Thursday, 25 October 2018

India's April-September fiscal deficit at 5.95 trillion rupees-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutionsfiscal deficit (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


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25 October 2018
 
fiscal deficit (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


India’s April-September fiscal deficit stood at 5.95 trillion rupees ($81.20 billion), or 95.3 percent of the budgeted target for current fiscal year, government data showed on Thursday.

The figure compares to 91.3 percent in the same period a year earlier.
Rising oil prices have been a major drag on India’s import bill in 2018, leading credit rating agencies to question whether the country can meet its fiscal deficit target of 3.3 percent of GDP in the 2018/19 fiscal year.
Global crude prices have fallen by around 11 percent in the last three weeks, easing pressure on the Prime Minister Narendra government, as his Bharatiya Janata Party girds for a series of state elections in coming months and a national election due by May.
The government said last month that it was confident of meeting its fiscal deficit target of 3.3 percent of gross domestic product for the fiscal year ending in March 2019.
Net tax receipts in the first half were 5.83 trillion rupees, less than 40 percent of the full-year target, government data showed, but a finance ministry official said there was typically a rush to pay in the final months.
Following an increase in bond yields to over 8 percent, interest payments on government debt rose to 2.55 trillion rupees in the first six months compared with 2.26 trillion rupees a year ago. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

($1 = 73.2750 Indian rupees)

India makes big push to expand tea export to China -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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25 October 2018
 
Tea in China (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)

India made a strong pitch to expand its steadily growing market for black tea in China by organising a tea promotion campaign that officials say would help in scaling up the tea trade between the two countries. People in China, where tea originated, mainly consumes green teas without milk unlike black Indian tea. The Indian Embassy here in association with the Tea Board of India and China Tea Marketing Association held the Indian tea promotion event here from October 23-25. During the event, top tea buyers and sellers from both the countries met and interacted over the prospects of scaling up tea trade between the two countries. Anil Kumar Ray, Deputy Chairman of the Tea Board of India, the leading Indian tea delegation, told the media on Tuesday that India last year exported about nine million tonnes of tea which constituted about 30 per cent of China's imports. The Indian delegation comprising of top tea business houses visited China to explore the Chinese market and to expand the export base, he said.

Addressing a seminar attended by tea exporters and importers from both the countries here on Tuesday, Indian Ambassador to China, Gautam Bambawale said the tea trade between India and China goes back in history. The ancient Tea-Horse trade route connected Yunnan Province in China to the tea-growing regions of India in West Bengal and Assam, he said. Today, China is major producer of green tea with annual production of 2,550 million kilograms. India is a major producer of black tea with annual production of 1,278 million kilograms, he said. India is the third largest tea exporter to China, he said. Last year, India exported tea worth USD 25 million to China. The graph is headed upwards as Chinese people begin liking different kinds of tea, he said. With awareness about the medicinal value of the tea, the popularity is growing among the youth of both the countries. There are many reports which suggest that China's young people like black tea and black tea-based beverages, he said. "Similarly, in India, people are now beginning to like green tea and herbal tea. It is for this reason that we believe that the possibility of exporting Indian tea to China is rising. That is why we are organising this tea promotion event today," he said. The Indian delegation has introduced five different type of teas from India at the event. Ray said India has different varieties of teas, including the Darjeeling and Sikkim tea

"China is a very traditional tea drinking nation... they have a very long history of drinking tea expanding to thousands of years," he said, adding that "our teas are new but our varieties are more". Similarly, exports of Chinese green tea varieties to India were also growing. He said India last year has exported 251 million kilograms of tea. This included Russia (50 million kilograms). Other countries of Indian exports included Iran, the UAE, the UK, Pakistan, the USA and Egypt. China makes about 2500 million kilograms of tea, he said. The Chinese tea business representative reacted positively to India's pitch for tea exports to China. Qin Ling, a representative from the Beijing Tea Chamber, told state-run Global Times on Thursday that "Indian tea producers and exporters are using the European Union product standards. Some Chinese companies' products don't meet those standards." Wang Qing, chairman of the China Tea Marketing Association, said that India and China have different categories of tea, and standards don't pose a major problem for Chinese tea exports. "The issue is not the standard, China and India have different product structures. China mainly produces strip tea and India mainly produces broken black tea," Wang said. Bern Tsang, the business development consultant of Premier's Tea Limited, whose office is based in Hong Kong, said that he is very optimistic about the Chinese market. "Chinese young people are delighted to try new things. As you see, coffee has made it big in China, and mixology tea beverages are emerging too," he said. "Indian black tea is the main material to make mixology tea beverages," he told the paper. Zhao Gancheng, director of the South Asia Studies Department at the Shanghai Institute for International Studies, said that India is currently showing the trend of trying to crack the Chinese market. "India sees the US-China trade war as an opportunity of expanding the Chinese market, increasing the exporting of agricultural products to China. India is hoping to reduce its trade deficit with China, which has long been large," Zhao said. If India takes this opportunity to establish interconnection and further expand trade with China, it is definitely a win-win situation for both sides, Zhao added.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Suddenly Essar Steel “Shareholders” Find Rs54,389 crore to Pay Creditors to Retain Control-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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25 October 2018
 
