Thursday, 19 April 2018

New NPA resolution norms outcome oriented, flexible:RBI-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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19 April  2018
 
RBI (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Defending the Reserve Bank of India's (RBI) norms on resolution of banks' non-performing assets (NPAs), or bad loans, announced in February, RBI Deputy Governor N.S. Vishwanathan on Wednesday said these are outcome-oriented and provide banks the flexibility on deciding the contours of resolution.

Delivering a lecture titled "It is not Business as usual for Lenders and Borrowers" at the National Institute of Bank Management in Pune, he also cautioned banks on being overcome by a herd mentality in seeking to grow retail credit and the personal loan segment as a way out of their problem with corporate bad loans.

As per the RBI's revised framework on NPAs, banks are required to classify even a day's delay in paying loan instalments as a default.

"Some concerns have been expressed that the 1-day default clause is onerous," Vishwanathan said, according to the speech copy uploaded on the RBI website.

"These concerns are not well founded. For cash credit account, the 30-day trigger has been retained. For term loans, where the repayment schedules are predetermined, borrowers need to and indeed have enough notice to arrange funds in time. It is a behaviour change in repayment of credit that has to come about," he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



"The date shows that a large number of borrowers, even some highly rated ones, have failed on the 1-day default norm. This has got to change. If borrowers fail to pay on the due date because of a cash flow problem, banks should see that as an early warning indicator warranting immediate action," he added.

The RBI official also said the revised norms provide as much flexibility as possible to lenders and the stressed borrowers so long as a credible resolution plan is implemented within a specified time frame.

"If lenders and the stressed borrowers are unable to put in place a credible resolution plan within the timelines, then the structured insolvency resolution process under the IBC (Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code) should take over," he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



Vishwanathan cautioned banks that there were risks as well in expanding retail credit, which needed to be properly assessed, priced and mitigated.

"There appears to be taking hold a herd movement among bankers to grow retail credit and the personal loan segment. This is not a risk-free segment and banks should not see it as the grand panacea for their problem riddled corporate loan book," he said. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions



The accumulated NPAs in the Indian banking system have crossed the staggering level of Rs 9 lakh crore. 

The RBI has decided to do away with the Joint Lenders' Forum (JLF) as an institutional mechanism for resolution of stressed accounts.

Banks have represented to the RBI for relaxing the norms issued under the revised framework. Industry too has requested for relaxation.

According to the Association of Power Producers (APP) last month, the government proposes to recommend that the RBI make some relaxation in its norms on NPAs, failing which up to 70,000 MW of power projects would go under bankruptcy proceedings.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Trade Issues Expose The Limits Of Trump-Abe 'Bromance'-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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19 April  2018


Us  japan (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe courted the new American president with a golden driver not long after Donald Trump won the White House. He's met with the billionaire businessman more than any other world leader, and he is Trump's second-most frequent caller. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Yet the "bromance" between Trump and Abe has its limits.
Trump appeared to be successful Tuesday in reassuring Abe that he would take Japan's concerns to heart during his upcoming meeting with North Korea's Kim Jong Un. But Wednesday brought public disagreements, as Trump spurned his guest's top economic and trade priorities. Principal among them: allowing Japan an exemption from new U.S. steel and aluminum tariffs and persuading Trump to re-join the Trans-Pacific Partnership trade deal.
During a roughly 40-minute joint news conference Wednesday evening, Abe tried to put on a good face, emphasizing their close relationship and their areas of accord on North Korea policy. He effusively thanked Trump for pledging to raise the issue of Japanese abductees held by North Korea in his meeting with Kim.
But when pressed on the economic disagreements, Abe repeatedly consulted notes as he tried to sidestep questions on the contentious issues, instead returning to Trump's favored call for developing a "reciprocal" trade relationship with the U.S. It marked a stark departure from Abe's pre-summit hopes of coaxing the U.S. back into the TPP. And Japan remains the only major U.S. ally not to be exempted from the tariffs announced last month.
World leaders have quickly learned that flattery is an easy way into Trump's graces, and throughout the two-day summit, Abe appeared keen to praise the president at every opportunity. He applauded Trump's courage for agreeing to meet with Kim and marveled at Mar-a-Lago, calling Trump's estate "a gorgeous place." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Abe drew laughs before a dinner with the joint delegations in a baroque dining room when he recounted the strength of their relationship over food, which included a cheeseburger on the golf course and a working luncheon Wednesday. "We already had two lunches in the same day," he said. "And now we are going to have our dinner." The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


