Tuesday, 15 November 2016

Demonetization is like capital punishment for the real estate sector: Report -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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15 November 2016
 
Realestate (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
India woke up to a new beginning that will soon make the black shadows lurking around its economic well-being a thing of the past. A landmark decision by the Government of India to demonetise Rs500 and Rs1,000 notes is sure to be emblazoned in the annals of modern India's history. This bold move is nothing but a sort of capital punishment meted out to all these malpractices, especially in the real estate segment, says a research note. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Realestate1(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

In the report, Liases Foras Real Estate Ratings and Research Pvt Ltd, says, "Land has always been one of the favourite assets to park black money. In the absence of black money, hoarders will not find it appealing to purchase land and demand will be dented. As a result, landowners are likely to be more willing to negotiate prices. We anticipate land prices to witness around 25%-30% price correction. Tier II and Tier III markets and perhaps some Tier I markets, where plotted development is rampant, are likely to be most affected by this."

According to the non-brokerage research centric firm without a large amount of cash at their disposal, builders will be left with no option but to reduce prices and use sales proceeds for completion of construction. This, it feels may impact the pace of construction to some extent, but price points are likely to become more productive over the medium to long-term. Luxury housing is going to take a big time hit as large transactions were happening in black. Developers catering to this segment are sure to face liquidity pressure, it added. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Real estate as a sector has been one of the major dumping grounds for unaccounted money and counterfeit currency, also known as black money in common parlance. Whether it is procuring land parcels, obtaining clearances and approvals from Government authorities or even purchasing regular construction material, black money and corruption has flown through the Indian realty seamlessly. As a common practice, even buyers had been paying a substantial black component while purchasing properties in the primary as well as secondary markets. Black money led to speculative practices, which led to artificially inflated prices. An overheated real estate sector created a vicious cycle and brought inefficiencies in its wake. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

As per Liases Foras estimates, secondary or resale market is expected to be worst hit because a lot of transactions in that segment happen in cash with sellers wanting to avoid long-term capital gains (LTCG) tax. Small and unorganised developers and other fly-by-night builders may just be reduced to a miniscule percentage as non-compliance has always been an issue there, it added.

Concisely Liases Foras says, this (demonetisation) is the quintessential surgical strike - sharp and perfectly timed. It says, "Not only will it (demonetisation) usher in an era of efficient pricing in real estate and increase involvement of end-users, it will also tackle deep-rooted issues of red-tape on the approval front. Developers will face reduced delays in securing approvals and this will result in faster completion of construction in the long-term. This is a bold step in eradicating black money from the financial system and if it achieves the desired outcome, real estate will be the biggest beneficiary. Ultimately, real estate is one such sector that truly reflects the face of economy. The more transparent and strong an economy is, the better it augurs for the health of the real estate market." 


"When the initial jitters and knee-jerk reactions fade away, a bigger and brighter picture of the Indian economy will gradually emerge in all its glory. An economy devoid of black money and corruption has been every Indian's dream, and we hope to experience it for real," Liases Foras concluded.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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