Essar Steel India Ltd (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


The Ruia owned Essar Steel India Ltd (Essar Steel) which was on the brink of changing hands, has claimed that it has submitted a proposal to its Committee of Creditors (CoC) for full settlement of the entire admitted claims of the financial creditors, operational creditors, and workmen and employees of the company, aggregating Rs54,389 crore. 

"The plan includes an upfront cash payment of Rs47,507 crore to all creditors, including Rs45,559 crore to the senior secured financial creditors, i.e. 100% recovery," the company said in a release on Thursday without revealing how the promoters and shareholders have suddenly got access to such huge funding.

When asked, Essar Steel has refused to reply on the source of its sudden riches. The question is if the money was so easily available, why was the company a defaulter?

Prashant Ruia, Director, Essar, said, "Essar Steel got into difficulty because of external factors. In fact, even after the onset of the insolvency resolution process, the shareholders of Essar Steel had made offers to settle the debt of the company, but the lenders did not accept those offers. We believe our current proposal will provide 100% recovery to secured creditors and lenders, and maximum recovery for unsecured creditors."

While the resolution plan currently under the CoC's consideration takes care of only the secured creditors (i.e. the banks), by offering this settlement, Essar Steel says its shareholders are ready to pay up the entire dues that will lead to not only maximum recovery for the lenders, but also for all other classes of creditors, thus taking the Company out of the corporate insolvency resolution process under Section 12A of the IBC, which was introduced in June 2018 by way of an amendment. 

"If the CoC were to accept the resolution plan currently under consideration, it will have to settle for a sizeable haircut. Moreover, the offer does not provide for meaningful payment to operational and other unsecured creditors," it added.
   
Earlier in September, the National Company Law Appellate Tribunal (NCLAT) had ruled that ArcelorMittal must pay its dues to enable consideration of its bid for Essar Steel along with resolution plans of other contenders, Numetal and Vedanta Resources.

The revised bid by the world's largest steelmaker is believed to be Rs42,000 crore compared with Rs37,000-crore bid submitted in the second round of bidding by Numetal, a consortium led by Russia's VTB Bank.

The commitment by ArcelorMittal to pay the outstanding dues of Rs7,000 crore on Uttam Galva and KSS Petron is learnt to be separate from its bid of Rs42,000 crore. ArcelorMittal was asked to clear its dues of about Rs7,000 crore related to Uttam Galva and KSS Petron, of which it was a promoter when these turned non-performing assets (NPA).

While ArcelorMittal got conditional approval from the NCLAT, Numetal's bid filed in the second round in March this year was found eligible as by then it had restructured its shareholding composition by removing the stake of Essar Steel promoter's son.

The first bid of both Numetal and ArcelorMittal were rejected by the CoC, the lenders of Essar Steel, as they violated Section 29A of the IBC, which disqualifies a promoter of NPA from submitting a resolution plan.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Stocks Recover In European Trading; Wall Street Seen Rising-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

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25 October 2018


Financial Markets (The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions)


