthy economies overseas boosted exports, while stepped up consumer spending in the U.S. lifted domestic sales. The past two months' readings suggest, however, that factory production has slowed in the new year. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Overall industrial production, which includes mines and utilities, slipped 0.1 percent. Mining production fell 1 percent, while utility output climbed 0.6 percent.
Other recent data point to healthy manufacturing growth, a sign production may turn up in the coming months. A survey of purchasing managers found that factory activity expanded rapidly last month, though at a slightly slower pace than in December. New orders and production rose, but also more slowly than in December. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
And a separate government report showed that orders for long-lasting manufactured goods, such as autos and appliances, jumped in December.
The Fed's report also sheds light on whether manufacturers are running at or above their normal capacity. When that happens, they may feel compelled to raise prices to cover the cost of overtime work or other extraordinary expenses. That can feed higher inflation. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
For now, there is little sign that this is happening: Manufacturing plants are running at 76.2 percent of capacity, the Fed said, the same as last month but up from 75.4 percent a year ago. That is about 2 percentage points below its long-run average. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Once manufacturers run up against capacity limits, they may also invest more to expand their facilities and equipment, which can spur greater economic growth.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

World Stock Markets Rise As Inflation Fears Subside-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 February  2018
Hong kong financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

World stock markets rallied Thursday, with Wall Street set to rise further on the open, as investor concerns over inflation appeared to recede. Trading was thin in Asia, where some markets closed for Lunar New Year holidays.
KEEPING SCORE: In Europe, France's CAC 40 climbed 1.4 percent to 5,239 and Germany's DAX gained 0.7 percent to 12,421. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.5 percent to 7,251. Futures for the Dow were up 0.9 percent while those for the S&P 500 advanced 0.5 percent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
INFLATION: Investors took in their stride a report showing U.S. consumer prices climbed at a slightly faster pace than expected in January. Surprisingly, markets rose, suggesting investors are now less concerned about inflation than they were earlier this month, when an upbeat wage growth report sent markets reeling over fears the Federal Reserve might start raising interest rates faster than anticipated earlier. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
ANALYST TAKEAWAY: "Having just gone through the roller coaster of equity sell-off induced by bond yield rises, I am frankly at a loss to explain what is now happening," said Rob Carnell, chief Asia economist at ING. "I can only assume that we are in a temporary lull before the turmoil returns," he added, noting that trading volumes have been lower in recent days, likely because traders are winding down for the Lunar New Year holiday in Asia and President's Day holiday in the U.S. on Monday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
PROFIT AND LOSS: Investors were also digesting the latest batch of corporate earnings. Shares in European plane maker Airbus jumped 10 percent after it said earnings last year nearly tripled and it expected further gains in deliveries this year despite problems with some jet production programs. Swiss food and beverage giant Nestle reported that its annual profit fell 16 percent in 2017 while revenue was nearly flat. It said it is facing a "challenging environment" in North America and Brazil and its shares were down 2.5 percent.
ASIAN SCORECARD: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 rose 1.5 percent to 21,464.98 and Australia's S&P/ASX 200 climbed 1.2 percent to 5,909.00. Hong Kong's Hang Seng advanced 2 percent to close at 31,115.43 in a half-day trading session. Indexes in Southeast Asia, New Zealand and India also rose. Markets in mainland China, South Korea and Taiwan were closed for the lunar new year holiday.
CURRENCIES: The dollar dropped to 106.65 yen from 106.94 yen in late trading Wednesday. The euro strengthened to $1.2485 from $1.2452.

