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2Nd Aug 2016
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.23%) are down -0.15% and European stocks are down -1.45% at a 2-week low as weakness in
European bank stocks leads the overall market lower. Commerzbank AG, Germany's
second-largest lender, is down 8% after it scrapped its profit target for this
year and forecast a drop in earnings, while Italy's UniCredit dropped over 5%
after Il Messaggero reported that the bank may consider a capital increase of
as much as 8 billion euros ($8.96 billion). Another negative for European
stocks is concern that rising prices may keep the ECB from boosting stimulus
measures after Eurozone Jun PPI rose a more-than-expected +0.7% m/m, the
largest monthly increase in 3-3/4 years. Asian stocks settled mostly lower:
Japan -1.47%, Hong Kong closed
for holiday, China +0.61%, Taiwan -0.13%,
Australia -0.84%, Singapore -1.24%, South Korea -0.74%, India -0.08%. Japanese stocks closed lower
after USD/JPY dropped to a 3-week low when the Japanese government announced
4.6 trillion yen ($45 billion) in extra spending for the current fiscal year,
much less than the 28 trillion-yen amount Japanese Prime Minister Abe had
signaled in a speech last week. Australia's 10-year bond yield fell to a record
low 1.823% after the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut its benchmark rate by
25 bp to a record low 1.5% today.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.29%) is down -0.30% at a week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD)
is up +0.26% at a 1-1/4 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY)
is down -0.63% at a 3-week low.
Sep T-note prices (ZNU16 -0.34%) are down -14 ticks.
The RBA cut its
benchmark rate by 25 bp to a record low 1.5% and RBA Governor Stevens said that
"recent data confirm that inflation remains quite low and given very
subdued growth in labor costs and very low cost pressures elsewhere in the
world, this is expected to remain the case for some time."
The Eurozone Jun PPI of
+0.7% m/m and -3.1% y/y was stronger than expectations of
+0.4% m/m and -3.4% y/y with the +0.7% m/m gain the
largest monthly increase in 3-3/4 years.
Key U.S. news today
includes: (1) Dallas Fed President Robert Kaplan speaks on economic conditions
and implications for monetary policy at an Official Monetary and Financial
Institutions Forum City Lecture in Beijing, China, (2) Jun personal spending
(expected +0.3%, May +0.4%) and Jun personal income (expected +0.3%, May
+0.2%), (3) Jun PCE deflator (expected +0.2% m/m and +0.9% y/y, May +0.2% m/m
and +0.9% y/y) and Jun core PCE deflator (expected +0.1% m/m and +1.6% y/y, May
+0.2% m/m and +1.6% y/y), (4) Jul New York ISM (May 45.4), (5) Jul total
vehicle sales (expected 17.30 million, Jun 16.61 million).
There are 40 of the
S&P 500 companies that report earnings today with notable reports
including: Procter & Gamble (consensus $0.75), Emerson Electric (0.84),
Royal Caribbean Cruises (1.02), Martin Marietta Materials (2.02), Seagate
Technology (0.60), Aetna (2.12), Harris Corp (1.05), Pfizer (0.62), CVS Health
(1.30), ADM (0.45), Cummins (2.16), Devon Energy (-0.20), Electronic Arts
(-0.02), Verisk Analytics (0.76).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to
price today: none.
Equity conferences this
week include: Wells Fargo Services Conference on Wed-Thu. The Total Investment & Insurance
Solutions
Buffalo Wild Wings (BWLD +1.21%) was downgraded to 'Hold' from
'Buy' at Maxim Group.
Frontier Communications
(FTR -2.31%) slid over 3% in pre-market
trading after it reported Q2 adjusted Ebitda of $1.03 billion, less than
consensus of $1.05 billion.
Charter Communications (CHTR +0.48%) was rated a new 'Buy' at Bank
of America/Merrill Lynch with a price target of $300.
Williams Cos. (WMB -6.01%) rallied over 4% in after-hours
trading after the company cut its dividend to 20 cents a share from 64 cents
and said it will reinvest $1.7 billion into Williams Partners through 2017 with
the cash saved from the lower dividends.
