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6
June 2017
India
will receive 98 per cent rainfall during this monsoon between June to September
with an error estimate of four per cent, the India Meteorological Department
(IMD) said on Tuesday.
Earlier
on April 18, based on then available weather patterns the IMD had forecast a
normal monsoon with average rainfall of around 96 per cent on the whole, with
an error estimation of plus-minus five per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
"The
final forecast based on different models suggests that the season's rainfall
for the country as a whole is likely to be 98 per cent of the long period
average (LPA)," M. Mahapatrta, IMD scientist, told. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
The
IMD in its forecast said that the long period average rainfall over the country
as a whole for the period 1951-2000 was 89 cm. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Individual
prediction based over broad geographical areas suggest that central India, that
includes Odisha, Madhya Pradesh, Gujarat, Maharashtra and Chhattisgarh, will
get 100 per cent of the LPA. The Total
Investment & Insurance Solutions
"The
season rainfall is likely to be 96 per cent of LPA over northwest India, 100
per cent of LPA over central India, 99 per cent of LPA over south peninsula,
and 96 per cent of LPA over northeast India, all with a model error of
plus-minus eight per cent," the IMD said.
Under
northwest India fall Uttar Pradesh, Uttarakhand, Haryana, Delhi, Punjab,
Himachal Pradesh, Jammu and Kashmir and Rajashtan.
Under
south peninsula fall Andhra Pradesh, Telangana, Tamil Nadu, Karnataka, Kerala,
the Lakshadweep, and the Andaman and Nicobar Islands.
Under
northeast India come Assam, Manipur, Meghalaya, Mizoram, Nagaland and Arunachal
Pradesh. The Total Investment & Insurance
Solutions
"Monthly
rainfall over the country as a whole is likely to be 96 per cent of its LPA
during July and 99 per cent during August both with a model error of plus-minus
nine per cent," the IMD said. The
Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
However,
the experimental forecast based on one of the models -- Monsoon Mission Coupled
Forecasting System (MMCFS)-- suggests that the monsoon rainfall during 2017
would average 100 per cent over the country as a whole and was likely to be
with an error estimation of plus-minus five per cent. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
According
to the weatherman, below 90 per cent rainfall is considered deficient and at 95
per cent, it is considered below normal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
A
figure between 96 and 104 per cent of rainfall indicates a normal monsoon and
between 105 and 110 per cent above normal. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
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