ENERGY: Oil futures fell, with the U.S. benchmark down 25 cents to $60.35 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose $1.41 on Wednesday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, fell 56 cents to $63.80 a barrel in London.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday, 14 February 2018

Nifty, Sensex Building a Base to Head Higher – Wednesday closing report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 February  2018

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might head higher. The major indices of the Indian markets suffered a correction on Wednesday and closed with losses over Monday’s close. Tuesday was a market holiday for Mahashivaratri. The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below:
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Broadly positive global markets and bargain hunting lifted the key Indian equity indices -- S&P BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty50 -- during the morning and mid-afternoon trade session on Wednesday. However, the market sold off towards due to a sell-off in banking sector stocks. At 3.30 p.m. the barometer 30-scrip Sensitive Index (Sensex) of the BSE receded by 144.52 points or 0.42% to 34,155.95 points from Monday's close. The equity markets were closed on Tuesday. Similarly, the wider Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange declined by 38.85 points or 0.37% to 10,500.90 points. 

Punjab National Bank, the second largest public sector bank in India, has detected a $1.8 billion fraud in one of its branches in Mumbai, the bank said in a regulatory filing to the stock exchanges on Wednesday. "The bank has detected some fraudulent and unauthorised transactions (messages) in one of its branch in Mumbai for the benefit of a few select account holders with their apparent connivance," the filing by the bank said. It had quoted the quantum of such transactions was to the tune of around $1,771.69 million (around Rs11,515 crore). The amount of fraudulent transactions is equivalent to eight times the bank's net income of about Rs1,320 crore ($206 million). This case has happened at a time when the Indian banking system is already grappling to tackle its swelling non-performing assets. Bank Nifty closed at 25,341.25, down 1.40% on the NSE.

Bharat Heavy Electricals (BHEL) on Wednesday said it has bagged an order worth Rs560 crore from NTPC for setting up a system for emission control. BHEL has secured the order for "supply and installation of the flue gas desulphurisation (FGD) system from NTPC for 2x490 MW National Capital Power Station at Dadri in Uttar Pradesh", the company said in a regulatory filing to the BSE. Previously, BHEL installed the FGD system at Tata Power's Trombay Unit 8 in 2008, and is currently installing FGD systems at NTPC's 3x250 MW Bongaigaon project, it said. Bhel shares closed at Rs97.60 on the BSE.

Real estate firm Unitech has reported a consolidated net loss of Rs103.42 crore for the third quarter of 2017-18. According to the company, its consolidated net loss during the quarter under review increased to Rs103.42 crore from Rs17 crore loss reported for the corresponding quarter of the previous fiscal. "The company has entered into various agreements to sell certain land parcels towards the compliance of the orders of the Honourable Supreme Court of India," a spokesperson for the company said. "We are also pushing for recoveries from state governments of West Bengal, Telangana and Andhra Pradesh. While in the last quarter we have been able to substantially increase the pace of construction across most of our projects, we will be able to expedite our construction activity further across all projects once these funds get released." "The company has raised further working capital in some of its ongoing projects to meet with the need of the deliveries." Unitech shares closed at Rs8.15, up 7.24% on the NSE.

Home textiles firm Welspun India reported a 47.08% fall in its consolidated net profit to Rs79.51 crore during the third quarter (Q3) of 2017-18 from Rs150.24 crore reported in the Q3 of 2016-17, the company said in a regulatory filing to the BSE. The company reported a total income of Rs1,414.30 crore during the quarter under review, down 7.07% from Rs1,521.82 crore earned in the corresponding period of FY17. The stand-alone net profit of Welspun India stood at Rs84.77 crore in Q3, FY18, down 29.18% from Rs119.69 crore reported in Q3, FY17. Welspun India shares closed at Rs67.90, down 5.37% on the BSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Domestic automobile sales growth robust at 31% yoy in January 2018 led by 2Ws, 3Ws and CVs-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 February  2018
 
Two wheelers (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Domestic vehicle sales in January 2018 grew at 31% yoy, owing to a strong show by Utility Vehicles (UVs), two wheelers (2Ws), three wheelers (3Ws) and Commercial Vehicles (CVs). A total of 21,17,746 vehicles were sold in India in January 2018 against 16,20,045 vehicles sold in January 2017.