Stock markets turned higher in European trading Thursday as investors settled somewhat after steep declines in Asia and the U.S. spurred by worries over trade and the U.S. economy.
Futures for the Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Standard & Poor's 500 were higher, suggesting a likely revival of buying.
Germany's DAX added 0.3 percent to 11,224 and the CAC 40 in France climbed 1.3 percent to 5,015. Britain's FTSE 100 was flat at 6,960, underperforming after poor earnings from ad giant WPP.
It was unclear if the gains were a return to calm or only a respite from the torrent of selling on Wall Street overnight that spurred a further drop in technology-related shares in Asia.
Japan's Nikkei 225 index swooned 3.7 percent to 21,268.73. Hong Kong's Hang Seng index ended 1 percent lower at 24,994.46 and Australia's S&P ASX 200 sank 2.8 percent to 5,664.10.
But late in the day, the Shanghai Composite index erased its early losses to end up only 0.5 points at 2,603.80. Benchmarks in Thailand and Indonesia also logged gains.
As in New York, Asia's losses were heaviest for technology companies. Semiconductor maker Tokyo Electron lost 4.3 percent and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. dropped 4.4 percent. South Korea's Samsung Electronics sank 3.6 percent and Japanese telecoms and energy giant Softbank lost 4.4 percent.
Other sectors also felt the pain.
Toyota Motor Corp. gave up 2.7 percent while Hong Kong-based retail supply chain giant Li & Fung Ltd. lost 1.3 percent. Also in Hong Kong, airline Cathay Pacific's shares dropped as much as 6.5 percent but ended 3.8 percent lower after it said it had discovered a data breach affecting 9.4 million passengers.
Still, some market observers were taking the latest bout of volatility in stride.
"I think the Hong Kong market is really very close to bottom, because when you look at the value, it's very extremely cheap. So how low can it get? Maybe it will reach 24,000 before we find the bottom," said analyst Francis Lun of Geo Securities.
In New York, the futures contract for the S&P 500 gained 0.7 percent to 2,684 while that for the Dow also rose 0.6 percent, to 24,770, suggesting recent losses may have whetted appetites for bargains.
The Nasdaq composite, with its hefty roster of tech stocks, has now fallen more than 10 percent below its August peak in what Wall Street calls a "correction." Its 4.4 percent tumble on Wednesday to 7,108.40 was its biggest drop since August 2011 but it is still up 3 percent for the year.
The S&P 500 has lost about 9.4 percent from its Sept. 20 peak and has given up its gains for the year, as has the Dow. The Russell 2000 index of smaller-company stocks is down 4.4 percent for the year.
Disappointing quarterly earnings and outlooks are stoking investors' worries that Corporate America's tax cut-fueled earnings growth will fade in coming months as interest rates rise and the trade conflict with China raises costs.
Recent signs the housing market is cooling are adding to jitters over prospects for U.S. economic growth.
A shift into less volatile assets has pushed bond prices higher, sending the yield on the 10-year Treasury note down to 3.13 percent from 3.16 percent late Tuesday.
About 24 percent of the companies in the S&P 500 had reported third-quarter results as of Wednesday. Of those, 57 percent delivered earnings and revenue results that topped Wall Street's forecasts.
More reports are due later Thursday in the U.S., including from Google parent company Alphabet, Amazon.com, Twitter and Comcast. In Europe, Daimler reported a drop in profits, as it had earlier warned it would, as did Nokia, which is waiting for global demand for new 5G networks to pick up.
As selling in stock markets abated, other markets also regained equilibrium.
Benchmark U.S. crude lost 6 cents to $66.76 per barrel in electronic trading on the New York Mercantile Exchange. On Wednesday it edged up 0.6 percent Brent crude, used to price international oils, gained 4 cents to $76.21 a barrel.
The dollar rose to 112.27 yen from 112.23 yen. The euro rose to $1.1406 from $1.1393.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

Saturday, 13 October 2018

Thursday, 11 October 2018

Nifty, Sensex Down Again on Global Bear Attack – Thursday closing report-The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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11 October 2018

I had mentioned in Wednesday’s closing report that Nifty, Sensex might head higher. However, thanks to a huge decline in US markets yesterday and Asian markets today, the major indices of the Indian stock markets suffered a severe correction on Thursday and closed with big losses over Wednesday’s close. On the NSE, there were 539 advances, 1,198 declines and 318 unchanged. The trends of the major indices in the course of Thursday’s trading are given in the table below:


International Monetary Fund head Christine Lagarde's comments that stock market valuations had been "extremely high", spurred a meltdown in the US markets overnight, spilling over to Asia on Thursday. In a volatile trading session on Thursday, the barometer index, Sensex, had crashed over 1,000 points at one point. Expectations that the US Federal Reserve would continue to tighten rates also hurt demand for the Indian currency and equities. Selling was witnessed in banking, IT (information technology), metals, auto and capital goods stocks. All 19 sector-based indices on the BSE, except the energy index, traded in the red.

The rupee plunged to a fresh low on Thursday, as Indian equities joined a global sell-off amid mounting concerns growth would slow in the face of a trade war between the United States and China. Concerns that the US Federal Reserve would continue to tighten interest rates amid strengthening economy and labour market also sparked fears about capital outflows, hurting the rupee.