Texas Roadhouse (TXRH +1.02%) dropped over 5% in after-hours
trading after it reported Q2 franchise comps of +2.6%, below consensus of
+3.7%.
FormFactor (FORM +0.53%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from
'Hold' at Stifel with a 12-month target price of $13.
Tenet Healthcare (THC -5.55%) lost over 2% in after-hours
trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 38 cents, weaker than consensus of
51 cents.
Chegg (CHGG +2.78%) climbed nearly 4% in
after-hours trading after it reported Q2 adjusted EPS of 5 cents, better than
consensus of 3 cents.
Trex Co. (TREX +0.82%) gained nearly 3% in
after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of 79 cents, higher than consensus
of 71 cents.
Atwood Oceanics (ATW -3.65%) rose 3% in after-hours trading
after it reported Q3 revenue of $227.8 million, above consensus of $225.2
million.
T2 Biosystems (TTOO +24.38%) slumped 9% in after-hours
trading after it reported an Q2 EPS loss of -58 cents, wider than consensus of -56 cents
Amkor Technology (AMKR +2.54%) jumped 11% in after-hours
trading after it reported an unexpected Q2 EPS profit of 2 cents, better than
consensus for an -8 cent loss, and said it sees Q3 sales
of $1.01 billion-$1.09 billion, higher than consensus of $936 million.
Cognex (CGNX +0.33%) surged 15% in after-hours
trading after it reported Q2 EPS continuing operations of 50 cents, higher than
consensus of 44 cents, and then said it sees Q3 revenue of $142 million-$147
million, above consensus of $127.6 million. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Sep E-mini S&Ps (ESU16 -0.23%) this morning are down -3.25 points (-0.15%). Monday's closes:
S&P 500 -0.13%, Dow Jones -0.15%, Nasdaq +0.55%. The S&P 500
on Monday retreated from a new all-time high and closed lower on the -0.6 point
decline in the U.S. Jul ISM manufacturing index to 52.6 (weaker than
expectations of -0.2 to 53.0) and on the sell-off in energy
producers caused by the -3.7% drop in crude oil prices to a new
3-1/2 month low.
Sep 10-year T-notes (ZNU16 -0.34%) this morning are down -14 ticks.
Monday's closes: TYU6 -8.00, FVU6 -2.50. Sep T-notes on Monday closed lower on
hawkish comments from New York Fed President Dudley who said investors
"appear to be too complacent" on interest rates" and "it is
premature” to rule out Fed rate hikes this year.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.29%) is down -0.285 (-0.30%) at a 4-week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD)
is up +0.0029 (+0.26%) at a 1-1/4 month high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY)
is down -0.64 (-0.63%) at a 3-week low. Monday's
closes: Dollar index +0.183 (+0.195%), EUR/USD -0.0011 (-0.10%), USD/JPY +0.33 (+0.32%). The
dollar index on Monday closed higher on hawkish comments from New York Fed
President Dudley who said "it is premature to rule out further monetary
policy tightening this year." USD/JPY saw strength ahead of expectations
that Japanese Prime Minister Abe on Tuesday will unveil the details of his 28
trillion-yen ($273 billion) fiscal stimulus package.
Sep WTI crude oil (CLU16 +1.45%) this morning is up +50 cents
(+1.25%) and Sep gasoline (RBU16 +1.69%)
is up +0.0227 (+1.74%). Monday's closes: CLU6 -1.54 (-3.70%), RBU6 -0.0158 (-1.20%). Sep crude oil and gasoline on Monday closed lower with Sep crude at a 3-1/2 month low on the stronger dollar and on global energy demand concerns after the U.S. Jul ISM manufacturing PMI and the China Jul manufacturing PMI were both weaker-than-expected. There was also negative carryover from last Friday's Baker Hughes report that U.S. active oil rigs increased for a fifth straight week.The Total Investment & Insurance Sol
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