Passenger Cars:
Passenger car sales took a breather, declining 1% yoy in January 2018 to 1,84,264 units. The entry level car segment has seen slightly lower number of new launches, as customers have been shifting to smaller sports utility vehicles (SUVs) and crossovers.

Utility Vehicles:
Utility vehicle sales were up 38% yoy at 85,850 units in January 2018. This was the second highest monthly sales volume for UVs. Sales were led by changing customer preference towards UVs away from passenger cars. The trend was reinstated by the large number of UV launches and proposed launches during the Auto Expo 2018.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Sale of vans declined 7% yoy to 15,363 units in January 2018 after reporting 31% yoy and 19% yoy growth in December 2017 and November 2017 respectively. Industry body SIAM (Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers) has guided for 9% yoy growth in passenger vehicles (Passenger cars + UVs + Vans) in FY18 against 7-9% guided earlier.

Two wheeler sales in January 2018 were 16,84,066 units against 12,62,141 units in January 2017. Two wheeler sales were led by pick up in rural economy and is expected to remain robust over the near term, given the huge emphasis on rural income laid in Budget 2018-19. The two wheeler segment is expected to see premiumization (shift in preference towards high engine capacity vehicles) and scooterization (shift in preference towards scooters), thereby driving its growth. Players such as TVS Motor Company and Hero MotoCorp have lined up launches in the “200cc and above” segment as seen in the Auto Expo 2018. Understandably, SIAM has increased its FY18 growth guidance for two wheelers to 12% against 11% previously.

Commercial vehicle sales continued their strong run logging 40% yoy growth in January 2018 at 85,660 units. These sales too were led by rural uptick and will continue to be strong on the back of efforts directed towards rural income growth, infrastructure spending and implementation of ban on overloading of vehicles. SIAM has significantly raised FY18 growth guidance for CVs from 4-6% earlier to 13%.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Three wheelers doubled in volume to 62,543 units in January 2018 against 31,345 in January 2017. This was led by end of permit system for autorickshaws in Maharashtra and issuing of new permits in Delhi
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


RBI issues revised guidelines to deal with banks’ bad loans-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 February  2018
 
RBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has brought out a revised framework for speedy resolution of non-performing assets (NPAs), or bad loans, by harmonising existing guidelines with the norms specified in the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), 2016. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a notification issued late on Monday, the RBI said the new guidelines have specified a framework for early identification and reporting of banks' stressed assets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"In view of the enactment of the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code (IBC), 2016, it has been decided to substitute the existing guidelines with a harmonised and simplified generic framework for resolution of stressed assets," the RBI notification said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As part of the revised framework, banks will be required to identify initial stress in loan accounts, immediately on default, by classifying stressed assets as special mention accounts (SMA) depending upon the period of default. 

The central bank said that all lenders will be required to put in place Board-approved policies for resolution of stressed assets, including timelines for resolution. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"As soon as there is a default in the borrower entity's account with any lender, all lenders - singly or jointly - shall initiate steps to cure the default," the notification said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the implementation of the resolution plan, the central bank said: "The resolution plan (RP) may involve any actions/plans/reorganisation including, but not limited to, regularisation of the account by payment of all over dues by the borrower entity, sale of the exposures to other entities/investors, change in ownership, or restructuring." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The revised guidelines have also laid down the timelines for resolution of stressed assets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

If a resolution plan in respect of large accounts is not implemented as per the timelines specified, lenders will be required to file insolvency applications, singly or jointly, under the IBC within 15 days from the expiry of the specified timeline. 

Besides, all lenders will be required to submit a Central Repository of Information on Large Credits (CRILC) on all borrower entities in default with aggregate exposure of Rs 5 crore and above.

The CRILC-Main Report is to be submitted on a monthly basis effective April 1, 2018. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"In addition, the lenders shall report to CRILC all borrower entities in default, on a weekly basis, at the close of business on every Friday, or the preceding working day if Friday happens to be a holiday," the notification said. 