Reliance Nippon Life Asset Management on Thursday announced it has received a mandate from the Employees' State Insurance Corporation (ESIC) to manage its funds. The fund manager received the mandate from ESIC after a competitive technical and financial bidding process. RNAM is currently managing, among others, funds of state-tun Employees' Provident Fund Organization and The Coal Mines Provident Fund Organization. As of June, the company had total assets worth Rs4.10 lakh crore under its management. The company’s shares closed at Rs153.00, down 0.91% on the NSE.

Automobile manufacturer Tata Motors launched the next generation of compact sedan -- Tata Tigor -- in both petrol and diesel variants. According to Tata Motors, the petrol variant is priced between Rs5.20 lakh and Rs6.65 lakh, while the diesel-powered version's cost ranges between Rs6.09 lakh and Rs7.38 lakh. "The compact sedan segment has been an important space for the customers seeking premium-ness at best value coupled with bold and attractive looks," Guenter Butschek, CEO and MD, Tata Motors said in a statement. Tata Motors shares closed at Rs182.50, down 3.31% on the NSE.

Automobile major Mahindra & Mahindra (M&M) launched the leasing service for retail buyers of its personal range of vehicles. According to the company, the lease rental service starts at Rs13,499 per month for KUV100NXT and Rs32,999 per month for XUV500. The lease offer will cater to individual leasing for working professionals and SMEs and will be available across 6 cities namely- Pune, Ahmedabad, Bangalore, Hyderabad, Mumbai and New Delhi in the first phase of launch. "In its next phase, the lease offering will be extended to 19 more cities across India. The lease offer will be available on Mahindra's personal portfolio of vehicles such as the KUV100, TUV300, Scorpio, Marazzo and XUV500," the statement said. Mahindra & Mahindra shares closed at Rs730.00, down 4.46% on the NSE.

Kakinada SEZ, a subsidiary of GMR Infra, signed an MoU with the Andhra Pradesh Gas Development Corporation to get access to piped domestic natural gas for its upcoming 10,500-acre zone. The company’s shares closed at Rs15.90, down 3.05% on the NSE.

Aurobindo Pharma has received final approval from the US FDA (Food & Drug Administration) to manufacture and market Azithromycin Oral Suspension 100, a generic version of Pfizer’s Zithromax® oral suspension. The drug is used to treat mild to moderate infections. The company’s shares closed at Rs751.00, down 3.67% on the NSE.

The top gainers and top losers of the major indices are given in the table below:


The closing values of the major Asian indices are given in the table below:The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Number of direct taxpayers may double to 7.6 crore during 5 years of present government: Arun Jaitley -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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11 October 2018

Finance Minister Arun Jaitleysaid Thursday the number of direct taxpayersis expected to double to 7.6 crore during the five-year term of the present government on account of various initiatives like rationalisation of tax structure, lowering of rates and anti-black money measures. "If we look at the functioning of the direct taxdepartment, various factors like strict compliance, rationalisation of tax structure, lowering the lowest slab, and the result of that has been...we are finding 15-20 per cent gradual increase in the tax collections every year," he said.

He said this while delivering the valedictory address at the 29th Conference of Accountants General here, organised by the Comptroller and Auditor General (CAG).

The number of direct taxpayers was 3.8 crore when the Modi-led government took office in May 2014.

"Four years ago, when we assumed office the total number of people who filed tax returns in India was 3.80 crore. It's already 6.86 crore last year, which is the fourth year. At the end of fifth year, I do hope it will be something close to 7.6 crore or 7.5 crore, which means that in five years we would have doubled the number of people filing tax returns in India," he added.

 He attributed the increase in number of direct taxpayers to initiatives of the government like anti-black money measures, formalisation of economy, use of technology, ability to detect transactions. The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


Draft electronics policy aims $400 billion manufacturing ecosystem turnover by 2025 -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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11 October 2018

The government has released the draft of the National Electronics Policy 2018, aiming for a turnover of $400 billion in domestic electronics manufacturing by 2025, along with promoting ease-of-doing business for the entire electronic system design and manufacturing or ESDM sector, and encouraging industry-led research and development and innovation in all sub-sectors of electronics.

The policy targets production of one billion mobile handsets by 2025, valued at $190 billion (about .? 13 lakh crore) including export of 600 million mobile handsets valued at $110 billion (about .?7 lakh crore).

