Friday, 16 September 2016

Weekly Market Report: Nifty Sensex may head higher-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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16 September 2016

I  had mentioned in last weeks closing report that the Nifty and Sensex were highly overbought. On Monday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a sharp correction to close more than 1.5% lower than last weeks close. Post the market holiday on Tuesday, the bulls struggled to take full control. Despite being in the black over three consecutive days, the indices were not able to recover from Monday’s losses. The Nifty ended the week 0.98% lower at 8,779 as compared to 8,866 as on last Friday’s close. The trends of the major indices in the course of the weeks trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Market Report (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
On Monday, the increased possibility of a US rate hike and a rout in Asian and European equities dragged the Indian markets down, as heavy selling pressure was witnessed in automobile, banking and capital goods stocks. The BSE market breadth was skewed in favour of the bears -- with 2,033 declines and 688 advances. On the NSE, on Monday there were 186 advances, 1,251 declines and 53 unchanged. Data on the consumer price index released on Monday by the Central Statistics Office showed that the annual retail inflation eased by 100 basis points to 5.05% in August. With inflation easing, there is reduced pressure on aggregate demand and corporate earnings. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

India's direct tax collection was up by 15.03% to Rs1.89 lakh crore while the indirect tax collection jumped by 27.5% to Rs3.36 lakh crore during the April to August period this year, an official statement said on Monday. On indirect tax collection, the Finance Ministry statement said, "The figures for indirect tax collections (central excise, service tax and customs) up to August 2016 show that net revenue collections are at Rs3.36 lakh crore which is 27.5% more than the net collections for the corresponding period last year." The collection up to August 2016 indicates that 43.2% of the annual budget target of indirect taxes has been achieved, it said. The exchanges were closed on Tuesday on account of Eid.

On Wednesday, Indian equities market traded flat during the mid-afternoon trade session. Negative global cues, coupled with slide in factory output data for July and profit booking dented investors' sentiments. However, the BSE market breadth was tilted in favour of the bulls -- with 1,764 advances and 947 declines and 198 unchanged. On the NSE, on Monday, there were 1006 advances, 458 declines and 57 unchanged. India's annual rate of inflation based on wholesale prices moved up to 3.74% in August, from 3.55% in the month before, as per data released on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On Thursday, both the key indices closed on a flat-to-positive note after a volatile trading session. The benchmark indices opened in the green, despite negative global cues. The Nifty edged up by 15.95 points or 0.18% to 8,742.55 points. The Sensex closed at 28,412.89 points -- up 40.66 points or 0.14%. The BSE market breadth was slightly tilted in favour of the bulls -- with 1,466 advances and 1,271 declines. Investors were cautious ahead of Bank of England's (BoE) monetary policy review. Besides, increased possibility of a US rate hike kept the global and local markets subdued. The US Fed's FOMC (Federal Open Market Committee) will meet on September 20-21. A hike in US interest rates can potentially lead FPIs (Foreign Portfolio Investors) away from emerging markets such as India. It is also expected to dent business margins as access to capital from the US will become expensive. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


On Friday, the benchmark indices opened in the black and managed to stay above water throughout the day’s trade. The benchmark indices opened in the green on the back of positive Asian markets. Though the bears tried to pull the indices lower post noon, the bulls remained in control. The Nifty closed at 8,779.85 with a gain of 0.43%, while the Sensex closed the week at 28,599.03. up 0.66% over Thursday’s close. The BSE market breadth was marginally tilted in favour of the bears -- with 1,418 declines and 1,275 advances. Good macro-economic data on foreign trade and positive Asian markets aided in the initial rally. However, a correction in the key European indices and the upcoming rate-setting meeting of the US Fed, capped gains.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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