Thursday, 7 February 2019

Nifty, Sensex May Turn Weak – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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07 February 2019

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex continued to look strong. The major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Thursday and ended flat. On the NSE, there were 1,001 advances, 730 declines and 329 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:

The Indian equity market bounced back into the green, after falling more than 140 points during the late-afternoon trade session on Thursday. The abrupt downfall in the market's trajectory came after both the indices -- S&P BSE Sensex and NSE Nifty50 -- rose on the back of a surprise move by the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) to go for a rate cut. At around 2 p.m., the BSE Sensex traded at 37,100.88 points, higher by 125.65 points or 0.34% from the previous close of 36,975.23 points. It touched an intra-day high of 37,172.18 and a low of 36,915.13. The NSE Nifty50 on the National Stock Exchange traded higher by 36.95 points or 0.33% at 11,101.55, from the previous close of 11,062.45 points. Interest sensitive auto and realty stocks gained around 1%, while the key banking stocks gained 0.50% as a policy rate cut would lead to lower interest rates for loan seekers. 

In the final monetary policy review of the current fiscal, the Reserve Bank of India (RBI) on Thursday lowered its key lending rate for commercial banks to 6.25%.The decision was guided on the basis of an assessment of the evolving macroeconomic situation wherein headline inflation is projected to soften further and the economy's growth impulses had moderated, the RBI said. The central bank was more accommodating, changing its monetary policy stance from "calibrated tightening" to "neutral".  

Along with the lower repo rate, or the RBI's short term lending rate for commercial banks, the central bank's reverse repo rate has been adjusted to 6%, and the marginal standing facility (MSF) rate and the Bank Rate to 6.5%. "Headline inflation is projected to remain soft in the near term reflecting the current low level of inflation and the benign food inflation outlook.  "Beyond the near term, some uncertainties warrant careful monitoring," RBI Governor Shaktikanta Das, who presided over his first monetary policy committee (MPC) meeting said while making the policy review announcement.  "The MPC noted that the output gap has opened up modestly as actual output has inched lower than potential. Investment activity is recovering...but the need is to strengthen private investment activity and buttress private consumption," he said following the meeting that started on Tuesday.  It is vital for the RBI to "act in a timely manner" to support growth, given that inflation continues to remain benign, and in view of the fact that investment demand has decelerated, Das added.  The RBI also revised downwards its consumer price index (CPI), or retail inflation, projection to 2.8% for the ongoing quarter, to 3.2%-3.4% in the first half of the next fiscal and 3.9% in the third quarter of 2019-20, "with risks broadly balanced around the central trajectory". The central bank projected GDP growth to be in the range of 7.2%-7.4% in the first half of the next fiscal beginning April, and at 7.5% in the third quarter "with risks evenly balanced."

Two Reliance Jio's group companies shall soon shift their registered headquarters from Maharashtra to Gujarat pursuant to the outcome of an Extraordinary General Meeting (EGM) held here on Tuesday. Reliance Jio Digital Services Ltd. and the Reliance Jio Messaging Services Ltd. - currently based at Maker Chamber IV, Nariman Point in Mumbai, will go to a new location in Gujarat, the sources explained. An EGM on February 5 passed a Special Resolution to the effect for the two companies, by which they will now apply to the Central government under Section 13 of the Companies Act, 2013.  Reliance Industries shares closed at Rs1,288.00, down 1.70% on the NSE.

Telecom major Vodafone Idea on Wednesday reported a consolidated net loss of Rs5,004.6 crore for the quarter ended December 31, 2018. This was the first full quarter results for Vodafone Idea after the merger of Vodafone India and Idea Cellular completed in August. The company had reported a net loss of Rs4,973.8 crore during the July-September quarter. 

Private airline Jet Airways on Wednesday introduced a staggered framework to reward its domestic guests with substantially lower penalties in exchange for advanced intimation for changes in their bookings including cancellations, changes. The new policy would be implemented from February 7. "As part of the new policy, charges for various changes including those for flight, date, sector, booking class, cabin and others and refund penalties for ticket cancellations at least seven days prior to the date of travel would attract lower penalties compared to those who undertake booking changes within seven days," Jet Airways, said in a statement. "The dynamic penalties will reward guests who plan in advance with substantial savings," it added. Jet Airways India shares closed at Rs237.00, up 0.06% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:

The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Major Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



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