June
E-mini S&Ps (ESM13 -0.31%) this morning are down -0.25% and
European stocks are down -0.98%. Asian stocks closed lower: Japan -6.35%, Hong
Kong -2.19%, China -3.39%, Taiwan -2.03%, Australia -0.61%, Singapore -0.72%,
South Korea -1.61%, India -1.12%. Global stocks tumbled amid concern for slower
growth after the World Bank cut its global GDP forecast for this year. Growth
concerns also sent China's Shanghai Composite Stock Index down to a 6-month low
today after trading resumed from a three-day holiday. Commodity prices are
mostly lower. July WTI crude oil (CLN13 -0.56%) is down -0.27%, July gasoline (RBN13
+0.06%) is up +0.11%, July natural gas (NGN13 -0.95%) is down -1.06%, Aug gold (GCQ13 -0.47%) is down -0.39% and July copper (HGN13
-0.85%) is down -0.93%. Agriculture prices are mixed. The dollar index (DXY00
-0.19%) is down -0.23% at a 3-1/2 month low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD)
is down -0.05%. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -1.83% at a 2-1/4 month low
as slumping stocks boosted the safe-haven demand for the yen. September 10-year
T-note futures prices (ZNU13 +0.27%) this morning are up +12 ticks as
the swoon in global equities fueled safe-haven demand for Treasuries.
The
World Bank in its bi-annual report late yesterday cut its global GDP forecast
for this year to 2.2%, less than a Jan forecast for 2.4% growth and slower than
last year's 2.3%. It reduced its 2013 GDP forecast for China to 7.7% from a Jan
estimate of 8.4% and cut its Eurozone growth forecast to a -0.6% contraction from
a Jan estimate of -0.1%. In contrast, the World Bank raised its GDP estimate
for Japan to expand at a 1.4% pace this year from a Jan estimate of 0.8% and
hiked its estimate for U.S. GDP this year to 2.0% from a 1.9% estimate in Jan.
The
monthly bulletin editorial from the ECB for June said that "The
accommodative stance of monetary policy, together with the significant
improvement in financial markets since mid-2012, should contribute to support
prospects for an economic recovery later in the year," and that "the
monetary stance will remain accommodative for as long as necessary." The
bulletin mirrors ECB President Draghi's comments from his June 6 press
conference.
The
German May wholesale price index fell -0.4% m/m and -0.1% y/y, the third
consecutive monthly decline.
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