Friday 22 February 2019

Nifty, Sensex Uptrend Still on – Weekly closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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22 February 2019

I had mentioned in last week’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might try to rally. The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied during the week and closed on Friday with losses over last Friday’s close. 

The trends of the major indices in the course of the week’s trading are given in the table below:


On Monday, The major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a correction on Monday. On the NSE, there were 575 advances, 1,145 declines and 359 unchanged.  Sensex and Nifty declined after opening on a flat note on Monday led by selling in auto, IT (information technology) and FMCG (fast moving consumer goods) stocks. On Friday, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) sold shares to the tune of Rs966.43 crore, while the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) bought Rs853.25 crore worth of scrips.


In a setback to Vedanta, the Supreme Court refused to order the re-opening of its Sterlite Copper Smelting plant located in Tamil Nadu as it set aside the National Green Tribunal's (NGT) December 15 order on the grounds of jurisdiction. Setting aside the NGT order on maintainability, a bench of Justice Rohinton Fali Nariman and Justice Vineet Saran asked Vedanta to approach the High Court and since the Thoothukudi plant has been locked up for quite some time, they could urge the High Court Chief Justice for an expeditious hearing and interim relief. 

On Tuesday, the major indices of the Indian stock markets were range-bound on Tuesday and closed with losses over Monday’s close. On the NSE, there were 992 advances, 705 declines and 366 unchanged. Sensex advanced a few points, as it opened higher with key banking and finance sectors gaining. All the sectors on the NSE traded in green, as well, except for IT (information technology), Pharma and Media stocks as the Indian rupee slid against the US dollar on Tuesday. On Monday, foreign institutional investors (FIIs) were net sellers and the domestic institutional investors (DIIs) were net buyers. 

The government decided to give a push to its strategic disinvestment plan within the current fiscal year itself by clearing sale of 100% stake in three special steel producing units of Steel Authority of India Ltd. (SAIL), including Salem Steel and Alloy Steel Plant. Massive turbulence continued to hit the Indian airline sector as even the formidable passenger carrier IndiGo now faces headwinds of pilot shortage leading to a truncated flight schedule and consequently a dive in its stock price.

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Wednesday and closed with gains over Tuesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,117 advances, 674 declines and 103 unchanged. A slight ease in crude oil prices along with value buying aided the benchmark Sensex to snap its longest consecutive sessions fall in the last eight years on Wednesday. Accordingly, the benchmark index closed with handsome gains of over 400 points while the Nifty50 jumped past the 10,700 mark after struggling in the past sessions.

The Supreme Court on Wednesday directed Reliance Communications to pay Rs453 crore to Ericsson India within four weeks failing which its chairman will have to undergo a three-month sentence. A bench of Justice Rohinton Fali Nariman and Justice Vineet Saran directed the court's Registry to give Ericsson Rs118 crore that were earlier deposited by RCOM. The court said that the entire amount that RCOM has to pay to Ericsson is Rs550 crore plus the interest that was generated.

The court also imposed a fine of Rs1 crore each on RCOM, Reliance Telecommunication and Reliance Infratel that would be deposited with the Supreme Court Legal Services Committee (SCLSC).

The major indices of the Indian stock markets rallied on Thursday and closed with gains over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 1,218 advances, 568 declines and 94 unchanged. The Finance Ministry had announced capital infusion of Rs 48,239 crore in the 12 public sector banks on Wednesday, following which PSU Bank Nifty index surged up to 1.6% in today’s trading session. During afternoon, Central Bank of India traded over 7% higher while Union Bank and Punjab National Bank (PNB) surged 4%. Corporation Bank, the biggest recipient of the infusion, gained close to 20%. 

The Employees' Provident Fund Organisation (EPFO) board recommended an interest rate of 8.65% for 2018-19, 10 basis points higher over the previous fiscal. In the financial year 2017-18, the interest rate was 8.55%. This is the first time since 2015-16 that the interest rate has been raised. The Anil Ambani-led Reliance Group's financial services flagship company Reliance Capital on Thursday said it invited its partner Nippon Life Insurance Company to make an open offer for its 42.88% stake in Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management Ltd (RNAM). It is said Reliance Capital can realise about Rs 7,000 crore out of this deal and it would be used to reduce its debt, industry sources said. 

The major indices of the Indian stock markets opened lower on Friday over Thursday’s close and closed flat. On the NSE, there were 1,168 advances, 559 declines and 337 unchanged. High crude oil prices and fears of a rise in core inflation subdued the key Indian equity indices on Friday. According to market observes crude oil at $67 per barrel and caution over a likely rise in core inflation pointed out in the Reserve Bank of India (RBI)'s latest minutes of the monetary policy committee meet kept investors away. 

Government think tank Niti Aayog Vice Chairman Rajiv Kumar on Friday said banks are in a position to pass on interest rate cut benefits to the consumers and the industry. The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) had on February 7 announced a repo rate cut of 25 basis points, and so far State Bank of India (SBI) is the only bank to have followed it with a small rate cut of 5 basis points. "Credit growth has perked up and will increase further, so banks are in a position to pass on the benefits of a rate cut," Kumar said at an event. He said the government had to struggle through NPAs in the banking sector. 

Ratings agency India Ratings and Research (Ind-Ra) has maintained a stable outlook on the auto sector, anticipating improving sales in the sector during the next fiscal over expectations of better liquidity in non-bank financial companies. The 'stable' outlook comes despite subdued sales numbers in the last couple of months. Society of Indian Automobile Manufacturers (SIAM) data suggested a slowdown in the sales of passenger vehicles in the domestic market which declined by 1.87 per cent on a year-on-year basis in January. The comparable figure for December stood at 0.43 per cent.

The rating firm sees an improvement in the liquidity situation of non-bank financial companies, thus it is likely to reflect in the funding availability. However, the growth rate is likely to be moderate, it added. Apart from improved finance availability, increased construction activities and industrial activities will continue to favour CV demand. The agency further said that credit ratings of most of the large players in its sample are set to be unaffected in 2019-20 despite capital expenditure plans in view of the ongoing regulatory changes, development of an electric vehicle platform and continued new product launches.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Weekly Indices (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)



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