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10
October 2018
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emerging market (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)
India's debt is lower than the best or
emerging market economies in the world, a top IMF official has said as he
cautioned that the global debt has reached a new record high of USD 182
trillion in 2017. Vitor Gasper, International Monetary Fund(IMF) Director of
Fiscal Affairs Department, said India's debt was substantially less than the
global debt as percentage of world Gross Domestic Product (GDP). In India,
private debt in 2017 was 54.5 per cent of the GDP and the general government
debt was 70.4 per cent of the GDP, a total debt of about 125 of the GDP,
according to the latest IMF figures. In comparison, debt of China was 247 per
cent of the GDP. "So, it (India's debt) is substantially less than the
global debt as percentage of world GDP," Gasper said. India's debt is
below the average of advanced economies and below the average of emerging
market economies, he said. "There is a positive relation between the debt
to GDP ratio and the level of GDP per capita. If you compare around the world
with the best eco
The IMF is very much stressing that global
debt at USD 182 trillion in 2017 is at a new record high, he said. Debt in
advanced economies, since the global financial crisis, has increased quite
substantially while the private sector has been very gradually leveraging, he
added. "If you look at emerging market economies, that includes India, you
see that private debt in the last 10 years has increased quite substantially,
although in the last two years, since the end of 2015, 2016 and 2017, there is
a slowdown in the process of leveraging, but debt is very high and public debt
is a very high as well," Gasper said. In the last few years in India
private debt has declined from almost 60 per cent to 54.5. "So, it's very
stable. So, what you do see is that emerging market economies, which is where
India is, there's a very fast buildup in private debt with a slowdown in the
last two years, But India is basically steady. So, India is not an emerging
market economy where leveraging is progressing fast," Gasper said.
According to Gasper, in emerging market
economies private debt has risen much faster than public 10/10/2018 India's
debt lower than best emerging market economies: IMF
"Take China, for example. Total debt is
247 per cent of the GDP. But the dividing line between what is public and
private debt in China is blurry. This blurriness reflects the very large number
of public units and corporations, the complex layers of government, and
widespread subnational off-budget borrowing," he said. "As a result,
estimates of 2017 public debt vary considerably: the official government debt
figure is 37 per cent of GDP, while the data reported in the latest World
Economic Outlookshow it at 47 per cent of GDP, and the 'augmented' debt
measure, which includes more off budget borrowing by local governments, stands
at 68 per cent of GDP," he said. As China works to compile a full general
government balance sheet, this picture will come into clearer focus, he added.
Gasper said China had substantial government assets, reflecting years of high
infrastructure investment. These assets are larger than its liabilities,
putting net worth — the difference between assets and liabilities — well above
100 per cent of the GDP, the highest among emerging economies, he said.
"This is a significant buffer when compared to total debts of public
corporations, particularly considering that public corporations also have
assets. So, while debt-related risks in China are large, there are also
buffers. Moreover, the government is taking steps to contain risks by reining
in offbudget borrowing and strengthening oversight, resulting in a slowdown in
the buildup of debt," he said.The
Total Investment & Insurance Solutions
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