Thursday, 6 April 2017

Nifty, Sensex May Try to Rally - Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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6 April 2017

Snapping the two-day winning streak, the domestic equity market ended in the red on Thursday after the minutes of the US Fed’s last policy review induced weakness in global equities and back home. The market recovered a bit after Reserve Bank of India kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.25%. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
 
Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
The S&P BSE Sensex closed the session 47 points lower at 29,927 with ITC, ICICI Bank and SBI contributing most to the fall. The headline index, which opened at 29,946 against the previous day’s close of 29,974, hit an intraday high and low of 29,954 and 29,817, respectively. 

In the midcap space, the S&P BSE Midcap index closed 0.15% higher at 14,276 with Jindal Steel, Concor and M&M Finance being the major contributors in the surge in the index. The broader Nifty50 of the National Stock Exchange (NSE) ended at 9,261, down 3.20 points.

Benchmark indices ended the day on a lower note, but not before staging a recovery from the day’s low post the RBI’s policy announcement. The Street had factored in the central bank’s decision. A rally in real estate stocks could have helped in the recovery.

The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) kept the repo rate unchanged at 6.25% on Thursday, forecast robust 7.4% growth in 2017-18 aided by waning effects of demonetisation, although inflation risks remain in the medium term. The RBI hinted at a looming inflation threat over the next 6-12 months, obliquely leaving the door ajar for an interest rate hike in 2017-18. For 2017-18, inflation is projected to average 4.5% in the first half and 5% in the second half. “Underlying inflation pressures persist, especially in prices of services. Input cost pressures are gradually bringing back pricing power to enterprises as demand conditions improve,” the central bank said flagging weak monsoon, expected rise in government employees’ allowances and goods and services tax (GST) as the primary factors that could knock up prices in the short-term.

The status quo on rates, however, was accompanied by a string of regulatory changes including raising the reverse repo by 25 basis points to 6%, allowing banks to investment in real estate investment trusts (REITs), raising the minimum fund requirements of asset reconstruction companies (ARCs), allowing collateral substitution under repo that will give banks more funds to lend, and proposing the introduction of standing deposit facility (SDF)—another window for banks to borrow. The six member monetary policy committee (MPC), headed by RBI governor Urjit Patel, also reduced the liquidity corridor – the difference between the repo and reverse repo rates or the liquidity adjustment facility (LAF)—to 25 basis points with immediate effect. Likewise, the marginal standing facility (MSF) or the rate at which banks borrow from the RBI during periods of acute liquidity shortage, will stand reduced to 6.5%.

Rate sensitive stocks such as banks, real estate stocks rallied after the Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) decided to keep the policy rates and cash reserve ratio (CRR) unchanged. Real estate stocks rallied after the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) said that it plans to allow banks to invest in REITs and InvITs. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Tata Power said electricity generation from all its plants collectively crossed 51,000 Million Units (MUs) in 2016-17. It also reported significant increase of 15.2% in output, with its total power generation capacity at 10,577 MW from various fuel sources such as thermal, hydroelectric power, renewable energy (wind and solar PV) and waste heat recovery. According to a statement by the company, it also has a significant presence in the clean energy space with a gross installed capacity of 3,141 MW. Toyota Kirloskar Motor is recalling 23,157 units of its sedan Corolla Altis in India, as part of the ongoing recall of 2.9 million vehicles globally for defective air bags. Bharat Forge hit fresh 52-week high, up nearly 3% after sharp jump in North America truck orders. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

On the global front, Wall Street ended lower on Wednesday after a late-afternoon reversal following signals from the Federal Reserve that it could change its bond buying policy this year, quenching a rally sparked by a strong private sector jobs report, said a Reuters report. Stocks in China bucked the trend as they extended gains on Thursday to hit a four-month high as investors continued to chase stocks which could benefit from the government's launch of a massive new economic zone near Beijing. Most of the Asian markets settled lower, as the region nervously watched for market-moving news from the first meeting between US President Donald Trump and his Chinese counterpart Xi Jinping. European stocks opened lower.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:
 
Top Gainer (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below: The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
Asian Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

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