Tuesday, 20 December 2016

Nifty, Sensex still weak but may try to bounce back – Tuesday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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20 December 2016

I had mentioned in Monday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might head lower. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Tuesday and closed with small losses of around 0.25%. Trading was listless as indicated by the low NSE turnover of 72.62 crore. The trends of the major indices in the course of Tuesday’s trading are given in the table below:

 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Weak global indices, coupled with foreign fund outflows and rupee depreciation, dragged the Indian equity markets lower on Tuesday. The key indices closed on a flat note -- marginally in the red, as selling pressure was witnessed in banking, healthcare and automobile stocks. The BSE market breadth was skewed in favour of the bears -- with 1,777 declines and 832 advances. On the NSE there were 427 advances, 1,180 declines and 74 unchanged. 

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Monday said the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has sufficient stock of cash, which would last way beyond December 30. "RBI has adequate cash, not only to last till December 30, but well beyond that," said Jaitley while briefing the media. On the question of being less prepared, Jaitley said: "There was complete preparation. Not even for a single day did the RBI not release adequate currency stock through the banking system." This is important in the face of the widespread belief that specific sectors like the real estate sector have suffered a downturn after the demonetisation policy was announced.

US stocks ended higher after wavering in a tight range as investors digested a speech from Federal Reserve Chair Janet Yellen. Yellen said at a University of Baltimore commencement ceremony on Monday that the US has the strongest jobs market in nearly a decade, and there are indications wage growth is picking up. This could lead to a gentle migration of funds of foreign institutional investors from India to USA. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The Fed also released its updated economic projections, which indicated that the central bank forecasts three rate hikes next year, while in its September projections, Fed officials expected only two rate hikes in 2017. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Finance Minister Arun Jaitley on Tuesday indicated that no populist measures will come through for the railways when its budget will be merged with the general budget from the next fiscal. "Around the world that organisation is successful which follows a financial model wherein consumers pay for the services they use," Jaitley said here at the national conference on Accounting Reforms in Indian Railways organised by Confederation of Indian Industry (CII). He said populism required that consumers do not need to pay for the services they use but these were not the principles "on which the largest operator of transport can work". "We aim for a creation of Railways as a service organisation which is commercially able to sustain itself and also provide world class quality and infrastructure." These policy measures from the government could lead to higher inflation and higher interest rates, thus weakening the indices in the stock markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Pharma major Cipla on Monday said that it plans to raise Rs 4,000 crore through the issue of various securities, subject to regulatory approvals. The decision to raise the targeted fund was taken by its Board of Directors, the pharma major said in a regulatory filing to the BSE. The company disclosed that it plans to raise "funds up to Rs 2,000 crores by issue of equity shares or American depository receipts or global depository receipts or foreign currency convertible bonds or other securities/ financial instruments, whether denominated in Indian rupee and/or foreign currency(ies), though a public issue or a private placement in accordance with the provisions of the applicable law".  It plans to raise another Rs 2,000 crore via the issue of non-convertible debentures (NCDs) or bonds. Cipla shares closed at Rs562.00, down 1.13% on the BSE on Tuesday. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The central parity rate of the Chinese currency renminbi, or the yuan, weakened 156 basis points to 6.9468 against the US dollar on Tuesday, according to the China Foreign Exchange Trading System. This was also a factor in the weak cues received from Asian markets in Tuesday’s trading in the Indian stock markets. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

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