The first such weekly report shall be submitted for the week ending February 23.

In this connection, the RBI has also decided to do away with the Joint Lenders' Forum (JLF) as an institutional mechanism for resolution of stressed accounts.


The notification said all accounts, including those where any of the schemes have been invoked but not yet implemented, will be governed by the revised framework.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Punjab National Bank Mumbai branch carries out fraudulent, unauthorised transactions worth USD 1.77 billion-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 February  2018
 
PNB (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
State-run Punjab National Bank has reported some fraudulent and unauthorised transactions, worth $1.771 billion (over Rs11,270 crore) from one of its branch in Mumbai. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

In a regulatory filing, PNB said, "The Bank has detected some fraudulent and unauthorised transactions in one of its branch in Mumbai for benefit of few select account holders with their apparent connivance. Based on these transactions other banks appear to have advanced money to these customers abroad. In the Bank these transactions are contingent in nature and liability arising out of these on the Bank shall be decided based on the law and genuineness of underlying transactions. The quantum of such transactions is USD 1771.69 Million (approximately). The matter is already referred to law enforcement agencies to examine and book the culprits as per law of the land. The Bank is committed to clean and transparent banking." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Earlier this month, the Central Bureau of Investigation (CBI) booked billionaire diamond jeweller Nirav Modi, his wife, brother and his maternal uncle Mehul Choksi in connection with a Rs280 crore cheating case after it received a complaint from PNB.

According to the complaint filed by the Bank, two of its employees had “fraudulently” issued eight letters of undertakings (LoUs) and “transmitted SWIFT instructions to the overseas branches of Indian Banks” to raise buyers credit of Rs280 crore for Modi’s firms without “making entries in the bank system”.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The bank requested CBI to issue a look-out notice against all of the alleged accused to ensure that they do not leave the country “to avoid the process of law”.
The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


PNB closed Wednesday 9.8% down at Rs145.80 on the BSE, while the 30-share Sensex ended the day marginally down at 34,155.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wall Street Due To Drop After Rise In US Inflation Data-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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14 February  2018
Japan financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

Global stocks turned lower on Wednesday after U.S. inflation data came in higher than expected, rekindling the fears of interest rate increases that had contributed to last week's precipitous drops. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
KEEPING SCORE: Wall Street, which had previously been set to open higher, looked set to drop. Dow futures were down 0.6 percent and the S&P 500 futures 0.6 percent lower. France's CAC 40 was up 0.2 percent to 5,120, while Germany's DAX shed 0.3 percent to 12,152. Britain's FTSE 100 was up 0.2 percent at 7,184. All European indexes had been higher before the U.S. data.
U.S. INFLATION: U.S. consumer prices, excluding the volatile food and energy categories, rose 0.3 percent last month, the most in a year. Overall consumer prices rose 0.5 percent in January, the most in four months. Inflation rose 2.1 percent from a year earlier and core prices increased 1.8 percent. The increases may rattle financial markets, as investors are hyper-focused on whether faster price increases may cause the Federal Reserve to raise short-term interest rates faster than expected. Higher interest rates make it more expensive for consumers and businesses to borrow and spend and could slow growth.
ASIA'S DAY: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 slipped 0.4 percent to finish at 21,154.17, while Australia's S&P/ASX 200 lost 0.3 percent to 5,841.20. South Korea's Kospi gained 1.1 percent at 2,421.83. Hong Kong's Hang Seng rose 2.3 percent to 30,515.60, while the Shanghai Composite index added 0.5 percent to 3,199.16. Trading was winding down in China ahead of the Lunar New Year holidays. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
JAPAN GDP: Earlier, data showed Japan's economy grew at a slower than expected 0.5 percent annual pace in the October-December quarter, the eighth straight quarter of expansion. Growth for the entire calendar year was 1.6 percent, up from 0.9 percent in 2016. The preliminary data released Wednesday buttressed economists' expectations that growth will slow in the coming year.
ENERGY: Benchmark U.S. crude lost 79 cents to $58.40 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. Brent crude, used to price international oils, fell 62 cents to $62.10 a barrel in London.

