Friday, 31 March 2017

Nifty, Sensex may go sideways – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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31 March 2017

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might give up some gains. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound and made small gains during the week. The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Negative global cues and selling pressure witnessed in metal, automobile, and healthcare stocks subdued the Indian equity markets during the mid-afternoon trade session on Monday. The global markets were spooked as US President Donald Trump's failure to overturn his predecessor Barack Obama's healthcare reforms and increased concerns over his ability to implement economic policies. Following this, the US futures markets and the dollar, as well as the Asian markets, fell to lower levels. The European markets, too, opened broadly negative. There were 676 advances, 997 declines and 74 unchanged. There were 1,135 advances, 1,666 declines and 233 unchanged. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

While the global cues and stock market technicals have been unfavourable leading to losses in Monday’s trading, the news developments through the day on the macroeconomic front have been favourable indicating long term bullish trends.

Public sector banks moved higher in the hope that the government would either announce a new package to deal with its toxic assets or give the bankers more power to force recovery from the borrowers. Global oil prices which were expecting a US growth lead rally also fell even as production cartel talks resumed. The Indian rupee, however, hit an 18-month high as FIIs (foreign institutional investors) inflows continue to rise both in the equity and debt segment. In terms of investments, provisional data with exchanges showed that (FIIs) purchased stocks worth Rs577.88 crore, whereas the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) divested scrip worth Rs594.48 crore. On Tuesday, most IT (information technology) sector stocks traded down due to profit booking at higher levels, while banking sector stocks witnessed good recovery from lower levels in the second half of the session. Pharma, auto, oil-gas, power and telecom sector stocks traded with bearish sentiments throughout the session, whereas textile, media-entertainment and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) sector stocks traded with mixed sentiments. Sector-wise, the S&P BSE metal index plunged by 307.81 points, followed by the oil and gas index, which dipped by 146.25 points, and the healthcare index, which fell by 124.22 points. On the other hand, the S&P BSE consumer durables index surged by 178.13 points, the FMCG index inched up 6.46 points, and the power index was a tad up by 3.03 points.

Indian equity markets traded in the positive territory during the mid-afternoon trade session on Wednesday as positive global cues, along with a strong rupee, buoyed investors' sentiments. Besides, the market sentiments were lifted as Finance Minister Arun Jaitley moved the Central Goods and Services Tax (CGST) Bill, 2017, along with three other GST Bills for consideration of and passage by the Lok Sabha. However, with the near month March 2017 derivatives contract expiry on Thursday, some caution prevailed. Buying was witnessed in banking, capital goods and consumer durables stocks. There were 702 advances, 964 declines and 94 unchanged. 

Positive global cues and declining USD/INR supported the bullish sentiment. FMCG (fast moving consumer goods), power, cement and telecom sector stocks witnessed good strength, while IT (information technology), pharma, auto, oil-gas, textile and media-entertainment stocks traded with mixed sentiments. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Indian equity markets on Thursday closed the day's trade in the green for the third consecutive session, although volatility was witnessed on the day of the March 2017 derivatives contract expiry. The key indices closed in the green on the back of a strong rupee and buying witnessed in consumer durables, banking and capital goods stocks. On expiry of March 2017 series contracts in the futures and options (F&O) segment, healthy roll-overs were witnessed to April 2017 series, which uplifted investors' sentiments. Besides, the passage of the Goods and Services Tax Bill 2017 -- a major tax reform in the country, continuous inflow of funds and healthy buying in consumer durables, banking and capital goods sectors aided the key indices to hold on to their gains. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

March derivative series rollover pulled up the market which already had favourable fundamental push behind it. Fund flows continued to be strong despite expectation that there could be withdrawal on account of the taxation treaty signed by the Indian government with Singapore and Mauritius. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Despite a strong rupee attracting funds into the domestic markets, the upward movement of key Indian equity indices was hampered by negative global cues and they closed on a flat note on Friday. Selling pressure was witnessed in banking and IT (information technology) stocks. The BSE market breadth was bullish -- with 1,613 advances and 1,131 declines.  There were 938 advances, 698 declines and 86 unchanged. The market is expected to remain on a flat-to-small upward trajectory in the next one week.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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