Friday, 25 November 2016

Nifty, Sensex headed higher – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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25 November 2016

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex were likely to remain under pressure. The major indices of the Indian stock markets showed a lot of volatility and closed with small gains for the week. On Monday, the markets opened the week with a loss of 1.80% showing weakness and closed the week on Friday with a gain of 1.87% showing strength. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Weekend Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The Indian equity markets plunged to their lowest levels in the last six months on Monday with the benchmark Sensex receding below the 26,000-point mark and the NSE Nifty crashing below the 8,000 level. Besides, political bickering over the demonetisation move, depreciation in rupee, continuous outflow of foreign funds and impasse between the central and state governments on the contours of the Goods and Services Tax (GST) framework depressed the buying sentiments.

The global and domestic investors were jittery on the prospects of a US rate hike which can potentially lead foreign portfolio investors (FPI) and funds away from emerging markets such as India. It will also dent the business margins of corporate sector, as access to capital from the US will become more expensive. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Gold crawled higher in Asian trade on Monday, snapping a 3-session losing streak, helped by physical buying after the metal slid to a 5.5 month low on Friday. Bullion has also been pressured by talk of an interest rate hike in December by the Federal Reserve.

Indian shares on Tuesday bounced back from six-month lows hit in the previous session, led by IT (information technology) and auto stocks, with sentiment turning positive as Asian shares rallied after all three major U.S. stock indexes hit record highs. Markets made an attempt to regain the crucial psychological level of 8,000 today and closed just 2 points above at 8,002.30.
IT, banking, pharma, auto, oil-gas, textile and aviation stocks traded firm on buying support. Media-entertainment, FMCG and power stocks traded with mixed sentiments due to short covering, while cement stocks traded firm on buying support.

Investors betting that Donald Trump will roll back regulations and taxes while pumping money into infrastructure projects drove the Russell 2000 index of small-capitalization stocks to a record with its 12th straight session of gains, its longest winning streak since June 2003. The index has risen 11% since Election Day, outpacing the S&P 500’s 2.7% climb. The Indian rupee weakened by 10 paise to 68.26 against a US dollar from its previous close of 68.16 to a greenback. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian shares extended gains for a second day on Wednesday led by a gauge of capital goods companies, which snapped its biggest losing streak since January. The Indian currency fell 0.3% to 68.5 against the dollar, its lowest level since February. The rupee’s slide toward a record low, amid $2.8 billion in outflows from Indian stocks and bonds, prompted speculation the central bank will step up intervention to stem losses.

Equity benchmarks snapped their two-day winning streak on Thursday with the Nifty closing below the 8,000 level amid consistent weakness in rupee and expiry of November derivative contracts. Continued disruption in Rajya Sabha by opposition parties over demonetisation also dented market sentiment. Pandemonium over the demonetisation decision continued.

The rupee fell to its record low level of 68.862 during the intraday trade on Thursday on account of buying of the US dollar by the banks and importers. The domestic currency has fallen around 4% since the demonetisation of higher currency notes by Prime Minister Narendra Modi on November 8. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


On Friday, the key Indian indices provisionally closed the day's trade with gains of more than 1.5% each, as buying was witnessed in IT, healthcare and banking stocks. Hong Kong stocks notched up their biggest weekly gain in nearly two months, supported by a rally in the Chinese financial sector driven by a rebound in insurance stocks.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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