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30
May 2018
GDP
(The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
Moody's
Investors Service report on Wednesday has cut India's GDP growth forecast to
7.3 per cent in 2018, from previous forecast of 7.5 per cent due to higher oil
prices and tighter financial conditions.
"The
Indian economy is in cyclical recovery led by both investment and consumption.
However, higher oil prices and tighter financial conditions will weigh on the
pace of acceleration. We expect GDP growth of about 7.3 per cent in 2018, down
from our previous forecast of 7.5 per cent," the report said.
It,
however, kept growth expectation for 2019 remains unchanged at 7.5 per cent.
Moody's
further said: "On the domestic front, growth should benefit from an
acceleration in rural consumption, supported by higher minimum support prices
and a normal monsoon. The private investment cycle will continue to make a
gradual recovery, as twin balance-sheet issues -- impaired assets at banks and
corporates -- slowly get addressed through deleveraging and the application of
the Insolvency and Bankruptcy Code."
It
said ongoing transition to the new Goods and Service Tax regime could also
weigh on growth somewhat over the next few quarters, which poses some downside
risk to its forecast.
"However,
we expect these issues to moderate over the course of the year," it said.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
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