The policy aims to also push the startup ecosystem in emerging technology areas such as 5G, Internet of Things, artificial intelligence and machine learning, and their applications in areas such as defence, agriculture, health, smart cities and automation. Being exportled, it is also targeting to develop core competencies in all the sub-sectors of electronics, including electronic components and semiconductors, telecommunication equipment, medical electronics, defence electronics, automotive electronics, industrial electronics, strategic electronics, etc., and fabless chip design.

 According to the draft policy, seen by ET, the ministry of electronics and information technology (MeitY) will “coordinate with the concerned ministries/departments to provide incentives to industry for rapid and robust expansion of electronics hardware manufacturing within the country”. MeitY will work out the details and facilitate decisions by the government, it said.

Some of the measures proposed in the draft include promotion of manufacturing of electronic goods covered under the Information Technology Agreement (ITA-1) of the World Trade Organization and provision of suitable direct tax benefits, including investment-linked deduction under Section 35AD of the Income Tax Act for electronics manufacturing sector, for setting up of a new manufacturing unit or expansion of an existing unit.

It also proposed “replacing the M-SIPS (Modified Special Incentive Package Scheme) with schemes that are easier to implement such as interest subsidy and credit default guarantee, etc., in order to encourage new units and expansion of existing units in electronics manufacturing sector”.

The first National Policy on Electronics, rolled out in 2012, offered incentives to companies setting up manufacturing units in the country.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions

'Government will not ask OMCs to further subsidise petrol, diesel prices' -The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions


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11 October 2018

Allaying concerns about the return of fuel subsidy regime, a top Finance Ministry official Thursday said the government asking oil PSUs to subsidise petrol and diesel prices by Re 1 per litre was a "one-time thing" and it does not intend to ask them to do it again. While oil marketing companies will continue to enjoy marketing freedom, upstream oil producers like ONGC NSE 2.93 % would not be asked to share fuel subsidy burden, he said. Just last week, the government had cut excise duty on petrol and diesel by Rs 1.50 per litre and asked state-owned oil marketing companies (OMCs) to subsidise the two fuels by another Re 1 a litre. But most of the Rs 2.50 per litre reduction in rates effected from October 5 has been lost in increases in selling prices on subsequent days, giving rise to the suspicion that the government may again ask OMCs to subsidise fuel. "The Re 1 absorption by OMCs in their pricing was a one-time thing," the official said. The government, he said, has no intention of asking them to do that again

Following the comments, shares of OMCs surged by as much as 19 per cent intra-day, defying the broader market trends. Shares of HPCL surged 19 per cent to hit a high of Rs 215.40, BPCL jumped 7 per cent to Rs 284.80 and IOC gained nearly 8 per cent to Rs 134 in intra-day trade. The benchmark BSE Sensex fell 759.74 points to close at 34,001. The cut in excise duty and OMCs absorbing some prices had led to a drop in the price of petrol from a record high of Rs 84 per litre to Rs 81.50 in Delhi and that of diesel from an all-time high of Rs 75.45 to Rs 72.95 a litre on October 5. But rate hikes on subsequent days have pushed prices up. Petrol has risen by 86 paise per litre since then and diesel by Rs 1.67, negating the entire excise duty reduction in less than a week. Petrol price in Delhi Thursday stood at Rs 82.36 per cent while diesel was priced at Rs 74.62. The official said the government is also not looking at bringing back the subsidy sharing mechanism where upstream firms like ONGC subsidised cooking fuels LPG and kerosene by giving discounts on crude oil they sold to refiners. Oil and Natural Gas Corp (ONGC) shares surged to Rs 159.60 during intra-day trade on the BSE before ending at Rs 152.90, up 2.86 per cent. Oil producers ONGC and Oil India NSE -0.50 % Ltd had till June 2015 made good as much as 40 per cent of the under-recoveries or subsidy arising out of selling fuel at below market price. It was speculated that the same subsidy sharing in some form may be brought back. According to Moody's Investors Service, share prices of state-owned oil companies have declined around 20 per cent on average since the government on October 4 announced a reduction in the country's fuel prices.

The aggregate market capitalisation of the six largest listed government owned/linked oil companies had fallen by Rs 1.2 lakh crore since then, it said. "The share price decline is credit negative for the oil companies because of the high level of crossshareholdings in one another. The market values of their respective investments have declined, reducing their financial flexibility," it said in a report Thursday. Shares of HPCL closed up 14.70 per cent at Rs 207.15. BPCL was up 5.11 per cent at Rs 278.65 and IOC ended 5.39 per cent higher at Rs 131 on the BSE.The Total Investment & Insurance Solutions