Tuesday, 25 April 2017

SBI Index declines below 50 in April 2017 indicating slowdown-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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25 April 2017
 
S.B.I (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The yearly State Bank of India (SBI) Composite Index, an indicator for tracking India’s manufacturing activity, has slipped below 50 in April 2017 of 49.3 (low decline), compared to last month’s revised index of 50.3 (low growth). The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
S.B.I 1 (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
According to the researchers at SBI, the Index of Industrial Production (IIP) may be in the positive territory in April 2017, mainly due to base effect. 
 
S.B.I (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
"Even as Index numbers are showing gradual traction, the corporate results outlook for fourth quarter of FY2017 is expected to exhibit improvement in topline and bottomline, unlike in the recent past, where improvement in bottomline was positive while topline growth was either tepid or negative. We expect topline growth ranging from 10-12% while bottomline may surpass topline growth," SBI says in a report. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

According to the report, performance is expected to be varying for different sectors with FMCG expected to do better. It says, "Banks are expected to do better on net earnings levels but with low credit off take, the year is going to be a challenge on the margin front. The credit growth has been anaemic and was at 4.36% for the fortnight ended 24 March 2017, the lowest in many years. With banks flushed with funds, we expect to see the spreads coming under pressure. With further tightening of stressed assets provisions as per new norms from Reserve Bank of India (RB) we see the post proviso profit numbers a challenge. Automobile, Capital Goods, Metals, Oil and Gas are expected to declare double-digit revenue growth. In terms of profit after tax we may see sectors such as pharma, metals, capital goods come out with double digit growth."

Some of the best performers from the results announced so far include Hindustan Zinc (topline growth) as can be seen from the alongside table. Goa Carbon was the best performer in the bottomline. HDFC Bank, Yes Bank and IndusInd Bank also exhibited better performance. Overall, the report says, some of the well governed corporates have weathered the demonetisation storm. These companies have been the first to declare the results while some of them may yet assess the impact of demonetization.


"With the capacity utilization of the Indian industry still hovering in the seventies, we believe with Government push for Infrastructure, Housing etc. and better capacity utilization, Corporate earnings may set for better numbers in FY18," the report from SBI concluded.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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