"Prime Minister Abe and I have spent a lot of time today, and we really spent a lot of time since I got elected. And right from the beginning we hit it off. The relationship is a very good one," Trump said as the pair sat down for the working lunch on economic issues. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


That was the session Trump suggested he was most looking forward to. "I love the world of finance and the world of economics, and probably, it's where I do the best. But we will be able to work things out," he said.
Except it didn't turn out that way. The session on trade and economic issues quickly turned tense and tough, according to two U.S. officials, as the leaders found themselves at an impasse on the tariffs. And Trump refused to budge on his opposition to the TPP, from which he withdrew the U.S. last year. The officials spoke on condition of anonymity to describe the private talks.
Still, several officials said publicly the personal connection between the leaders is robust enough to withstand the tensions.
The summit was hastily put together after Trump accepted Kim's invitation for a meeting in the next two months, and as the president prepared to implement the metals tariffs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Trump said the invitation to his private club was a sign of how much he liked Abe.
"Many of the world's great leaders request to come to Mar-a-Lago and Palm Beach. They like it; I like it. We're comfortable. We have great relationships,'" the president said, boosting the private club, which collects dues that enrich Trump.
Trump's most frequent caller is the president of France, Emmanuel Macron.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Asian Shares, Oil Prices Rise On Upbeat Global Outlook-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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19 April  2018
Hong kong financial markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
 Most Asian and European shares rose and oil prices touched fresh multi-year highs on Thursday as improving optimism about the global economy helped investors shake off worries about geopolitical risks for the moment.


KEEPING SCORE: European shares were mostly higher in early trading. Britain's FTSE 100 rose 0.3 percent to 7,335.40 and France's CAC 40 edged 0.1 percent higher to 5,387.97. Germany's DAX slipped 0.1 percent to 12,577.06. Wall Street was poised to open slightly lower. Dow futures were less than 0.1 percent lower at 24,731.00 and broader S&P 500 futures dipped 0.1 percent to 2,707.70.
ASIAN SCORECARD: Japan's benchmark Nikkei 225 index rose 0.2 percent to 22,2191.18 and South Korea's Kospi added 0.3 percent to 2,486.10. Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 1.4 percent to 30,708.44 and the Shanghai Composite in mainland China gained 0.8 percent to 3,117.38. Australia's S&P/ASX 200 advanced 0.3 percent to 5,881.00. Shares were higher in Taiwan and most of Southeast Asia. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


GLOBAL ECONOMY: The Federal Reserve's latest beige book survey found the outlook for the world's No. 1 economy remains positive as growth continues at a moderate pace, though trade tensions with China are an increasing concern. Investors are also keeping an eye on corporate earnings. Swiss pharmaceutical company Novartis reported first quarter net income jumped 12 percent on strong growth in some of its key drugs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


