Wednesday, 23 November 2016

Nifty, Sensex continue to move upward – Wednesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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23 November 2016

I had mentioned in Tuesday’s closing report that Nifty and Sensex, which ended on positive note would rise a bit on Wednesday. Indian shares extended gains for a second day on Wednesday led by a gauge of capital goods companies, which snapped its biggest losing streak since January. The S&P BSE Sensex inched marginally to 26,051 while the NSE Nifty increased to 8,033. The market breadth was firmly in favour of the buyers at 1,243 advances, 371 declines and 269 stocks remaining unchanged. The major indices of the Indian stock markets ended positive on Wednesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Indian currency fell 0.3% to 68.5 against the dollar, its lowest level since February. According to Deutsche Bank, there is a case for further rupee depreciation despite the constructive balance of payments position of India. In fact, the bank said the rupee could fall to Rs70 versus the dollar by December-end.

Industrial metals traded near a one-year high amid optimism that a recovery in global demand is underway. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The rupee’s slide toward a record low, amid $2.8 billion in outflows from Indian stocks and bonds, is prompting speculation the central bank will step up intervention to stem losses.

With the US Federal Reserve interest-rate increase next month all but a certainty for bond traders, the rupee has slumped 2.6% in November, the most in 15 months. At 68.6 per dollar, the Indian currency is within 0.4% of the unprecedented 68.8 reached in 2013. 

The RBI has been supplying dollars almost on a daily basis. However, there are outflows from the equity and debt markets that are putting pressure on the rupee, along with the dollar strength. 

The bulls managed to push the 50-share benchmark above the crucial 8,000 mark. The Nifty50 traded significantly lower than its opening price for most part of the session, but managed to recoup the losses and closed above the opening level. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions 

After starting on a positive note, the NSE benchmark witnessed selling pressure in afternoon trade, which took the index below its key support level at 8,000 to hit an intraday low of 7,973. But the bulls managed to push the index higher to 8,033, up 31 points from its previous close of 8,002. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

A positive finish on Wednesday marks the first back-to-back gain for Indian stock markets since the demonetization on 9 November 2016. However, traders expect sentiment to remain weak given continued worries about the economic impact from Prime Minister Narendra Modi's action, with volatility expected ahead of the expiry of derivatives on Thursday.

"The rollover ahead of the expiry is 30% as of now, which is significantly lower than the 50-60% percent levels seen in the last three months. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The US dollar steadied near a recent peak on Wednesday, taking a breather ahead of the US Thanksgiving holiday after surging on expectations that a Donald Trump administration will boost growth and inflation, pushing up US interest rates.

Investors are betting the dollar will be strengthened by president-elect Trump's plans for fiscal stimulus, which may drive the Federal Reserve to raise interest rates faster than had been anticipated because of increased inflation and for infrastructure spending and the repatriation of profits earned overseas.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


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