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December 2016
OVERNIGHT MARKETS AND NEWS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ16 +0.10%) are up +0.02% and
European stocks are up +0.30% at an 11-month high as the markets expect the ECB
later today to announce an extension of its QE program. Government bond prices
fell and EUR/USD (^EURUSD) rose to a 3-week high on speculation the ECB may also
announce a slower pace of asset purchases and that this will be the last
extension of QE before the ECB starts to taper its bond buying.
The weaker dollar has boosted crude oil prices with Jan WTI
crude (CLF17 +0.86%) up +0.78%, which has also lifted energy producing stocks.
Stock markets around the world also rose on signs of economic strength in China
after China Nov exports unexpectedly rose for the first time in 8 months and
after China imports posted their largest increase in 2 years.
Asian stocks settled mostly higher: Japan +1.45%, Hong Kong
+0.27%, China -0.21%, Taiwan +1.21%, Australia +1.20%, Singapore -0.03%, South
Korea +2.21%, India +1.74%. Japan's Nikkei Stock Index climbed to an 11-month
high as strength in Chinese Nov imports boosted exporter stocks.
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.34%) is down -0.28% at a 3-week
low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.31% at a 3-week high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down
-0.29%. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Mar 10-year T-note prices (ZNH17 -0.18%) are down -7 ticks.
China Nov exports unexpectedly rose +0.1% y/y, stronger than
expectations of -5.0% y/y and the first increase in 8 months. Nov imports
unexpectedly rose +6.7% y/y, stronger than expectations of -1.9% y/y and the
biggest increase in 2 years.
U.S. STOCK PREVIEW
Key U.S. news today includes: (1) weekly initial
unemployment claims (expected -13,000 to 255,000, previous +17,000 to 268,000)
and continuing claims (expected -33,000 to 2.048 million, previous +38,000 to
2.081 million), (2) USDA weekly Export Sales. The Total Investment &
Insurance Solutions
Russell 1000 earnings reports today include: Toro (consensus
$0.22), Cooper Cos (2.25), Broadcom (3.36).
U.S. IPO's scheduled to price today: Ichor Holdings (ICHR),
Athene Holding (ATH).
Equity conferences during the remainder of this week
include: Citi Global Health Care Conference on Wed-Thu, Barclays Global
Technology, Media and Telecommunications Conference on Wed-Thu, Bernstein
Consumer Summit on Wed-Thu, Capital One Southcoast Energy Conference on
Wed-Thu, ACI European Biopolymer Summit on Thu.
OVERNIGHT U.S. STOCK MOVERS
L-3 Communications Holdings (LLL +1.96%) was downgraded to
'Neutral' from 'Buy' at Bank of America/Merrill Lynch with a price target of
$170.
Priceline.com (PCLN +1.48%) was rated a new 'Buy' at CLSA
with a price target of $1,900.
Tailored Brands (TLRD +3.39%) was upgraded to 'Buy' from
'Neutral' at Mizuho Securities with a 12-month target price of $25. The Total
Investment & Insurance Solutions
Lululemon Athletica (LULU +4.54%) surged 13% in after-hours
trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 47 cents, higher than consensus of
43 cents, and then said its board approved up to $100 million in stock
repurchases.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Holdings (OLLI +1.11%) fell over 2%
in after-hours trading after it reported Q3 comparable store sales rose +1.8%,
below consensus of +2.1%.
Corning (GLW +2.46%) gained over 1% in after-hours trading
after it announced a new $4 billion share repurchase program.
United Natural Foods (UNFI +0.88%) slid over 2% in
after-hours trading after it reported Q1 EPS of 58 cents, below consensus of 62
cents.
Verint Systems (VRNT +0.26%) tumbled over 12% in after-hours
trading after it reported Q3 adjusted EPS of 59 cents, weaker than consensus of
70 cents, and then lowered guidance on fiscal 2017 adjusted EPS to $2.50, below
a September 7 view of $2.85.
Comtech (CMTL +6.43%) dropped 7% in after-hours trading
after it reported Q1 revenue of $135.8 million, below consensus of $139.2
million, and then cut its quarterly dividend to 10 cents a share from 30 cents
a share.
H&R Block (HRB +2.86%) jumped nearly 6% in after-hours
trading after it reported Q2 revenue of $131.3 million, higher than consensus
of $127 million.
Casey's General Stores (CASY +0.93%) fell over 2% in
after-hours trading after it reported Q2 EPS of $1.44, below consensus of
$1.57. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Voyager Therapeutics (VYGR -1.93%) surged over 30% in
after-hours trading after it announced positive results on its phase 1b trial
of its VY-AADC01 gene therapy that showed improved measures of motor function
in in patients with advanced Parkinson's disease.
MARKET COMMENTS
Dec E-mini S&Ps (ESZ16 +0.10%) this morning are up +0.50
of a point (+0.02%). Wednesday's closes: S&P 500 +1.32%, Dow Jones +1.55%,
Nasdaq +1.32%. The S&P 500 on Wednesday pushed up to a new record high and
closed higher on carry-over support from a rally in European stocks to a 7-1/4
month high on expectations that the ECB on Thursday will extend QE past March
2017. Stocks were also boosted by reduced interest rate concerns as the 10-year
T-note yield fell -4 bp. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Mar 10-year T-notes (ZNH17 -0.18%) this morning are down -7
ticks. Wednesday's closes: TYH7 +11.00, FVH7 +7.00. Mar 10-year T-notes on
Wednesday closed higher on the -2.28% slide in crude oil prices, which undercut
inflation expectations. T-notes were also boosted by carry-over support from a
rally in German bunds ahead of Thursday's ECB meeting. The Total Investment
& Insurance Solutions
The dollar index (DXY00 -0.34%) this morning is down -0.284
(-0.28%) at a 3-week low. EUR/USD (^EURUSD) is up +0.0033 (+0.31%) at a 3-week
high. USD/JPY (^USDJPY) is down -0.33 (-0.29%). Wednesday's closes: Dollar
index -0.260 (-0.26%), EUR/USD +0.0035 (+0.33%), USD/JPY -0.25 (-0.22%). The
dollar index on Wednesday closed lower on a -4 bp decline in the 10-year T-note
yield, which reduced the dollar's interest rate differentials. In addition,
there was strength in EUR/USD on short-covering ahead of Thursday's ECB
meeting.
Jan WTI crude oil prices (CLF17 +0.86%) this morning are up
+39 cents (+0.78%) and Jan gasoline (RBF17 -0.20%) is -0.0038 (-0.25%).
Wednesday's closes: Jan crude -1.16 (-2.28%), Jan gasoline -0.0291 (-1.89%).
Jan crude oil and gasoline on Wednesday closed lower on the +3.783 million bbl
increase in crude stockpiles at Cushing to a 5-1/2 month high and on the +3.425
million bbl increase in weekly EIA gasoline supplies, a larger increase than
expectations of +1.6 million bbl.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
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