TRADE TENSIONS: President Donald Trump and Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe said they agreed to start talks on a new "free, fair and reciprocal" trade agreement after two days of meetings in Florida. Abe failed to get the exemption from U.S. metal tariffs for Japan that he had hoped for but some analysts said the outcome signaled that Trump was taking a more conciliatory stance on trade. In Beijing, a Commerce Ministry spokesman said China hopes trade frictions with the U.S. won't escalate but that "China has prepared for all the possibilities."
MARKET INSIGHT: "I think overall sentiment today is continuing favorably as geopolitical risk diminishes, and perhaps we're starting to see a definite de-escalation from Trump's America First trade policy," after the Trump-Abe meeting, said Stephen Innes, head of Asian trading at OANDA.
CRESTING CRUDE: Oil prices are at their highest levels since late 2014 after the latest report on U.S. inventories found that crude stockpiles fell sharply in a sign of stronger than expected demand. News reports citing industry sources saying Saudi Arabia would be happy to see prices hit $100 a barrel are also helping lift the rally and shares of energy companies. Chinese oil producer CNOOC Ltd. jumped 4.4 percent and Sinopec, China's largest refiner, rose 2.4 percent in Hong Kong while Japan Petroleum Exploration advanced 2.6 percent.
ENERGY PRICES: Oil futures rose to their highest in nearly 3 ½ years. Benchmark U.S. crude gained 76 cents to $69.23 a barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. The contract rose $1.95, or 2.9 percent, to settle at $68.47 per barrel on Wednesday. Brent crude, used to price international oils, added 42 cents to $74.38 per barrel in London.
CURRENCIES: The dollar strengthened to 107.34 yen from Wednesday's 107.24 yen. The euro slipped to $1.2372 from $1.2375.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Wednesday, 18 April 2018

Nifty, Sensex showing signs of topping out for the short-term – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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18 April  2018

I had mentioned in Tuesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might head higher if they do not go below Tuesday’s low. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Wednesday and closed with small losses over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 697 advances, 1,041 declines and 307 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Wednesday’s trading are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Breaking a nine-day gaining streak, the key Indian equity indices closed Wednesday's trade in the red on the back of selling pressure in banks, consumer durables and auto stocks.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Commercial vehicle major Ashok Leyland Ltd is expecting a revenue of around Rs 5,100 crore in six years on the basis of orders in hand from the Indian defence sector, a company official said on Wednesday. "In the last two years, we have doubled our turnover from the defence sector. Based on orders in hand from 26 tenders we won in two years, the company revenue is expected to be around Rs5,100crore," its Head-Defence Amandeep Singh told IANS on the sidelines of an event here. Amandeep Singh said Ashok Leyland was focussed on the vehicles for mobility of defence personnel or equipment like guns or gun-mounted vehicles in the defence vertical. He said the potential orders from the defence sector for Ashok Leyland were worth around Rs14,000crore in 10 years. The official said the company had won 12 of the 15 tenders for supply of defence equipment. He said tourism operators were looking with interest at one of the company vehicles meant for the Indian Army to ferry tourists in deserts, adding that enquiries have been received for the light specialist vehicle for use on sand dunes in Dubai. The company’s shares closed at Rs149.40, up 0.23% on the NSE.

Retail gold sales are noticeably down on the auspicious AkshayaTritiya this year owing to several factors, said a leading jewellers association chief. Mumbai Jewellers Federation President RakeshShetty said the reasons for the poor sentiments were the higher rates of gold compared to 2017 and the global political developments, including the West Asia crises. "Customers are only making symbolic purchases in gold coins or very small jewellery items to mark the auspicious occasion. Barring that, the outlook is not very bright since morning among the retailers," Shetty said. In 2017, the gold prices hovered around Rs28,000 per 10 gms, which has now shot up to Rs 32,000 per 10 gms. This has made customers reluctant to go out shopping for gold. World Gold Council (India) Managing Director P.R. Somasundaram was more optimistic when he said that "the gold market is more stable now following the remonetisation of the economy". With the significantly improved compliance following the transition to the GST environment and other aspects, "activity points to the return of positive sentiments", said Somasundaram. He added that the seasonal wedding demand coupled with online and digital forms of buying gold is becoming increasingly popular and augur well for sustainable growth compared to 2017. PC Jeweller shares closed at Rs293.80, down 3.95% on the NSE. 

