Thursday, 21 December 2017

Fiscal deficit of FY17 only marginally higher than government estimates-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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21 December  2017
 
Heritagegold (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The fiscal deficit for FY17 was merely Rs3,525 crore more than what the government has given in its revised estimates in the union budget for FY17-18. Hence, fiscal deficit as % of GDP in FY17 is 3.54% compared to 3.52% estimated by the government in the budget, says  the financial audit report of the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG) of Union Government, authored by Dr. Soumya Kanti Ghosh, Group Chief Economic Adviser, State Bank of India (SBI).

“We did analyse the fiscal deficit numbers provided by CAG and the government for the past 15 years. Before FY05-06 the audited figures always remained within the budgeted figure. This trend reversed after FY05-06 and the differences between both numbers bulged significantly. The trend was correcting since FY11-12 but for FY15-16. For FY16-17, the CAG numbers and budget (revised) numbers are not much different. This indicates that there has been a significant improvement in fiscal architecture in addition to the fiscal consolidation that the government has been doing,” notes the report.


In the earlier years (particularly in FY07-09), the divergence between CAG figures and the budget is due to the lack of transparency in the disclosure of receipts and expenditures. For example, during any year, expenditures that needed to fall under major heads were classified under minor heads. Another aspect of opaqueness is the high degree of aggregation. This aspect has been brought forth by the 12th Finance Commission which has specified eight sets of separate statements along with the budget.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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