CURRENCIES: The dollar fell to 107.10 yen from 107.55 yen. The euro dipped to $1.2294 from $1.2351.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Monday, 12 February 2018

Nifty, Sensex May Head Higher – Monday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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12 February  2018

I had mentioned in Friday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might rally next week.  The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Monday and closed with gains over Friday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,252 advances, 296 declines and 26 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Monday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
BSE Sensex and Nifty opened on a positive note after Asian Indices opened in green. Broadly positive Asian indices, coupled with buying in capital goods, auto, healthcare and metal stocks pushed the key Indian equity indices higher.

Sales of domestic passenger cars inched down in January, industry data showed on Monday. As per the data from the Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM), 184,264 passenger cars were sold in January, down from 186,596 in the corresponding month of 2017. However, the off-take of other sub-segments of passenger vehicle category such as utility vehicles edged higher by 37.88% during the month to 85,850 units. On the other hand, sales of vans declined by 7.06% to 15,363 units. Consequently, the overall domestic passenger vehicle sales inched up by 7.57% in January to 285,477 units from 265,389 units sold during the corresponding period in 2017. S & P BSE Auto closed at 25,310.79, up 1.06% on the BSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Telecom services provider Bharti Airtel on Monday said it has tied up with streaming platform Hotstar to bring digital content to its customers. "This will further expand Airtel TV app's wide range of offerings and expand the footprint for Hotstar's content across Airtel's large mobile customer base," the telecom service provider said in a statement. According to the company, all content on Airtel TV app will be free for its prepaid and post-paid customers on a promotional basis till June 2018. Sameer Batra, CEO-Wynk, Airtel said that Hotstar's "rich content library will add immense value to our content play and add to the user experience."  The statement added that the Hotstar catalogue available to Airtel TV users will include shows from channels across multiple genres, popular movies and shows in Hindi and regional languages, along with access to sports content and live matches. Bharti Airtel shares closed at Rs424.40, up 0.21% on the NSE. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's finished steel production during April to January period of the current financial year (2017-18) rose by 5.3% to 88.592 million tonnes (mt) while country's consumption grew by 5.4% to 72.497 mt in the same period, a Steel Ministry report said. During the ten months period of 2017-18, India's finished steel export was up by 40.2% to 8.222 mt over same period of 2016-17 and imports in the period stood at 6.432 mt, by 5.5% over corresponding period of previous fiscal. "Production for sale of total finished steel at 88.592 mt, registered a growth of 5.3% during April-January 2017-18 over same period of last year...... India's consumption of total finished steel saw a growth of 5.4 per cent in April-January 2017-18 (to 72.497 mt) over same period of last year, under the influence of rising production for sale and imports," said the report of the ministry's Joint Plant Committee's (JPC). Steel Authority of India (SAIL), Rashtriya Ispat Nigam Ltd (RINL), Tata Steel Ltd (TSL), Essar, JSW Ltd and Jindal Steel (JSWL) and Power Ltd (JSPL) together produced 51.717 mt of finished steel for sale during the first ten months of the current fiscal, which was a growth of nine per cent over same period of last year. SAIL shares closed at Rs95.35, up 1.97% on the NSE. Tata Steel shares closed at Rs712.50, up 4.22% on the BSE.

The volatility of global stock markets, along with macro-economic data points, are expected to influence the Indian equity market next week, opined analysts. Market observers pointed out that the ongoing quarterly results season and crude oil price fluctuations, combined with the direction of foreign fund flows and the rupee's movement against the US dollar, will also impact investors' risk-taking appetite. The markets during this week will focus on earnings, macro-data and, of course, global cues, market analysts forecasted.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)