Tuesday, 21 June 2016

MARKET COMMENTS

MARKET COMMENTS
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September E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 +0.47%) this morning are up +10.00 points (+0.48%). Monday's closes: S&P 500 +0.58%, Dow Jones +0.73%, Nasdaq +0.59%. The S&P 500 on Monday rallied to a 1-week high and closed higher on carryover support from a sharp rally in European stocks as Brexit concerns eased after the latest polls showed that Britons will vote to remain in the European Union at Thursday's referendum. Stocks were also boosted by strength in mining stocks and energy producers after copper rallied +2.1% and the price of crude oil climbed 2.9% to a 1-week high.


Sep 10-year T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.12%) this morning are down -3 ticks. Monday's closes: TYU6 -1300, FVU6 -6.25. Sep T-notes gapped lower Monday to a 1-week low and closed lower on reduced safe-haven demand for T-notes as stocks rallied sharply as the latest polls showed Britons favored remaining in the EU. T-notes were also undercut by slack demand for the Treasury's $26 billion 2-year T-note auction that had a 2.72 bid-to-cover ratio, below the 12-auction average of 3.01.


The dollar index (DXY00 +0.02%) this morning is down -0.046 (-0.05%) at a 1-1/2 month low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0001 (+0.01%). USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is up +0.70 (+0.67%). Monday's closes: Dollar Index -0.595 (-0.63%), EUR/USD +0.0037 (+0.33%), USD/JPY -0.22 (-0.21%). The dollar index on Monday fell to a 1-week low and closed lower on an easing of Brexit concerns, which lifted EUR/USD to a 1-week high and GBP/USD to a 2-1/2 week high. The dollar index was also undercut by cautiousness ahead of Tuesday's testimony by Fed Chair Yellen to the Senate Banking Committee on monetary policy.


July WTI crude oil (CLN16 -1.13%) this morning is down -54 cents (-1.09%). July gasoline (RBN16 -1.60%) is down -0.0227 (-1.43%). Monday's closes: CLN6 +1.39 (+2.90%), RBN6 +0.0774 (+5.14%). Jul crude oil and gasoline on Monday rallied to 1-week highs and closed higher. Crude oil prices were boosted by the fall in the dollar index to a 1-week low and a report by the Joint Organizations Data Initiative saying that Saudi Arabian Apr crude exports fell to a 6-month low of 7.44 million bpd.


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