Fortis Healthcare said that it has received "an unsolicited non-binding expression of interest (EoI)" from Fosun Health Holdings. According to a BSE filing, Fortis Healthcare's Board of Directors received the EoI from Fosun Health Holdings on Tuesday for a possible due diligence. Fosun Health Holdings, in its letter to the company's Board, made an offer of a "primary infusion at a price up to Rs 156 per share, subject to due diligence to be completed within three weeks, up to a total investment of $350 million" including a preliminary investment of up to Rs100 crore.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The development assumes significance as on April 14, the company reported that it has received EoI from IHH Healthcare Berhad for possible due diligence and participation with the company. The IHH in its letter to the company's Board on April 11, 2018 made an offer of Rs160 per Fortis share. Besides IHH, Hero Enterprise promoted by Sunil Munjal and the Burman family had on April 12 offered, in a joint letter, to invest Rs1,250crore directly in Fortis Healthcare. Munjal said that the fund infusion "will go beyond addressing the urgent liquidity needs of the company and help the operations stabilise with immediate effect". "Our offer is in the best interests of Fortis Healthcare.” The company’s shares closed at Rs144.85, up 0.24% on the NSE.

Reliance Jiopipped its rivals in 4G availability and the mobile network operator was able to provide an LTE signal to testers more than 95% of the time in every single region in India, a new report said on Wednesday. With a download speed of 6 Mbps, Airtel emerged as the clear leader in OpenSignal's speed metrics across 4G providers in the country.  London-based OpenSignal, which specialises in crowdsourced wireless coverage mapping all over the world, said that Jio won its national 4G availability award by at least 27% points. "Our testers were able to find an LTE signal on Jio's network 96.4 per cent of the time in our latest test period, up from 95.6% in our October report," the report said. "Jio remained the closest contender in overall speed due to its high level of 4G access. It was able to deliver typical everyday download speeds of 5.1 Mbps in our tests, compared to Airtel's 6 Mbps," it added. Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs938.00, down 0.69% on the NSE and BhartiAirtel shares closed at Rs384.25, up 1.10% on the NSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



EPFO members to get option to hike investments in ETFs-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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18 April  2018
EPF (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Over five crore subscribers of retirement fund body EPFO will get an option to increase or decrease investments of their provident fund into stocks through exchange trade funds (ETF) in the current financial year.
The Employees' Provident Fund Organisation plans to credit ETF investments in the PF accounts of in about three months, thereafter it would give an option to the subscribers to hike or cut investments in ETFs from their funds.
"We have to develop a software to credit ETFs into the PF accounts of subscribers. It will take 2 to 3 months," EPFO's Central Provident Fund Commissioner V P Joy told.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"Once we do that we would go for next phase to give an option to members to increase or decrease investments in the stocks," he added.
EPFO's apex decision making body, Central Board of Trustees (CBT), had last week decided to explore the possibility of giving an option to subscribers for enhancing equity allocation beyond mandated equity investment limit (presently 15%) as also of reducing it below that limit.
EPFO invests 15 percent of its investible deposits into the ETFs. Earlier last year, the CBT had approved an accounting policy to credit ETFs into the members account apart from cash component.
The CBT had also approved the recommendation of EPFO's advisory body -- Finance Investment and Audit Committee (FIAC) -- that subscribers be allocated equity units only for 15 percent of their contributions. All units over and above this allocation to all the subscribers would be held by the EPFO.
EPFO had started investing in ETFs in August 2015. In 2015-16 it invested 5 percent of its investible deposits which was subsequently increased to 10 percent 2016-17 and 15 percent in 2017-18.
It has invested Rs 41,967.51 crore in ETFs with return of 17.23 percent as on February 28, 2018. The body had sold ETFs worth Rs 2,500 crore in March this year for the first time to liquidate its investments in stock market.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Domestic carriers flew 28.03% more passengers in March: DGCA -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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18 April  2018
 
Domestic airlines (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Domestic airlines registered a 28.03% growth in passengers flown during March compared to that a year ago, data released by the aviation regulator showed. As per the data, released by the Directorate General of Civil Aviation (DGCA) on Wednesday, Indian carriers carried 11.6 million passengers during the month, up from 9.0 million in March 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As a result, all key scheduled carriers flew their planes with over 80% of their seats full. Gurgaon-based SpiceJetNSE 0.00 % continued to maintain its pole position in terms of load factor by flying its planes 95% full, followed by IndiGoNSE -0.96 %, which flew its planes with 89 % seats full despite problems with its Airbus 320 (neo) aircraft.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Vistara, flies its planes in a three-class configuration – economy, premium economy and business, was third by flying its planes with 88.2% seats full.

“Clocking 95% occupancy in the traditionally lean travel month of March is an achievement that we are proud of. For three years in a row, SpiceJet has flown with the highest load factors in the Indian aviation market. For 35 months in a row our loads have been in excess of 90% --- a feat unparalleled in global aviation history and a milestone that we are proud of,” Shilpa Bhatia, Chief Sales and Revenue Officer at SpiceJet was quoted in a statement. 

In terms of operating flights on time, Jet AirwaysNSE -4.05 % improved its performance after staying lowest in the ladder for the past five months by operating 75.2.2% of its flights on time, IndiGo topped the list by operating 84.1% of its flights on time. SpiceJet was second, having operated 83.9% of its flights on time followed by Vistara that operated 83% of its flights on time. 

IndiGo remained the market leader in terms of passenger carriage, by flying 39.5% of the total passengers during the month of March. Jet Airways followed IndiGo in terms of market share, by flying 16.6% of the passengers flown during the month. SpiceJet was the third largest carrier in terms of market share, accounting for 13.7% of the passengers flown during the monthThe Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Improve bank's ability to go after debtors: IMF to India-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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18 April  2018
 
IMF(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has urged India to strengthen the ability of banks to go after debtors and warned that debts negatively impact investments.

"The corporate debt overhang and associated banking sector credit quality concerns exert a drag on investment in India," the IMF's World Economic Outlook report released on Tuesday said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

While the 2017 recapitalisation plan for major public sector banks "will help replenish capital buffers and improve the banking sector's ability to support growth", it "should be part of a broader package of financial reforms to improve the governance of public sector banks, and banks' debt recovery mechanisms should be further enhanced," the report said.

Underlining the seriousness of the bad loans or non-performing assets problem, the Reserve Bank of India said in a December 2017 report that such loans were 10.2 per cent of all the banking assets till September 2017 and was projected to grow to 10.8 per cent by March and 11.1 per cent by September 2018.

Bad loans issue has come to the fore in India in recent months with the disclosure of fugitive jewellerNiravModi's alleged $2 billion-scam involving the Punjab National Bank.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Another cautionary note in the IMF report said: "India's high public debt and recent failure to achieve the budget's deficit target call for continued fiscal consolidation into the medium term to further strengthen fiscal policy credibility."

Overall, "the medium-term growth outlook for India is strong," the report said.

"Growth is expected to gradually rise with continued implementation of structural reforms that raise productivity and incentivise private investment," it added.

The IMF reiterated that India was on its way to achieve growth rates of 7.4 per cent for 2018 and 7.8 per cent for 2019 - the highest globally for major economies.

The report pointed out that it "has made progress on structural reforms in the recent past, including through the implementation of the goods and services tax, which will help reduce internal barriers to trade, increase efficiency, and improve tax compliance."The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

But it stressed that India's important challenge is to enhance inclusiveness for which further reforms are needed.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

"The main priorities for lifting constraints on job creation and ensuring that the demographic dividend is not wasted are to ease labour market rigidities, reduce infrastructure bottlenecks, and improve educational outcomes," it said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions